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FC Porto vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 May 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 82-67
23-20 19-23 20-4 20-20
Position#4
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game70.2
vs
Position#6
Record3-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game91.4
PortugalTaca da LigaTaca da Liga - Quarter-finals· Multiusos de Gondomar
Other2024Neutral venue
Meetings · FC Porto v Ovarense
13 Feb 2027
POR v OVAR
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
POR74
OVAR62
18 Mar 2025
POR75
OVAR77
09 Feb 2025
POR88
OVAR77
23 May 2024
POR77
OVAR60
21 May 2024
POR70
OVAR73
03 May 2024
POR82
OVAR67
01 Dec 2023
POR79
OVAR72
04 Mar 2023
POR96
OVAR74
03 Dec 2022
POR91
OVAR63
02 Jan 2022
POR80
OVAR62
03 Nov 2020
POR95
OVAR55
12 Oct 2019
POR89
OVAR87
25 Apr 2019
POR99
OVAR73
05 Jan 2019
POR104
OVAR84
01 Mar 2018
POR97
OVAR93
07 May 2017
POR92
OVAR63
05 May 2017
POR95
OVAR72
12 Feb 2017
POR89
OVAR73
08 May 2016
POR83
OVAR68
06 May 2016
POR87
OVAR73
06 Mar 2016
POR87
OVAR74
11 Oct 2015
POR64
OVAR59
12 Nov 2011
POR77
OVAR70
12 Dec 2010
POR94
OVAR69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ovarense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#7
W
88-83
88
83
+5
75avg 77
A09/03
LPB
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
52-88
52
88
-36
33avg 77
A13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#4
W
85-65
85
65
+20
86avg 77
A16/03
Taca de Portugal
Benfica
#2
W
81-78
81
78
+3
70avg 77
A17/03
Taca de Portugal
Imortal
#8
W
108-85
108
85
+23
105avg 77
A23/03
LPB
Vitoria
#7
W
91-84
91
84
+7
85avg 77
H29/03
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#10
W
91-85
91
85
+6
85avg 77
H07/04
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
84-88
84
88
-4
72avg 77
A13/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
W
86-72
86
72
+14
80avg 77
H20/04
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
98-67
98
67
+31
90avg 77
A27/04
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-13
18-20
31-20
16-30
14-31
14-22
16-18
8-17
20-10
16-27
29-10
20-18
27-11
22-25
13-25
19-17
28-25
25-26
27-14
28-20
21-20
19-32
31-15
20-17
24-20
19-27
22-23
26-15
22-22
21-19
25-18
16-29
23-17
18-22
26-22
19-11
32-17
26-16
22-14
18-20
165.9Avg total
86.4Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.870.2157.0+16.680%
Season at home (3)87.366.7154.0+20.7100%
Season away (2)86.075.5161.5+10.550%
Last 10 (10)86.479.5165.9+6.980%
Last 5 (5)90.079.2169.2+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.582.5159.0-6.033%
vs Similar (5)81.076.2157.2+4.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)88.974.7163.6+14.389%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#6
L
76-87
76
87
-11
69avg 76
A10/02
LPB
Galomar
#8
W
80-76
80
76
+4
78avg 76
H17/02
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
W
93-66
93
66
+27
90avg 76
H02/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
76-73
76
73
+3
75avg 76
A09/03
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
79-87
79
87
-8
72avg 76
H23/03
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
82-81
82
81
+1
79avg 76
A30/03
Taca da Liga
Esgueira
#9
L
82-85
82
85
-3
75avg 76
A06/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
88-84
88
84
+4
82avg 76
H13/04
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
97-82
97
82
+15
101avg 76
A20/04
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
89-76
89
76
+13
93avg 76
H27/04
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
23-19
16-29
19-23
21-18
14-24
23-24
22-10
26-24
21-18
23-13
23-11
21-18
20-14
16-17
19-24
20-25
24-20
16-21
19-21
21-13
15-25
21-19
25-24
23-21
27-19
16-29
16-16
22-22
19-21
18-25
29-16
38-18
16-24
27-23
16-17
21-23
18-21
25-17
25-15
163.9Avg total
84.2Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.691.4169.0-13.860%
Season at home (3)82.088.3170.3-6.367%
Season away (2)71.096.0167.0-25.050%
Last 10 (10)84.279.7163.9+4.570%
Last 5 (5)87.681.6169.2+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)74.989.8164.8-14.938%
vs Similar (4)80.580.0160.5+0.575%
vs Weaker (12)84.076.3160.3+7.775%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +3.6+3.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +3.6+3.6
FC PortoOvarense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#7
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A09/03
LPB
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#4
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A16/03
Taca de Portugal
Benfica
#2
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A17/03
Taca de Portugal
Imortal
#8
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A23/03
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H29/03
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H07/04
