FC Porto vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	83.9	68.6	152.4	+15.3	86%
Season at home (4)	86.0	66.8	152.8	+19.2	100%
Season away (3)	81.0	71.0	152.0	+10.0	67%
Last 10 (10)	87.7	75.3	163.0	+12.4	90%
Last 5 (5)	84.2	71.2	155.4	+13.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	76.5	82.5	159.0	-6.0	33%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	79.3	73.8	153.2	+5.5	67%
vs Weaker (17)	88.6	74.9	163.5	+13.8	88%

This opponent (Benfica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Benfica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBenfica

Date

Competition

CD Povoa

103-86

103

+17

91avg 83

H16/03

Taca de Portugal

FC Porto

78-81

-3

68avg 83

H17/03

Taca de Portugal

Ovarense

87-79

80avg 83

A23/03

LPB

CD Povoa

#10

87-72

+15

78avg 83

A30/03

Taca da Liga

Sporting CP

94-70

+24

91avg 83

H06/04

LPB

Lusitania

#12

113-73

113

+40

118avg 83

A13/04

LPB

CD Povoa

101-77

101

+24

97avg 83

H20/04

LPB

Portimonense

#11

105-61

105

+44

101avg 83

A27/04

LPB

Imortal

87-56

+31

79avg 83

H03/05

Taca da Liga

Sporting CP

73-66

68avg 83

A04/05

Taca da Liga

29-28

31-17

19-22

24-19

11-27

25-22

25-13

17-19

25-20

20-24

21-16

21-19

13-12

19-26

32-21

23-13

21-20

25-16

25-20

23-14

30-22

16-24

28-16

39-11

24-18

22-19

34-25

21-15

24-21

26-14

19-16

36-10

24-18

23-8

23-15

17-15

20-12

26-20

15-19

12-15

164.9Avg total

92.8Scored

72.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	84.0	67.6	151.6	+16.4	86%
Season at home (3)	78.3	62.3	140.7	+16.0	67%
Season away (4)	88.2	71.5	159.8	+16.8	100%
Last 10 (10)	92.8	72.1	164.9	+20.7	90%
Last 5 (5)	95.8	66.6	162.4	+29.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	70.5	87.0	157.5	-16.5	25%
vs Weaker (25)	90.0	69.5	159.5	+20.6	84%

This opponent (FC Porto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FC PortoBenfica

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	18.9	40.4	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.8	19.6	43.4	+4.2	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	18.3	37.8	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	17.5	40.7	+5.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	17.8	40.2	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.5	18.8	39.3	+1.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	17.2	17.7	34.8	-0.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (17)	22.8	19.6	42.4	+3.2	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	17.2	38.4	+4.1	83%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	17.9	38.4	+2.6	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	16.6	38.4	+5.3	81%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	19.8	41.9	+2.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	18.2	42.6	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	20.0	15.2	35.2	+4.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (25)	21.8	17.7	39.5	+4.1	88%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.2	41.1	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	18.9	40.1	+2.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.5	21.4	41.9	-0.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	22.9	43.4	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.4	39.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.2	20.7	38.8	-2.5	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	18.0	21.3	39.3	-3.3	17%	-
vs Weaker (17)	23.1	20.0	43.1	+3.1	59%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.2	16.1	38.4	+6.1	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	21.5	41.4	-1.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	19.0	42.3	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	17.0	39.6	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	18.0	24.0	42.0	-6.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (25)	21.6	18.4	40.0	+3.2	56%	-

FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Imortal

36-37

-1

A16/03

Taca de Portugal

Benfica

49-36

+13

A17/03

Taca de Portugal

Imortal

53-51

A23/03

LPB

Vitoria

40-52

-12

H29/03

Taca da Liga

Galomar

#10

43-47

-4

H07/04

LPB

Ovarense

43-41

A13/04

LPB

Sporting CP

41-39

H20/04

LPB

Lusitania

#12

58-33

+25

A27/04

LPB

Ovarense

42-43

-1

H03/05

Taca da Liga

Oliveirense

32-25

A04/05

Taca da Liga

84.1Avg total

43.7Scored

40.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	39.1	81.5	+3.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.0	38.5	83.5	+6.5	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.0	39.7	79.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	40.4	84.1	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	36.2	79.4	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.7	39.5	78.2	-0.8	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	35.2	39.0	74.2	-3.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	45.8	39.6	85.4	+6.2	65%	-

