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FC Porto vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 86-73
18-23 27-17 21-16 20-17
Position#2
Record8-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game73.0
FC Porto 🏆
Portugal
vs
Lusitania
Portugal
Position#12
Record1-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game87.2
PortugalLPBRound 11· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · FC Porto v Lusitania
22 Dec 2023
POR86
LUSI73
22 Mar 2023
POR94
LUSI72
26 Nov 2022
POR93
LUSI64
12 Nov 2021
POR80
LUSI56
14 Feb 2021
POR86
LUSI82
01 Feb 2020
POR85
LUSI64
24 Mar 2019
POR103
LUSI70
19 Jan 2019
POR90
LUSI85
17 Feb 2018
POR100
LUSI65
07 Jan 2017
POR92
LUSI83
21 Feb 2016
POR75
LUSI65
28 Jan 2012
POR72
LUSI51
29 Jan 2011
POR97
LUSI87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lusitania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#30
L
99-113 OT
99
113
-14
88avg 79
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#8
W
93-67
93
67
+26
88avg 79
H17/11
LPB
Manisa
#13
L
66-75
66
75
-9
54avg 79
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Galomar
#10
W
81-68
81
68
+13
72avg 79
A25/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
79-72
79
72
+7
69avg 79
H01/12
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
88-75
88
75
+13
83avg 79
H03/12
LPB
Balkan
#35
W
88-63
88
63
+25
83avg 79
A06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Braga
#14
W
86-72
86
72
+14
82avg 79
H10/12
Taca de Portugal
Bilbao
#3
L
72-75
72
75
-3
64avg 79
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Sporting CP
#4
L
79-83
79
83
-4
64avg 79
A17/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
23-26
13-17
21-25
25-17
21-16
23-12
24-22
12-26
13-22
19-11
22-16
24-18
23-12
18-21
16-17
23-22
19-20
20-14
17-16
21-19
18-15
34-15
15-26
34-12
18-22
13-11
23-18
32-15
16-15
16-16
22-26
23-17
20-16
12-27
17-15
9-18
22-23
24-17
24-25
159.4Avg total
83.1Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.873.0160.8+14.889%
Season at home (6)89.871.7161.5+18.2100%
Season away (3)83.775.7159.3+8.067%
Last 10 (10)83.176.3159.4+6.860%
Last 5 (5)82.673.6156.2+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.568.5144.0+7.050%
vs Similar (8)80.885.8166.5-5.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)93.277.9171.1+15.384%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#5
L
82-85
82
85
-3
81avg 58
H07/10
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
82-90
82
90
-8
62avg 58
A14/10
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
L
83-107
83
107
-24
75avg 58
A21/10
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
70-75
70
75
-5
58avg 58
A28/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
73-100
73
100
-27
58avg 58
H04/11
LPB
FC Porto
#4
L
70-101
70
101
-31
59avg 58
H11/11
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
L
64-67
64
67
-3
57avg 58
A18/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
51-94
51
94
-43
36avg 58
A02/12
LPB
Maia
#8
L
76-82
76
82
-6
62avg 58
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Esgueira
#9
W
89-83
89
83
+6
81avg 58
H16/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
21-18
12-28
27-21
20-22
22-21
15-28
25-19
23-23
20-27
24-25
16-32
18-17
24-20
12-15
16-23
27-22
20-29
14-23
12-26
21-29
17-30
15-28
17-14
19-19
16-16
15-9
14-23
20-21
16-27
7-22
8-24
22-16
14-18
22-26
18-22
16-21
32-14
21-25
20-23
162.4Avg total
74.0Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)73.187.2160.3-14.111%
Season at home (4)77.587.0164.5-9.525%
Season away (5)69.687.4157.0-17.80%
Last 10 (10)74.088.4162.4-14.410%
Last 5 (5)70.085.4155.4-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)73.987.7161.6-13.820%
vs Similar (4)75.273.5148.8+1.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -7.2-7.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -5.4-5.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -7.2-7.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -5.4-5.4
FC PortoLusitania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#30
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#8
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H17/11
LPB
Manisa
#13
L
25-48
25
48
-23
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Galomar
#10
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A25/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H01/12
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H03/12
LPB
Balkan
#35
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Braga
#14
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H10/12
Taca de Portugal
Bilbao
#3
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Sporting CP
#4
