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FC Porto vs Benfica Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 31 May 2019
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#3
Record27-8
FormLLWWW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game79.4
vs
Position#2
Record30-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game73.7
PortugalLPBLPB - Semi-finals
Other2018-19
Meetings · FC Porto v Benfica
11 Oct 2026
POR93
BEN86
14 Jun 2026
POR75
BEN71
12 Jun 2026
POR87
BEN63
21 Mar 2026
POR88
BEN72
15 Jun 2025
POR71
BEN93
13 Jun 2025
POR82
BEN75
22 Mar 2025
POR94
BEN84
15 Feb 2025
POR103
BEN89
07 Jun 2024
POR62
BEN73
05 Jun 2024
POR66
BEN89
05 May 2024
POR66
BEN72
21 Oct 2023
POR79
BEN62
08 Apr 2023
POR92
BEN89
05 Nov 2022
POR105
BEN112
11 Jun 2022
POR63
BEN91
09 Jun 2022
POR65
BEN47
23 Apr 2022
POR65
BEN60
31 Oct 2021
POR81
BEN71
28 Feb 2021
POR79
BEN87
06 Feb 2021
POR80
BEN76
07 Oct 2020
POR81
BEN74
26 Oct 2019
POR87
BEN79
31 May 2019
POR v BEN
upcoming
05 May 2019
POR73
BEN76
26 Jan 2019
POR96
BEN78
03 Jun 2018
POR91
BEN74
01 Jun 2018
POR90
BEN96
22 Apr 2018
POR98
BEN85
13 Jan 2018
POR89
BEN81
04 Jun 2017
POR81
BEN83
02 Jun 2017
POR70
BEN73
11 Mar 2017
POR85
BEN74
15 Oct 2016
POR74
BEN76
28 May 2016
POR93
BEN85
27 May 2016
POR98
BEN89
13 Mar 2016
POR97
BEN94
03 Jan 2016
POR81
BEN62
23 May 2012
POR53
BEN56
13 May 2012
POR80
BEN82
12 May 2012
POR77
BEN71
24 Mar 2012
POR67
BEN76
22 May 2011
POR86
BEN76
18 May 2011
POR91
BEN79
12 May 2011
POR95
BEN69
10 May 2011
POR93
BEN60
13 Nov 2010
POR91
BEN74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#1
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H04/04
LPB
Benfica
#2
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A07/04
LPB
Lusitania
#6
W
85-79 OT
85
79
+6
A20/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
99-73
99
73
+26
H25/04
LPB
Terceira
#11
W
105-69
105
69
+36
H28/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#1
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A02/05
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H05/05
LPB
Terceira
#11
W
92-82
92
82
+10
H10/05
LPB
Terceira
#11
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H12/05
LPB
Terceira
#11
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A17/05
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-26
15-22
34-13
22-18
26-30
10-13
22-21
26-15
26-17
17-8
12-27
17-20
25-13
22-16
30-27
22-17
25-13
22-15
29-26
29-15
17-28
19-18
19-31
13-11
18-20
15-13
19-18
21-25
20-25
20-12
21-19
31-26
18-17
23-16
25-24
25-20
16-22
21-18
31-22
17-17
164.4Avg total
86.3Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)88.779.4168.1+9.377%
Season at home (18)92.477.1169.5+15.483%
Season away (17)84.881.9166.7+2.971%
Last 10 (10)86.378.1164.4+8.280%
Last 5 (5)81.880.4162.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)80.382.2162.5-1.850%
vs Similar (1)83.080.0163.0+3.0100%
vs Weaker (22)92.276.4168.6+15.995%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#6
W
91-76
91
76
+15
A04/04
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H07/04
LPB
Terceira
#11
W
119-75
119
75
+44
A17/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#1
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A24/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
90-61
90
61
+29
H27/04
LPB
Lusitania
#6
W
113-76
113
76
+37
H02/05
LPB
FC Porto
#3
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A05/05
LPB
CAB Madeira
#5
W
92-63
92
63
+29
H10/05
LPB
CAB Madeira
#5
W
101-59
101
59
+42
H12/05
LPB
CAB Madeira
#5
W
80-59
80
59
+21
A17/05
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-11
20-26
26-21
23-18
30-26
13-10
21-22
15-26
35-14
30-24
33-22
21-15
25-15
25-27
13-19
21-18
27-9
24-13
18-19
21-20
29-26
27-16
26-19
31-15
20-18
13-15
18-19
25-21
20-19
19-14
25-14
28-16
22-10
32-5
25-25
22-19
16-17
21-10
22-20
21-12
163.0Avg total
92.5Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)89.373.7163.1+15.686%
Season at home (18)94.673.3167.9+21.389%
Season away (17)83.774.2157.9+9.582%
Last 10 (10)92.570.5163.0+22.090%
Last 5 (5)92.466.0158.4+26.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)79.083.0162.0-4.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)90.572.7163.3+17.885%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +8.1+8.1Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +4.8+4.8
FC PortoBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#1
L
25-48
25
48
-23
