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FC Porto vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 71-89
14-21 22-16 22-30 13-22
Position#36
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Varese 🏆
Position#4
Record3-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game73.8
EuropeFIBA Europe Cup
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Imortal
#12
W
94-65
94
65
+29
no box
H06/10
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
79-76
79
76
+3
no box
A13/10
LPB
Alba Fehervar
#7
L
92-96 OT
92
96
-4
no box
H17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Terceira
#11
L
75-86
75
86
-11
no box
H20/10
LPB
Varese
#4
L
75-84
75
84
-9
no box
A24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lusitania
#6
L
78-85
78
85
-7
no box
A27/10
LPB
Rilski Sportist
#34
W
88-81
88
81
+7
no box
A31/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#2
L
88-93
88
93
-5
no box
A03/11
LPB
Alba Fehervar
#7
L
70-72
70
72
-2
no box
A06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Oliveirense
#1
L
82-96
82
96
-14
no box
H11/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
26-13
24-17
28-22
18-25
24-14
15-11
22-26
14-13
27-26
22-18
19-25
25-25
25-21
11-18
14-22
19-27
25-22
16-17
15-18
24-21
14-19
16-20
24-25
20-18
22-17
18-22
28-24
25-20
22-25
17-19
24-29
21-18
27-18
10-17
12-19
24-18
14-29
26-21
18-28
165.5Avg total
82.1Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.283.2164.5-2.025%
Season at home (1)92.096.0188.0-4.00%
Season away (3)77.779.0156.7-1.333%
Last 10 (10)82.183.4165.5-1.330%
Last 5 (5)81.285.4166.6-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.589.1165.6-12.50%
vs Similar (7)89.783.1172.9+6.671%
vs Weaker (12)92.278.8170.9+13.483%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Brescia
#12
W
81-80
81
80
+1
110avg 111
H07/10
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
60-71
60
71
-11
79avg 111
A14/10
Lega A
Rilski Sportist
#34
W
95-76
95
76
+19
no box
A17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
W
93-85
93
85
+8
123avg 111
H21/10
Lega A
FC Porto
#36
W
84-75
84
75
+9
no box
H24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trieste
#10
W
78-66
78
66
+12
109avg 111
H28/10
Lega A
Alba Fehervar
#7
L
77-85
77
85
-8
no box
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Reggiana
#14
L
68-74
68
74
-6
164avg 111
A04/11
Lega A
Rilski Sportist
#34
W
86-59
86
59
+27
no box
H07/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#9
L
79-83
79
83
-4
108avg 111
H11/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
22-19
23-23
15-16
8-16
10-15
27-21
15-19
29-16
25-17
25-24
16-19
23-20
22-13
28-25
20-27
27-19
22-25
17-16
18-15
21-17
25-23
21-15
11-11
19-19
18-16
18-22
22-28
21-16
12-17
14-19
21-22
23-17
22-12
21-18
20-12
19-22
24-20
21-20
15-21
155.5Avg total
80.1Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.573.8159.2+11.875%
Season at home (2)85.067.0152.0+18.0100%
Season away (2)86.080.5166.5+5.550%
Last 10 (10)80.175.4155.5+4.760%
Last 5 (5)77.673.4151.0+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.072.0148.0+4.0100%
vs Similar (16)77.574.9152.4+2.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)81.076.8157.8+4.262%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -1.7-1.7
FC PortoVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#12
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H06/10
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A13/10
LPB
Alba Fehervar
#7
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Terceira
#11
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H20/10
LPB
Varese
#4
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lusitania
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A27/10
LPB
Rilski Sportist
#34
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A31/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A03/11
LPB
Alba Fehervar
#7
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Oliveirense
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H11/11
LPB
83.4Avg total
43.2Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.140.884.9+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.843.187.8+1.762%-
Last 30 away (17)43.539.182.6+4.559%-
