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Estudiantes vs Ourense Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 11:00
Projected 89-77
Projected total 166.9
Scheduled
Position#2
Record7-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game77.4
Vs
86%
14%
■ EST 86%■ OURE 14%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#6
Record5-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game82.0
SpainPrimera FEBRound 9
Other2026-27
Meetings · Estudiantes v Ourense
22 Nov 2026
EST v OURE
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
EST92
OURE75
08 Dec 2024
EST88
OURE81
07 Jan 2024
EST97
OURE56
11 Oct 2022
EST104
OURE86
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Estudiantes host Ourense in the Primera FEB. Pythia makes Estudiantes the favourite at 86% and projects 89-77, about 167 points in all. Overtime chance: 3%. Estudiantes are 7-1 this season (89.8 scored, 77.4 allowed a game), form WWWLW; Ourense are 5-3 this season (85.2 scored, 82.0 allowed a game), form LLWWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes win
85.5%fair 1.17
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ourense win
14.5%fair 6.91
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 21:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstudiantes
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#5
W
79-71
79
71
+8
72avg 80
H06/06
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
97-100 OT
97
100
-3
92avg 80
H07/06
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#11
W
78-65
78
65
+13
72avg 80
H27/09
Primera FEB
Zamora
#12
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
A03/10
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
106-76
106
76
+30
108avg 80
H11/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
W
86-77
86
77
+9
77avg 80
H18/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
94-78
94
78
+16
89avg 80
A25/10
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
W
102-80
102
80
+22
no box
H01/11
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
71-73
71
73
-2
no box
A07/11
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
W
101-97 OT
101
97
+4
no box
A14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
28-16
20-18
13-14
6-12
28-24
31-21
15-23
12-9
18-24
26-16
22-16
24-22
13-29
22-10
21-12
27-24
29-16
25-21
25-15
21-22
14-26
27-12
24-17
18-20
26-26
25-16
25-16
21-30
20-17
30-13
31-20
12-16
17-13
18-27
24-17
22-32
19-12
27-23
20-21
168.4Avg total
89.4Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.877.4167.1+12.488%
Season at home (4)93.074.5167.5+18.5100%
Season away (4)86.580.2166.8+6.275%
Last 10 (10)89.479.0168.4+10.480%
Last 5 (5)90.881.0171.8+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.597.0179.5-14.50%
vs Similar (6)82.274.7156.8+7.583%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)86.977.0163.9+10.075%
This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOurense
Date
Competition
Melilla
#17
W
93-84
93
84
+9
86avg 69
A03/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
70-74
70
74
-4
65avg 69
H08/05
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
91-71
91
71
+20
79avg 69
H26/09
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
90-86
90
86
+4
79avg 69
A04/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
86-101
86
101
-15
76avg 69
H10/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
L
79-83
79
83
-4
70avg 69
H16/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
80-84
80
84
-4
64avg 69
A24/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
83-73
83
73
+10
no box
H31/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
86-84
86
84
+2
no box
A07/11
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#11
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
H14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
24-31
25-18
20-16
13-20
22-27
19-15
16-12
31-15
18-24
22-17
20-15
20-29
30-16
20-21
20-20
28-21
13-31
20-27
25-22
16-16
22-16
22-24
19-27
25-13
20-22
16-25
19-24
23-20
18-20
26-11
16-22
19-17
25-19
19-20
23-28
20-24
23-11
21-16
23-23
165.9Avg total
84.5Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.282.0167.2+3.262%
Season at home (5)85.280.4165.6+4.860%
Season away (3)85.384.7170.0+0.767%
Last 10 (10)84.581.4165.9+3.160%
Last 5 (5)83.079.6162.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)77.584.6162.1-7.114%
vs Similar (7)78.782.4161.1-3.743%
vs Weaker (9)81.477.4158.9+4.067%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 154.5
Over 154.5
77.3%
Under 154.5
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 159.5
Over 159.5
67.1%
Under 159.5
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 164.5
Over 164.5
55.3%
Under 164.5
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Estudiantes total 77
Over 77
90.1%
Under 77
9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estudiantes total 81
Over 81
81.1%
Under 81
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estudiantes total 85
Over 85
68.1%
Under 85
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ourense total 74
Over 74
63.0%
Under 74
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ourense total 78
Over 78
46.8%
Under 78
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ourense total 82
Over 82
31.4%
Under 82
68.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Estudiantes -3
EST -3
80.5%
OURE +3
19.5%
Best 5 market prices
EST
No market prices yet.
OURE
No market prices yet.
