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FC Porto vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 31 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 74-86
23-24 17-19 13-23 21-20
Position#16
Record7-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Position#9
Record5-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game76.2
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 5
European cup2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#9
W
94-87
94
87
+7
no box
A20/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#1
W
87-86
87
86
+1
no box
A23/12
LPB
Imortal
#9
W
89-69
89
69
+20
no box
H28/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
83-71
83
71
+12
no box
A04/01
LPB
CD Povoa
#5
W
99-69
99
69
+30
no box
H07/01
LPB
Cholet
#6
W
99-78
99
78
+21
no box
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Sporting CP
#1
L
84-97
84
97
-13
no box
H14/01
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#6
W
85-83
85
83
+2
no box
A21/01
LPB
SCM Craiova
#25
W
90-64
90
64
+26
no box
H24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#7
W
94-73
94
73
+21
no box
H27/01
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
27-27
14-28
29-14
23-25
24-22
17-12
23-27
24-21
26-21
21-20
18-7
21-19
24-18
19-15
19-19
24-10
22-24
31-12
22-23
31-23
19-11
25-27
24-17
16-21
19-26
21-20
28-30
24-21
14-27
12-14
35-21
18-18
26-16
23-21
23-9
17-24
24-13
30-14
23-22
168.1Avg total
90.4Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.176.2159.3+6.970%
Season at home (5)86.270.0156.2+16.280%
Season away (5)80.082.4162.4-2.460%
Last 10 (10)90.477.7168.1+12.790%
Last 5 (5)90.479.0169.4+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)96.290.8187.0+5.575%
vs Similar (5)77.278.0155.2-0.860%
vs Weaker (19)88.071.3159.3+16.795%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#18
W
84-77
84
77
+7
84avg 79
H16/12
BBL
FC Porto
#16
L
87-94
87
94
-7
no box
H20/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
70avg 79
A26/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
81-83
81
83
-2
70avg 79
A03/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
89-80
89
80
+9
86avg 79
H08/01
BBL
SCM Craiova
#25
W
93-62
93
62
+31
no box
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#8
W
96-81
96
81
+15
99avg 79
A18/01
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
89-76
89
76
+13
88avg 79
H21/01
BBL
Cholet
#6
L
75-77
75
77
-2
no box
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
71-78
71
78
-7
59avg 79
A29/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
28-19
21-14
13-25
18-24
27-27
28-14
14-29
13-19
16-20
26-21
18-20
19-14
11-25
24-24
27-20
22-13
27-24
24-18
16-25
22-16
29-18
26-17
16-11
26-20
24-22
22-22
24-17
24-26
17-14
31-14
17-22
20-19
18-25
18-10
19-23
18-16
18-23
21-18
14-21
162.6Avg total
83.8Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)87.276.2163.4+11.050%
Season at home (6)89.877.8167.7+12.050%
Season away (4)83.273.8157.0+9.550%
Last 10 (10)83.878.8162.6+5.050%
Last 5 (5)84.874.8159.6+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.587.0168.5-5.525%
vs Similar (9)82.083.0165.0-1.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)90.977.7168.6+13.271%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +6.9+6.9Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -3.5-3.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +6.9+6.9Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -3.5-3.5
FC PortoChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#9
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A20/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#1
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A23/12
LPB
Imortal
#9
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H28/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A04/01
LPB
CD Povoa
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H07/01
LPB
Cholet
#6
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Sporting CP
#1
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H14/01
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A21/01
LPB
SCM Craiova
#25
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#7
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H27/01
LPB
85.2Avg total
44.7Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.538.281.7+5.370%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.136.880.9+7.475%-
Last 30 away (14)42.839.982.6+2.964%-
Last 10 (10)44.740.585.2+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.081.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)46.843.890.5+3.050%-
