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Estudiantes vs Caceres Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 89-73
23-19 23-20 26-18 17-16
Position#4
Record22-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game76.8
vs
Position#17
Record6-25
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game84.4
SpainPrimera FEBRound 32· WiZink Center
Other2023-24
Meetings · Estudiantes v Caceres
28 Apr 2024
EST89
CACE73
30 Apr 2023
EST90
CACE78
27 Mar 2022
EST83
CACE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caceres winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstudiantes
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
57-77
57
77
-20
40avg 78
H03/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
88-114
88
114
-26
75avg 78
A08/03
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
W
98-83
98
83
+15
97avg 78
H12/03
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
L
65-75
65
75
-10
52avg 78
A16/03
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
L
71-92
71
92
-21
60avg 78
A23/03
Primera FEB
Castello
#15
W
95-79
95
79
+16
94avg 78
H31/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
L
83-90
83
90
-7
74avg 78
A05/04
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#9
W
88-73
88
73
+15
81avg 78
A09/04
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#6
W
90-81
90
81
+9
81avg 78
H14/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
81-67
81
67
+14
79avg 78
A20/04
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-14
19-22
14-21
15-20
23-38
29-21
18-16
18-39
18-25
33-25
20-16
27-17
20-9
7-20
16-25
22-21
17-23
23-21
17-20
14-28
24-11
18-17
26-19
27-32
22-21
15-19
20-23
26-27
20-31
24-13
21-12
23-17
21-25
31-14
19-17
19-25
23-22
12-18
26-8
20-19
164.7Avg total
81.6Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)84.176.8160.9+7.371%
Season at home (15)87.375.2162.5+12.173%
Season away (16)81.178.4159.4+2.769%
Last 10 (10)81.683.1164.7-1.550%
Last 5 (5)87.478.0165.4+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)82.786.0168.7-3.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)84.873.1157.9+11.880%
This opponent (Caceres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaceresSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaceres
Date
Competition
Melilla
#16
L
79-95
79
95
-16
69avg 63
A03/03
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
L
71-73
71
73
-2
62avg 63
H08/03
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#18
L
76-78
76
78
-2
63avg 63
A13/03
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
W
63-56
63
56
+7
53avg 63
H17/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
80-97
80
97
-17
69avg 63
A24/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
L
64-66
64
66
-2
54avg 63
H31/03
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
102-109 OT
102
109
-7
95avg 63
A06/04
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
L
71-97
71
97
-26
59avg 63
H10/04
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#13
L
71-89
71
89
-18
63avg 63
A14/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
L
71-77
71
77
-6
55avg 63
H19/04
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
21-23
18-28
20-20
22-13
10-18
18-21
21-21
17-21
20-10
24-20
15-27
18-14
11-16
12-8
22-18
18-25
21-19
16-18
25-35
8-20
20-17
16-18
20-11
25-17
18-21
23-21
18-25
21-19
19-23
16-24
15-31
21-21
13-25
19-28
18-15
20-13
21-26
14-13
16-25
158.5Avg total
74.8Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)74.384.4158.7-10.119%
Season at home (16)73.278.0151.2-4.838%
Season away (15)75.491.2166.6-15.80%
Last 10 (10)74.883.7158.5-8.910%
Last 5 (5)75.887.6163.4-11.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)73.784.7158.4-11.119%
vs Similar (4)82.082.5164.5-0.525%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -3.8-3.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -3.8-3.8
EstudiantesCaceres
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H03/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A08/03
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H12/03
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A16/03
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A23/03
Primera FEB
Castello
#15
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H31/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A05/04
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#9
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A09/04
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#6
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H14/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A20/04
Primera FEB
81.7Avg total
40.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.137.179.2+5.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.537.181.6+7.573%-
Last 30 away (15)39.737.276.9+2.547%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.981.7-0.130%-
Last 5 (5)42.038.280.2+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)40.640.881.4-0.230%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.935.378.2+7.675%-
This opponent (Caceres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaceresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melilla
#16
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A03/03
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H08/03
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#18
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A13/03
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H17/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A24/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H31/03
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A06/04
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H10/04
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#13
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A14/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H19/04
Primera FEB
74.9Avg total
36.4Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.840.777.5-3.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.439.376.7-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)36.242.078.2-5.820%-
Last 10 (10)36.438.574.9-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.240.477.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)36.340.977.2-4.627%-
vs Similar (4)40.039.079.0+1.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.321.2
50.1%
51.8%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.1
34.3%
33.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.513.5
69.2%
73.6%13.5
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cacerestheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Estudiantes wins
0
Caceres wins
DateGameScore
06/10/23Caceres v Estudiantes60-83
30/04/23Estudiantes v Caceres90-78
27/12/22Caceres v Estudiantes62-70
27/03/22Estudiantes v Caceres83-76
19/11/21Caceres v Estudiantes62-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24AEstela81-67
14/04/24HGipuzkoa90-81
09/04/24AReal Valladolid88-73
05/04/24ATizona Burgos83-90
31/03/24HCastello95-79
23/03/24AOurense71-92
16/03/24AAlicante65-75
12/03/24HFuenlabrada98-83
08/03/24ALeyma Coruna88-114
03/03/24HSan Pablo Burgos57-77
Cacereslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/24HOurense71-77
14/04/24AOviedo71-89
10/04/24HFuenlabrada71-97
06/04/24ASan Pablo Burgos102-109 OT
31/03/24HTizona Burgos64-66
24/03/24ALeyma Coruna80-97
17/03/24HHestia Menorca63-56
13/03/24AClavijo76-78
08/03/24HEstela71-73
03/03/24AMelilla79-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayLLLWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %71%73%69%
Points / game84.187.381.1
Allowed / game76.875.278.4
Point differential+7.3+12.1+2.7
Avg total160.9162.5159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%53%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)33% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Caceres
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeLWLLL38%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %19%38%0%
Points / game74.373.275.4
Allowed / game84.478.091.2
Point differential-10.1-4.8-15.8
Avg total158.7151.2166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%6%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)40% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna3225778%89.681.5+8.1
2 San Pablo Burgos3224875%87.576.8+10.7
3 Forca Lleida3224875%80.975.0+5.9
4 Tizona Burgos3223972%88.980.7+8.2
5 Estudiantes3122971%84.176.8+7.3
6 Gipuzkoa32211166%82.377.2+5.1
7 Alicante32191359%79.375.9+3.5
8 Real Valladolid32181456%77.779.3-1.6
9 Real Betis32151747%81.079.1+1.8
10 Fuenlabrada32151747%77.878.8-1.0
11 Hestia Menorca32141844%72.875.9-3.1
12 Ourense32131941%73.378.9-5.6
13 Oviedo32122038%78.880.2-1.4
14 Estela32112134%77.882.5-4.7
15 Melilla32102231%76.081.9-5.9
16 Castello32102231%78.786.3-7.7
17 Caceres3162519%74.384.4-10.1
18 Clavijo3252716%69.779.4-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estudiantes2323261789
Caceres1920181673
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