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Estudiantes vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 95-89
26-20 18-23 30-26 21-20
Position#18
Record6-16
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#17
Record6-18
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game86.2
SpainACBRound 26
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Estudiantes v Bilbao
14 Mar 2021
EST95
BIL89
08 Apr 2018
EST96
BIL84
22 Jan 2017
EST87
BIL83
13 Mar 2016
EST81
BIL70
05 Apr 2015
EST83
BIL77
02 Mar 2014
EST86
BIL80
17 Mar 2013
EST79
BIL88
17 Mar 2012
EST69
BIL71
15 May 2011
EST68
BIL78
20 Dec 2009
EST77
BIL71
05 Oct 2008
EST71
BIL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#17
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A06/12
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H13/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A20/12
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
64-90
64
90
-26
H29/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H03/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
65-79
65
79
-14
H07/02
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A10/02
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A27/02
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
91-87
91
87
+4
A03/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
A06/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
21-20
23-19
18-23
27-15
13-19
21-21
20-31
18-15
15-22
17-14
23-30
11-22
18-17
17-19
18-32
13-14
27-25
11-22
22-18
12-22
23-13
16-19
14-25
21-24
18-21
19-20
21-16
17-20
21-18
17-23
22-30
24-18
24-21
21-21
22-27
23-25
17-18
26-12
19-30
162.3Avg total
77.5Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.485.0164.4-5.627%
Season at home (10)79.382.1161.4-2.820%
Season away (12)79.487.4166.8-8.033%
Last 10 (10)77.584.8162.3-7.320%
Last 5 (5)81.287.0168.2-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)74.886.2161.0-11.310%
vs Similar ◀ (7)86.382.6168.9+3.771%
vs Weaker (3)71.368.7140.0+2.733%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H02/01
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
73-106
73
106
-33
H09/01
ACB
Bamberg
#5
L
75-90
75
90
-15
A12/01
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A17/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
73-96
73
96
-23
H23/01
ACB
Karsiyaka
#10
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A27/01
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A30/01
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
73-90
73
90
-17
H06/02
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
97-74
97
74
+23
A27/02
ACB
Real Betis
#16
W
86-84
86
84
+2
H07/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
22-17
20-20
23-28
21-25
11-22
24-31
17-28
21-17
17-20
14-28
23-25
13-18
13-19
24-22
20-13
24-29
8-23
20-21
21-23
19-20
11-24
16-27
30-14
19-25
18-17
12-18
23-20
23-25
16-20
12-30
22-15
24-21
18-15
24-17
31-21
18-18
24-26
24-22
20-18
163.3Avg total
77.6Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.986.2165.1-7.325%
Season at home (12)77.485.8163.2-8.425%
Season away (12)80.386.6166.9-6.225%
Last 10 (10)77.685.7163.3-8.130%
Last 5 (5)80.882.6163.4-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)73.686.9160.6-13.30%
vs Similar ◀ (8)85.585.4170.9+0.150%
vs Weaker (4)82.268.0150.2+14.2100%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -6.3-6.3Q4: +2.5+2.5
EstudiantesBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#17
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A06/12
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H13/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A20/12
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H29/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H03/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H07/02
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A10/02
ACB
Unicaja
#9
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A27/02
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A03/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A06/03
ACB
76.3Avg total
37.9Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.339.274.5-3.927%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.037.272.2-2.238%-
Last 30 away (14)35.641.477.1-5.814%-
Last 10 (10)37.938.476.3-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.080.0+0.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)35.140.075.2-4.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.638.376.9+0.343%-
vs Weaker (3)28.735.764.3-7.00%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H02/01