Last 10 (10)43.240.283.4+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.683.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.443.983.3-4.527%-
vs Similar (7)44.736.381.0+8.486%-
vs Weaker (12)48.040.688.6+7.475%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H07/10
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
18-31
18
31
-13
A14/10
Lega A
Rilski Sportist
#34
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H21/10
Lega A
FC Porto
#36
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trieste
#10
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H28/10
Lega A
Alba Fehervar
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Reggiana
#14
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A04/11
Lega A
Rilski Sportist
#34
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H07/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H11/11
Lega A
77.4Avg total
41.3Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.136.277.3+4.877%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.035.379.3+8.793%-
Last 30 away (15)38.137.175.3+1.060%-
Last 10 (10)41.336.177.4+5.280%-
Last 5 (5)40.835.876.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.036.078.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (16)40.237.177.4+3.175%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.035.277.2+6.877%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.1
52.8%
52.5%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.99.6
31.1%
34.1%28.8
🏀 Free throws16.911.1
65.7%
73.2%11.1
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
FC Porto wins
1
Varese wins
DateGameScore
24/10/18Varese v FC Porto84-75
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/18HOliveirense82-96
06/11/18AAlba Fehervar70-72
03/11/18ABenfica88-93
31/10/18ARilski Sportist88-81
27/10/18ALusitania78-85
24/10/18AVarese75-84
20/10/18HTerceira75-86
17/10/18HAlba Fehervar92-96 OT
13/10/18AOvarense79-76
06/10/18HImortal94-65
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/18HAvellino79-83
07/11/18HRilski Sportist86-59
04/11/18AReggiana68-74
30/10/18AAlba Fehervar77-85
28/10/18HTrieste78-66
24/10/18HFC Porto84-75
21/10/18HTrento93-85
17/10/18ARilski Sportist95-76
14/10/18ASassari60-71
07/10/18HBrescia81-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%0%33%
Points / game81.292.077.7
Allowed / game83.296.079.0
Point differential-2.0-4.0-1.3
Avg total164.5188.0156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %25%100%0%
Varese
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game85.585.086.0
Allowed / game73.867.080.5
Point differential+11.8+18.0+5.5
Avg total159.2152.0166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears550100%106.675.4+31.2
2 Lukoil Levski550100%88.876.8+12.0
3 Sassari76186%96.078.0+18.0
4 Leiden76186%78.070.7+7.3
5 Alba Fehervar76186%87.080.4+6.6
6 Saratov54180%97.888.4+9.4
7 Szolnoki Olaj54180%85.078.6+6.4
8 Donar Groningen54180%79.473.4+6.0
9 Z-Mobile Prishtina54180%85.882.6+3.2
10 Varese43175%85.573.8+11.8
11 Nes Ziona96367%89.881.7+8.1
12 Kataja96367%84.480.7+3.8
13 Spirou Charleroi53260%82.669.4+13.2
14 Karsiyaka53260%80.872.4+8.4
15 Minsk53260%84.082.2+1.8
16 s.Oliver Wurzburg53260%75.475.0+0.4
17 AEK Larnaca53260%73.476.6-3.2
18 Den Bosch74357%83.378.4+4.9
19 Balkan74357%79.174.4+4.7
20 Keravnos21150%64.068.0-4.0
21 Lavrio21150%70.074.5-4.5
22 Cluj Napoca21150%83.589.5-6.0
23 BC Lulea21150%64.080.0-16.0
24 Cherkaski Mavpy94544%81.284.0-2.8
25 Sakarya BB52340%79.276.6+2.6
26 Aris52340%72.671.2+1.4
27 Szombathely52340%77.283.0-5.8
28 Istanbul BB93633%71.978.7-6.8
29 FC Porto41325%81.283.2-2.0
30 BC Dnipro92722%70.778.2-7.6
31 Belfius Mons51420%74.878.4-3.6
32 CSM Oradea51420%77.084.6-7.6
33 Rilski Sportist71614%77.489.1-11.7
34 HydroTruck Radom2020%67.080.5-13.5
35 Kapfenberg Bulls2020%59.573.5-14.0
36 Sodertalje2020%71.586.0-14.5
37 Leicester Riders5050%73.288.4-15.2
38 Kongsberg Miners2020%76.592.0-15.5
39 BC Steaua Bucuresti5050%68.289.8-21.6
40 Svitavy2020%76.098.5-22.5
41 Pardubice5050%76.0100.2-24.2
42 Benfica2020%79.0105.5-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 42 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto1422221371
Varese2116302289
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