Penarol vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Dec 2016

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 93-101

10-31 21-28 35-19 27-23

Position#15

Record10-12

FormLWLLW

Points / game73.6

Allowed / game76.2

Penarol

Estudiantes 🏆

Position#3

Record14-6

FormLWWLW

Points / game83.4

Allowed / game77.0

Liga A

Other2016-17

Meetings · Penarol v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

59-89

-30

A12/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

#11

62-82

-20

A13/11

Liga A

Argentino

#10

70-71

-1

H17/11

Liga A

San Lorenzo

82-80

H20/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

#11

75-70

H23/11

Liga A

Quilmes

#14

60-69

-9

A29/11

Liga A

La Union

#18

80-67

+13

H04/12

Liga A

Argentino

#10

65-69

-4

A09/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

70-78

-8

A10/12

Liga A

Atenas

#16

85-75

+10

H14/12

Liga A

15-20

16-18

17-24

11-27

15-21

12-25

16-22

19-14

21-9

12-24

18-22

19-16

16-19

23-14

22-27

21-20

21-15

14-19

11-20

29-16

12-13

18-22

11-15

19-19

30-18

17-22

14-17

19-10

18-12

17-20

11-16

19-21

15-19

17-22

20-19

18-18

23-22

19-17

19-16

24-20

145.8Avg total

70.8Scored

75.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	73.6	76.2	149.8	-2.6	45%
Season at home (11)	80.3	73.7	154.0	+6.5	73%
Season away (11)	66.9	78.6	145.5	-11.7	18%
Last 10 (10)	70.8	75.0	145.8	-4.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	72.0	71.6	143.6	+0.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	80.3	86.0	166.3	-5.7	67%
vs Similar (27)	73.9	76.4	150.3	-2.5	41%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Joventut Badalona

#13

83-71

+12

H13/11

ACB

Libertad

82-84

-2

A14/11

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

80-74

H19/11

Liga A

Barcelona

80-92

-12

A20/11

ACB

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

86-77

H26/11

Liga A

Gran Canaria

78-86

-8

H26/11

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

87-85

H04/12

ACB

Regatas

94-81

+13

H08/12

Liga A

Baskonia

77-82

-5

A11/12

ACB

Quimsa

#12

100-77

100

+23

H13/12

Liga A

14-13

22-25

26-13

21-20

19-17

18-23

16-16

29-28

22-20

16-14

19-16

23-24

22-28

10-23

17-20

31-21

27-18

9-15

22-20

28-24

22-18

20-23

16-26

20-19

27-19

22-16

25-18

13-32

25-16

18-24

21-28

30-13

13-24

22-19

23-12

19-27

20-11

20-27

25-23

35-16

165.6Avg total

84.7Scored

80.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	83.4	77.0	160.4	+6.4	70%
Season at home (11)	86.3	74.5	160.8	+11.7	91%
Season away (9)	79.9	80.0	159.9	-0.1	44%
Last 10 (10)	84.7	80.9	165.6	+3.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	87.2	82.2	169.4	+5.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	79.0	87.4	166.4	-8.4	0%
vs Similar (15)	84.5	77.7	162.2	+6.9	73%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	79.1	75.5	154.6	+3.6	60%

This opponent (Penarol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PenarolEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	17.5	37.0	+2.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	16.9	38.4	+4.6	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	18.1	35.9	-0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	16.8	35.4	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	16.8	36.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	17.7	20.0	37.7	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (27)	19.7	17.2	37.0	+2.5	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	17.7	38.0	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.6	17.8	39.4	+3.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.4	17.7	36.1	+0.7	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	18.4	39.5	+2.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	17.6	39.0	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.0	21.6	39.6	-3.6	20%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.9	16.1	36.9	+4.8	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	20.4	18.3	38.7	+2.1	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	17.6	35.2	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.0	16.7	34.7	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.2	18.4	35.6	-1.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	20.3	36.8	-3.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	20.6	38.2	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	20.0	17.0	37.0	+3.0	67%	-
vs Similar (27)	17.3	17.7	35.0	-0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	19.4	37.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.6	18.2	36.9	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.3	20.9	37.2	-4.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	20.9	38.6	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.8	42.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.4	20.8	39.2	-2.4	40%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.2	19.9	39.1	-0.7	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	14.9	18.0	32.9	-3.1	30%	-

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

31-38

-7

A12/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

#11

27-46

-19

A13/11

Liga A

Argentino

#10

33-33

H17/11

Liga A

San Lorenzo

39-33

H20/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

#11

35-34

H23/11

Liga A

Quilmes

#14

30-35

-5

A29/11

Liga A

La Union

#18

47-40

H04/12

Liga A

Argentino

#10

35-32

A09/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

32-41

-9

A10/12

Liga A

Atenas

#16

42-39

H14/12

Liga A

72.2Avg total

35.1Scored

37.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	35.1	72.2	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.5	33.6	73.1	+5.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.0	36.5	71.5	-1.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.1	37.1	72.2	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	37.4	74.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	37.7	37.0	74.7	+0.7	67%	-
vs Similar (27)	37.0	34.9	72.0	+2.1	48%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Joventut Badalona

