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FC Porto vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 May 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 70-73
27-16 17-23 10-15 16-19
Position#2
Record20-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game74.7
vs
Position#5
Record16-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game79.7
PortugalLPBLPB - Semi-finals· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · FC Porto v Ovarense
13 Feb 2027
POR v OVAR
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
POR74
OVAR62
18 Mar 2025
POR75
OVAR77
09 Feb 2025
POR88
OVAR77
23 May 2024
POR77
OVAR60
21 May 2024
POR70
OVAR73
03 May 2024
POR82
OVAR67
01 Dec 2023
POR79
OVAR72
04 Mar 2023
POR96
OVAR74
03 Dec 2022
POR91
OVAR63
02 Jan 2022
POR80
OVAR62
03 Nov 2020
POR95
OVAR55
12 Oct 2019
POR89
OVAR87
25 Apr 2019
POR99
OVAR73
05 Jan 2019
POR104
OVAR84
01 Mar 2018
POR97
OVAR93
07 May 2017
POR92
OVAR63
05 May 2017
POR95
OVAR72
12 Feb 2017
POR89
OVAR73
08 May 2016
POR83
OVAR68
06 May 2016
POR87
OVAR73
06 Mar 2016
POR87
OVAR74
11 Oct 2015
POR64
OVAR59
12 Nov 2011
POR77
OVAR70
12 Dec 2010
POR94
OVAR69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ovarense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#7
W
91-84
91
84
+7
85avg 77
H29/03
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#10
W
91-85
91
85
+6
85avg 77
H07/04
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
84-88
84
88
-4
72avg 77
A13/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
W
86-72
86
72
+14
80avg 77
H20/04
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
98-67
98
67
+31
90avg 77
A27/04
LPB
Ovarense
#6
W
82-67
82
67
+15
75avg 77
H03/05
Taca da Liga
Oliveirense
#3
W
71-62
71
62
+9
59avg 77
A04/05
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
66-72
66
72
-6
61avg 77
H05/05
Taca da Liga
Imortal
#8
W
90-71
90
71
+19
89avg 77
H10/05
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
82-66
82
66
+16
76avg 77
A13/05
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
19-32
31-15
20-17
24-20
19-27
22-23
26-15
22-22
21-19
25-18
16-29
23-17
18-22
26-22
19-11
32-17
26-16
22-14
18-20
23-20
19-23
20-4
20-20
12-13
20-12
15-25
24-12
19-18
16-17
18-20
13-17
25-18
22-14
21-22
22-17
28-21
15-21
20-11
19-13
157.5Avg total
84.1Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)88.574.7163.1+13.883%
Season at home (12)88.673.7162.2+14.9100%
Season away (12)88.375.7164.0+12.767%
Last 10 (10)84.173.4157.5+10.780%
Last 5 (5)78.267.6145.8+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.484.0161.4-6.640%
vs Similar (6)77.272.0149.2+5.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)88.474.2162.6+14.289%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#3
W
76-73
76
73
+3
75avg 76
A09/03
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
79-87
79
87
-8
72avg 76
H23/03
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
82-81
82
81
+1
79avg 76
A30/03
Taca da Liga
Esgueira
#9
L
82-85
82
85
-3
75avg 76
A06/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
88-84
88
84
+4
82avg 76
H13/04
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
97-82
97
82
+15
101avg 76
A20/04
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
89-76
89
76
+13
93avg 76
H27/04
LPB
FC Porto
#4
L
67-82
67
82
-15
52avg 76
A03/05
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
W
87-81
87
81
+6
88avg 76
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
91avg 76
H13/05
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
20-14
16-17
19-24
20-25
24-20
16-21
19-21
21-13
15-25
21-19
25-24
23-21
27-19
16-29
16-16
22-22
19-21
18-25
29-16
38-18
16-24
27-23
16-17
21-23
18-21
25-17
25-15
20-23
23-19
4-20
20-20
25-21
26-9
16-20
20-31
24-23
22-19
19-27
13-9
166.2Avg total
84.0Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)82.279.7161.9+2.567%
Season at home (12)86.880.8167.6+6.183%
Season away (12)77.678.7156.2-1.150%
Last 10 (10)84.082.2166.2+1.870%
Last 5 (5)86.682.4169.0+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)78.486.9165.3-8.450%
vs Similar (3)82.080.3162.3+1.7100%
vs Weaker (12)84.076.3160.3+7.775%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.9+0.9
FC PortoOvarense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#7
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H29/03
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H07/04
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A13/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H20/04
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
58-33
58
33
+25
A27/04
LPB
Ovarense
#6
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H03/05
Taca da Liga
Oliveirense
#3
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A04/05
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H05/05
Taca da Liga
Imortal
#8