This opponent (Benfica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CD Povoa

60-45

+15

H16/03

Taca de Portugal

FC Porto

36-49

-13

H17/03

Taca de Portugal

Ovarense

45-44

A23/03

LPB

CD Povoa

#10

32-38

-6

A30/03

Taca da Liga

Sporting CP

46-36

+10

H06/04

LPB

Lusitania

#12

46-46

A13/04

LPB

CD Povoa

46-37

H20/04

LPB

Portimonense

#11

50-35

+15

A27/04

LPB

Imortal

47-26

+21

H03/05

Taca da Liga

Sporting CP

46-32

+14

A04/05

Taca da Liga

84.2Avg total

45.4Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	36.2	78.4	+6.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.7	34.0	76.7	+8.7	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.8	38.1	79.8	+3.7	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.4	38.8	84.2	+6.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	35.2	82.2	+11.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	38.0	39.2	77.2	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (25)	43.4	36.0	79.4	+7.4	76%	-

This opponent (FC Porto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	16.7	38.0	+4.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	17.4	37.6	+2.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.2	16.1	38.3	+6.2	81%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	17.0	40.0	+6.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	16.6	38.2	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.8	19.8	37.7	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	22.0	17.8	39.8	+4.2	83%	-
vs Weaker (17)	22.6	15.2	37.8	+7.5	76%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	17.1	40.0	+5.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.8	14.8	39.6	+10.0	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	19.1	40.3	+2.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	18.3	42.4	+5.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	18.2	42.0	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	18.2	24.2	42.5	-6.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (25)	23.8	16.4	40.2	+7.4	76%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.7	39.6	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	18.4	38.1	+1.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	17.9	38.9	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.5	21.0	39.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.3	16.2	36.5	+4.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (17)	20.2	20.1	40.3	+0.1	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	17.5	38.9	+4.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	16.9	35.9	+2.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.5	18.0	41.5	+5.5	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	15.0	38.3	+8.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	13.2	38.2	+11.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	14.2	23.5	37.8	-9.2	0%	-
vs Weaker (25)	22.6	16.6	39.2	+6.0	76%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	36.4	77.6	+4.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.9	35.8	75.7	+4.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.4	36.9	79.3	+5.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	34.9	78.9	+9.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	35.0	76.0	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	36.3	40.8	77.2	-4.5	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	42.3	34.0	76.3	+8.3	100%	-
vs Weaker (17)	42.8	35.3	78.1	+7.5	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.3	34.5	78.9	+9.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.9	31.6	75.5	+12.2	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.8	37.1	81.8	+7.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.4	33.3	80.7	+14.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.8	31.4	80.2	+17.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	32.5	47.8	80.2	-15.2	0%	-
vs Weaker (25)	46.3	33.0	79.3	+13.3	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 86.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game

50%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.7	20.7	54.9%	51.1%	41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	10.2	36.4%	32.1%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	21.2	14.5	68.4%	69.0%	14.5

They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 92.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game

50%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.6	21.6	57.4%	51.1%	43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	11.8	38.9%	32.1%	35.4
🏀 Free throws	18.7	13.6	72.7%	69.0%	13.6

They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.7	19.1	48.1%	51.1%	38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.1	7.4	32.0%	32.1%	22.2
🏀 Free throws	21.3	14.3	67.1%	69.0%	14.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.4	19.9	51.8%	51.1%	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.3	6.0	26.9%	32.1%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	20.2	13.8	68.3%	69.0%	13.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.7	20.7	54.9%	51.1%	41.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.9	9.2	33.1%	32.1%	27.7
🏀 Free throws	21.3	14.2	66.7%	69.0%	14.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.9	20.1	54.6%	51.1%	40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	10.3	36.6%	32.1%	31.0
🏀 Free throws	19.5	14.0	71.5%	69.0%	14.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.4	18.7	48.7%	51.1%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.2	8.1	36.7%	32.1%	24.4
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.5	69.1%	69.0%	13.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.8	17.7	48.0%	51.1%	35.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.1	7.8	32.2%	32.1%	23.3
🏀 Free throws	17.7	12.1	68.4%	69.0%	12.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

