Estudiantes vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Mar 2010

Tip-off: 11:30

Final 74-58

26-14 21-20 12-10 15-14

Position#7

Record12-12

FormLLLWW

Points / game77.2

Allowed / game77.0

Estudiantes 🏆

Baskonia

Position#2

Record20-4

FormWLLWW

Points / game81.7

Allowed / game73.6

ACBRound 25

Domestic2009-10

Meetings · Estudiantes v Baskonia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Baskonia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alicante

#13

60-82

-22

A03/01

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#17

90-66

+24

H10/01

ACB

Valencia

88-76

+12

H16/01

ACB

Gran Canaria

75-76

-1

A23/01

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#11

83-68

+15

H30/01

ACB

Real Betis

78-83

-5

A07/02

ACB

Barcelona

70-79

-9

A13/02

ACB

Valencia

73-75

-2

A18/02

Spanish Cup

Baloncesto Valladolid

#14

89-86 OT

H28/02

ACB

CB Granada

#10

84-75

A06/03

ACB

14-19

17-12

11-26

18-25

26-10

17-14

26-20

21-22

17-22

13-18

32-16

26-20

16-26

23-19

16-14

20-17

23-20

18-16

24-19

18-13

13-25

26-22

20-17

19-19

13-24

23-18

15-17

19-20

20-20

12-15

21-20

20-20

16-24

23-18

18-17

20-18

18-23

20-14

27-22

19-16

155.6Avg total

79.0Scored

76.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	77.2	77.0	154.2	+0.2	50%
Season at home (12)	78.9	73.5	152.4	+5.4	67%
Season away (12)	75.4	80.5	155.9	-5.1	33%
Last 10 (10)	79.0	76.6	155.6	+2.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	79.6	158.4	-0.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	74.8	80.5	155.3	-5.7	33%
vs Similar (15)	75.0	76.0	151.0	-1.0	40%
vs Weaker (8)	82.1	77.9	160.0	+4.2	75%

This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Baskonia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obradoiro CAB

#17

80-76

A07/02

ACB

Khimki M.

71-82

-11

H11/02

Euroleague

Valencia

69-67

H14/02

ACB

Bilbao

75-62

+13

A19/02

Spanish Cup

Real Madrid

50-78

-28

H20/02

Spanish Cup

Khimki M.

94-83

+11

A25/02

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

85-86

-1

A28/02

ACB

Olympiacos

85-102

102

-17

A04/03

Euroleague

Joventut Badalona

#11

104-79

104

+25

H06/03

ACB

Cibona

#28

102-90 OT

102

+12

H11/03

Euroleague

25-18

26-20

14-13

15-25

16-26

20-18

14-19

21-19

16-16

14-16

20-14

19-21

20-11

17-20

26-16

12-15

18-17

9-23

16-18

7-20

24-18

22-21

24-26

24-18

30-26

19-29

17-15

19-16

29-22

16-27

16-31

24-22

32-25

23-20

32-18

17-16

18-19

14-18

17-18

29-23

162.0Avg total

81.5Scored

80.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	81.7	73.6	155.3	+8.1	83%
Season at home (13)	82.8	70.8	153.7	+12.0	100%
Season away (11)	80.4	76.8	157.2	+3.5	64%
Last 10 (10)	81.5	80.5	162.0	+1.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	94.0	88.0	182.0	+6.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	74.0	84.8	158.8	-10.8	0%
vs Similar (7)	80.3	72.1	152.4	+8.1	86%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	81.5	73.3	154.8	+8.2	88%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesBaskonia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.9	19.5	38.4	-0.6	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	17.4	37.7	+2.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	21.4	39.0	-3.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	21.3	38.9	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	23.2	39.2	-7.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.2	19.5	36.7	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.1	20.1	38.3	-2.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.4	18.2	39.6	+3.1	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.9	39.7	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.4	19.2	41.5	+3.2	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	19.8	42.6	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.6	22.0	48.6	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.0	60%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.3	18.4	38.7	+1.9	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.2	18.9	40.2	+2.3	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.4	18.6	37.0	-0.2	59%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	18.0	36.3	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	16.6	35.8	+2.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	17.4	38.2	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	67%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.7	18.5	36.2	-0.8	57%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.8	17.4	37.1	+2.4	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	18.0	35.9	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.5	17.1	34.5	+0.4	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	19.3	37.8	-0.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	21.2	39.2	-3.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	23.0	41.8	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.8	22.4	39.2	-5.6	40%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.4	16.6	35.0	+1.9	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	18.1	17.2	35.3	+0.8	53%	-

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alicante

#13

31-31

A03/01

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#17

43-24

+19

H10/01

ACB

Valencia

30-40

-10

H16/01

ACB

Gran Canaria

39-45

-6

A23/01

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#11

41-36

H30/01

ACB

Real Betis

39-47

-8

A07/02

ACB

Barcelona

36-42

-6

A13/02

ACB

Valencia

32-35

-3

A18/02

Spanish Cup

Baloncesto Valladolid

#14

39-42

-3

H28/02

ACB

CB Granada

#10

38-37

A06/03

ACB

74.7Avg total

36.8Scored

37.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.3	38.1	75.3	-0.8	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.7	36.6	75.4	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.9	39.4	75.3	-3.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	37.9	74.7	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	40.6	77.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	36.3	40.5	76.8	-4.2	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	35.9	38.6	74.5	-2.8	43%	-
vs Weaker (8)	41.1	35.6	76.8	+5.5	62%	-

This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obradoiro CAB

#17

51-38

+13

A07/02

ACB

Khimki M.

