Penarol vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Feb 2016

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 81-86

25-19 21-19 24-19 11-29

Position#4

Record18-13

FormLWLWW

Points / game81.6

Allowed / game81.3

Penarol

Estudiantes 🏆

Position#11

Record16-14

FormLWLWW

Points / game74.8

Allowed / game81.2

Liga A

Other2015-16

Meetings · Penarol v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

#18

79-96

-17

A14/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

75-100

100

-25

A17/12

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

89-66

+23

H13/01

Liga A

La Union

90-98

-8

H15/01

Liga A

Argentino

#16

95-74

+21

H17/01

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

81-85

-4

A20/01

Liga A

Sionista

#20

82-73

A22/01

Liga A

Libertad

68-87

-19

A23/01

Liga A

Atenas

#14

83-77

H28/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

91-86

H30/01

Liga A

19-20

21-19

23-24

16-33

19-16

17-27

23-28

16-29

16-14

22-15

31-11

20-26

27-26

23-17

14-32

26-23

30-15

27-11

17-22

21-26

15-17

30-23

18-25

18-20

26-16

21-13

22-18

13-26

17-27

27-11

10-20

14-29

24-18

23-13

20-27

16-19

27-18

21-22

24-25

19-21

167.5Avg total

83.3Scored

84.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	81.6	81.3	162.9	+0.4	58%
Season at home (16)	85.4	78.7	164.1	+6.7	81%
Season away (15)	77.6	84.0	161.6	-6.4	33%
Last 10 (10)	83.3	84.2	167.5	-0.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	81.6	162.6	-0.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	79.5	88.5	168.0	-9.0	0%
vs Similar (26)	82.0	81.7	163.6	+0.3	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	81.5	79.0	160.5	+2.5	50%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gipuzkoa

#18

85-90

-5

H10/01

ACB

San Lorenzo

80-76

H12/01

Liga A

Murcia

70-83

-13

A17/01

ACB

Penarol

85-81

H20/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

61-70

-9

A22/01

Liga A

Gran Canaria

70-87

-17

H24/01

ACB

Obras Sanitarias

#12

85-83

A25/01

Liga A

Joventut Badalona

#13

58-75

-17

A31/01

ACB

Obras Sanitarias

#12

76-65

+11

H01/02

Liga A

Olimpico

86-80

H03/02

Liga A

15-18

20-27

26-20

24-25

23-19

21-17

19-20

17-20

11-13

25-22

16-22

18-26

17-15

23-30

25-18

20-18

8-9

17-17

24-20

12-24

19-27

12-15

18-24

21-21

28-27

16-23

14-16

27-17

15-15

11-17

20-25

12-18

11-15

12-16

24-16

29-18

22-25

25-9

23-21

16-25

154.6Avg total

75.6Scored

79.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	74.8	81.2	156.0	-6.4	53%
Season at home (16)	78.9	77.6	156.6	+1.3	75%
Season away (14)	70.1	85.3	155.4	-15.1	29%
Last 10 (10)	75.6	79.0	154.6	-3.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	75.0	78.0	153.0	-3.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	75.8	86.9	162.7	-11.2	35%
vs Similar (12)	74.1	79.2	153.3	-5.2	33%
vs Weaker (1)	85.0	90.0	175.0	-5.0	0%

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PenarolEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	18.9	40.3	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	18.4	41.0	+4.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	19.5	39.6	+0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	18.7	40.7	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.2	41.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	24.0	44.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (26)	21.6	18.7	40.3	+2.8	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	20.5	16.5	37.0	+4.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	19.4	36.8	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	19.4	38.3	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.5	19.5	35.0	-4.0	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	18.3	35.2	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.8	40.8	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.5	19.8	37.4	-2.3	29%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.2	19.0	36.2	-1.8	42%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	18.0	33.0	-3.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.3	40.3	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	19.3	39.9	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	21.5	40.9	-2.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	17.1	40.3	+6.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	16.4	40.8	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	14.0	27.5	41.5	-13.5	0%	-
vs Similar (26)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.1	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	25.5	18.0	43.5	+7.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.4	37.7	-1.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.3	18.8	38.1	+0.5	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	20.1	37.2	-2.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	19.3	37.5	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	16.0	31.2	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.5	20.2	38.7	-1.8	41%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.9	17.6	35.5	+0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	27.0	47.0	-7.0	0%	-

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

#18

40-39

A14/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

36-43

-7

A17/12

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

38-29

H13/01

Liga A

La Union

50-43

H15/01

Liga A

Argentino

#16

57-26

+31

H17/01

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

45-40

A20/01

Liga A

Sionista

#20

47-29

+18

A22/01

Liga A

Libertad

44-38

A23/01

Liga A

Atenas

#14

47-31

+16

H28/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

48-40

H30/01

Liga A

81.0Avg total

45.2Scored

35.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	39.3	80.7	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.1	37.8	80.9	+5.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.4	41.0	80.4	-1.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.2	35.8	81.0	+9.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	35.6	81.8	+10.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	34.0	51.5	85.5	-17.5	0%	-
vs Similar (26)	41.6	38.7	80.3	+2.9	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	46.0	34.5	80.5	+11.5	100%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gipuzkoa

