Castello vs Real Valladolid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Mar 2024

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 80-84

14-18 22-18 25-21 19-27

Position#15

Record6-15

FormLWLLW

Points / game78.3

Allowed / game85.8

Castello

Real Valladolid 🏆

Position#9

Record13-8

FormLLLWW

Points / game80.0

Allowed / game79.1

Primera FEBRound 22

Other2023-24

Meetings · Castello v Real Valladolid

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Castello winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Real Valladolid winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Castello

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormCastello

Date

Competition

Real Betis

88-100

100

-12

85avg 71

H08/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

80-90

-10

72avg 71

H16/12

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

66-80

-14

59avg 71

A21/12

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

65-76

-11

60avg 71

A29/12

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

74-83

-9

65avg 71

H05/01

Primera FEB

Alicante

64-86

-22

55avg 71

A13/01

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

77-73

72avg 71

H19/01

Primera FEB

Real Betis

77-98

-21

72avg 71

A02/02

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

92-98

-6

86avg 71

H09/02

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

84-81

77avg 71

A16/02

Primera FEB

20-30

26-23

25-26

17-21

13-31

19-16

21-25

27-18

19-22

21-13

13-20

13-25

8-22

20-20

19-15

18-19

10-18

22-17

21-24

20-22

11-25

13-22

20-17

22-9

14-27

23-21

18-16

11-17

25-23

14-26

27-32

21-22

26-37

27-21

18-18

19-13

22-22

21-27

22-19

163.2Avg total

76.7Scored

86.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	78.3	85.8	164.1	-7.5	29%
Season at home (10)	81.2	84.1	165.3	-2.9	40%
Season away (11)	75.6	87.4	163.0	-11.7	18%
Last 10 (10)	76.7	86.5	163.2	-9.8	20%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	87.2	166.0	-8.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	79.4	87.2	166.6	-7.9	29%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	79.5	82.1	161.6	-2.6	50%
vs Weaker (3)	83.7	77.0	160.7	+6.7	67%

This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real Valladolid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormValladolid

Date

Competition

Clavijo

#18

77-69

66avg 69

A10/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

87-79

54avg 69

A15/12

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

73-76

-3

56avg 69

H20/12

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

66-83

-17

53avg 69

A30/12

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

87-72

+15

77avg 69

H06/01

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

77-99

-22

68avg 69

A12/01

Primera FEB

Alicante

69-84

-15

55avg 69

H20/01

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

81-84

-3

67avg 69

A04/02

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

99-72

+27

93avg 69

H10/02

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

84-79

74avg 69

H17/02

Primera FEB

17-23

29-11

18-12

13-23

21-23

29-20

16-11

21-25

16-14

17-19

16-27

24-16

9-19

19-20

12-22

26-22

21-18

25-19

23-19

18-16

21-35

16-18

17-16

23-30

19-20

14-16

12-24

24-24

18-14

23-20

18-25

22-25

19-15

19-17

29-15

32-25

26-18

26-17

16-18

16-26

159.7Avg total

80.0Scored

79.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	80.0	79.1	159.1	+0.9	62%
Season at home (11)	80.7	76.0	156.7	+4.7	73%
Season away (10)	79.2	82.6	161.8	-3.4	50%
Last 10 (10)	80.0	79.7	159.7	+0.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	83.6	165.6	-1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	77.2	82.3	159.5	-5.1	45%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	79.0	78.0	157.0	+1.0	67%
vs Weaker (7)	85.1	75.0	160.1	+10.1	86%

This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CastelloReal Valladolid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	21.0	40.0	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	20.7	40.5	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	21.3	39.5	-3.0	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	20.6	36.9	-4.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	16.6	35.2	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.4	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.8	20.9	39.7	-2.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.3	17.7	37.0	+1.7	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.4	40.2	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	21.7	40.1	-3.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.9	38.6	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	21.5	20.9	42.4	+0.5	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.7	19.7	38.3	-1.0	58%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.4	20.7	40.1	-1.3	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.1	40.4	-1.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	20.2	40.7	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	22.0	40.1	-3.9	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	22.3	42.9	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	26.8	46.4	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	19.9	21.9	41.9	-2.0	35%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	17.6	19.9	37.5	-2.3	10%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.7	20.3	42.0	+1.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	18.5	38.9	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	17.7	38.2	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	17.7	39.4	+4.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.3	18.1	37.4	+1.2	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	42%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.0	16.4	38.4	+5.6	71%	-

CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Betis

46-53

-7

H08/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

32-47

-15

H16/12

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

40-35

A21/12

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

28-42

-14

A29/12

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

32-35

-3

H05/01

Primera FEB

Alicante

31-47

-16

A13/01

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

36-36

H19/01

Primera FEB

Real Betis

36-40

-4

A02/02

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

47-59

-12

H09/02

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

41-35

A16/02

Primera FEB

79.8Avg total

36.9Scored

42.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	42.1	80.5	-3.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.4	40.9	81.3	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.4	43.3	79.7	-6.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	42.9	79.8	-6.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	43.4	81.6	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	39.1	43.5	82.6	-4.4	24%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	36.4	40.8	77.2	-4.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	41.0	38.0	79.0	+3.0	67%	-

This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real ValladolidLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Clavijo

