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FC Porto vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 79-72
23-22 19-20 20-14 17-16
Position#2
Record6-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game71.2
FC Porto 🏆
Portugal
vs
Ovarense
Portugal
Position#5
Record4-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game79.2
PortugalLPBRound 9· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · FC Porto v Ovarense
13 Feb 2027
POR v OVAR
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
POR74
OVAR62
18 Mar 2025
POR75
OVAR77
09 Feb 2025
POR88
OVAR77
23 May 2024
POR77
OVAR60
21 May 2024
POR70
OVAR73
03 May 2024
POR82
OVAR67
01 Dec 2023
POR79
OVAR72
04 Mar 2023
POR96
OVAR74
03 Dec 2022
POR91
OVAR63
02 Jan 2022
POR80
OVAR62
03 Nov 2020
POR95
OVAR55
12 Oct 2019
POR89
OVAR87
25 Apr 2019
POR99
OVAR73
05 Jan 2019
POR104
OVAR84
01 Mar 2018
POR97
OVAR93
07 May 2017
POR92
OVAR63
05 May 2017
POR95
OVAR72
12 Feb 2017
POR89
OVAR73
08 May 2016
POR83
OVAR68
06 May 2016
POR87
OVAR73
06 Mar 2016
POR87
OVAR74
11 Oct 2015
POR64
OVAR59
12 Nov 2011
POR77
OVAR70
12 Dec 2010
POR94
OVAR69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ovarense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#30
W
89-78
89
78
+11
83avg 81
H24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#9
W
106-82
106
82
+24
113avg 81
H27/10
LPB
Manisa
#13
W
84-67
84
67
+17
77avg 81
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#7
W
94-72
94
72
+22
88avg 81
H04/11
LPB
Norrkoping
#43
W
84-64
84
64
+20
79avg 81
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Lusitania
#12
W
101-70
101
70
+31
101avg 81
A11/11
Taca da Liga
Bakken Bears
#30
L
99-113 OT
99
113
-14
88avg 81
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#8
W
93-67
93
67
+26
88avg 81
H17/11
LPB
Manisa
#13
L
66-75
66
75
-9
54avg 81
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Galomar
#10
W
81-68
81
68
+13
72avg 81
A25/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
22-18
23-19
18-25
23-15
28-21
27-15
28-31
20-18
17-17
24-19
23-13
28-13
25-15
24-23
17-21
21-19
21-8
22-25
20-12
29-21
30-17
28-15
14-17
27-16
23-26
13-17
21-25
25-17
21-16
23-12
24-22
12-26
13-22
19-11
22-16
24-18
23-12
18-21
16-17
165.3Avg total
89.7Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.771.2161.8+19.5100%
Season at home (4)93.070.8163.8+22.2100%
Season away (2)86.072.0158.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.775.6165.3+14.180%
Last 5 (5)88.078.6166.6+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.775.3154.0+3.367%
vs Similar (8)79.984.2164.1-4.438%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)94.779.5174.3+15.284%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#7
L
76-79
76
79
-3
65avg 66
A23/09
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
74avg 66
H30/09
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
85-82
85
82
+3
74avg 66
A07/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
92-91 OT
92
91
+1
no box
H14/10
Taca da Liga
CD Povoa
#6
W
95-93
95
93
+2
96avg 66
H21/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
58-62
58
62
-4
46avg 66
A28/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
79-78
79
78
+1
74avg 66
H04/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
60-111
60
111
-51
44avg 66
A11/11
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
52-84
52
84
-32
42avg 66
A18/11
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
75-71
75
71
+4
77avg 66
H25/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-28
18-20
24-13
18-18
15-12
17-23
20-28
29-22
18-22
18-21
28-12
21-27
17-21
18-23
27-17
19-20
31-23
20-19
22-24
22-27
22-9
13-24
11-8
12-21
24-22
22-12
14-25
19-19
22-32
14-16
10-22
14-41
17-23
9-19
3-29
23-13
15-20
28-15
18-19
14-17
158.9Avg total
75.3Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.179.2154.4-4.150%
Season at home (4)82.581.8164.2+0.875%
Season away (4)67.876.8144.5-9.025%
Last 10 (10)75.383.6158.9-8.350%
Last 5 (5)64.881.2146.0-16.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)69.285.8155.0-16.720%
vs Similar (5)76.075.6151.6+0.460%
vs Weaker (5)77.878.8156.6-1.060%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -3.4-3.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -3.4-3.4
FC PortoOvarense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#30
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#9
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H27/10
LPB
Manisa
#13
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#7
W
53-28
53
28
+25
H04/11
LPB
Norrkoping
#43
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Lusitania
#12
W
59-38
59
38
+21
A11/11
Taca da Liga
Bakken Bears
#30
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#8