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H09/01
ACB
Bamberg
#5
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A12/01
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A17/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H23/01
ACB
Karsiyaka
#10
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A27/01
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A30/01
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H06/02
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A27/02
ACB
Real Betis
#16
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H07/03
ACB
77.2Avg total
35.6Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.541.677.1-6.127%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.640.075.6-4.433%-
Last 30 away (15)35.543.278.7-7.720%-
Last 10 (10)35.641.677.2-6.030%-
Last 5 (5)38.042.280.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)33.443.677.0-10.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.640.879.4-2.125%-
vs Weaker (4)39.034.273.2+4.875%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.9
51.2%
53.2%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.3
31.7%
36.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws14.311.4
79.7%
76.6%11.4
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.8
55.6%
53.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.7
36.9%
36.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws12.48.9
71.8%
76.6%8.9
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estudiantes
LWLLLLLLLW
Bilbao
WWLLLLLLLW
#18
League position
#17
-9.9
Net rating
-11.2
104.4
Offensive rating
106.1
114.3
Defensive rating
117.3
49.7%
Effective FG%
55.5%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.4%
16.4%
Turnover %
19.7%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.20
31.7%
3-point %
36.9%
50.0%
Assist %
52.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 106.1Defence114.3 · 117.3Shooting49.7% · 55.5%3-point %31.7% · 36.9%Ball care16.4% · 19.7%Off. rebounds28.2% · 26.2%Free throws0.22 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Estudiantes   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Estudiantes wins
3
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
06/12/20Bilbao v Estudiantes77-78
08/04/18Estudiantes v Bilbao96-84
17/12/17Bilbao v Estudiantes87-77
22/01/17Estudiantes v Bilbao87-83
07/10/16Bilbao v Estudiantes79-74
13/03/16Estudiantes v Bilbao81-70
19/12/15Bilbao v Estudiantes85-91
05/04/15Estudiantes v Bilbao83-77
30/11/14Bilbao v Estudiantes64-63
02/03/14Estudiantes v Bilbao86-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/21AGran Canaria94-97 OT
03/03/21AObradoiro CAB91-87
27/02/21AUnicaja77-91
10/02/21AGipuzkoa79-81
07/02/21HReal Madrid65-79
03/02/21HBasket Zaragoza73-79
29/12/20HTenerife64-90
20/12/20AMoraBanc Andorra73-81
13/12/20HValencia81-86
06/12/20ABilbao78-77
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/21HReal Betis86-84
27/02/21AGipuzkoa97-74
06/02/21HBarcelona73-90
30/01/21AObradoiro CAB72-80
27/01/21AKarsiyaka76-85
23/01/21HBasket Zaragoza73-96
17/01/21AMoraBanc Andorra70-72
12/01/21ABamberg75-90
09/01/21HValencia73-106
02/01/21HGipuzkoa81-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL27%
HomeLLLLL20%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %27%20%33%
Points / game79.479.379.4
Allowed / game85.082.187.4
Point differential-5.6-2.8-8.0
Avg total164.4161.4166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)0% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %5%0%8%
Bilbao
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW25%
HomeWLLLW25%
AwayWLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game78.977.480.3
Allowed / game86.285.886.6
Point differential-7.3-8.4-6.2
Avg total165.1163.2166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2322196%86.875.0+11.7
2 Barcelona2320387%87.473.5+13.9
3 Baskonia2419579%83.576.4+7.1
4 Tenerife2318578%88.279.4+8.7
5 Valencia2417771%86.980.3+6.6
6 San Pablo Burgos2316770%87.080.7+6.3
7 Joventut Badalona24141058%84.883.7+1.1
8 Unicaja24121250%85.482.2+3.2
9 Manresa24111346%82.887.1-4.3
10 MoraBanc Andorra22101245%78.578.5+0.0
11 Basket Zaragoza25101540%87.088.1-1.1
12 Gran Canaria2491538%78.384.9-6.5
13 Murcia2381535%80.784.6-3.9
14 Fuenlabrada2371630%81.184.3-3.2
15 Obradoiro CAB2371630%79.385.1-5.7
16 Estudiantes2261627%79.485.0-5.6
17 Bilbao2461825%78.986.2-7.3
18 Real Betis2351822%77.184.1-7.0
19 Gipuzkoa2351822%73.387.3-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estudiantes2618302195
Bilbao2023262089
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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