#18

46-34

+12

A10/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

50-43

A15/12

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

33-33

H20/12

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

28-39

-11

A30/12

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

46-37

H06/01

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

37-53

-16

A12/01

Primera FEB

Alicante

33-36

-3

H20/01

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

41-34

A04/02

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

38-32

H10/02

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

52-35

+17

H17/02

Primera FEB

78.0Avg total

40.4Scored

37.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	38.8	79.1	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	36.7	78.6	+5.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	40.9	79.7	-2.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	37.6	78.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	38.0	78.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	40.7	39.0	79.7	+1.7	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	39.2	39.7	78.9	-0.4	42%	-
vs Weaker (7)	41.4	37.1	78.6	+4.3	86%	-

This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.5	43.1	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	20.9	44.0	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	22.2	42.3	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	22.7	42.4	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	23.4	43.0	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	20.1	23.0	43.1	-2.9	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	23.7	20.5	44.2	+3.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.0	16.7	39.7	+6.3	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	19.2	37.0	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	19.0	37.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	19.3	36.5	-2.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	18.9	36.6	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.6	38.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	15.7	21.7	37.5	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.1	19.0	37.1	-0.9	42%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.6	15.4	36.0	+5.1	86%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.8	40.3	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	19.6	39.7	+0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	22.0	40.9	-3.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.9	41.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.4	41.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	20.1	20.7	40.8	-0.6	41%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.4	20.5	38.9	-2.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.7	22.3	42.0	-2.7	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.4	41.5	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	19.9	40.6	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	20.9	42.3	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	23.2	45.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	26.0	49.4	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.6	20.5	40.2	-0.9	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	21.2	19.1	40.2	+2.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.1	22.4	45.6	+0.7	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	42.3	83.4	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.3	40.5	83.7	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.9	44.2	83.1	-5.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	43.6	83.4	-3.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	43.8	84.4	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	40.2	43.7	83.9	-3.5	41%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	42.1	41.0	83.1	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	42.7	39.0	81.7	+3.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	39.6	78.4	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.2	38.9	78.1	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	40.3	78.8	-1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	42.1	81.7	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	45.6	87.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	35.4	42.3	77.6	-6.9	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	39.2	38.1	77.3	+1.2	58%	-
vs Weaker (7)	43.7	37.9	81.6	+5.9	86%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Castello wins

Real Valladolid wins

Date	Game	Score
02/12/23	Real Valladolid v Castello	89-71
29/04/23	Real Valladolid v Castello	92-82
27/12/22	Castello v Real Valladolid	80-77
30/04/22	Real Valladolid v Castello	82-77
13/02/22	Castello v Real Valladolid	83-77
02/05/21	Real Valladolid v Castello	83-88
26/03/21	Castello v Real Valladolid	87-79

Castellolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/02/24	A	Caceres	84-81
09/02/24	H	Forca Lleida	92-98
02/02/24	A	Real Betis	77-98
19/01/24	H	Fuenlabrada	77-73
13/01/24	A	Alicante	64-86
05/01/24	H	Leyma Coruna	74-83
29/12/23	A	Melilla	65-76
21/12/23	A	Tizona Burgos	66-80
16/12/23	H	Gipuzkoa	80-90
08/12/23	H	Real Betis	88-100

Real Valladolidlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/02/24	H	Estela	84-79
10/02/24	H	Caceres	99-72
04/02/24	A	Gipuzkoa	81-84
20/01/24	H	Alicante	69-84
12/01/24	A	Ourense	77-99
06/01/24	H	Fuenlabrada	87-72
30/12/23	A	Oviedo	66-83
20/12/23	H	Melilla	73-76
15/12/23	A	Caceres	87-79
10/12/23	A	Clavijo	77-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Castello

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	29%
Home	LLLWL	40%
Away	LLLLW	18%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	29%	40%	18%
Points / game	78.3	81.2	75.6
Allowed / game	85.8	84.1	87.4
Point differential	-7.5	-2.9	-11.7
Avg total	164.1	165.3	163.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	10%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	5%	10%	0%

Real Valladolid

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	62%
Home	LWLWW	73%
Away	WWLLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	62%	73%	50%
Points / game	80.0	80.7	79.2
Allowed / game	79.1	76.0	82.6
Point differential	+0.9	+4.7	-3.4
Avg total	159.1	156.7	161.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	27%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	67% (3)	67% (3)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Estudiantes	21	17	4	81%	85.3	73.9	+11.4
2	Leyma Coruna	21	17	4	81%	89.9	81.1	+8.8
3	San Pablo Burgos	21	15	6	71%	86.8	77.0	+9.8
4	Tizona Burgos	21	15	6	71%	88.0	81.0	+6.9
5	Gipuzkoa	21	15	6	71%	81.7	75.5	+6.1
6	Alicante	21	14	7	67%	80.8	75.5	+5.3
7	Forca Lleida	21	14	7	67%	81.4	76.3	+5.0
8	Real Valladolid	21	13	8	62%	80.0	79.1	+0.9
9	Ourense	21	10	11	48%	72.0	78.2	-6.2
10	Real Betis	21	8	13	38%	80.8	78.5	+2.3
11	Oviedo	21	8	13	38%	79.4	81.0	-1.6
12	Melilla	21	8	13	38%	74.5	80.2	-5.8
13	Fuenlabrada	21	7	14	33%	76.0	79.2	-3.2
14	Estela	21	7	14	33%	78.6	82.4	-3.8
15	Hestia Menorca	21	7	14	33%	70.1	75.8	-5.7
16	Castello	21	6	15	29%	78.3	85.8	-7.5
17	Caceres	21	5	16	24%	74.0	84.7	-10.7
18	Clavijo	21	3	18	14%	65.1	77.1	-12.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Castello	14	22	25	19	80
Real Valladolid	18	18	21	27	84

← all games of the day

Castello vs Real Valladolid Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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