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H17/11
LPB
Manisa
#13
L
25-48
25
48
-23
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Galomar
#10
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A25/11
LPB
80.9Avg total
45.8Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.338.983.2+5.370%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.936.480.4+7.575%-
Last 30 away (14)44.641.886.4+2.964%-
Last 10 (10)45.835.180.9+10.790%-
Last 5 (5)45.438.283.6+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.041.377.3-5.333%-
vs Similar (8)35.243.078.2-7.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)49.436.886.2+12.595%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#7
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A23/09
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H30/09
LPB
Lusitania
#12
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A07/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H14/10
Taca da Liga
CD Povoa
#6
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H21/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A28/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H04/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A11/11
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A18/11
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H25/11
LPB
77.8Avg total
37.4Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.941.176.0-6.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.440.375.6-4.943%-
Last 30 away (16)34.641.876.3-7.219%-
Last 10 (10)37.440.477.8-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)37.238.475.6-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)33.542.576.0-9.015%-
vs Similar (5)37.238.075.2-0.860%-
vs Weaker (5)38.238.476.6-0.260%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.2
52.7%
51.0%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.911.0
36.8%
33.5%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.913.7
68.8%
69.3%13.7
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.617.2
42.5%
51.0%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.1
34.6%
33.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.914.0
64.0%
69.3%14.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WLWLWWWWWW
Ovarense
WLLWLWWWLL
#2
League position
#5
+18.3
Net rating
-13.8
114.8
Offensive rating
95.9
96.5
Defensive rating
109.6
53.8%
Effective FG%
45.9%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
16.3%
Turnover %
19.4%
35.3%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.8%
3-point %
34.6%
58.4%
Assist %
70.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 95.9Defence96.5 · 109.6Shooting53.8% · 45.9%3-point %36.8% · 34.6%Ball care16.3% · 19.4%Off. rebounds35.3% · 29.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ FC Porto   ■ Ovarense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
FC Porto wins
3
Ovarense wins
DateGameScore
01/04/23Ovarense v FC Porto86-95
04/03/23FC Porto v Ovarense96-74
18/02/23Ovarense v FC Porto71-67
03/12/22FC Porto v Ovarense91-63
02/01/22FC Porto v Ovarense80-62
16/10/21Ovarense v FC Porto20-0
31/01/21Ovarense v FC Porto56-66
03/11/20FC Porto v Ovarense95-55
05/01/20Ovarense v FC Porto88-84 OT
12/10/19FC Porto v Ovarense89-87
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23AGalomar81-68
22/11/23AManisa66-75
17/11/23HImortal93-67
15/11/23ABakken Bears99-113 OT
11/11/23ALusitania101-70
08/11/23HNorrkoping84-64
04/11/23HVitoria94-72
01/11/23HManisa84-67
27/10/23HEsgueira106-82
24/10/23HBakken Bears89-78
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23HEsgueira75-71
18/11/23ABenfica52-84
11/11/23AOliveirense60-111
04/11/23HOliveirense79-78
28/10/23APortimonense58-62
21/10/23HCD Povoa95-93
14/10/23HCD Povoa92-91 OT
07/10/23ALusitania85-82
30/09/23HSporting CP81-85
23/09/23AVitoria76-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.793.086.0
Allowed / game71.270.872.0
Point differential+19.5+22.2+14.0
Avg total161.8163.8158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ovarense
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game75.182.567.8
Allowed / game79.281.876.8
Point differential-4.1+0.8-9.0
Avg total154.4164.2144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto660100%90.771.2+19.5
2 Sporting CP87188%94.083.0+11.0
3 Oliveirense65183%78.571.8+6.7
4 Portimonense75271%74.175.0-0.9
5 Benfica85362%88.170.0+18.1
6 CD Povoa84450%84.484.1+0.2
7 Ovarense84450%75.179.2-4.1
8 Vitoria83538%78.183.8-5.6
9 Imortal83538%72.080.8-8.8
10 Galomar82625%76.280.6-4.4
11 Esgueira81712%72.086.1-14.1
12 Lusitania7070%74.086.9-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto2319201779
Ovarense2220141672
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