FC Porto

WWWWLWWWWW

Benfica

WWWWWWWWLW

League position

+16.0

Net rating

+26.9

117.4

Offensive rating

120.4

101.4

Defensive rating

93.5

54.8%

Effective FG%

57.9%

48.1%

Opp. effective FG%

47.6%

15.4%

Turnover %

15.6%

35.2%

Off. rebound %

31.9%

0.32

Free-throw rate

0.28

36.4%

3-point %

38.9%

53.7%

Assist %

56.9%

90%

Form (last 10/10)

90%

Profile

■ FC Porto ■ Benfica

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

FC Porto wins

Benfica wins

Date	Game	Score
17/03/24	Benfica v FC Porto	78-81
10/02/24	Benfica v FC Porto	84-78
21/10/23	FC Porto v Benfica	79-62
08/04/23	FC Porto v Benfica	92-89
11/03/23	Benfica v FC Porto	99-75
23/12/22	Benfica v FC Porto	86-87
11/12/22	Benfica v FC Porto	97-93
05/11/22	FC Porto v Benfica	105-112 OT
11/06/22	FC Porto v Benfica	63-91
09/06/22	FC Porto v Benfica	65-47

FC Portolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/05/24	A	Oliveirense	71-62
03/05/24	H	Ovarense	82-67
27/04/24	A	Lusitania	98-67
20/04/24	H	Sporting CP	86-72
13/04/24	A	Ovarense	84-88
07/04/24	H	Galomar	91-85
29/03/24	H	Vitoria	91-84
23/03/24	A	Imortal	108-85
17/03/24	A	Benfica	81-78
16/03/24	A	Imortal	85-65

Benficalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/05/24	A	Sporting CP	73-66
03/05/24	H	Imortal	87-56
27/04/24	A	Portimonense	105-61
20/04/24	H	CD Povoa	101-77
13/04/24	A	Lusitania	113-73
06/04/24	H	Sporting CP	94-70
30/03/24	A	CD Povoa	87-72
23/03/24	A	Ovarense	87-79
17/03/24	H	FC Porto	78-81
16/03/24	H	CD Povoa	103-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto

Taca da Liga 2024

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	86%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	WLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	86%	100%	67%
Points / game	83.9	86.0	81.0
Allowed / game	68.6	66.8	71.0
Point differential	+15.3	+19.2	+10.0
Avg total	152.4	152.8	152.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	57%	75%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Benfica

Taca da Liga 2024

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	86%
Home	LWW	67%
Away	WWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	86%	67%	100%
Points / game	84.0	78.3	88.2
Allowed / game	67.6	62.3	71.5
Point differential	+16.4	+16.0	+16.8
Avg total	151.6	140.7	159.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	71%	67%	75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	7	6	1	86%	84.0	67.6	+16.4
2	FC Porto	7	6	1	86%	83.9	68.6	+15.3
3	Sporting CP	6	5	1	83%	90.2	76.8	+13.3
4	Oliveirense	6	5	1	83%	82.3	69.7	+12.7
5	Imortal	6	3	3	50%	76.3	78.5	-2.2
6	Ovarense	6	3	3	50%	75.8	89.8	-14.0
7	Vitoria	5	2	3	40%	81.6	84.0	-2.4
8	Galomar	5	1	4	20%	79.0	84.4	-5.4
9	Esgueira	5	1	4	20%	72.2	78.0	-5.8
10	CD Povoa	5	1	4	20%	81.2	88.6	-7.4
11	Portimonense	5	1	4	20%	70.8	85.8	-15.0
12	Lusitania	5	0	5	0%	76.0	96.2	-20.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
FC Porto	19	16	18	13	66
Benfica	18	17	20	17	72

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FC Porto vs Benfica Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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