#18

35-45

-10

H10/01

ACB

San Lorenzo

44-36

H12/01

Liga A

Murcia

36-35

A17/01

ACB

Penarol

40-45

-5

H20/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

25-26

-1

A22/01

Liga A

Gran Canaria

31-42

-11

H24/01

ACB

Obras Sanitarias

#12

44-50

-6

A25/01

Liga A

Joventut Badalona

#13

26-32

-6

A31/01

ACB

Obras Sanitarias

#12

23-31

-8

H01/02

Liga A

Olimpico

47-34

+13

H03/02

Liga A

72.7Avg total

35.1Scored

37.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.6	38.8	74.5	-3.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.2	38.2	76.4	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	32.6	39.6	72.2	-6.9	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.1	37.6	72.7	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	37.8	72.0	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	36.0	40.1	76.1	-4.1	35%	-
vs Similar (12)	35.2	36.6	71.8	-1.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	35.0	45.0	80.0	-10.0	0%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.9	38.3	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	17.7	38.8	+3.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	20.4	37.7	-3.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	23.2	43.4	-3.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	23.0	41.8	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	15.0	31.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (26)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	20.0	21.5	41.5	-1.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	22.0	40.4	-3.7	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	21.7	41.2	-2.1	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	22.4	39.4	-5.5	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.2	41.1	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.4	40.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.1	22.4	39.4	-5.3	12%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.5	21.8	41.2	-2.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	26.0	20.0	46.0	+6.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	23.3	43.6	-3.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	22.4	42.3	-2.6	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	24.3	45.1	-3.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	25.2	43.1	-7.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	23.0	39.0	-7.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	29.0	22.0	51.0	+7.0	50%	-
vs Similar (26)	20.0	23.4	43.5	-3.4	31%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	15.5	23.0	38.5	-7.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	22.0	42.5	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	20.9	42.5	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	23.3	42.6	-4.0	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.2	40.8	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.8	40.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	21.1	22.6	43.7	-1.5	35%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.4	20.9	40.3	-1.5	42%	-
vs Weaker (1)	24.0	25.0	49.0	-1.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	42.2	81.9	-2.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.9	40.1	81.1	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.2	44.6	82.9	-6.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	48.4	86.5	-10.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	46.0	80.8	-11.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	45.5	37.0	82.5	+8.5	100%	-
vs Similar (26)	39.5	42.5	82.0	-2.9	35%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	35.5	44.5	80.0	-9.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	44.0	82.9	-5.2	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.2	42.6	83.8	-1.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.2	45.7	81.9	-9.5	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	41.4	81.9	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	40.2	81.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	38.2	44.9	83.1	-6.8	18%	-
vs Similar (12)	38.9	42.7	81.6	-3.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	50.0	45.0	95.0	+5.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penarol wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
20/01/16	Estudiantes v Penarol	85-81
31/03/15	Estudiantes v Penarol	75-65
04/01/15	Penarol v Estudiantes	85-58
22/03/14	Estudiantes v Penarol	93-90
18/01/14	Penarol v Estudiantes	80-62

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/01/16	H	Boca Juniors	91-86
28/01/16	H	Atenas	83-77
23/01/16	A	Libertad	68-87
22/01/16	A	Sionista	82-73
20/01/16	A	Estudiantes	81-85
17/01/16	H	Argentino	95-74
15/01/16	H	La Union	90-98
13/01/16	H	Instituto de Cordoba	89-66
17/12/15	A	San Lorenzo	75-100
14/12/15	A	Boca Juniors	79-96

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/02/16	H	Olimpico	86-80
01/02/16	H	Obras Sanitarias	76-65
31/01/16	A	Joventut Badalona	58-75
25/01/16	A	Obras Sanitarias	85-83
24/01/16	H	Gran Canaria	70-87
22/01/16	A	Boca Juniors	61-70
20/01/16	H	Penarol	85-81
17/01/16	A	Murcia	70-83
12/01/16	H	San Lorenzo	80-76
10/01/16	H	Gipuzkoa	85-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	58%
Home	WLWWW	81%
Away	LLLWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	16	15
Win %	58%	81%	33%
Points / game	81.6	85.4	77.6
Allowed / game	81.3	78.7	84.0
Point differential	+0.4	+6.7	-6.4
Avg total	162.9	164.1	161.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	38%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	100% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

Estudiantes

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	53%
Home	WWWWW	75%
Away	LLLLW	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	16	14
Win %	53%	75%	29%
Points / game	74.8	78.9	70.1
Allowed / game	81.2	77.6	85.3
Point differential	-6.4	+1.3	-15.1
Avg total	156.0	156.6	155.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	13%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	88% (8)	83% (6)	100% (2)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpico	33	23	10	70%	83.2	77.6	+5.5
2	Gimnasia	30	18	12	60%	82.2	75.7	+6.5
3	Obras Sanitarias	31	18	13	58%	84.2	82.9	+1.3
4	Penarol	31	18	13	58%	81.6	81.3	+0.4
5	San Lorenzo	35	20	15	57%	85.7	80.4	+5.2
6	Libertad	35	20	15	57%	81.6	78.1	+3.5
7	La Union	34	19	15	56%	80.9	79.6	+1.4
8	San Martin	29	16	13	55%	88.3	84.7	+3.6
9	Quimsa	29	16	13	55%	80.2	77.2	+3.0
10	Estudiantes	30	16	14	53%	74.8	81.2	-6.4
11	Regatas	30	15	15	50%	81.0	80.1	+0.9
12	Boca Juniors	32	15	17	47%	80.2	80.5	-0.3
13	Instituto de Cordoba	33	15	18	45%	74.6	75.1	-0.5
14	Ferro	32	14	18	44%	76.6	79.2	-2.6
15	Weber Bahia	33	14	19	42%	73.9	78.8	-4.9
16	Lanus	31	13	18	42%	79.4	81.0	-1.7
17	Sionista	30	12	18	40%	77.7	81.8	-4.1
18	Atenas	34	13	21	38%	76.4	79.4	-3.0
19	Argentino	30	11	19	37%	77.6	82.4	-4.9
20	Quilmes	32	11	21	34%	78.5	82.1	-3.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Penarol	25	21	24	11	81
Estudiantes	19	19	19	29	86

← all games of the day

Penarol vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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