Oviedo vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 68-66

17-15 18-17 19-15 14-19

Position#14

Record6-17

FormLLLWL

Points / game68.7

Allowed / game77.5

Oviedo 🏆

Estudiantes

Position#7

Record16-7

FormWLWLL

Points / game79.2

Allowed / game73.2

Primera FEBRound 24

Other2022-23

Meetings · Oviedo v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oviedo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oviedo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

60-79

-19

A29/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

71-86

-15

H07/01

Primera FEB

Castello

71-75

-4

A13/01

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

62-69

-7

H21/01

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

63-57

H27/01

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

68-70

-2

A01/02

Primera FEB

Palencia

56-67

-11

H04/02

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

64-89

-25

A18/02

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

84-78

H05/03

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

65-76

-11

A10/03

Primera FEB

24-22

15-15

11-24

10-18

17-21

14-19

27-25

13-21

10-13

21-18

16-20

24-24

22-18

11-14

22-18

7-19

27-13

13-17

11-19

12-8

10-18

21-9

18-25

19-18

22-18

10-13

13-15

11-21

14-15

12-29

22-21

16-24

25-25

24-17

18-11

17-25

25-15

10-24

16-18

14-19

141.0Avg total

66.4Scored

74.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	68.7	77.5	146.2	-8.8	26%
Season at home (12)	69.2	72.8	142.0	-3.5	33%
Season away (11)	68.1	82.7	150.8	-14.6	18%
Last 10 (10)	66.4	74.6	141.0	-8.2	20%
Last 5 (5)	67.4	76.0	143.4	-8.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	66.1	78.9	145.0	-12.9	7%
vs Similar (15)	73.1	76.3	149.3	-3.2	47%
vs Weaker (1)	69.0	74.0	143.0	-5.0	0%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caceres

#15

70-62

A27/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

73-83

-10

H08/01

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

86-78

A14/01

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

75-55

+20

H20/01

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

94-75

+19

H29/01

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

86-76

+10

A01/02

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

66-74

-8

A05/02

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

75-64

+11

H17/02

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

75-81

-6

A05/03

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

75-78

-3

H12/03

Primera FEB

17-17

20-8

9-17

24-20

24-18

13-16

13-28

23-21

26-20

21-18

17-25

22-15

15-5

14-16

25-20

21-14

22-18

20-15

28-25

24-17

18-12

23-20

23-25

22-19

14-20

17-20

15-21

20-13

18-8

22-20

14-13

21-23

20-21

17-19

18-17

20-24

17-25

17-13

17-21

24-19

150.1Avg total

77.5Scored

72.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	79.2	73.2	152.3	+6.0	70%
Season at home (12)	80.4	69.8	150.2	+10.6	75%
Season away (11)	77.8	76.8	154.6	+1.0	64%
Last 10 (10)	77.5	72.6	150.1	+4.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	75.4	74.6	150.0	+0.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	72.5	81.0	153.5	-8.5	0%
vs Similar (9)	75.2	75.2	150.4	+0.0	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	78.5	67.3	145.8	+11.2	84%

This opponent (Oviedo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OviedoEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	20.2	38.5	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	19.5	40.1	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.0	20.9	36.9	-4.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	17.8	37.4	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.9	19.3	38.1	-0.4	36%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.2	20.9	39.1	-2.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	12.0	23.0	35.0	-11.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	16.5	36.0	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.9	16.2	35.1	+2.6	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.2	16.9	37.1	+3.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	16.4	35.5	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	17.2	34.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	17.0	39.5	+5.5	100%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.4	18.6	37.0	-0.1	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.6	15.5	35.1	+4.1	74%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.9	18.9	34.8	-3.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.1	17.5	32.5	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.8	20.3	37.1	-3.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.1	17.5	32.6	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	18.4	33.8	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	13.4	20.1	33.5	-6.8	21%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.1	17.7	35.9	+0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.7	36.2	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.4	16.5	34.8	+1.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.7	19.2	37.9	-0.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	16.5	34.9	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	11.5	20.5	32.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.7	18.9	38.6	+0.8	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	18.7	16.8	35.5	+1.9	68%	-

OviedoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

39-37

A29/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

31-40

-9

H07/01

Primera FEB

Castello

31-31

A13/01

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

33-32

H21/01

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

40-30

+10

H27/01

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

31-27

A01/02

Primera FEB

Palencia

32-31

H04/02

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

26-44

-18

A18/02

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

49-42

H05/03

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

35-39

-4

A10/03

Primera FEB

70.0Avg total

34.7Scored

35.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.2	39.1	73.3	-4.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.7	37.0	72.7	-1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.8	41.2	74.0	-8.4	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.7	35.3	70.0	-0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	36.6	71.2	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	32.2	39.4	71.6	-7.2	36%	-
vs Similar (15)	36.3	38.6	74.9	-2.3	47%	-
vs Weaker (1)	31.0	42.0	73.0	-11.0	0%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caceres

#15

37-25

+12

A27/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

37-34

H08/01

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

47-38

A14/01

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

29-21

H20/01

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

42-33

H29/01

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

41-32

A01/02

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

31-40

-9

A05/02

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

40-28

+12

H17/02

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

37-40

-3

A05/03

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

34-38

-4

H12/03

Primera FEB

70.4Avg total

37.5Scored

32.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	34.2	72.1	+3.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	37.2	32.7	69.9	+4.5	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.8	36.2	75.0	+2.7	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	32.9	70.4	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	35.6	72.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	34.0	37.5	71.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	38.1	37.4	75.6	+0.7	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	38.3	32.3	70.6	+5.9	74%	-