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A13/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H20/04
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
58-33
58
33
+25
A27/04
LPB
85.4Avg total
43.2Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.939.182.0+3.867%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.837.982.6+6.986%-
Last 30 away (16)41.240.281.5+1.050%-
Last 10 (10)43.242.285.4+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)45.042.487.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.739.578.2-0.867%-
vs Similar (5)35.841.877.6-6.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.038.884.8+7.272%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#6
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A10/02
LPB
Galomar
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H17/02
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H02/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A09/03
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H23/03
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A30/03
Taca da Liga
Esgueira
#9
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A06/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H13/04
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A20/04
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H27/04
LPB
83.1Avg total
42.8Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.280.6-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.042.682.6-2.638%-
Last 30 away (14)38.639.678.3-1.043%-
Last 10 (10)42.840.383.1+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.485.4+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.143.878.9-8.80%-
vs Similar (4)41.840.882.5+1.050%-
vs Weaker (12)43.237.881.0+5.583%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.9
55.3%
51.1%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.9
34.9%
32.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.715.5
71.4%
69.0%15.5
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.518.1
54.0%
51.1%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.8
37.3%
32.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws25.217.8
70.6%
69.0%17.8
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WWLWWWWWLW
Ovarense
WWWLWLWWWL
#4
League position
#6
+8.1
Net rating
+6.1
116.5
Offensive rating
108.2
108.4
Defensive rating
102.1
54.0%
Effective FG%
54.8%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
15.6%
Turnover %
20.6%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.42
34.9%
3-point %
37.3%
53.7%
Assist %
67.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.5 · 108.2Defence108.4 · 102.1Shooting54.0% · 54.8%3-point %34.9% · 37.3%Ball care15.6% · 20.6%Off. rebounds34.6% · 29.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ FC Porto   ■ Ovarense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
FC Porto wins
3
Ovarense wins
DateGameScore
13/04/24Ovarense v FC Porto88-84
01/12/23FC Porto v Ovarense79-72
01/04/23Ovarense v FC Porto86-95
04/03/23FC Porto v Ovarense96-74
18/02/23Ovarense v FC Porto71-67
03/12/22FC Porto v Ovarense91-63
02/01/22FC Porto v Ovarense80-62
16/10/21Ovarense v FC Porto20-0
31/01/21Ovarense v FC Porto56-66
03/11/20FC Porto v Ovarense95-55
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24ALusitania98-67
20/04/24HSporting CP86-72
13/04/24AOvarense84-88
07/04/24HGalomar91-85
29/03/24HVitoria91-84
23/03/24AImortal108-85
17/03/24ABenfica81-78
16/03/24AImortal85-65
13/03/24ABahcesehir Kol.52-88
09/03/24AVitoria88-83
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24HGalomar89-76
20/04/24AImortal97-82
13/04/24HFC Porto88-84
06/04/24AEsgueira82-85
30/03/24AEsgueira82-81
23/03/24HBenfica79-87
09/03/24AOliveirense76-73
02/03/24HPortimonense93-66
17/02/24HGalomar80-76
10/02/24ACD Povoa76-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
Taca da Liga 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game86.887.386.0
Allowed / game70.266.775.5
Point differential+16.6+20.7+10.5
Avg total157.0154.0161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ovarense
Taca da Liga 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game77.682.071.0
Allowed / game91.488.396.0
Point differential-13.8-6.3-25.0
Avg total169.0170.3167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sporting CP550100%95.077.6+17.4
2 Oliveirense550100%86.469.4+17.0
3 FC Porto54180%86.870.2+16.6
4 Benfica54180%85.670.2+15.4
5 Imortal53260%80.476.8+3.6
6 Ovarense53260%77.691.4-13.8
7 Vitoria52340%81.684.0-2.4
8 Galomar51420%79.084.4-5.4
9 Esgueira51420%72.278.0-5.8
10 CD Povoa51420%81.288.6-7.4
11 Portimonense51420%70.885.8-15.0
12 Lusitania5050%76.096.2-20.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto2319202082
Ovarense202342067
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