Estudiantes vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Jan 2013

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 68-72

17-16 15-21 22-20 14-15

Position#12

Record8-7

FormLLWLW

Points / game81.9

Allowed / game78.3

Estudiantes

Baskonia 🏆

Position#2

Record12-3

FormWWWWW

Points / game82.1

Allowed / game74.9

ACBRound 16

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Estudiantes v Baskonia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Baskonia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Baloncesto Valladolid

#16

81-86

-5

A03/11

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

68-83

-15

H11/11

ACB

Unicaja

85-74

+11

A18/11

ACB

Manresa

#18

89-98

-9

A25/11

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

89-66

+23

H01/12

ACB

Real Madrid

74-87

-13

H09/12

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#15

63-70

-7

A16/12

ACB

Gran Canaria

83-75

H19/12

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#11

75-96

-21

A23/12

ACB

Murcia

#13

91-68

+23

A30/12

ACB

18-17

23-20

22-32

17-14

15-29

21-23

15-17

28-18

14-20

18-24

25-12

23-22

24-29

24-27

18-20

20-14

20-26

17-11

32-15

21-23

31-35

12-14

10-15

20-21

20-12

13-14

10-23

25-13

18-20

20-15

20-27

24-27

11-18

19-22

21-29

25-15

27-21

15-19

24-13

160.1Avg total

79.8Scored

80.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	81.9	78.3	160.1	+3.6	53%
Season at home (7)	82.3	75.0	157.3	+7.3	71%
Season away (8)	81.5	81.1	162.6	+0.4	38%
Last 10 (10)	79.8	80.3	160.1	-0.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	79.2	156.4	-2.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	75.3	84.9	160.1	-9.6	14%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	77.5	74.5	151.9	+3.0	53%
vs Weaker (6)	80.5	73.2	153.7	+7.3	50%

This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Baskonia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gipuzkoa

#17

71-69

A02/12

ACB

Anadolu Efes

#10

91-76

+15

A07/12

Euroleague

Murcia

#13

87-83

H09/12

ACB

Cedevita

#26

97-70

+27

H14/12

Euroleague

Bilbao

81-80

H16/12

ACB

Baloncesto Valladolid

#16

93-71

+22

A19/12

ACB

Tenerife

#10

81-62

+19

H23/12

ACB

Olympiacos

82-74

H27/12

Euroleague

Fuenlabrada

#15

84-77

H30/12

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

71-70

A03/01

Euroleague

15-10

22-26

20-24

14-9

21-19

17-15

27-25

26-17

18-24

30-18

15-20

24-21

15-17

34-13

20-19

28-21

22-18

22-23

21-16

16-23

26-16

20-21

25-19

22-15

22-14

25-22

9-10

25-16

19-24

21-20

27-11

15-19

26-24

21-17

18-18

19-18

20-23

24-9

6-24

21-14

157.0Avg total

83.8Scored

73.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	82.1	74.9	157.0	+7.3	80%
Season at home (9)	83.7	74.8	158.4	+8.9	89%
Season away (6)	79.8	75.0	154.8	+4.8	67%
Last 10 (10)	83.8	73.2	157.0	+10.6	100%
Last 5 (5)	82.2	70.8	153.0	+11.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	72.0	79.1	151.1	-7.1	30%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	78.8	75.5	154.4	+3.3	73%
vs Weaker (9)	84.9	72.7	157.6	+12.2	89%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesBaskonia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	18.8	39.2	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	18.1	38.0	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.0	19.3	40.3	+1.7	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	18.4	40.5	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	19.8	42.8	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.1	20.9	40.0	-1.7	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	20.3	18.3	38.6	+2.0	65%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.5	17.7	40.2	+4.8	83%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	18.3	38.8	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.0	18.2	39.2	+2.8	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	18.5	38.2	+1.3	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.9	39.3	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.2	42.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.5	17.7	37.2	+1.7	55%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.2	17.4	39.7	+4.8	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.2	37.6	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	18.8	37.9	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.7	17.7	37.4	+2.0	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	22.7	42.5	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.2	42.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.4	21.1	41.6	-0.7	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.1	17.2	36.3	+1.8	59%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.3	17.5	36.8	+1.8	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.5	40.2	-0.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.9	19.5	40.5	+1.4	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.2	21.8	39.9	-3.6	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	18.4	42.0	+5.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	17.8	40.0	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	15.9	19.9	35.8	-4.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.7	21.7	42.5	-1.0	36%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.8	19.7	42.4	+3.1	44%	-

