PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Reggiana vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 74-68
16-21 17-12 19-14 22-21
Position#14
Record1-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game89.8
vs
Position#7
Record3-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game75.5
ItalyLega ARound 5
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Reggiana v Varese
14 Nov 2026
REG v VAR
upcoming
19 Oct 2025
REG103
VAR79
22 Dec 2024
REG97
VAR80
17 Mar 2024
REG113
VAR80
22 Oct 2022
REG81
VAR87
18 Feb 2022
REG82
VAR84
11 Apr 2021
REG95
VAR77
23 Nov 2019
REG81
VAR74
04 Nov 2018
REG74
VAR68
16 Dec 2017
REG76
VAR66
09 Apr 2017
REG73
VAR68
27 Dec 2015
REG86
VAR69
08 Feb 2015
REG86
VAR70
18 Jan 2014
REG73
VAR80
24 Mar 2013
REG74
VAR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Reggiana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ReggianaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReggiana
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
L
73-80
73
80
-7
100avg 112
A15/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
91-84
91
84
+7
123avg 112
H18/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
89-82
89
82
+7
123avg 112
H23/04
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
79-90
79
90
-11
106avg 112
A29/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
72-75
72
75
-3
92avg 112
A06/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
104-99
104
99
+5
136avg 112
H09/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
85-77
85
77
+8
115avg 112
H07/10
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
79-83
79
83
-4
108avg 112
A14/10
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
85-98
85
98
-13
116avg 112
H21/10
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
95-101
95
101
-6
120avg 112
A28/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-28
25-15
24-12
14-25
27-22
18-20
22-21
24-21
18-21
22-21
25-18
24-22
25-24
20-21
17-24
17-21
17-22
13-22
24-16
18-15
25-15
25-16
27-32
27-36
21-16
17-27
24-20
23-14
21-27
18-15
28-18
12-23
19-24
24-26
17-21
25-27
25-29
20-20
27-21
23-31
172.1Avg total
85.2Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.089.8175.8-3.825%
Season at home (2)85.087.5172.5-2.550%
Season away (2)87.092.0179.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)85.286.9172.1-1.740%
Last 5 (5)89.691.6181.2-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)73.777.1150.8-3.440%
vs Similar (16)82.184.6166.8-2.544%
vs Weaker (4)83.580.0163.5+3.575%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
61-68
61
68
-7
86avg 111
A12/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
75-77
75
77
-2
104avg 111
A14/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
64-69 OT
64
69
-5
no box
H16/05
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
81-80
81
80
+1
110avg 111
H07/10
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
60-71
60
71
-11
79avg 111
A14/10
Lega A
Rilski Sportist
#34
W
95-76
95
76
+19
no box
A17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
W
93-85
93
85
+8
123avg 111
H21/10
Lega A
FC Porto
#36
W
84-75
84
75
+9
no box
H24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trieste
#10
W
78-66
78
66
+12
109avg 111
H28/10
Lega A
Alba Fehervar
#7
L
77-85
77
85
-8
no box
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
20-18
12-24
9-13
22-14
18-23
20-16
15-24
8-14
18-9
24-20
10-17
21-22
22-19
23-23
15-16
8-16
10-15
27-21
15-19
29-16
25-17
25-24
16-19
23-20
22-13
28-25
20-27
27-19
22-25
17-16
18-15
21-17
25-23
21-15
11-11
19-19
18-16
18-22
22-28
152.0Avg total
76.8Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.075.5153.5+2.575%
Season at home (3)84.077.0161.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)60.071.0131.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)76.875.2152.0+1.650%
Last 5 (5)85.477.4162.8+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.072.0148.0+4.0100%
vs Similar (17)77.275.4152.6+1.853%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.480.0162.4+2.458%
This opponent (Reggiana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -3.8-3.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -3.8-3.8
ReggianaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A15/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H18/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H23/04
Lega A
Cantu
#9
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A29/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A06/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H09/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H07/10
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A14/10
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H21/10
