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FC Porto vs Manisa Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 84-67
20-18 17-17 24-19 23-13
Position#12
Record3-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#13
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game71.5
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 3· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Manisa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#2
L
91-93
91
93
-2
no box
H23/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
66-94
66
94
-28
no box
A26/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
91-76
91
76
+15
89avg 80
A23/09
LPB
Nevezis
#48
W
100-84
100
84
+16
89avg 80
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Manisa
#13
L
70-80
70
80
-10
54avg 80
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#5
W
92-60
92
60
+32
85avg 80
H14/10
Taca da Liga
Norrkoping
#43
W
79-71
79
71
+8
60avg 80
A17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#1
W
79-62
79
62
+17
70avg 80
H21/10
LPB
Bakken Bears
#30
W
89-78
89
78
+11
83avg 80
H24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#9
W
106-82
106
82
+24
113avg 80
H27/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
20-23
17-22
34-21
21-24
8-20
18-30
19-20
28-19
20-24
19-14
24-19
25-23
13-12
32-24
30-25
14-23
18-20
17-22
21-15
26-12
27-18
23-16
16-14
17-19
24-18
19-20
19-14
20-14
16-10
14-16
29-22
26-16
22-18
23-19
18-25
23-15
28-21
27-15
28-31
164.3Avg total
86.3Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.578.2162.8+6.275%
Season at home (2)94.581.0175.5+13.5100%
Season away (2)74.575.5150.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)86.378.0164.3+8.370%
Last 5 (5)89.070.6159.6+18.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.083.5162.5-4.533%
vs Similar ◀ (7)80.487.4167.9-7.029%
vs Weaker (17)92.980.0172.9+12.976%
This opponent (Manisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManisaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormManisa
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#8
L
79-84
79
84
-5
no box
A20/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
90-88
90
88
+2
79avg 83
H29/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Nevezis
#48
W
98-88
98
88
+10
92avg 83
A04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#12
W
80-70
80
70
+10
77avg 83
H05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Galatasaray
#5
L
81-85
81
85
-4
76avg 83
A08/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Samsunspor
#16
W
90-60
90
60
+30
90avg 83
H14/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bakken Bears
#30
W
82-76
82
76
+6
76avg 83
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tofas
#11
W
89-77
89
77
+12
84avg 83
A22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Norrkoping
#43
W
79-52
79
52
+27
82avg 83
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Merkezefendi
#14
W
93-76
93
76
+17
88avg 83
H29/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
23-12
23-24
17-24
20-27
25-19
18-17
27-25
12-20
30-25
33-25
23-18
23-14
20-18
22-17
15-21
20-12
13-28
23-18
25-27
27-18
19-16
21-10
23-16
21-20
22-22
19-18
20-16
22-20
18-22
26-14
23-21
27-10
14-13
19-17
19-12
23-20
23-21
21-14
26-21
161.7Avg total
86.1Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.871.5156.2+13.2100%
Season at home (2)79.561.0140.5+18.5100%
Season away (2)90.082.0172.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.175.6161.7+10.580%
Last 5 (5)86.668.2154.8+18.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.083.2163.2-3.240%
vs Similar ◀ (17)83.480.3163.7+3.165%
vs Weaker (3)89.066.7155.7+22.3100%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
FC PortoManisa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#2
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H23/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A26/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A23/09
LPB
Nevezis
#48
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Manisa
#13
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#5
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H14/10
Taca da Liga
Norrkoping
#43
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#1
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H21/10
LPB
Bakken Bears
#30
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#9
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H27/10
LPB
79.2Avg total
41.6Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.484.2+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.338.783.0+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)41.444.085.4-2.640%-
Last 10 (10)41.637.679.2+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)45.832.278.0+13.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.745.583.2-7.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)36.042.478.4-6.414%-
vs Weaker (17)47.539.586.9+8.082%-
This opponent (Manisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A20/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H29/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Nevezis
#48
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#12
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Galatasaray
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A08/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Samsunspor
