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Western Michigan vs Ball State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 78-68
36-29 42-39
Position#345
Record6-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game74.5
Western Michigan 🏆
USA
vs
Ball State
USA
Position#103
Record19-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game69.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Western Michigan v Ball State
16 Jan 2027
WEST v BALL
upcoming
03 Mar 2026
WEST71
BALL74
03 Feb 2024
WEST67
BALL77
18 Feb 2023
WEST78
BALL68
04 Mar 2022
WEST63
BALL64
22 Dec 2020
WEST68
BALL76
08 Feb 2020
WEST68
BALL64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#296
W
108-92
108
92
+16
H14/01
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
70-71
70
71
-1
A18/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
55-63
55
63
-8
H21/01
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A25/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
L
69-70
69
70
-1
A29/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
L
59-73
59
73
-14
H01/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
L
76-85
76
85
-9
H04/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
78-85
78
85
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
L
53-81
53
81
-28
A11/02
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
58-82
58
82
-24
H15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-50
69-42
29-31
41-40
30-32
25-31
35-39
41-49
33-25
36-45
24-36
35-37
27-39
49-46
40-43
38-42
27-35
26-46
23-50
35-32
149.2Avg total
70.2Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)70.174.5144.6-4.523%
Season at home (12)71.468.6140.0+2.842%
Season away (14)68.979.6148.6-10.77%
Last 10 (10)70.279.0149.2-8.810%
Last 5 (5)64.881.2146.0-16.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)65.577.9143.5-12.46%
vs Similar (8)71.475.4146.8-4.038%
vs Weaker (3)81.367.3148.7+14.067%
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#122
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H14/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H18/01
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
65-86
65
86
-21
A20/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
L
65-91
65
91
-26
H25/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
87-69
87
69
+18
A28/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
W
69-60
69
60
+9
A01/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
91-90 OT
91
90
+1
H03/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
65-51
65
51
+14
A08/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
W
93-72
93
72
+21
H11/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
47-30
28-31
31-29
40-41
28-45
37-41
27-45
38-46
49-33
38-36
40-26
29-34
37-40
41-38
37-31
28-20
49-33
44-39
43-33
44-44
149.5Avg total
76.8Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)76.769.4146.1+7.273%
Season at home (15)79.168.8147.9+10.387%
Season away (11)73.470.3143.6+3.155%
Last 10 (10)76.872.7149.5+4.180%
Last 5 (5)81.070.0151.0+11.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.578.5149.0-8.033%
vs Similar (7)69.468.3137.7+1.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)77.068.5145.5+8.593%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -7.3-7.31st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: -0.3-0.3
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -7.3-7.31st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: -0.3-0.3
Western MichiganBall State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#296
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H14/01
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A18/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H21/01
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A25/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A29/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H01/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H04/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A08/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A11/02
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
23-50
23
50
-27
H15/02
NCAA
68.7Avg total
30.7Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.334.865.1-4.520%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.133.663.8-3.529%-
Last 30 away (16)30.435.866.2-5.412%-
Last 10 (10)30.738.068.7-7.310%-
Last 5 (5)28.240.668.8-12.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)29.237.967.1-8.70%-
vs Similar (8)30.235.165.4-4.925%-
vs Weaker (3)35.029.364.3+5.767%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#122
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H14/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H18/01
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A20/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H25/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A28/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A01/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H03/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A08/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H11/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H15/02
NCAA
73.3Avg total
38.8Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.632.768.3+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.832.167.9+3.653%-
Last 30 away (13)35.433.468.8+2.062%-
Last 10 (10)38.834.573.3+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)41.232.673.8+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.737.368.0-6.717%-
vs Similar (7)32.031.663.6+0.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)37.632.169.7+5.573%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Western Michigan wins
5
Ball State wins
DateGameScore
18/01/23Ball State v Western Michigan71-70
04/03/22Western Michigan v Ball State63-64
29/01/22Ball State v Western Michigan83-72
22/12/20Western Michigan v Ball State68-76
26/02/20Ball State v Western Michigan71-61
08/02/20Western Michigan v Ball State68-64
Western Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/23HKent State58-82
11/02/23ANorthern Illinois53-81
08/02/23AMiami (FL)78-85
04/02/23HBuffalo76-85
01/02/23HNorthern Illinois59-73
29/01/23ACentral Michigan69-70
25/01/23AOhio76-88
21/01/23HAkron55-63
18/01/23ABall State70-71
14/01/23HBowling Green108-92
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/23HNorthern Illinois87-77
11/02/23HBowling Green93-72
08/02/23ACentral Michigan65-51
03/02/23HEastern Michigan91-90 OT
01/02/23ABowling Green69-60
28/01/23ANorthern Illinois87-69
25/01/23HBuffalo65-91
20/01/23AKent State65-86
18/01/23HWestern Michigan71-70
14/01/23HMiami (FL)75-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Michigan
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeWLLLL42%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %23%42%7%
Points / game70.171.468.9
Allowed / game74.568.679.6
Point differential-4.5+2.8-10.7
Avg total144.6140.0148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ball State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWLWWW87%
AwayLLWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %73%87%55%
Points / game76.779.173.4
Allowed / game69.468.870.3
Point differential+7.2+10.3+3.1
Avg total146.1147.9143.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%47%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)80% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State2722581%75.463.6+11.9
2 Toledo2620677%84.576.6+7.8
3 Akron2619773%73.363.4+10.0
4 Ball State2619773%76.769.4+7.2
5 Ohio27161159%78.772.9+5.8
6 UMass27141352%71.171.2-0.1
7 Buffalo26121446%78.977.8+1.0
8 Northern Illinois26111542%71.975.0-3.1
9 Bowling Green26101638%76.578.1-1.6
10 Central Michigan27101737%66.471.7-5.3
11 Western Michigan2662023%70.174.5-4.5
12 Eastern Michigan2762122%72.781.7-8.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Western Michigan364278
Ball State293968
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