FC Porto vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Mar 2018

Tip-off: 20:30

Final 97-93 (OT)

22-18 19-25 28-19 13-20 15-11

Position#3

Record14-5

FormWWWWW

Points / game88.9

Allowed / game77.1

FC Porto 🏆

Ovarense

Position#4

Record9-10

FormWWLWL

Points / game77.9

Allowed / game77.2

LPBRound 20

Other2017-18

Meetings · FC Porto v Ovarense

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ovarense winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC Porto

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Electrico FC

#12

116-60

116

+56

H09/12

LPB

Barreirense

#11

98-80

+18

A13/12

LPB

Illiabum

#10

80-72

A16/12

LPB

Vitoria

100-64

100

+36

H29/12

LPB

Oliveirense

66-81

-15

A06/01

LPB

Benfica

89-81

H13/01

LPB

Terceira

89-84

H20/01

LPB

Galitos

93-75

+18

A26/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

103-72

103

+31

H03/02

LPB

Lusitania

100-65

100

+35

H17/02

LPB

34-18

25-8

31-21

26-13

20-15

29-24

31-15

18-26

20-22

24-14

24-15

12-21

22-18

25-13

25-15

28-18

25-19

16-20

14-26

11-16

20-16

33-13

16-37

20-15

23-25

31-26

15-15

20-18

17-14

26-15

28-27

22-19

31-26

29-14

25-19

18-13

23-16

23-11

29-17

25-21

166.8Avg total

93.4Scored

73.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	88.9	77.1	166.0	+11.8	74%
Season at home (9)	92.7	74.0	166.7	+18.7	78%
Season away (10)	85.5	79.9	165.4	+5.6	70%
Last 10 (10)	93.4	73.4	166.8	+20.0	90%
Last 5 (5)	94.8	75.4	170.2	+19.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	72.0	87.0	159.0	-15.0	0%
vs Similar (8)	77.4	77.8	155.1	-0.4	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	87.5	76.0	163.5	+11.4	75%

This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ovarense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Galitos

81-73

A09/12

LPB

CAB Madeira

91-71

+20

H13/12

LPB

Terceira

78-91

-13

H22/12

LPB

Electrico FC

#12

73-63

+10

A06/01

LPB

Barreirense

#11

76-61

+15

H13/01

LPB

Illiabum

#10

87-73

+14

A20/01

LPB

Vitoria

85-84

H26/01

LPB

Oliveirense

74-76

-2

A03/02

LPB

Lusitania

73-65

H10/02

LPB

Benfica

73-74 OT

-1

H17/02

LPB

22-25

21-20

18-16

20-12

30-14

17-23

19-16

25-18

17-17

18-15

18-25

25-34

22-23

6-13

23-10

22-17

20-19

19-9

17-21

20-12

18-20

19-13

18-16

32-24

16-22

14-11

24-26

31-25

12-25

27-10

23-17

12-24

18-17

11-10

27-15

17-23

20-16

7-14

16-14

19-18

152.2Avg total

79.1Scored

73.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	77.9	77.2	155.2	+0.7	47%
Season at home (10)	76.6	77.1	153.7	-0.5	50%
Season away (9)	79.4	77.3	156.8	+2.1	44%
Last 10 (10)	79.1	73.1	152.2	+6.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	78.4	74.4	152.8	+4.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	72.8	87.8	160.5	-15.0	0%
vs Similar (8)	82.4	80.8	163.1	+1.6	62%
vs Weaker (14)	80.5	73.6	154.1	+6.9	71%

This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FC PortoOvarense

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	18.7	40.5	+3.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	17.7	40.3	+4.8	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	19.7	40.8	+1.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	18.9	42.4	+4.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.4	42.2	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.0	18.5	41.5	+4.5	100%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.2	18.9	39.1	+1.4	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.4	18.6	41.0	+3.7	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.8	41.7	-1.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	20.2	39.1	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	23.1	44.0	-2.2	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.8	39.3	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	20.0	36.8	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.9	23.5	41.4	-5.6	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.8	22.5	44.2	-0.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.1	20.4	40.4	-0.3	29%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	18.2	39.1	+2.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	18.6	41.5	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	17.7	36.7	+1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.1	15.8	41.9	+10.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.4	15.8	44.2	+12.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	23.0	38.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.8	18.4	38.1	+1.4	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.0	17.6	39.6	+4.4	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	16.8	34.4	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.0	15.6	31.6	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	17.8	36.8	+1.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.9	13.8	29.7	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	11.6	27.2	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	16.0	17.5	33.5	-1.5	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.1	19.9	37.0	-2.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	18.9	14.6	33.4	+4.3	86%	-

FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Electrico FC

#12

59-26

+33

H09/12

LPB

Barreirense

#11

49-39

+10

A13/12

LPB

Illiabum

#10

44-36

A16/12

LPB

Vitoria

47-31

+16

H29/12

LPB

Oliveirense

41-39

A06/01

LPB

Benfica

53-29

+24

H13/01

LPB

Terceira

54-51

H20/01

LPB

Galitos

43-29

+14

A26/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

60-40

+20

H03/02

LPB

Lusitania

46-27

+19

H17/02

LPB

84.3Avg total

49.6Scored

34.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	36.9	79.6	+5.9	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.5	36.3	81.8	+9.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.1	37.4	77.5	+2.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.6	34.7	84.3	+14.9	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.2	35.2	86.4	+16.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	38.0	41.5	79.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.0	37.2	77.2	+2.8	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	44.4	36.2	80.6	+8.1	80%	-