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Baloncesto Valladolid

#16

36-34

A03/11

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

32-43

-11

H11/11

ACB

Unicaja

42-38

A18/11

ACB

Manresa

#18

47-51

-4

A25/11

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

40-40

H01/12

ACB

Real Madrid

52-58

-6

H09/12

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#15

40-33

A16/12

ACB

Gran Canaria

43-33

+10

H19/12

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#11

35-45

-10

A23/12

ACB

Murcia

#13

52-36

+16

A30/12

ACB

83.0Avg total

41.9Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	37.0	76.9	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.0	36.9	75.9	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.7	37.0	77.7	+3.7	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	41.1	83.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	41.0	85.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	39.6	42.0	81.6	-2.4	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	39.4	35.5	74.9	+3.8	65%	-
vs Weaker (6)	41.8	35.2	77.0	+6.7	83%	-

This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gipuzkoa

#17

37-36

A02/12

ACB

Anadolu Efes

#10

38-34

A07/12

Euroleague

Murcia

#13

48-42

H09/12

ACB

Cedevita

#26

49-30

+19

H14/12

Euroleague

Bilbao

44-41

H16/12

ACB

Baloncesto Valladolid

#16

46-37

A19/12

ACB

Tenerife

#10

47-36

+11

H23/12

ACB

Olympiacos

40-44

-4

H27/12

Euroleague

Fuenlabrada

#15

47-41

H30/12

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

44-32

+12

A03/01

Euroleague

81.3Avg total

44.0Scored

37.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	38.8	79.0	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.9	37.8	79.7	+4.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.9	40.2	78.2	-2.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	37.3	81.3	+6.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	38.0	82.8	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	35.9	39.7	75.6	-3.8	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	40.2	39.5	79.6	+0.7	55%	-
vs Weaker (9)	45.0	37.1	82.1	+7.9	89%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.0	37.5	-0.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.3	17.8	36.1	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	20.1	38.8	-1.3	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	18.9	37.1	-0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	16.8	32.6	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.7	22.6	39.3	-5.9	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.1	17.5	36.6	+1.6	47%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	18.2	36.0	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.2	17.8	35.0	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	18.7	37.2	-0.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	18.6	37.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	16.4	33.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.7	17.9	34.6	-1.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.7	18.6	37.4	+0.1	55%	-
vs Weaker (9)	17.9	17.9	35.8	+0.0	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.7	39.8	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.2	18.1	36.4	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	22.9	42.8	-2.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.3	40.0	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	21.4	38.4	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.0	20.3	39.3	-1.3	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	29%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.7	19.0	38.7	+0.7	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.5	18.9	38.5	+0.6	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	17.2	36.9	+2.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	17.3	38.3	+3.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	16.4	36.8	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.2	19.4	36.6	-2.2	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.9	17.5	37.4	+2.5	73%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.0	17.7	39.7	+4.3	89%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	39.7	77.3	-2.0	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.5	35.9	72.4	+0.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.7	42.9	81.6	-4.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	39.2	77.1	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	38.2	71.0	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	35.7	42.9	78.6	-7.1	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	38.1	38.9	77.1	-0.8	35%	-
vs Weaker (6)	38.7	38.0	76.7	+0.7	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	36.3	73.8	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	36.8	36.7	73.5	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.3	35.8	74.2	+2.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	35.9	75.7	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	32.8	70.2	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	33.9	37.3	71.2	-3.4	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	38.6	36.1	74.7	+2.5	64%	-
vs Weaker (9)	39.9	35.6	75.4	+4.3	78%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Baskonia wins