H04/04
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A07/04
LPB
Lusitania
#6
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A20/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H25/04
LPB
Terceira
#11
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H28/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A02/05
LPB
Benfica
#2
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H05/05
LPB
Terceira
#11
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H10/05
LPB
Terceira
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H12/05
LPB
Terceira
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A17/05
LPB
74.7Avg total
38.5Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.538.181.5+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.836.179.9+7.679%-
Last 30 away (16)43.239.882.9+3.456%-
Last 10 (10)38.536.274.7+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.437.875.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)39.041.780.7-2.733%-
vs Similar (1)39.039.078.0+0.00%-
vs Weaker (22)44.937.081.9+7.977%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A04/04
LPB
FC Porto
#3
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H07/04
LPB
Terceira
#11
W
65-38
65
38
+27
A17/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#1
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A24/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
51-22
51
22
+29
H27/04
LPB
Lusitania
#6
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H02/05
LPB
FC Porto
#3
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A05/05
LPB
CAB Madeira
#5
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H10/05
LPB
CAB Madeira
#5
W
54-15
54
15
+39
H12/05
LPB
CAB Madeira
#5
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A17/05
LPB
79.5Avg total
47.0Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.935.280.1+9.780%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.833.682.4+15.2100%-
Last 30 away (14)40.537.077.5+3.557%-
Last 10 (10)47.032.579.5+14.590%-
Last 5 (5)43.830.073.8+13.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)43.341.785.0+1.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)45.134.379.4+10.881%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
FC Porto wins
4
Benfica wins
DateGameScore
05/05/19FC Porto v Benfica73-76
07/04/19Benfica v FC Porto79-84
26/01/19FC Porto v Benfica96-78
03/11/18Benfica v FC Porto93-88
06/06/18Benfica v FC Porto90-96 OT
03/06/18FC Porto v Benfica91-74
01/06/18FC Porto v Benfica90-96
27/05/18Benfica v FC Porto77-75
25/05/18Benfica v FC Porto79-90
22/04/18FC Porto v Benfica98-85
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/19ATerceira85-79
12/05/19HTerceira91-77
10/05/19HTerceira92-82
05/05/19HBenfica73-76
02/05/19AOliveirense68-88
28/04/19HTerceira105-69
25/04/19HOvarense99-73
20/04/19ALusitania85-79 OT
07/04/19ABenfica84-79
04/04/19HOliveirense81-79
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/19ACAB Madeira80-59
12/05/19HCAB Madeira101-59
10/05/19HCAB Madeira92-63
05/05/19AFC Porto76-73
02/05/19HLusitania113-76
27/04/19HOvarense90-61
24/04/19AOliveirense84-79
17/04/19ATerceira119-75
07/04/19HFC Porto79-84
04/04/19ALusitania91-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
LPB 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW77%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %77%83%71%
Points / game88.792.484.8
Allowed / game79.477.181.9
Point differential+9.3+15.4+2.9
Avg total168.1169.5166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%61%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Benfica
LPB 2018-19
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayWWWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %86%89%82%
Points / game89.394.683.7
Allowed / game73.773.374.2
Point differential+15.6+21.3+9.5
Avg total163.1167.9157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)67% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oliveirense3532391%88.272.6+15.5
2 Benfica3530586%89.373.7+15.6
3 FC Porto3527877%88.779.4+9.3
4 Ovarense35181751%77.977.3+0.6
5 CAB Madeira35161946%77.180.7-3.6
6 Lusitania35152043%80.084.3-4.2
7 Galitos32131941%79.483.0-3.7
8 Illiabum35142140%78.783.3-4.6
9 Esgueira32122038%77.782.8-5.1
10 Vitoria32112134%79.482.0-2.6
11 Terceira35102529%77.688.0-10.4
12 Imortal3262619%77.385.9-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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