#16
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H14/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bakken Bears
#30
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tofas
#11
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Norrkoping
#43
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Merkezefendi
#14
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H29/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
79.9Avg total
41.8Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.039.080.1+2.063%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.136.278.3+5.881%-
Last 30 away (14)39.942.282.1-2.443%-
Last 10 (10)41.838.179.9+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.236.479.6+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.539.880.3+0.760%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)41.039.580.5+1.565%-
vs Weaker (3)43.034.077.0+9.067%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.924.0
51.2%
52.2%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.4
33.8%
33.8%25.1
🏀 Free throws21.113.8
65.1%
73.0%13.8
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Manisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Manisa: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.6
53.6%
52.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.310.4
39.5%
33.8%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.414.3
70.1%
73.0%14.3
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WWWWWLWWLL
Manisa
WWWWWLWWWL
#12
League position
#13
+18.1
Net rating
+13.6
115.7
Offensive rating
115.3
97.5
Defensive rating
101.7
51.0%
Effective FG%
56.0%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
12.3%
Turnover %
14.4%
35.5%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.8%
3-point %
39.5%
54.1%
Assist %
64.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence115.7 · 115.3Defence97.5 · 101.7Shooting51.0% · 56.0%3-point %33.8% · 39.5%Ball care12.3% · 14.4%Off. rebounds35.5% · 28.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ FC Porto   ■ Manisa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
FC Porto wins
1
Manisa wins
DateGameScore
05/10/23Manisa v FC Porto80-70
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/23HEsgueira106-82
24/10/23HBakken Bears89-78
21/10/23HBenfica79-62
17/10/23ANorrkoping79-71
14/10/23HImortal92-60
05/10/23AManisa70-80
03/10/23HNevezis100-84
23/09/23ACD Povoa91-76
26/05/23ASporting CP66-94
23/05/23HSporting CP91-93
Manisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23HMerkezefendi93-76
25/10/23HNorrkoping79-52
22/10/23ATofas89-77
18/10/23ABakken Bears82-76
14/10/23HSamsunspor90-60
08/10/23AGalatasaray81-85
05/10/23HFC Porto80-70
04/10/23ANevezis98-88
29/09/23HBahcesehir Kol.90-88
20/05/23AGalatasaray79-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game84.594.574.5
Allowed / game78.281.075.5
Point differential+6.2+13.5-1.0
Avg total162.8175.5150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Manisa
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.879.590.0
Allowed / game71.561.082.0
Point differential+13.2+18.5+8.0
Avg total156.2140.5172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz220100%91.069.0+22.0
2 Leiden220100%80.561.5+19.0
3 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
4 Legia220100%85.569.5+16.0
5 Bilbao220100%86.071.5+14.5
6 Manisa440100%84.871.5+13.2
7 Balkan110100%88.078.0+10.0
8 Basket Zaragoza330100%88.780.0+8.7
9 Gottingen220100%88.580.0+8.5
10 Nymburk220100%83.575.0+8.5
11 Caledonia Gladiators220100%73.065.5+7.5
12 BC Kalev/Cramo110100%76.070.0+6.0
13 AEK Larnaca220100%82.578.0+4.5
14 Sporting CP110100%83.079.0+4.0
15 Rostock43175%90.872.2+18.5
16 FC Porto43175%84.578.2+6.2
17 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
18 Levice32167%79.377.3+2.0
19 Trepca32167%69.373.3-4.0
20 Sabah Baku53260%77.677.4+0.2
21 Bahcesehir Kol.21150%85.577.0+8.5
22 CSM Oradea21150%89.083.0+6.0
23 Jonava21150%92.087.5+4.5
24 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
25 Varese21150%87.085.5+1.5
26 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
27 TSU21150%72.073.0-1.0
28 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
29 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
30 Mornar Bar21150%71.076.5-5.5
31 Peja21150%85.591.0-5.5
32 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
33 Spojnia Stargard21150%79.086.5-7.5
34 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
35 Keravnos41325%80.277.8+2.5
36 Kataja51420%71.480.6-9.2
37 Anwil Wloclawek2020%71.074.5-3.5
38 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
39 Brindisi2020%78.583.5-5.0
40 Alba Fehervar2020%78.585.5-7.0
41 Gravelines-Dunkerque1010%69.077.0-8.0
42 Bakken Bears2020%77.085.5-8.5
43 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
44 Den Bosch2020%86.595.5-9.0
45 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
46 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
47 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
48 Norrkoping2020%61.579.0-17.5
49 CSU Sibiu2020%66.084.5-18.5
50 Karhu Basket2020%76.598.5-22.0
51 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 51 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto2017242384
Manisa1817191367
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