36-44

-8

H11/02

Euroleague

Valencia

30-32

-2

H14/02

ACB

Bilbao

37-31

A19/02

Spanish Cup

Real Madrid

27-40

-13

H20/02

Spanish Cup

Khimki M.

46-39

A25/02

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

49-55

-6

A28/02

ACB

Olympiacos

45-49

-4

A04/03

Euroleague

Joventut Badalona

#11

55-45

+10

H06/03

ACB

Cibona

#28

32-37

-5

H11/03

Euroleague

81.8Avg total

40.8Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	37.0	75.7	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	37.1	35.8	72.9	+1.2	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.8	38.5	79.3	+2.4	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	41.0	81.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	45.0	90.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.0	43.6	80.6	-6.6	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	38.7	35.0	73.7	+3.7	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	39.3	36.2	75.5	+3.1	65%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.6	18.4	37.0	+0.1	55%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.3	18.7	37.0	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	18.2	37.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	18.8	39.8	+2.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.6	38.8	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	15.0	17.7	32.7	-2.7	17%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.6	17.9	37.6	+1.7	64%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.0	38.9	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.2	15.5	35.7	+4.6	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.7	21.3	43.0	+0.4	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.6	42.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.6	20.8	40.4	-1.2	40%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.7	16.9	39.6	+5.9	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.1	17.8	37.9	+2.3	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.8	20.1	39.8	-0.3	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	18.3	38.1	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	21.7	41.4	-2.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.6	38.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	21.3	20.5	41.8	+0.8	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.7	19.5	39.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.6	20.8	39.4	-2.1	38%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.5	19.0	37.5	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.2	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.5	38.2	-0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.0	41.6	+3.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.4	20.4	37.8	-3.0	40%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.9	20.3	39.1	-1.4	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.1	82%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.3	38.5	76.8	-0.2	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.1	37.0	75.1	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	39.9	78.4	-1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	37.8	78.8	+3.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	37.2	76.8	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	36.3	38.2	74.5	-1.8	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	39.4	37.4	76.8	+1.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (8)	37.6	40.5	78.1	-2.9	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	37.2	77.4	+3.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	38.6	34.5	73.2	+4.1	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.3	40.7	83.0	+1.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	38.3	76.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	40.6	84.4	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.0	41.2	78.2	-4.2	60%	-
vs Similar (7)	41.6	37.1	78.7	+4.4	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	40.8	36.4	77.2	+4.4	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Baskonia wins

Date	Game	Score
06/12/09	Baskonia v Estudiantes	78-68
09/05/09	Estudiantes v Baskonia	83-105
28/12/08	Baskonia v Estudiantes	100-81

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/03/10	A	CB Granada	84-75
28/02/10	H	Baloncesto Valladolid	89-86 OT
18/02/10	A	Valencia	73-75
13/02/10	A	Barcelona	70-79
07/02/10	A	Real Betis	78-83
30/01/10	H	Joventut Badalona	83-68
23/01/10	A	Gran Canaria	75-76
16/01/10	H	Valencia	88-76
10/01/10	H	Obradoiro CAB	90-66
03/01/10	A	Alicante	60-82

Baskonialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/03/10	H	Cibona	102-90 OT
06/03/10	H	Joventut Badalona	104-79
04/03/10	A	Olympiacos	85-102
28/02/10	A	Gran Canaria	85-86
25/02/10	A	Khimki M.	94-83
20/02/10	H	Real Madrid	50-78
19/02/10	A	Bilbao	75-62
14/02/10	H	Valencia	69-67
11/02/10	H	Khimki M.	71-82
07/02/10	A	Obradoiro CAB	80-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

ACB 2009-10

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	50%
Home	WWWWW	67%
Away	LLLLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	50%	67%	33%
Points / game	77.2	78.9	75.4
Allowed / game	77.0	73.5	80.5
Point differential	+0.2	+5.4	-5.1
Avg total	154.2	152.4	155.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	42%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	40% (5)	0% (2)
Overtime %	12%	17%	8%

Baskonia

ACB 2009-10

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	83%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWL	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	13	11
Win %	83%	100%	64%
Points / game	81.7	82.8	80.4
Allowed / game	73.6	70.8	76.8
Point differential	+8.1	+12.0	+3.5
Avg total	155.3	153.7	157.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	42%	54%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (1)	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Barcelona	24	22	2	92%	81.1	62.8	+18.3
2	Baskonia	24	20	4	83%	81.7	73.6	+8.1
3	Real Madrid	25	20	5	80%	81.2	70.8	+10.4
4	Valencia	25	16	9	64%	76.1	74.2	+1.8
5	Real Betis	24	14	10	58%	71.7	68.5	+3.1
6	Unicaja	24	12	12	50%	78.6	75.6	+3.0
7	Estudiantes	24	12	12	50%	77.2	77.0	+0.2
8	Gran Canaria	24	11	13	46%	74.7	75.8	-1.1
9	Baloncesto Valladolid	24	11	13	46%	74.5	77.3	-2.8
10	Manresa	24	11	13	46%	71.2	74.2	-2.9
11	Joventut Badalona	24	11	13	46%	75.9	78.9	-3.0
12	CB Granada	24	10	14	42%	77.2	80.8	-3.6
13	Fuenlabrada	24	10	14	42%	76.0	80.1	-4.1
14	Bilbao	24	9	15	38%	75.3	77.0	-1.7
15	Gipuzkoa	24	9	15	38%	74.7	79.1	-4.4
16	Alicante	24	8	16	33%	74.6	81.0	-6.4
17	Obradoiro CAB	24	7	17	29%	76.5	81.5	-5.0
18	Murcia	24	4	20	17%	73.1	83.5	-10.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	26	21	12	15	74
Baskonia	14	20	10	14	58

← all games of the day

Estudiantes vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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