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FC Porto vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 88-77
18-25 26-21 25-17 19-14
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game60.0
FC Porto 🏆
Portugal
vs
Ovarense
Portugal
Position#7
Record1-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game81.0
PortugalTaca de PortugalTaca de Portugal - Quarter-finals· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2025
Meetings · FC Porto v Ovarense
13 Feb 2027
POR v OVAR
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
POR74
OVAR62
18 Mar 2025
POR75
OVAR77
09 Feb 2025
POR88
OVAR77
23 May 2024
POR77
OVAR60
21 May 2024
POR70
OVAR73
03 May 2024
POR82
OVAR67
01 Dec 2023
POR79
OVAR72
04 Mar 2023
POR96
OVAR74
03 Dec 2022
POR91
OVAR63
02 Jan 2022
POR80
OVAR62
03 Nov 2020
POR95
OVAR55
12 Oct 2019
POR89
OVAR87
25 Apr 2019
POR99
OVAR73
05 Jan 2019
POR104
OVAR84
01 Mar 2018
POR97
OVAR93
07 May 2017
POR92
OVAR63
05 May 2017
POR95
OVAR72
12 Feb 2017
POR89
OVAR73
08 May 2016
POR83
OVAR68
06 May 2016
POR87
OVAR73
06 Mar 2016
POR87
OVAR74
11 Oct 2015
POR64
OVAR59
12 Nov 2011
POR77
OVAR70
12 Dec 2010
POR94
OVAR69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ovarense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#11
W
81-62
81
62
+19
78avg 76
A21/12
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
93-80
93
80
+13
92avg 76
A04/01
LPB
Maroussi
#12
L
81-82
81
82
-1
75avg 76
A08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#10
W
93-53
93
53
+40
93avg 76
A11/01
LPB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
86-75
86
75
+11
84avg 76
H14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#13
W
82-60
82
60
+22
80avg 76
H19/01
Taca de Portugal
Sporting CP
#3
W
83-78
83
78
+5
74avg 76
H25/01
LPB
Tofas
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
77avg 76
A29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#9
L
97-100 OT
97
100
-3
82avg 76
A02/02
LPB
Maroussi
#12
W
80-76
80
76
+4
69avg 76
H05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
27-13
22-22
16-9
31-19
25-17
22-16
15-28
26-19
14-12
22-21
19-30
22-7
20-14
23-18
28-14
25-21
22-16
18-24
21-14
23-12
23-18
15-19
21-11
25-19
17-22
21-21
20-16
25-20
20-29
25-11
20-22
21-23
20-17
20-20
17-18
15-15
19-17
21-23
25-21
161.4Avg total
86.6Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)82.060.0142.0+22.0100%
Season at home (1)82.060.0142.0+22.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.674.8161.4+11.880%
Last 5 (5)86.479.2165.6+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.779.3151.0-7.70%
vs Similar (11)84.682.3166.9+2.464%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)86.672.7159.3+13.993%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Galomar
#12
W
87-78
87
78
+9
77avg 74
H30/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
77-98
77
98
-21
68avg 74
H07/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
79-80
79
80
-1
73avg 74
A14/12
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
87-71
87
71
+16
84avg 74
H21/12
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
81-89 OT
81
89
-8
71avg 74
H04/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
86-84
86
84
+2
80avg 74
H11/01
LPB
Esgueira
#10
W
92-81
92
81
+11
93avg 74
A19/01
Taca de Portugal
Galomar
#12
W
78-67
78
67
+11
72avg 74
A25/01
LPB
Galomar
#7
W
73-60
73
60
+13
61avg 74
A26/01
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
60avg 74
A02/02
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-9
18-20
25-20
23-29
17-23
21-29
20-22
19-24
22-29
20-11
17-17
20-23
16-12
22-15
24-18
25-26
8-15
21-24
19-18
19-10
23-22
27-18
12-19
24-25
27-23
27-13
16-26
22-19
14-19
25-12
15-16
24-20
12-23
26-17
22-12
13-8
19-26
21-18
8-20
27-18
160.5Avg total
81.5Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)92.081.0173.0+11.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)92.081.0173.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.579.0160.5+2.560%
Last 5 (5)80.874.8155.6+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.483.1161.5-4.738%
vs Similar (6)76.372.7149.0+3.767%
vs Weaker (10)84.775.3160.0+9.490%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.4+1.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.4+1.4
FC PortoOvarense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#11
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A21/12
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A04/01
LPB
Maroussi
#12
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#10
W
42-21
42
21
+21
A11/01
LPB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#13
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H19/01
Taca de Portugal
Sporting CP
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H25/01
LPB
Tofas
#4
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A02/02
LPB
Maroussi
#12
