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FC Porto vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 103-89
21-23 27-25 20-21 35-20
Position#2
Record11-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Position#1
Record14-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game74.4
PortugalLPBRound 15· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · FC Porto v Benfica
11 Oct 2026
POR93
BEN86
14 Jun 2026
POR75
BEN71
12 Jun 2026
POR87
BEN63
21 Mar 2026
POR88
BEN72
15 Jun 2025
POR71
BEN93
13 Jun 2025
POR82
BEN75
22 Mar 2025
POR94
BEN84
15 Feb 2025
POR103
BEN89
07 Jun 2024
POR62
BEN73
05 Jun 2024
POR66
BEN89
05 May 2024
POR66
BEN72
21 Oct 2023
POR79
BEN62
08 Apr 2023
POR92
BEN89
05 Nov 2022
POR105
BEN112
11 Jun 2022
POR63
BEN91
09 Jun 2022
POR65
BEN47
23 Apr 2022
POR65
BEN60
31 Oct 2021
POR81
BEN71
28 Feb 2021
POR79
BEN87
06 Feb 2021
POR80
BEN76
07 Oct 2020
POR81
BEN74
26 Oct 2019
POR87
BEN79
31 May 2019
POR v BEN
upcoming
05 May 2019
POR73
BEN76
26 Jan 2019
POR96
BEN78
03 Jun 2018
POR91
BEN74
01 Jun 2018
POR90
BEN96
22 Apr 2018
POR98
BEN85
13 Jan 2018
POR89
BEN81
04 Jun 2017
POR81
BEN83
02 Jun 2017
POR70
BEN73
11 Mar 2017
POR85
BEN74
15 Oct 2016
POR74
BEN76
28 May 2016
POR93
BEN85
27 May 2016
POR98
BEN89
13 Mar 2016
POR97
BEN94
03 Jan 2016
POR81
BEN62
23 May 2012
POR53
BEN56
13 May 2012
POR80
BEN82
12 May 2012
POR77
BEN71
24 Mar 2012
POR67
BEN76
22 May 2011
POR86
BEN76
18 May 2011
POR91
BEN79
12 May 2011
POR95
BEN69
10 May 2011
POR93
BEN60
13 Nov 2010
POR91
BEN74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
93-80
93
80
+13
92avg 77
A04/01
LPB
Maroussi
#12
L
81-82
81
82
-1
75avg 77
A08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#10
W
93-53
93
53
+40
93avg 77
A11/01
LPB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
86-75
86
75
+11
84avg 77
H14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#13
W
82-60
82
60
+22
80avg 77
H19/01
Taca de Portugal
Sporting CP
#3
W
83-78
83
78
+5
74avg 77
H25/01
LPB
Tofas
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
77avg 77
A29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#9
L
97-100 OT
97
100
-3
82avg 77
A02/02
LPB
Maroussi
#12
W
80-76
80
76
+4
69avg 77
H05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#7
W
88-77
88
77
+11
84avg 77
H09/02
Taca de Portugal
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-19
25-17
22-16
15-28
26-19
14-12
22-21
19-30
22-7
20-14
23-18
28-14
25-21
22-16
18-24
21-14
23-12
23-18
15-19
21-11
25-19
17-22
21-21
20-16
25-20
20-29
25-11
20-22
21-23
20-17
20-20
17-18
15-15
19-17
21-23
25-21
18-25
26-21
25-17
19-14
163.6Avg total
87.3Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)87.777.3165.0+10.485%
Season at home (5)87.880.0167.8+7.8100%
Season away (8)87.675.6163.2+12.075%
Last 10 (10)87.376.3163.6+11.080%
Last 5 (5)87.682.6170.2+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)76.582.5159.0-6.00%
vs Similar (11)84.682.3166.9+2.464%
vs Weaker (15)86.773.0159.7+13.793%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#41
W
79-68
79
68
+11
68avg 83
H17/12
Champions League
CD Povoa
#10
W
79-75
79
75
+4
75avg 83
A22/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
81-64
81
64
+17
74avg 83
H29/12
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
89-69
89
69
+20
83avg 83
A04/01
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
80-66
80
66
+14
83avg 83
H12/01
LPB
Portimonense
#16
W
104-55
104
55
+49
107avg 83
A19/01
Taca de Portugal
Oliveirense
#4
W
95-83
95
83
+12
93avg 83
A25/01
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
86-76
86
76
+10
82avg 83
H02/02
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
96-90
96
90
+6
89avg 83
A05/02
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#5
W
95-90
95
90
+5
82avg 83
A08/02
Taca de Portugal
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
25-17
14-23
20-14
21-22
13-15
23-11
22-27
22-22
19-13
24-12
16-17
21-18
20-14
30-17
18-20
21-15
24-18
17-14
18-19
15-14
34-16
32-10
23-15
30-20
22-21
23-15
20-27
26-13
24-18
19-18
17-27
24-23
28-19
21-22
23-26
26-21
20-27
17-20
32-22
162.0Avg total
88.4Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)89.974.4164.2+15.5100%
Season at home (7)88.772.6161.3+16.1100%
Season away (7)91.076.1167.1+14.9100%
Last 10 (10)88.473.6162.0+14.8100%
Last 5 (5)95.278.8174.0+16.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.584.2159.7-8.733%
vs Similar (3)83.087.0170.0-4.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)88.273.6161.8+14.6100%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.5-0.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.5-0.5
FC PortoBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A04/01
LPB
Maroussi
#12
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#10
W
42-21
42
21
+21
A11/01
LPB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#13
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H19/01
Taca de Portugal
Sporting CP
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H25/01
