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Estudiantes vs Ourense Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 92-75
24-18 18-25 32-14 18-18
Position#4
Record10-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Position#11
Record6-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game80.4
SpainPrimera FEBRound 15
Other2025-26
Meetings · Estudiantes v Ourense
22 Nov 2026
EST v OURE
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
EST92
OURE75
08 Dec 2024
EST88
OURE81
07 Jan 2024
EST97
OURE56
11 Oct 2022
EST104
OURE86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ourense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstudiantes
Date
Competition
Alicante
#10
W
88-82
88
82
+6
74avg 80
H19/10
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
78-79
78
79
-1
74avg 80
H26/10
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
95-68
95
68
+27
90avg 80
A01/11
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
87-92
87
92
-5
74avg 80
H09/11
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
99-76
99
76
+23
95avg 80
H16/11
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
52-83
52
83
-31
no box
A22/11
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
68-64
68
64
+4
64avg 80
A07/12
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
102-85
102
85
+17
99avg 80
H14/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
96-86
96
86
+10
94avg 80
A17/12
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
86-77
86
77
+9
75avg 80
H28/12
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
26-20
19-23
19-11
18-24
21-16
21-17
18-22
24-10
20-20
23-13
28-25
27-16
20-22
19-17
21-37
24-28
30-15
22-17
23-16
18-22
11-20
12-19
11-22
17-12
21-15
18-15
12-22
22-15
32-26
12-28
36-16
22-16
15-18
28-27
31-25
27-13
16-24
26-21
17-19
164.3Avg total
85.1Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)86.779.8166.5+6.977%
Season at home (7)90.482.7173.1+7.771%
Season away (6)82.376.3158.7+6.083%
Last 10 (10)85.179.2164.3+5.970%
Last 5 (5)80.879.0159.8+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.288.5164.8-12.20%
vs Similar (7)89.988.7178.6+1.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.075.2162.2+11.889%
This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOurense
Date
Competition
Zamora
#9
W
94-84
94
84
+10
80avg 72
A11/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
L
66-87
66
87
-21
51avg 72
A25/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
84-80
84
80
+4
79avg 72
H01/11
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
91-65
91
65
+26
82avg 72
H08/11
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
76-83
76
83
-7
72avg 72
A16/11
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
99-77
99
77
+22
85avg 72
A23/11
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
98-75
98
75
+23
92avg 72
H06/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
77-94
77
94
-17
68avg 72
A17/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
77-89
77
89
-12
63avg 72
H20/12
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
73-75
73
75
-2
54avg 72
A28/12
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
25-18
26-19
19-25
19-18
22-26
4-10
21-33
23-20
26-19
18-18
17-23
24-15
25-20
24-22
18-8
22-20
19-20
16-19
19-24
24-17
23-13
19-23
33-24
32-19
24-16
24-22
18-18
23-19
25-29
21-29
8-17
12-27
21-20
20-19
24-23
23-24
16-13
16-22
18-16
164.4Avg total
83.5Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.880.4163.2+2.350%
Season at home (5)86.475.6162.0+10.880%
Season away (7)80.183.9164.0-3.729%
Last 10 (10)83.580.9164.4+2.650%
Last 5 (5)84.882.0166.8+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)78.185.5163.6-7.518%
vs Similar (10)81.785.9167.6-4.230%
vs Weaker (9)82.780.4163.1+2.256%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
EstudiantesOurense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alicante
#10
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H19/10
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H26/10
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A01/11
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H09/11
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H16/11
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A22/11
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A07/12
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H14/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A17/12
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H28/12
Primera FEB
81.5Avg total
43.5Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.239.784.9+5.577%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.240.589.7+8.793%-
Last 30 away (15)41.238.980.1+2.360%-
Last 10 (10)43.538.081.5+5.580%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.276.4+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.243.581.8-5.225%-
vs Similar (7)46.743.189.9+3.671%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.137.683.7+8.589%-
This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zamora
#9
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A11/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A25/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H01/11
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H08/11
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A16/11
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A23/11
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H06/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A17/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H20/12
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A28/12
Primera FEB
84.7Avg total
45.2Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.640.782.3+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.637.980.5+4.762%-
Last 30 away (17)40.842.983.6-2.141%-
Last 10 (10)45.239.584.7+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)44.639.484.0+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.440.579.9-1.245%-
vs Similar (10)43.343.186.4+0.250%-
vs Weaker (9)42.338.380.7+4.056%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.321.2
50.1%
51.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.1
34.3%
33.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.513.5
69.2%
73.4%13.5
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ourensetheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Estudiantes wins
1
Ourense wins
DateGameScore
08/03/25Ourense v Estudiantes73-79
08/12/24Estudiantes v Ourense88-81 OT
23/03/24Ourense v Estudiantes92-71
07/01/24Estudiantes v Ourense97-56
01/02/23Ourense v Estudiantes76-86
11/10/22Estudiantes v Ourense104-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25HZamora86-77
17/12/25AHestia Menorca96-86
14/12/25HTizona Burgos102-85
07/12/25APalmer Basket68-64
22/11/25APalencia52-83
16/11/25HFuenlabrada99-76
09/11/25HLeyma Coruna87-92
01/11/25ACartagena95-68
26/10/25HObradoiro CAB78-79
19/10/25HAlicante88-82
Ourenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25AOviedo73-75
20/12/25HGipuzkoa77-89
17/12/25ALeyma Coruna77-94
06/12/25HMelilla98-75
23/11/25ATizona Burgos99-77
16/11/25AFibwi Palma76-83
08/11/25HCartagena91-65
01/11/25HHestia Menorca84-80
25/10/25AEstela66-87
11/10/25AZamora94-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW77%
HomeLLWWW71%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %77%71%83%
Points / game86.790.482.3
Allowed / game79.882.776.3
Point differential+6.9+7.7+6.0
Avg total166.5173.1158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%29%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ourense
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %50%80%29%
Points / game82.886.480.1
Allowed / game80.475.683.9
Point differential+2.3+10.8-3.7
Avg total163.2162.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%60%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna1413193%92.678.1+14.5
2 Obradoiro CAB1311285%92.277.6+14.6
3 Estudiantes1310377%86.779.8+6.9
4 Alicante1410471%87.179.1+8.1
5 Palencia149564%82.973.2+9.7
6 Gipuzkoa148657%79.575.6+3.9
7 Hestia Menorca147750%82.277.9+4.4
8 Oviedo147750%83.480.6+2.9
9 Ourense126650%82.880.4+2.3
10 Fibwi Palma147750%77.981.1-3.3
11 Zamora157847%86.988.2-1.3
12 Fuenlabrada136746%80.285.2-5.0
13 Estela146843%77.686.1-8.5
14 Tizona Burgos1441029%84.589.1-4.6
15 Melilla1421214%76.187.1-11.1
16 Cartagena1421214%71.285.9-14.7
17 Palmer Basket1421214%69.086.1-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estudiantes2418321892
Ourense1825141875
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