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FC Porto vs Portimonense Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 17 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game91.6
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
2.8/10
🧊 Cold
Position#11
Record1-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game89.0
PortugalLPBRound 21· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · FC Porto v Portimonense
17 Apr 2027
POR v PORT
upcoming
27 Jan 2024
POR79
PORT56
03 Dec 2023
POR88
PORT75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Portimonense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#8
W
110-93
110
93
+17
107avg 80
A02/10
LPB
Bonn
#14
L
74-78
74
78
-4
65avg 80
A07/10
Champions League
Benfica
#1
W
93-86
93
86
+7
80avg 80
H11/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
95-91
95
91
+4
91avg 80
A16/10
LPB
Bnei Herzliya
#47
W
86-74
86
74
+12
81avg 80
A21/10
Champions League
CAB Madeira
#10
W
93-82
93
82
+11
90avg 80
H25/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
76-78
76
78
-2
66avg 80
A31/10
LPB
Joventut Badalona
#2
L
64-81
64
81
-17
no box
H03/11
Champions League
Braga
#6
W
81-76
81
76
+5
no box
H08/11
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
93-65
93
65
+28
no box
A13/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
28-23
29-28
27-22
16-25
16-18
16-19
26-16
16-26
24-19
32-27
21-14
25-27
24-19
22-14
24-31
22-16
25-13
16-27
23-18
26-15
22-20
18-21
27-26
12-23
24-15
20-17
20-23
17-14
6-26
16-11
25-30
20-21
29-29
15-13
17-13
23-16
26-10
23-17
21-22
166.9Avg total
86.5Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)91.681.6173.1+10.086%
Season at home (3)89.081.3170.3+7.7100%
Season away (4)93.581.8175.2+11.875%
Last 10 (10)86.580.4166.9+6.170%
Last 5 (5)81.476.4157.8+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)82.079.8161.8+2.262%
vs Similar (7)81.978.6160.4+3.371%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)91.678.3169.9+13.387%
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortimonense
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
96avg 67
H09/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
71-68 OT
71
68
+3
58avg 67
A16/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
86-90 OT
86
90
-4
81avg 67
A17/05
Proliga
Oliveirense
#4
L
82-91
82
91
-9
44avg 67
H03/10
LPB
Braga
#6
L
71-105
71
105
-34
62avg 67
A11/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
83-87
83
87
-4
80avg 67
H17/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
72-74
72
74
-2
68avg 67
A24/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-86
72
86
-14
68avg 67
H31/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
74-84
74
84
-10
no box
A07/11
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
97-96 OT
97
96
+1
no box
H14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
27-23
20-18
18-23
20-22
17-15
13-14
9-8
19-23
26-21
16-18
22-21
20-34
19-19
16-16
27-22
18-28
21-33
18-17
14-27
20-28
18-18
24-22
21-19
21-24
13-19
20-15
18-16
19-16
19-27
16-14
18-29
15-19
14-19
15-23
30-23
41-21
13-25
15-14
18-27
167.2Avg total
79.8Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.789.0167.7-10.314%
Season at home (4)83.590.0173.5-6.525%
Season away (3)72.387.7160.0-15.30%
Last 10 (10)79.887.4167.2-7.620%
Last 5 (5)79.685.4165.0-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.283.1159.3-6.825%
vs Similar (6)73.874.7148.5-0.850%
vs Weaker (12)82.177.9160.0+4.258%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.0-2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.0-2.0
FC PortoPortimonense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#8
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A02/10
LPB
Bonn
#14
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A07/10
Champions League
Benfica
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H11/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A16/10
LPB
Bnei Herzliya
#47
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A21/10
Champions League
CAB Madeira
#10
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H25/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A31/10
LPB
Joventut Badalona
#2
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H03/11
Champions League
Braga
#6
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H08/11
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
49-26
49
26
+23
A13/11
LPB
82.2Avg total
42.7Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.640.685.2+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.939.484.3+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)44.341.886.1+2.553%-
Last 10 (10)42.739.582.2+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.878.8+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.942.179.0-5.225%-
vs Similar (7)45.444.990.3+0.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)48.337.886.1+10.593%-
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H09/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A16/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A17/05
Proliga
Oliveirense
#4
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H03/10
LPB
Braga
#6
L
39-61
39
61
-22
A11/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H17/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A24/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H31/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A07/11
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H14/11
LPB
84.7Avg total
39.6Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.540.577.9-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.440.680.0-1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)35.840.476.1-4.625%-
Last 10 (10)39.645.184.7-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.281.8-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.343.080.3-5.725%-
vs Similar (6)36.538.575.0-2.033%-
vs Weaker (12)38.138.977.0-0.842%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.4
49.6%
51.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.511.5
36.5%
31.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws20.014.8
74.0%
71.1%14.8
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Portimonensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portimonense: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.6
49.9%
51.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.0
28.5%
31.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws22.914.1
61.6%
71.1%14.1
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WWLLWWWWLW
Portimonense
WLLLLLLLWL
#2
League position
#11
+6.5
Net rating
-10.0
95.9
Offensive rating
79.5
89.5
Defensive rating
89.5
52.0%
Effective FG%
47.0%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
14.8%
Turnover %
20.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.5%
3-point %
28.5%
60.2%
Assist %
76.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence95.9 · 79.5Defence89.5 · 89.5Shooting52.0% · 47.0%3-point %36.5% · 28.5%Ball care14.8% · 20.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ FC Porto   ■ Portimonense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
FC Porto wins
0
Portimonense wins
DateGameScore
27/01/24FC Porto v Portimonense79-56
20/01/24Portimonense v FC Porto73-81
03/12/23FC Porto v Portimonense88-75
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AVitoria93-65
08/11/26HBraga81-76
03/11/26HJoventut Badalona64-81
31/10/26AOvarense76-78
25/10/26HCAB Madeira93-82
21/10/26ABnei Herzliya86-74
16/10/26AEsgueira95-91
11/10/26HBenfica93-86
07/10/26ABonn74-78
02/10/26ACA Queluz110-93
Portimonenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HEsgueira97-96 OT
07/11/26ACD Povoa74-84
31/10/26HBenfica72-86
24/10/26AVitoria72-74
17/10/26HCA Queluz83-87
11/10/26ABraga71-105
03/10/26HOliveirense82-91
17/05/26ACD Povoa86-90 OT
16/05/26ACD Povoa71-68 OT
09/05/26HCD Povoa90-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game91.689.093.5
Allowed / game81.681.381.8
Point differential+10.0+7.7+11.8
Avg total173.1170.3175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Portimonense
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW14%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game78.783.572.3
Allowed / game89.090.087.7
Point differential-10.3-6.5-15.3
Avg total167.7173.5160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica76186%88.373.6+14.7
2 FC Porto76186%91.681.6+10.0
3 Ovarense76186%84.476.9+7.6
4 Oliveirense64267%92.290.0+2.2
5 Sporting CP74357%83.674.6+9.0
6 Braga74357%88.181.1+7.0
7 CD Povoa74357%75.075.3-0.3
8 CA Queluz63350%87.891.7-3.8
9 Vitoria72529%68.783.9-15.1
10 CAB Madeira71614%82.786.4-3.7
11 Portimonense71614%78.789.0-10.3
12 Esgueira7070%80.397.7-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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