This opponent (Oviedo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	19.3	37.0	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	18.0	36.4	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	20.6	37.5	-3.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	19.6	37.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	18.0	35.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.1	19.9	37.0	-2.9	29%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.3	18.7	37.0	-0.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.4	18.7	40.1	+2.7	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.7	19.3	37.0	-1.6	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	21.2	39.1	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	19.4	36.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	22.5	39.5	-5.5	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.4	20.9	39.3	-2.4	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.7	17.7	38.4	+3.1	79%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	18.8	36.0	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.1	19.1	36.3	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	18.4	35.8	-1.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.3	19.7	34.0	-5.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	21.4	36.8	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	16.8	19.6	36.4	-2.8	21%	-
vs Similar (15)	17.5	18.4	35.9	-0.9	47%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	13.0	34.0	+8.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	17.4	36.8	+2.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.9	16.1	35.0	+2.9	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	18.5	40.6	+3.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	21.0	42.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.7	16.9	35.6	+1.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.5	17.3	36.8	+2.2	63%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.9	38.1	73.0	-3.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.5	37.1	72.7	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.3	39.0	73.3	-4.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.7	39.3	71.0	-7.6	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	39.4	72.2	-6.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	33.9	39.5	73.4	-5.6	21%	-
vs Similar (15)	35.7	37.1	72.9	-1.4	47%	-
vs Weaker (1)	38.0	32.0	70.0	+6.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	36.4	75.6	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.4	34.8	75.1	+5.6	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.7	38.5	76.2	-0.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	39.7	79.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	39.0	77.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	38.5	43.5	82.0	-5.0	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	37.1	37.8	74.9	-0.7	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	40.3	35.0	75.3	+5.3	68%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Oviedotheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	21.2	50.1%	51.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.1	34.3%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.5	69.2%	73.6%	13.5

They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.5	58.0%	51.8%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	10.8	43.2%	33.7%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.5	78.0%	73.6%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.0	51.0%	51.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.8	34.1%	33.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.5	72.8%	73.6%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.1	53.9%	51.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.9	40.4%	33.7%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.5%	73.6%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Oviedo wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
20/11/22	Estudiantes v Oviedo	90-60
20/05/22	Estudiantes v Oviedo	68-63
23/01/22	Oviedo v Estudiantes	67-75

Oviedolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/03/23	A	Forca Lleida	65-76
05/03/23	H	Iraurgi SB	84-78
18/02/23	A	San Pablo Burgos	64-89
04/02/23	H	Palencia	56-67
01/02/23	A	Caceres	68-70
27/01/23	H	Albacete	63-57
21/01/23	H	Estela	62-69
13/01/23	A	Castello	71-75
07/01/23	H	Gipuzkoa	71-86
29/12/22	A	MoraBanc Andorra	60-79

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/03/23	H	Almansa	75-78
05/03/23	A	Real Valladolid	75-81
17/02/23	H	Melilla	75-64
05/02/23	A	Leyma Coruna	66-74
01/02/23	A	Ourense	86-76
29/01/23	H	Forca Lleida	94-75
20/01/23	H	Iraurgi SB	75-55
14/01/23	A	San Pablo Burgos	86-78
08/01/23	H	Palencia	73-83
27/12/22	A	Caceres	70-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oviedo

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	26%
Home	LLWLW	33%
Away	LLLLL	18%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	26%	33%	18%
Points / game	68.7	69.2	68.1
Allowed / game	77.5	72.8	82.7
Point differential	-8.8	-3.5	-14.6
Avg total	146.2	142.0	150.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	17%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	0% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	4%	0%	9%

Estudiantes

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	70%
Home	LWWWL	75%
Away	WWWLL	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	70%	75%	64%
Points / game	79.2	80.4	77.8
Allowed / game	73.2	69.8	76.8
Point differential	+6.0	+10.6	+1.0
Avg total	152.3	150.2	154.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	58%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	50% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	MoraBanc Andorra	23	21	2	91%	83.2	69.7	+13.4
2	Palencia	24	20	4	83%	81.9	71.8	+10.2
3	Leyma Coruna	23	16	7	70%	84.0	76.0	+7.9
4	Estudiantes	23	16	7	70%	79.2	73.2	+6.0
5	Forca Lleida	24	16	8	67%	80.1	77.3	+2.8
6	Real Valladolid	23	15	8	65%	75.6	72.5	+3.1
7	Alicante	24	15	9	62%	75.7	75.2	+0.5
8	San Pablo Burgos	23	14	9	61%	80.4	75.4	+5.0
9	Gipuzkoa	23	13	10	57%	77.6	72.7	+4.8
10	Estela	23	12	11	52%	73.3	75.6	-2.3
11	Castello	24	11	13	46%	75.0	76.2	-1.2
12	Ourense	23	7	16	30%	73.0	79.3	-6.2
13	Almansa	23	7	16	30%	71.7	79.5	-7.8
14	Caceres	23	6	17	26%	71.9	78.3	-6.4
15	Oviedo	23	6	17	26%	68.7	77.5	-8.8
16	Albacete	23	5	18	22%	70.4	76.8	-6.4
17	Iraurgi SB	23	5	18	22%	72.1	80.7	-8.6
18	Melilla	23	4	19	17%	74.6	81.0	-6.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Oviedo	17	18	19	14	68
Estudiantes	15	17	15	19	66

← all games of the day

Oviedo vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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