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
78.4Avg total
43.6Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.936.877.7+4.067%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.835.776.5+5.179%-
Last 30 away (16)40.937.878.8+3.156%-
Last 10 (10)43.634.878.4+8.890%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.480.0+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.034.070.0+2.067%-
vs Similar (11)40.540.681.2-0.145%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.434.475.9+7.079%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galomar
#12
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H30/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H07/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A14/12
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H21/12
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H04/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H11/01
LPB
Esgueira
#10
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A19/01
Taca de Portugal
Galomar
#12
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A25/01
LPB
Galomar
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A26/01
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A02/02
LPB
78.5Avg total
40.7Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.379.4+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.238.578.7+1.757%-
Last 30 away (16)41.838.280.0+3.662%-
Last 10 (10)40.737.878.5+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)44.238.282.4+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)40.840.481.2+0.546%-
vs Similar (6)34.733.768.3+1.050%-
vs Weaker (10)43.938.782.6+5.280%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.120.9
52.1%
54.9%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.3
32.2%
34.2%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.515.9
74.0%
70.6%15.9
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.319.8
51.7%
54.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.0
34.0%
34.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.614.4
69.9%
70.6%14.4
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WLWWWWWLWW
Ovarense
LWWWWLWLLW
#1
League position
#7
+14.9
Net rating
+3.8
110.3
Offensive rating
108.7
95.4
Defensive rating
105.0
50.5%
Effective FG%
51.4%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
15.1%
Turnover %
16.1%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.2%
3-point %
34.0%
61.9%
Assist %
62.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 108.7Defence95.4 · 105.0Shooting50.5% · 51.4%3-point %32.2% · 34.0%Ball care15.1% · 16.1%Off. rebounds32.4% · 29.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ FC Porto   ■ Ovarense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
FC Porto wins
3
Ovarense wins
DateGameScore
28/05/24Ovarense v FC Porto74-77
26/05/24Ovarense v FC Porto83-86
23/05/24FC Porto v Ovarense77-60
21/05/24FC Porto v Ovarense70-73
03/05/24FC Porto v Ovarense82-67
13/04/24Ovarense v FC Porto88-84
01/12/23FC Porto v Ovarense79-72
01/04/23Ovarense v FC Porto86-95
04/03/23FC Porto v Ovarense96-74
18/02/23Ovarense v FC Porto71-67
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/25HMaroussi80-76
02/02/25AVitoria97-100 OT
29/01/25ATofas90-82
25/01/25HSporting CP83-78
19/01/25HCD Povoa82-60
14/01/25HBasket Zaragoza86-75
11/01/25ACD Povoa93-53
08/01/25AMaroussi81-82
04/01/25AGalitos Barreiro93-80
21/12/24ACA Queluz81-62
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25AGalitos Barreiro75-82
26/01/25AGalomar73-60
25/01/25AGalomar78-67
19/01/25AEsgueira92-81
11/01/25HCA Queluz86-84
04/01/25HEsgueira81-89 OT
21/12/24HImortal87-71
14/12/24AOliveirense79-80
07/12/24HBenfica77-98
30/11/24HGalomar87-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
Taca de Portugal 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game82.082.0-
Allowed / game60.060.0-
Point differential+22.0+22.0-
Avg total142.0142.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Ovarense
Taca de Portugal 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game92.0-92.0
Allowed / game81.0-81.0
Point differential+11.0-+11.0
Avg total173.0-173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica220100%99.572.5+27.0
2 Oliveirense110100%95.071.0+24.0
3 FC Porto110100%82.060.0+22.0
4 Galitos Barreiro110100%76.060.0+16.0
5 Galomar110100%84.069.0+15.0
6 Ovarense110100%92.081.0+11.0
7 Sporting CP110100%79.075.0+4.0
8 Vitoria21150%106.091.5+14.5
9 Imortal1010%75.079.0-4.0
10 Esgueira1010%81.092.0-11.0
11 Ginasio1010%69.084.0-15.0
12 CA Queluz1010%60.076.0-16.0
13 CD Povoa1010%60.082.0-22.0
14 Sangalhos1010%71.095.0-24.0
15 Vasco Da Gama1010%88.0122.0-34.0
16 Portimonense1010%55.0104.0-49.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto1826251988
Ovarense2521171477
← all games of the day
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