This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Galitos

43-45

-2

A09/12

LPB

CAB Madeira

47-37

+10

H13/12

LPB

Terceira

35-32

H22/12

LPB

Electrico FC

#12

28-36

-8

A06/01

LPB

Barreirense

#11

39-28

+11

H13/01

LPB

Illiabum

#10

37-33

A20/01

LPB

Vitoria

30-33

-3

H26/01

LPB

Oliveirense

39-35

A03/02

LPB

Lusitania

29-27

H10/02

LPB

Benfica

27-30

-3

H17/02

LPB

69.0Avg total

35.4Scored

33.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	38.5	76.1	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	34.9	35.9	70.7	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.9	40.9	80.8	-0.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.4	33.6	69.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.4	31.6	64.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	33.9	41.0	74.9	-7.1	12%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.9	42.4	81.2	-3.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (14)	38.9	34.9	73.9	+4.0	79%	-

This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.9	42.6	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	21.7	43.0	-0.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	20.2	42.2	+1.8	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	20.7	44.5	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	23.0	45.6	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	27.5	48.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.0	22.9	40.9	-4.9	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.2	19.5	42.8	+3.8	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.7	39.6	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	21.1	39.4	-2.7	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	18.4	39.7	+2.8	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	17.6	37.9	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	17.6	39.2	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	19.2	20.9	40.1	-1.6	38%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.1	19.4	40.5	+1.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.6	19.1	38.7	+0.4	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.4	38.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	17.7	38.1	+2.6	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	21.1	39.4	-2.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	17.2	38.2	+3.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	13.5	18.0	31.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.9	20.3	40.2	-0.4	45%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.7	41.8	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	20.9	43.6	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	20.5	40.2	-0.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	20.7	43.0	+1.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	22.8	45.0	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.2	24.4	42.6	-6.1	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.4	19.0	41.4	+3.4	88%	-
vs Weaker (14)	22.0	19.6	41.6	+2.4	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	40.4	81.3	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	39.4	81.1	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.3	41.3	81.6	-1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	38.7	82.5	+5.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	40.2	83.8	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	34.0	45.5	79.5	-11.5	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	37.4	40.5	77.9	-3.1	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	43.1	39.8	82.9	+3.3	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	40.4	81.4	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.0	42.0	83.0	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.0	38.9	79.9	+2.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	38.3	80.9	+4.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	40.4	84.2	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	37.5	45.2	82.8	-7.8	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	43.5	38.4	81.9	+5.1	75%	-
vs Weaker (14)	41.6	38.7	80.3	+2.9	64%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

FC Porto wins

Ovarense wins

Date	Game	Score
30/11/17	Ovarense v FC Porto	68-88
12/05/17	Ovarense v FC Porto	68-97
07/05/17	FC Porto v Ovarense	92-63
05/05/17	FC Porto v Ovarense	95-72
12/02/17	FC Porto v Ovarense	89-73
27/11/16	Ovarense v FC Porto	66-79
13/05/16	Ovarense v FC Porto	73-81
08/05/16	FC Porto v Ovarense	83-68
06/05/16	FC Porto v Ovarense	87-73
10/04/16	Ovarense v FC Porto	69-64

FC Portolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/02/18	H	Lusitania	100-65
03/02/18	H	CAB Madeira	103-72
26/01/18	A	Galitos	93-75
20/01/18	H	Terceira	89-84
13/01/18	H	Benfica	89-81
06/01/18	A	Oliveirense	66-81
29/12/17	H	Vitoria	100-64
16/12/17	A	Illiabum	80-72
13/12/17	A	Barreirense	98-80
09/12/17	H	Electrico FC	116-60

Ovarenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/02/18	H	Benfica	73-74 OT
10/02/18	H	Lusitania	73-65
03/02/18	A	Oliveirense	74-76
26/01/18	H	Vitoria	85-84
20/01/18	A	Illiabum	87-73
13/01/18	H	Barreirense	76-61
06/01/18	A	Electrico FC	73-63
22/12/17	H	Terceira	78-91
13/12/17	H	CAB Madeira	91-71
09/12/17	A	Galitos	81-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto

LPB 2017-18

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	74%
Home	WWWWW	78%
Away	WWWLW	70%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	74%	78%	70%
Points / game	88.9	92.7	85.5
Allowed / game	77.1	74.0	79.9
Point differential	+11.8	+18.7	+5.6
Avg total	166.0	166.7	165.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	42%	56%	30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Ovarense

LPB 2017-18

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	47%
Home	LWWWL	50%
Away	LWWWL	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	47%	50%	44%
Points / game	77.9	76.6	79.4
Allowed / game	77.2	77.1	77.3
Point differential	+0.7	-0.5	+2.1
Avg total	155.2	153.7	156.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	30%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	50% (2)	0% (3)
Overtime %	5%	10%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	19	16	3	84%	89.2	77.9	+11.3
2	Oliveirense	19	15	4	79%	86.4	73.5	+12.9
3	FC Porto	19	14	5	74%	88.9	77.1	+11.8
4	Vitoria	19	12	7	63%	88.2	87.5	+0.7
5	Illiabum	19	10	9	53%	82.8	81.8	+0.9
6	CAB Madeira	19	10	9	53%	84.2	84.3	-0.1
7	Ovarense	19	9	10	47%	77.9	77.2	+0.7
8	Terceira	19	8	11	42%	77.2	83.1	-5.9
9	Galitos	20	8	12	40%	76.4	79.5	-3.0
10	Lusitania	20	7	13	35%	86.0	90.9	-5.0
11	Barreirense	19	3	16	16%	80.1	87.9	-7.8
12	Electrico FC	19	3	16	16%	73.5	89.6	-16.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
FC Porto	22	19	28	13	15	97
Ovarense	18	25	19	20	11	93

← all games of the day

FC Porto vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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