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Murray State vs Evansville Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 74-58
27-24 47-34
Position#182
Record14-13
FormWLLLW
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Position#365
Record5-23
FormLLWLL
Points / game62.6
Allowed / game75.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Murray State v Evansville
09 Jan 2027
MURR v EVAN
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
MURR88
EVAN75
06 Mar 2025
MURR74
EVAN53
03 Dec 2024
MURR63
EVAN61
10 Feb 2024
MURR73
EVAN70
18 Feb 2023
MURR74
EVAN58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Evansville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H14/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A18/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H21/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A25/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H28/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H02/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
56-99
56
99
-43
A04/02
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
68-92
68
92
-24
H08/02
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
48-83
48
83
-35
A11/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A16/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-28
42-36
30-34
35-46
36-36
46-37
30-34
34-34
37-35
37-36
49-43
34-39
28-40
28-59
39-55
29-37
21-30
27-53
40-35
36-40
148.4Avg total
69.7Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)70.172.7142.9-2.652%
Season at home (12)72.968.2141.2+4.775%
Season away (15)67.976.3144.2-8.333%
Last 10 (10)69.778.7148.4-9.050%
Last 5 (5)66.286.2152.4-20.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)67.478.4145.8-11.031%
vs Similar (10)70.571.0141.5-0.560%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)76.665.4142.0+11.186%
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#306
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H14/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A18/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
61-97
61
97
-36
H21/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
64-73
64
73
-9
H26/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A29/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
65-83
65
83
-18
H02/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
61-70
61
70
-9
A04/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H09/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H12/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
63-95
63
95
-32
A16/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-34
41-42
30-42
40-36
34-55
27-42
32-36
32-37
28-43
41-38
36-37
29-46
30-29
31-41
43-26
28-33
27-30
33-36
28-46
35-49
143.1Avg total
65.3Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)62.675.3137.9-12.718%
Season at home (15)63.271.3134.5-8.127%
Season away (13)61.879.9141.8-18.18%
Last 10 (10)65.377.8143.1-12.510%
Last 5 (5)64.074.6138.6-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)63.075.9138.9-12.917%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: -6.2-6.22nd half2nd half: -6.9-6.92nd half: -6.3-6.3
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: -6.2-6.22nd half2nd half: -6.9-6.92nd half: -6.3-6.3
Murray StateEvansville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H14/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A18/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H21/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A25/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H28/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H02/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A04/02
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H08/02
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
21-30
21
30
-9
A11/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A16/02
NCAA
71.9Avg total
34.9Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.033.866.8-0.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.034.169.1+0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)31.033.564.5-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)34.937.071.9-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.440.676.0-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.136.268.3-4.231%-
vs Similar (10)32.133.465.5-1.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)36.029.765.7+6.343%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#306
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H14/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A18/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
34-55
34
55
-21
H21/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H26/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A29/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H02/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A04/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H09/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H12/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A16/02
NCAA
69.4Avg total
31.6Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.136.866.0-7.720%-
Last 30 at home (16)29.736.065.7-6.312%-
Last 30 away (14)28.537.866.3-9.329%-
Last 10 (10)31.637.869.4-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)32.833.666.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)29.136.866.0-7.720%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Murray State wins
1
Evansville wins
DateGameScore
01/01/23Evansville v Murray State61-78
22/12/19Evansville v Murray State78-76 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/23AIllinois State76-75
11/02/23ABradley48-83
08/02/23HDrake68-92
04/02/23AIndiana State56-99
02/02/23HBelmont83-82
28/01/23HMissouri State74-71
25/01/23ASouthern Illinois64-68
21/01/23HIndiana State82-73
18/01/23ABelmont65-80
14/01/23HIllinois (Chi.)81-64
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/23ABelmont63-95
12/02/23HMissouri State60-66
09/02/23HNorthern Iowa71-59
04/02/23AIllinois (Chi.)61-70
02/02/23HIndiana State65-83
29/01/23AValparaiso69-81
26/01/23HBelmont64-73
21/01/23HDrake61-97
18/01/23ASouthern Illinois70-78
14/01/23HValparaiso69-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW52%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %52%75%33%
Points / game70.172.967.9
Allowed / game72.768.276.3
Point differential-2.6+4.7-8.3
Avg total142.9141.2144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%17%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)80% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %7%8%7%
Evansville
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL18%
HomeLLLWL27%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %18%27%8%
Points / game62.663.261.8
Allowed / game75.371.379.9
Point differential-12.7-8.1-18.1
Avg total137.9134.5141.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%13%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2822679%76.165.3+10.9
2 Bradley2820871%72.161.6+10.4
3 Southern Illinois2820871%66.561.9+4.6
4 Indiana State2920969%78.968.3+10.6
5 Belmont2819968%76.070.4+5.6
6 Murray State27141352%70.172.7-2.6
7 Northern Iowa27121544%70.269.2+1.0
8 Valparaiso28111739%69.373.2-3.9
9 Illinois (Chi.)28101836%66.871.5-4.6
10 Illinois State29101934%67.070.5-3.6
11 Evansville2852318%62.675.3-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State274774
Evansville243458
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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