vs Similar (5)37.235.272.4+2.040%-
vs Weaker (19)44.637.081.6+7.684%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#18
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H16/12
BBL
FC Porto
#16
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H20/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#1
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A26/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A03/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H08/01
BBL
SCM Craiova
#25
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#8
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A18/01
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H21/01
BBL
Cholet
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A29/01
BBL
82.2Avg total
41.9Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.741.486.1+3.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.441.988.3+4.553%-
Last 30 away (15)43.140.983.9+2.247%-
Last 10 (10)41.940.382.2+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.883.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.543.582.0-5.025%-
vs Similar (9)42.043.785.7-1.722%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)48.540.288.7+8.371%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.718.9
59.6%
52.5%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.4
34.7%
34.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.615.1
73.3%
73.2%15.1
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
FC Porto wins
0
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
20/12/22Chemnitz v FC Porto87-94
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/23HEsgueira94-73
24/01/23HSCM Craiova90-64
21/01/23AVitoria85-83
14/01/23HSporting CP84-97
10/01/23HCholet99-78
07/01/23HCD Povoa99-69
04/01/23AOliveirense83-71
28/12/22HImortal89-69
23/12/22ABenfica87-86
20/12/22AChemnitz94-87
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/23ABasketball Braunschweig71-78
24/01/23ACholet75-77
21/01/23HFrankfurt89-76
18/01/23ARostock96-81
10/01/23HSCM Craiova93-62
08/01/23HLudwigsburg89-80
03/01/23AOldenburg81-83
26/12/22ABonn73-80
20/12/22HFC Porto87-94
16/12/22HBayreuth84-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
FIBA Europe Cup 2022
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW70%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game83.186.280.0
Allowed / game76.270.082.4
Point differential+6.9+16.2-2.4
Avg total159.3156.2162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%80%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Chemnitz
FIBA Europe Cup 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game87.289.883.2
Allowed / game76.277.873.8
Point differential+11.0+12.0+9.5
Avg total163.4167.7157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Karhu Basket109190%86.975.1+11.8
2 Cholet129375%83.573.2+10.2
3 Anwil Wloclawek107370%87.974.9+13.0
4 Gaziantep107370%82.072.8+9.2
5 CSM Oradea107370%85.677.3+8.3
6 FC Porto107370%83.176.2+6.9
7 BC Kalev/Cramo139469%81.273.2+7.9
8 Hapoel Haifa139469%71.869.6+2.2
9 Sporting CP85362%89.191.6-2.5
10 Crailsheim Merlins106460%86.982.7+4.2
11 Bamberg106460%83.180.7+2.4
12 Budivelnyk106460%76.176.1+0.0
13 SCM Craiova137654%71.974.2-2.2
14 Chemnitz105550%87.276.2+11.0
15 Gottingen21150%79.573.0+6.5
16 Brindisi63350%80.274.7+5.5
17 Den Bosch105550%79.275.5+3.7
18 Czarni Slupsk21150%78.575.5+3.0
19 Mechelen63350%85.083.0+2.0
20 Fribourg Olympic63350%79.579.3+0.2
21 BC Wolves21150%79.581.5-2.0
22 Opava63350%77.279.2-2.0
23 Balkan63350%74.576.8-2.3
24 AEK Larnaca21150%68.572.0-3.5
25 Leiden21150%68.572.5-4.0
26 Galil Elyon63350%83.287.7-4.5
27 Keravnos104640%77.079.1-2.1
28 Antwerp Giants83538%76.178.0-1.9
29 Levice114736%76.581.4-4.9
30 Swans Gmunden62433%77.080.0-3.0
31 Voluntari62433%68.873.8-5.0
32 Parnu62433%74.584.2-9.7
33 Norrkoping61517%71.583.5-12.0
34 Golden Eagle Ylli61517%70.387.2-16.8
35 Rilski Sportist81712%69.690.1-20.5
36 Jonava1010%59.065.0-6.0
37 Thorl1010%68.077.0-9.0
38 Jamtland1010%73.083.0-10.0
39 Aris1010%72.083.0-11.0
40 Kataja1010%64.075.0-11.0
41 Kormend6060%76.389.5-13.2
42 Trepca1010%62.076.0-14.0
43 Kapfenberg Bulls1010%55.071.0-16.0
44 Cedevita Junior1010%73.093.0-20.0
45 Donar Groningen6060%61.782.8-21.2
46 Besiktas1010%62.093.0-31.0
47 Sigal Prishtina1010%61.098.0-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 47 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto2317132174
Chemnitz2419232086
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