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Evansville vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 60-66
27-30 33-36
Position#365
Record5-21
FormLLLLW
Points / game62.7
Allowed / game74.9
vs
Position#177
Record13-12
FormWLWLW
Points / game65.5
Allowed / game63.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Evansville v Missouri State
29 Dec 2024
EVAN57
MISS40
13 Jan 2024
EVAN64
MISS74
12 Feb 2023
EVAN60
MISS66
26 Feb 2022
EVAN79
MISS88
27 Feb 2021
EVAN72
MISS63
26 Feb 2021
EVAN81
MISS90
18 Jan 2020
EVAN58
MISS68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Evansville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#303
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H07/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
46-91
46
91
-45
A12/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H14/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A18/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
61-97
61
97
-36
H21/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
64-73
64
73
-9
H26/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A29/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
65-83
65
83
-18
H02/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
61-70
61
70
-9
A04/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H09/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-34
30-35
30-46
16-45
28-34
41-42
30-42
40-36
34-55
27-42
32-36
32-37
28-43
41-38
36-37
29-46
30-29
31-41
43-26
28-33
141.4Avg total
63.7Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)62.774.9137.5-12.219%
Season at home (14)63.471.6135.1-8.229%
Season away (12)61.878.7140.4-16.98%
Last 10 (10)63.777.7141.4-14.010%
Last 5 (5)66.073.2139.2-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)62.275.7138.0-13.517%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#79
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A07/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
66-76 OT
66
76
-10
A12/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H15/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
65-62 OT
65
62
+3
A19/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H25/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A28/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
76-67 OT
76
67
+9
H02/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
53-73
53
73
-20
A05/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
61-59
61
59
+2
H09/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-37
26-37
34-30
27-31
35-31
29-31
21-34
35-22
25-30
32-31
29-30
34-29
35-37
36-37
28-35
37-30
32-36
21-37
35-33
26-26
130.4Avg total
63.7Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)65.563.4128.9+2.052%
Season at home (12)66.258.2124.4+8.175%
Season away (13)64.868.3133.1-3.531%
Last 10 (10)63.766.7130.4-3.050%
Last 5 (5)64.866.4131.2-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)57.362.8120.2-5.550%
vs Similar (11)63.665.9129.5-2.327%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)74.966.9141.8+8.082%
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -6.0-6.01st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: -8.0-8.02nd half: -0.8-0.8
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -6.0-6.01st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: -8.0-8.02nd half: -0.8-0.8
EvansvilleMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#303
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H07/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A12/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H14/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A18/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
34-55
34
55
-21
H21/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H26/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A29/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H02/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A04/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H09/02
NCAA
70.4Avg total
32.2Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.736.965.6-8.220%-
Last 30 at home (15)29.936.466.3-6.513%-
Last 30 away (15)27.537.364.9-9.827%-
Last 10 (10)32.238.270.4-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)33.834.268.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)28.736.965.6-8.220%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#79
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A07/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A12/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H15/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A19/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H21/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H25/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A28/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H02/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A05/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H09/02
NCAA
64.2Avg total
30.9Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.532.065.5+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.228.662.9+5.664%-
Last 30 away (16)32.934.967.8-1.931%-
Last 10 (10)30.933.364.2-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)31.834.266.0-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)26.230.857.0-4.733%-
vs Similar (11)33.932.266.1+1.736%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)34.931.666.5+3.364%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Evansville wins
6
Missouri State wins
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/23HNorthern Iowa71-59
04/02/23AIllinois (Chi.)61-70
02/02/23HIndiana State65-83
29/01/23AValparaiso69-81
26/01/23HBelmont64-73
21/01/23HDrake61-97
18/01/23ASouthern Illinois70-78
14/01/23HValparaiso69-76
12/01/23ABradley46-91
07/01/23HIllinois State61-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/23HBelmont61-59
05/02/23ASouthern Illinois53-73
02/02/23HValparaiso76-67 OT
28/01/23AMurray State71-74
25/01/23HIllinois (Chi.)63-59
21/01/23HSouthern Illinois57-61
19/01/23ADrake65-62 OT
15/01/23HIndiana State64-62
12/01/23AIllinois State66-76 OT
07/01/23ABelmont61-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Evansville
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW19%
HomeLLLLW29%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %19%29%8%
Points / game62.763.461.8
Allowed / game74.971.678.7
Point differential-12.2-8.2-16.9
Avg total137.5135.1140.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Missouri State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW52%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayLLWLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %52%75%31%
Points / game65.566.264.8
Allowed / game63.458.268.3
Point differential+2.0+8.1-3.5
Avg total128.9124.4133.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%33%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)67% (6)20% (5)
Overtime %12%8%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2721678%75.965.0+11.0
2 Bradley2719870%72.461.9+10.4
3 Southern Illinois2719870%66.561.9+4.6
4 Indiana State2718967%78.968.8+10.1
5 Belmont2718967%75.370.7+4.6
6 Murray State26131350%69.972.6-2.7
7 Northern Iowa26121446%70.168.7+1.3
8 Valparaiso27111641%69.673.5-3.9
9 Illinois State27101737%66.870.0-3.2
10 Illinois (Chi.)27101737%67.171.2-4.1
11 Evansville2652119%62.774.9-12.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2721678%74.759.0+15.7
2 Sam Houston St.2418675%75.759.4+16.3
3 Kennesaw State2720774%75.268.7+6.5
4 Middle Tenn. St.26151158%71.668.7+2.9
5 Western Kentucky25141156%73.970.6+3.4
6 Louisiana Tech25131252%74.569.3+5.2
7 Missouri State25131252%65.563.4+2.0
8 Florida International26131350%71.873.5-1.8
9 UTEP25121348%68.266.6+1.6
10 Delaware26121446%69.270.3-1.0
11 Jacksonville State27101737%68.269.5-1.3
12 New Mexico State2591636%70.869.6+1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Evansville273360
Missouri State303666
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