Date	Game	Score
25/03/12	Baskonia v Estudiantes	89-74
20/11/11	Estudiantes v Baskonia	54-74
03/04/11	Baskonia v Estudiantes	89-66
03/01/11	Estudiantes v Baskonia	72-70
23/05/10	Estudiantes v Baskonia	83-85
21/05/10	Baskonia v Estudiantes	92-76
14/03/10	Estudiantes v Baskonia	74-58
06/12/09	Baskonia v Estudiantes	78-68
09/05/09	Estudiantes v Baskonia	83-105
28/12/08	Baskonia v Estudiantes	100-81

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/12/12	A	Murcia	91-68
23/12/12	A	Joventut Badalona	75-96
19/12/12	H	Gran Canaria	83-75
16/12/12	A	Fuenlabrada	63-70
09/12/12	H	Real Madrid	74-87
01/12/12	H	Obradoiro CAB	89-66
25/11/12	A	Manresa	89-98
18/11/12	A	Unicaja	85-74
11/11/12	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	68-83
03/11/12	A	Baloncesto Valladolid	81-86

Baskonialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/01/13	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	71-70
30/12/12	H	Fuenlabrada	84-77
27/12/12	H	Olympiacos	82-74
23/12/12	H	Tenerife	81-62
19/12/12	A	Baloncesto Valladolid	93-71
16/12/12	H	Bilbao	81-80
14/12/12	H	Cedevita	97-70
09/12/12	H	Murcia	87-83
07/12/12	A	Anadolu Efes	91-76
02/12/12	A	Gipuzkoa	71-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

ACB 2012-13

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	53%
Home	WLWLW	71%
Away	WLLLW	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	53%	71%	38%
Points / game	81.9	82.3	81.5
Allowed / game	78.3	75.0	81.1
Point differential	+3.6	+7.3	+0.4
Avg total	160.1	157.3	162.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	43%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	100% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Baskonia

ACB 2012-13

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	80%
Home	WWWWW	89%
Away	WLWWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	9	6
Win %	80%	89%	67%
Points / game	82.1	83.7	79.8
Allowed / game	74.9	74.8	75.0
Point differential	+7.3	+8.9	+4.8
Avg total	157.0	158.4	154.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	47%	56%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	7%	0%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	16	15	1	94%	88.9	78.0	+10.9
2	Baskonia	15	12	3	80%	82.1	74.9	+7.3
3	Valencia	16	12	4	75%	83.3	76.6	+6.8
4	Gran Canaria	15	11	4	73%	76.7	70.3	+6.4
5	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	16	10	6	62%	76.4	71.1	+5.3
6	Bilbao	16	10	6	62%	81.6	77.0	+4.6
7	Barcelona	16	9	7	56%	78.6	69.6	+9.0
8	Obradoiro CAB	16	9	7	56%	73.8	71.8	+2.0
9	Estudiantes	15	8	7	53%	81.9	78.3	+3.6
10	Unicaja	15	8	7	53%	73.6	71.9	+1.7
11	Joventut Badalona	16	7	9	44%	77.1	81.0	-3.9
12	Tenerife	16	6	10	38%	75.6	79.8	-4.2
13	Murcia	16	6	10	38%	76.9	83.3	-6.4
14	Baloncesto Valladolid	16	6	10	38%	74.6	82.8	-8.1
15	Real Betis	15	4	11	27%	70.5	77.1	-6.6
16	Fuenlabrada	16	4	12	25%	74.2	80.8	-6.6
17	Manresa	15	2	13	13%	75.8	85.0	-9.2
18	Gipuzkoa	16	2	14	12%	68.5	80.8	-12.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	17	15	22	14	68
Baskonia	16	21	20	15	72

← all games of the day

Estudiantes vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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