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A28/10
Lega A
84.1Avg total
41.0Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.378.7-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.239.577.7-1.340%-
Last 30 away (15)38.641.279.8-2.640%-
Last 10 (10)41.043.184.1-2.120%-
Last 5 (5)43.043.086.0+0.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.238.572.7-4.320%-
vs Similar (16)40.141.281.2-1.144%-
vs Weaker (4)42.241.583.8+0.875%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A12/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A14/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H16/05
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H07/10
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
18-31
18
31
-13
A14/10
Lega A
Rilski Sportist
#34
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H21/10
Lega A
FC Porto
#36
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trieste
#10
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H28/10
Lega A
Alba Fehervar
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
74.6Avg total
39.8Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.536.577.1+4.073%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.635.478.9+8.293%-
Last 30 away (16)37.937.675.4+0.356%-
Last 10 (10)39.834.874.6+5.090%-
Last 5 (5)46.237.083.2+9.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.036.078.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (17)39.636.676.2+2.971%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.836.478.2+5.375%-
This opponent (Reggiana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Reggianatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Reggiana: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.5
54.5%
51.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.5
37.7%
35.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.616.7
81.1%
72.3%16.7
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.617.3
51.5%
51.0%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.99.7
32.4%
35.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.311.5
66.5%
72.3%11.5
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Reggiana
LLLWWLLWWL
Varese
LWWWWLWLLL
#14
League position
#7
-2.5
Net rating
+1.1
110.0
Offensive rating
102.7
112.5
Defensive rating
101.6
55.3%
Effective FG%
50.2%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
18.0%
Turnover %
17.8%
21.5%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.7%
3-point %
32.4%
68.3%
Assist %
60.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 102.7Defence112.5 · 101.6Shooting55.3% · 50.2%3-point %37.7% · 32.4%Ball care18.0% · 17.8%Off. rebounds21.5% · 29.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Reggiana   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Reggiana wins
5
Varese wins
DateGameScore
15/04/18Varese v Reggiana80-73
16/12/17Reggiana v Varese76-66
09/04/17Reggiana v Varese73-68
11/12/16Varese v Reggiana81-71
24/04/16Varese v Reggiana77-69
27/12/15Reggiana v Varese86-69
08/02/15Reggiana v Varese86-70
25/10/14Varese v Reggiana112-118 OT
18/01/14Reggiana v Varese73-80
13/10/13Varese v Reggiana83-64
Reggianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/18ACantu95-101
21/10/18HTorino85-98
14/10/18ABrescia79-83
07/10/18HSassari85-77
09/05/18HVirtus Bologna104-99
06/05/18ABrindisi72-75
29/04/18ACantu79-90
23/04/18HTorino89-82
18/04/18HCremona91-84
15/04/18AVarese73-80
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/18AAlba Fehervar77-85
28/10/18HTrieste78-66
24/10/18HFC Porto84-75
21/10/18HTrento93-85
17/10/18ARilski Sportist95-76
14/10/18ASassari60-71
07/10/18HBrescia81-80
16/05/18HBrescia64-69 OT
14/05/18ABrescia75-77
12/05/18ABrescia61-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Reggiana
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game86.085.087.0
Allowed / game89.887.592.0
Point differential-3.8-2.5-5.0
Avg total175.8172.5179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game78.084.060.0
Allowed / game75.577.071.0
Point differential+2.5+7.0-11.0
Avg total153.5161.0131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia440100%89.267.5+21.8
2 Olimpia Milano440100%98.884.0+14.8
3 Sassari43175%83.577.8+5.8
4 Cantu43175%90.586.0+4.5
5 Cremona43175%90.287.2+3.0
6 Varese43175%78.075.5+2.5
7 Avellino53260%92.683.4+9.2
8 Brindisi42250%88.585.0+3.5
9 Torino42250%85.282.8+2.5
10 Virtus Bologna42250%83.287.5-4.2
11 Brescia41325%80.881.8-1.0
12 Reggiana41325%86.089.8-3.8
13 Trieste41325%79.585.5-6.0
14 Pesaro41325%75.089.8-14.8
15 Trento5050%78.495.6-17.2
16 Pistoia4040%75.894.2-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Reggiana1617192274
Varese2112142168
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.