Spread Estudiantes 0
EST 0
85.5%
OURE 0
14.5%
Best 5 market prices
EST
No market prices yet.
OURE
No market prices yet.
Spread Estudiantes +3
EST +3
90.1%
OURE -3
9.9%
Best 5 market prices
EST
No market prices yet.
OURE
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +7.4+7.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +7.4+7.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
EstudiantesOurense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#5
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H06/06
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H07/06
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#11
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H27/09
Primera FEB
Zamora
#12
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A03/10
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H11/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H18/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A25/10
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H01/11
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A07/11
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A14/11
Primera FEB
80.6Avg total
39.3Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.941.682.4-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.438.979.3+1.450%-
Last 30 away (14)41.444.686.0-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)39.341.380.6-2.020%-
Last 5 (5)38.042.880.8-4.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.046.281.2-11.20%-
vs Similar (6)40.043.083.0-3.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.340.282.5+2.150%-
This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melilla
#17
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A03/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H08/05
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H26/09
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A04/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H10/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H16/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A24/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H31/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A07/11
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H14/11
Primera FEB
84.5Avg total
43.4Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.980.8-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.041.681.6-1.647%-
Last 30 away (13)39.939.979.8+0.062%-
Last 10 (10)43.441.184.5+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)42.235.677.8+6.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.842.180.9-3.343%-
vs Similar (7)40.141.982.0-1.743%-
vs Weaker (9)41.738.279.9+3.478%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.216.6
55.0%
53.0%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.513.4
38.8%
32.9%40.2
🏀 Free throws21.415.6
72.9%
74.2%15.6
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ourensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ourense: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.2
51.9%
53.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.3
30.5%
32.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws25.718.3
71.2%
74.2%18.3
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estudiantes
WLWWWWWWLW
Ourense
WWWLLLWWLW
#2
League position
#6
+17.7
Net rating
-5.1
121.5
Offensive rating
110.3
103.7
Defensive rating
115.4
56.7%
Effective FG%
49.6%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.41
38.8%
3-point %
30.5%
59.3%
Assist %
53.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence121.5 · 110.3Defence103.7 · 115.4Shooting56.7% · 49.6%3-point %38.8% · 30.5%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Estudiantes   ■ Ourense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Estudiantes wins
2
Ourense wins
DateGameScore
14/02/26Ourense v Estudiantes103-97
04/01/26Estudiantes v Ourense92-75
08/03/25Ourense v Estudiantes73-79
08/12/24Estudiantes v Ourense88-81 OT
23/03/24Ourense v Estudiantes92-71
07/01/24Estudiantes v Ourense97-56
01/02/23Ourense v Estudiantes76-86
11/10/22Estudiantes v Ourense104-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AGranada101-97 OT
07/11/26AEstela71-73
01/11/26HGran Canaria102-80
25/10/26AFibwi Palma94-78
18/10/26HPalencia86-77
11/10/26HGipuzkoa106-76
03/10/26AZamora80-73
27/09/26HCaja 8778-65
07/06/26HLeyma Coruna97-100 OT
06/06/26HOviedo79-71
Ourenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCaja 8787-74
07/11/26AFuenlabrada86-84
31/10/26HFibwi Palma83-73
24/10/26APalencia80-84
16/10/26HAlicante79-83
10/10/26HEstela86-101
04/10/26AGipuzkoa90-86
26/09/26HTizona Burgos91-71
08/05/26HOviedo70-74
03/05/26AMelilla93-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game89.893.086.5
Allowed / game77.474.580.2
Point differential+12.4+18.5+6.2
Avg total167.1167.5166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Ourense
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%60%67%
Points / game85.285.285.3
Allowed / game82.080.484.7
Point differential+3.2+4.8+0.7
Avg total167.2165.6170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alicante880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 Estudiantes87188%89.877.4+12.4
3 Palencia87188%82.573.0+9.5
4 Gran Canaria86275%91.076.5+14.5
5 Estela86275%82.676.8+5.9
6 Ourense85362%85.282.0+3.2
7 Palmer Basket74357%87.486.4+1.0
8 Granada84450%79.180.8-1.6
9 Oviedo84450%78.983.2-4.4
10 Albacete73443%79.484.0-4.6
11 Caja 8783538%75.677.8-2.1
12 Zamora83538%78.081.5-3.5
13 Fuenlabrada82625%77.980.4-2.5
14 Hestia Menorca82625%69.674.6-5.0
15 Cordoba82625%71.076.6-5.6
16 Tizona Burgos82625%85.493.4-8.0
17 Gipuzkoa82625%76.090.5-14.5
18 Fibwi Palma81712%78.089.8-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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