#13

36-38

-2

H13/11

ACB

Libertad

37-40

-3

A14/11

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

38-34

H19/11

Liga A

Barcelona

32-51

-19

A20/11

ACB

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

36-33

H26/11

Liga A

Gran Canaria

42-41

H26/11

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

49-35

+14

H04/12

ACB

Regatas

43-40

H08/12

Liga A

Baskonia

35-43

-8

A11/12

ACB

Quimsa

#12

40-38

H13/12

Liga A

78.1Avg total

38.8Scored

39.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	37.1	75.0	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.3	36.0	76.3	+4.3	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	34.7	38.6	73.3	-3.9	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	39.3	78.1	-0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	39.4	81.2	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	36.4	42.4	78.8	-6.0	40%	-
vs Similar (15)	40.1	35.9	76.0	+4.1	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	35.3	36.3	71.6	-1.0	60%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	20.6	38.4	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.3	20.1	39.4	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.6	21.0	37.6	-4.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.9	19.8	35.7	-3.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	16.6	31.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	21.7	23.3	45.0	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar (27)	17.4	20.3	37.7	-2.8	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.1	41.4	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.6	21.4	44.0	+1.3	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.4	18.5	37.9	+0.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.4	43.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.8	23.0	44.8	-1.2	40%	-
vs Similar (15)	21.7	19.5	41.3	+2.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.6	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.7	41.2	-2.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.8	21.9	44.6	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.8	21.5	38.2	-4.8	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.1	37.9	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.6	37.4	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	21.0	25.7	46.7	-4.7	67%	-
vs Similar (27)	19.4	21.2	40.6	-1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	21.3	44.0	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.5	20.7	43.2	+1.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.9	22.1	45.0	+0.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.9	22.4	47.3	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	21.4	44.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.8	22.0	42.8	-1.2	40%	-
vs Similar (15)	22.7	22.2	44.9	+0.5	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	23.6	19.6	43.2	+4.0	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	42.2	79.7	-4.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.1	41.9	84.0	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.4	42.5	75.9	-9.1	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	37.9	73.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	34.2	69.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	42.7	49.0	91.7	-6.3	33%	-
vs Similar (27)	36.9	41.5	78.3	-4.6	30%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.9	41.4	85.4	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	45.2	42.1	87.2	+3.1	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.3	40.6	82.9	+1.7	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.9	41.6	87.5	+4.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	42.8	88.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	42.6	45.0	87.6	-2.4	40%	-
vs Similar (15)	44.5	41.7	86.2	+2.7	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	43.8	39.2	83.0	+4.6	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penarol wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
06/02/16	Penarol v Estudiantes	81-86
20/01/16	Estudiantes v Penarol	85-81
31/03/15	Estudiantes v Penarol	75-65
04/01/15	Penarol v Estudiantes	85-58
22/03/14	Estudiantes v Penarol	93-90
18/01/14	Penarol v Estudiantes	80-62

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/12/16	H	Atenas	85-75
10/12/16	A	Weber Bahia	70-78
09/12/16	A	Argentino	65-69
04/12/16	H	La Union	80-67
29/11/16	A	Quilmes	60-69
23/11/16	H	Gimnasia	75-70
20/11/16	H	San Lorenzo	82-80
17/11/16	H	Argentino	70-71
13/11/16	A	Gimnasia	62-82
12/11/16	A	San Lorenzo	59-89

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/12/16	H	Quimsa	100-77
11/12/16	A	Baskonia	77-82
08/12/16	H	Regatas	94-81
04/12/16	H	MoraBanc Andorra	87-85
26/11/16	H	Gran Canaria	78-86
26/11/16	H	Atletico Echague Parana	86-77
20/11/16	A	Barcelona	80-92
19/11/16	H	Quimsa	80-74
14/11/16	A	Libertad	82-84
13/11/16	H	Joventut Badalona	83-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol

Liga A 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	45%
Home	LWWWW	73%
Away	LLLLL	18%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	45%	73%	18%
Points / game	73.6	80.3	66.9
Allowed / game	76.2	73.7	78.6
Point differential	-2.6	+6.5	-11.7
Avg total	149.8	154.0	145.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	36%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	67% (6)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Estudiantes

Liga A 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	70%
Home	WWWWW	91%
Away	LWWLL	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	11	9
Win %	70%	91%	44%
Points / game	83.4	86.3	79.9
Allowed / game	77.0	74.5	80.0
Point differential	+6.4	+11.7	-0.1
Avg total	160.4	160.8	159.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	64%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	-	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	22	17	5	77%	84.4	71.1	+13.3
2	San Martin	22	17	5	77%	81.8	74.8	+7.0
3	Estudiantes	20	14	6	70%	83.4	77.0	+6.4
4	Ferro	21	14	7	67%	80.0	75.3	+4.6
5	Weber Bahia	20	12	8	60%	73.8	73.0	+0.8
6	Regatas	22	13	9	59%	84.3	81.7	+2.6
7	Quimsa	23	13	10	57%	79.9	77.0	+2.8
8	Gimnasia	21	11	10	52%	81.0	79.9	+1.1
9	Argentino	21	11	10	52%	73.8	75.0	-1.1
10	Instituto de Cordoba	23	12	11	52%	78.8	80.4	-1.6
11	Olimpico	22	11	11	50%	78.7	74.8	+3.9
12	Obras Sanitarias	22	11	11	50%	82.0	80.1	+1.9
13	Penarol	22	10	12	45%	73.6	76.2	-2.6
14	La Union	22	10	12	45%	73.7	78.0	-4.2
15	Libertad	22	9	13	41%	80.6	80.0	+0.5
16	Quilmes	22	9	13	41%	74.1	78.6	-4.5
17	Atenas	21	8	13	38%	78.4	78.9	-0.5
18	Boca Juniors	22	6	16	27%	74.3	81.3	-7.0
19	Hispano Americano	21	5	16	24%	74.1	82.6	-8.4
20	Atletico Echague Parana	21	3	18	14%	73.8	89.2	-15.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Penarol	10	21	35	27	93
Estudiantes	31	28	19	23	101

← all games of the day

Penarol vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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