LPB
Tofas
#4
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A02/02
LPB
Maroussi
#12
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H09/02
Taca de Portugal
80.0Avg total
43.7Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.137.478.5+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.337.078.3+4.371%-
Last 30 away (16)40.937.878.8+3.156%-
Last 10 (10)43.736.380.0+7.480%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.682.8-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)35.537.072.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (11)40.540.681.2-0.145%-
vs Weaker (15)41.635.276.8+6.473%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#41
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H17/12
Champions League
CD Povoa
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A22/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H29/12
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A04/01
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H12/01
LPB
Portimonense
#16
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A19/01
Taca de Portugal
Oliveirense
#4
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A25/01
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H02/02
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A05/02
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A08/02
Taca de Portugal
81.5Avg total
45.5Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.937.680.5+5.370%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.435.680.0+8.979%-
Last 30 away (16)41.639.481.0+2.162%-
Last 10 (10)45.536.081.5+9.580%-
Last 5 (5)49.838.488.2+11.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.840.383.2+2.567%-
vs Similar (3)41.345.386.7-4.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.835.578.3+7.379%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.421.0
52.0%
51.2%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.5
33.5%
32.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.216.0
72.1%
69.2%16.0
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.7
54.4%
51.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.410.9
33.6%
32.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws23.116.2
70.1%
69.2%16.2
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WWLWWWWWLW
Benfica
WWWWWWWWWW
#2
League position
#1
+14.5
Net rating
+16.0
112.2
Offensive rating
112.9
97.7
Defensive rating
96.9
51.2%
Effective FG%
52.5%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
14.8%
Turnover %
16.0%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.5%
3-point %
33.6%
61.0%
Assist %
69.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 112.9Defence97.7 · 96.9Shooting51.2% · 52.5%3-point %33.5% · 33.6%Ball care14.8% · 16.0%Off. rebounds33.8% · 32.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 100%
■ FC Porto   ■ Benfica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
FC Porto wins
6
Benfica wins
DateGameScore
02/11/24Benfica v FC Porto82-77
28/09/24Benfica v FC Porto93-97 OT
10/06/24Benfica v FC Porto83-76
07/06/24FC Porto v Benfica62-73
05/06/24FC Porto v Benfica66-89
05/05/24FC Porto v Benfica66-72
17/03/24Benfica v FC Porto78-81
10/02/24Benfica v FC Porto84-78
21/10/23FC Porto v Benfica79-62
08/04/23FC Porto v Benfica92-89
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/25HOvarense88-77
05/02/25HMaroussi80-76
02/02/25AVitoria97-100 OT
29/01/25ATofas90-82
25/01/25HSporting CP83-78
19/01/25HCD Povoa82-60
14/01/25HBasket Zaragoza86-75
11/01/25ACD Povoa93-53
08/01/25AMaroussi81-82
04/01/25AGalitos Barreiro93-80
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25AVitoria95-90
05/02/25AGalitos Barreiro96-90
02/02/25HImortal86-76
25/01/25AOliveirense95-83
19/01/25APortimonense104-55
12/01/25HGalomar80-66
04/01/25AVitoria89-69
29/12/24HSporting CP81-64
22/12/24ACD Povoa79-75
17/12/24HChemnitz79-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %85%100%75%
Points / game87.787.887.6
Allowed / game77.380.075.6
Point differential+10.4+7.8+12.0
Avg total165.0167.8163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%40%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %8%0%12%
Benfica
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.988.791.0
Allowed / game74.472.676.1
Point differential+15.5+16.1+14.9
Avg total164.2161.3167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%86%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica14140100%89.974.4+15.5
2 FC Porto1311285%87.777.3+10.4
3 Oliveirense149564%87.079.4+7.6
4 Sporting CP149564%83.478.0+5.4
5 Ovarense138562%79.177.8+1.3
6 Esgueira136746%84.287.2-2.9
7 Galitos Barreiro146843%77.978.8-0.9
8 Imortal145936%77.086.1-9.1
9 CA Queluz134931%82.888.5-5.7
10 Vitoria134931%79.285.0-5.8
11 CD Povoa1431121%73.481.7-8.4
12 Galomar1321115%73.381.5-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto21272035103
Benfica2325212089
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