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Estela vs Ourense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-66
18-19 26-22 10-4 33-21
Position#12
Record1-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game93.8
Estela 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#11
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game80.0
SpainPrimera FEBRound 5
Other2025-26
Meetings · Estela v Ourense
10 Feb 2027
ESTE v OURE
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
ESTE87
OURE66
26 Apr 2025
ESTE86
OURE77
14 Oct 2023
ESTE76
OURE80
05 Mar 2023
ESTE75
OURE69
12 Jan 2022
ESTE69
OURE56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ourense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstela
Date
Competition
Real Valladolid
#16
W
88-81
88
81
+7
81avg 66
A11/04
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
74-85
74
85
-11
72avg 66
H19/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
76-101
76
101
-25
65avg 66
A22/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
W
86-77
86
77
+9
80avg 66
H26/04
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
W
82-71
82
71
+11
78avg 66
A02/05
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
84-69
84
69
+15
84avg 66
H09/05
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
L
72-96
72
96
-24
59avg 66
H27/09
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
W
87-82
87
82
+5
82avg 66
A04/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
58-107
58
107
-49
40avg 66
H11/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
75-90
75
90
-15
72avg 66
A18/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
23-15
18-18
30-28
20-23
23-17
18-18
13-27
19-30
21-21
20-20
16-30
15-18
24-12
25-19
22-28
22-17
25-11
21-26
14-17
24-12
24-13
13-21
23-23
19-23
18-29
14-27
21-17
19-21
24-23
25-12
19-26
11-28
13-32
24-22
10-25
15-21
21-25
20-27
19-17
164.1Avg total
78.2Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.093.8166.8-20.825%
Season at home (2)65.0101.5166.5-36.50%
Season away (2)81.086.0167.0-5.050%
Last 10 (10)78.285.9164.1-7.750%
Last 5 (5)75.288.8164.0-13.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)73.088.2161.2-15.220%
vs Similar (9)83.278.8162.0+4.467%
vs Weaker (1)87.068.0155.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Ourense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOurense
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
74-81
74
81
-7
72avg 73
A06/04
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
96-77
96
77
+19
89avg 73
H12/04
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
L
71-90
71
90
-19
63avg 73
A18/04
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
W
94-84
94
84
+10
91avg 73
H23/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
L
77-86
77
86
-9
63avg 73
A26/04
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
W
95-84
95
84
+11
90avg 73
H03/05
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
78-87
78
87
-9
69avg 73
A09/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
76-87
76
87
-11
64avg 73
A27/09
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
82-69
82
69
+13
74avg 73
H04/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
94-84
94
84
+10
80avg 73
A11/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
14-19
16-23
26-26
25-17
24-21
26-24
21-15
15-31
24-30
18-20
14-9
30-17
20-30
24-22
20-15
18-15
12-24
19-25
28-22
25-23
25-16
22-18
23-27
23-24
21-25
20-22
14-16
29-17
15-21
15-20
17-29
17-9
23-16
23-25
19-19
24-22
25-18
26-19
19-25
166.6Avg total
83.7Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.080.0164.0+4.067%
Season at home (1)82.069.0151.0+13.0100%
Season away (2)85.085.5170.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)83.782.9166.6+0.850%
Last 5 (5)85.082.2167.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)80.387.4167.8-7.125%
vs Similar (11)81.185.5166.5-4.436%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)82.983.4166.3-0.657%
This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
EstelaOurense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Valladolid
#16
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A11/04
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H19/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A22/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H26/04
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A02/05
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H09/05
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H27/09
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A04/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
24-60
24
60
-36
H11/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A18/10
Primera FEB
80.8Avg total
39.7Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.840.278.0-2.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.938.278.1+1.767%-
Last 30 away (15)35.742.177.9-6.427%-
Last 10 (10)39.741.180.8-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.645.483.0-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)36.943.079.9-6.230%-
vs Similar (9)39.634.173.7+5.478%-
vs Weaker (1)42.037.079.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Ourense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#2
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A06/04
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H12/04
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
L
39-61
39
61
-22
A18/04
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H23/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A26/04
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H03/05
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A09/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A27/09
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H04/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A11/10
Primera FEB
83.5Avg total
42.7Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.982.4-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.139.180.2+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)40.044.484.4-4.438%-
Last 10 (10)42.740.883.5+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)45.438.283.6+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.241.780.8-2.550%-
vs Similar (11)42.143.385.4-1.245%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)40.440.180.6+0.343%-
This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Estela wins
2
Ourense wins
DateGameScore
26/04/25Estela v Ourense86-77
12/10/24Ourense v Estela93-65
14/04/24Ourense v Estela65-72
14/10/23Estela v Ourense76-80 OT
05/03/23Estela v Ourense75-69
29/10/22Ourense v Estela66-79
06/04/22Ourense v Estela70-76
12/01/22Estela v Ourense69-56
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25AFuenlabrada75-90
11/10/25HPalencia58-107
04/10/25AObradoiro CAB87-82
27/09/25HZamora72-96
09/05/25HCartagena84-69
02/05/25AZamora82-71
26/04/25HOurense86-77
22/04/25AEstudiantes76-101
19/04/25HSan Pablo Burgos74-85
11/04/25AReal Valladolid88-81
Ourenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25AZamora94-84
04/10/25HPalmer Basket82-69
27/09/25AAlicante76-87
09/05/25AGipuzkoa78-87
03/05/25HReal Valladolid95-84
26/04/25AEstela77-86
23/04/25HPalencia94-84
18/04/25AAlicante71-90
12/04/25HCastello96-77
06/04/25AFuenlabrada74-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estela
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game73.065.081.0
Allowed / game93.8101.586.0
Point differential-20.8-36.5-5.0
Avg total166.8166.5167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ourense
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game84.082.085.0
Allowed / game80.069.085.5
Point differential+4.0+13.0-0.5
Avg total164.0151.0170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Palencia440100%91.066.0+25.0
2 Leyma Coruna440100%89.872.5+17.2
3 Fuenlabrada440100%91.079.5+11.5
4 Estudiantes440100%91.081.8+9.2
5 Alicante32167%83.379.3+4.0
6 Ourense32167%84.080.0+4.0
7 Zamora42250%91.087.2+3.8
8 Obradoiro CAB42250%83.584.5-1.0
9 Cartagena42250%74.078.2-4.2
10 Fibwi Palma52340%76.881.0-4.2
11 Tizona Burgos41325%92.594.5-2.0
12 Gipuzkoa41325%80.284.2-4.0
13 Oviedo41325%82.587.5-5.0
14 Hestia Menorca41325%77.884.8-7.0
15 Estela41325%73.093.8-20.8
16 Palmer Basket3030%71.083.7-12.7
17 Melilla4040%73.287.2-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estela1826103387
Ourense192242166
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