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A17/12
LPB
79.0Avg total
42.3Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.137.781.8+6.473%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.734.978.6+8.882%-
Last 30 away (13)44.541.485.9+3.262%-
Last 10 (10)42.336.779.0+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)42.634.477.0+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.528.568.0+11.0100%-
vs Similar (8)34.943.678.5-8.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)48.236.684.8+11.689%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#5
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H07/10
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A14/10
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A21/10
LPB
Vitoria
#7
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A28/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H04/11
LPB
FC Porto
#4
L
38-59
38
59
-21
H11/11
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A18/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A02/12
LPB
Maia
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Esgueira
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H16/12
LPB
83.8Avg total
41.0Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.641.579.1-3.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.840.780.4-0.956%-
Last 30 away (14)35.142.477.6-7.314%-
Last 10 (10)41.042.883.8-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.642.280.8-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)38.142.880.9-4.836%-
vs Similar (4)35.035.070.0+0.025%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.517.7
49.9%
51.0%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.711.1
36.2%
33.5%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.613.8
67.0%
69.3%13.8
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.719.4
47.7%
51.0%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.3
31.2%
33.5%21.9
🏀 Free throws17.012.3
72.4%
69.3%12.3
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
LLWWWWWLWL
Lusitania
WLLLLLLLLL
#2
League position
#12
+9.6
Net rating
-19.4
110.0
Offensive rating
92.0
100.4
Defensive rating
111.4
51.9%
Effective FG%
47.3%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
17.3%
Turnover %
21.6%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.2%
3-point %
31.2%
54.2%
Assist %
53.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 92.0Defence100.4 · 111.4Shooting51.9% · 47.3%3-point %36.2% · 31.2%Ball care17.3% · 21.6%Off. rebounds33.8% · 24.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ FC Porto   ■ Lusitania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
FC Porto wins
2
Lusitania wins
DateGameScore
11/11/23Lusitania v FC Porto70-101
22/04/23Lusitania v FC Porto97-92
22/03/23FC Porto v Lusitania94-72
15/02/23Lusitania v FC Porto82-78
26/11/22FC Porto v Lusitania93-64
17/02/22Lusitania v FC Porto71-81
12/11/21FC Porto v Lusitania80-56
14/02/21FC Porto v Lusitania86-82
17/12/20Lusitania v FC Porto73-82
01/02/20FC Porto v Lusitania85-64
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23ASporting CP79-83
12/12/23HBilbao72-75
10/12/23HBraga86-72
06/12/23ABalkan88-63
03/12/23HPortimonense88-75
01/12/23HOvarense79-72
25/11/23AGalomar81-68
22/11/23AManisa66-75
17/11/23HImortal93-67
15/11/23ABakken Bears99-113 OT
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HEsgueira89-83
09/12/23HMaia76-82
02/12/23ABenfica51-94
18/11/23APortimonense64-67
11/11/23HFC Porto70-101
04/11/23HCD Povoa73-100
28/10/23AVitoria70-75
21/10/23ASporting CP83-107
14/10/23AVitoria82-90
07/10/23HOvarense82-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %89%100%67%
Points / game87.889.883.7
Allowed / game73.071.775.7
Point differential+14.8+18.2+8.0
Avg total160.8161.5159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%83%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lusitania
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW11%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %11%25%0%
Points / game73.177.569.6
Allowed / game87.287.087.4
Point differential-14.1-9.5-17.8
Avg total160.3164.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto98189%87.873.0+14.8
2 Oliveirense87188%80.571.8+8.8
3 Sporting CP119282%94.483.2+11.2
4 Benfica107370%88.266.9+21.3
5 Vitoria105550%77.979.0-1.1
6 Ovarense105550%75.277.7-2.5
7 Portimonense105550%72.675.4-2.8
8 CD Povoa104640%80.886.0-5.2
9 Imortal104640%74.582.6-8.1
10 Galomar113827%73.879.2-5.4
11 Lusitania91811%73.187.2-14.1
12 Esgueira101910%72.788.3-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto1827212086
Lusitania2317161773
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