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H10/05
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A13/05
LPB
81.3Avg total
42.4Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.439.381.7+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.438.883.1+5.671%-
Last 30 away (16)40.839.880.5+1.056%-
Last 10 (10)42.438.981.3+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.835.475.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.840.878.6-3.060%-
vs Similar (6)35.838.073.8-2.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)45.739.385.1+6.468%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#3
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A09/03
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H23/03
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A30/03
Taca da Liga
Esgueira
#9
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A06/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H13/04
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A20/04
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H27/04
LPB
FC Porto
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A03/05
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
W
51-30
51
30
+21
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H13/05
LPB
84.3Avg total
44.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.080.9+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.441.282.7+0.244%-
Last 30 away (14)40.238.678.8+1.657%-
Last 10 (10)44.539.884.3+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)46.640.086.6+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.241.579.7-3.321%-
vs Similar (3)44.338.382.7+6.067%-
vs Weaker (12)43.237.881.0+5.583%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.921.2
54.5%
51.0%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.5
34.3%
33.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.413.0
60.7%
69.3%13.0
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.7
51.3%
51.0%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.3
36.9%
33.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws27.619.7
71.4%
69.3%19.7
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WWLWWWWLWW
Ovarense
WWLWWWLWLW
#2
League position
#5
+16.0
Net rating
+2.1
112.7
Offensive rating
106.4
96.7
Defensive rating
104.3
53.2%
Effective FG%
53.0%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
16.4%
Turnover %
20.3%
35.7%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.46
34.3%
3-point %
36.9%
52.1%
Assist %
67.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 106.4Defence96.7 · 104.3Shooting53.2% · 53.0%3-point %34.3% · 36.9%Ball care16.4% · 20.3%Off. rebounds35.7% · 28.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.46Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ FC Porto   ■ Ovarense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
FC Porto wins
3
Ovarense wins
DateGameScore
03/05/24FC Porto v Ovarense82-67
13/04/24Ovarense v FC Porto88-84
01/12/23FC Porto v Ovarense79-72
01/04/23Ovarense v FC Porto86-95
04/03/23FC Porto v Ovarense96-74
18/02/23Ovarense v FC Porto71-67
03/12/22FC Porto v Ovarense91-63
02/01/22FC Porto v Ovarense80-62
16/10/21Ovarense v FC Porto20-0
31/01/21Ovarense v FC Porto56-66
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/24AImortal82-66
10/05/24HImortal90-71
05/05/24HBenfica66-72
04/05/24AOliveirense71-62
03/05/24HOvarense82-67
27/04/24ALusitania98-67
20/04/24HSporting CP86-72
13/04/24AOvarense84-88
07/04/24HGalomar91-85
29/03/24HVitoria91-84
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/24HSporting CP93-91 OT
10/05/24ASporting CP87-81
03/05/24AFC Porto67-82
27/04/24HGalomar89-76
20/04/24AImortal97-82
13/04/24HFC Porto88-84
06/04/24AEsgueira82-85
30/03/24AEsgueira82-81
23/03/24HBenfica79-87
09/03/24AOliveirense76-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game88.588.688.3
Allowed / game74.773.775.7
Point differential+13.8+14.9+12.7
Avg total163.1162.2164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ovarense
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %67%83%50%
Points / game82.286.877.6
Allowed / game79.780.878.7
Point differential+2.5+6.1-1.1
Avg total161.9167.6156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (14)88% (8)50% (6)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica2420483%90.668.9+21.7
2 FC Porto2420483%88.574.7+13.8
3 Oliveirense2518772%81.374.7+6.6
4 Ovarense2416867%82.279.7+2.5
5 Sporting CP2415962%89.180.8+8.4
6 CD Povoa25131252%81.083.8-2.8
7 Vitoria24111346%79.380.1-0.8
8 Imortal2481633%77.384.7-7.4
9 Esgueira2271532%74.384.5-10.2
10 Galomar2261627%74.381.2-7.0
11 Portimonense2261627%71.580.0-8.5
12 Lusitania221215%72.693.0-20.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto2717101670
Ovarense1623151973
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