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Varese vs Trieste Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 78-66
21-17 25-23 21-15 11-11
Position#7
Record2-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game78.7
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Trieste
Italy
Position#10
Record1-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game88.0
ItalyLega ARound 4
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Varese v Trieste
10 Oct 2026
VAR85
TRI84
21 Dec 2025
VAR84
TRI69
04 May 2025
VAR85
TRI80
18 Dec 2022
VAR104
TRI99
13 Apr 2022
VAR76
TRI92
25 Apr 2021
VAR73
TRI79
19 Jan 2020
VAR91
TRI85
28 Oct 2018
VAR78
TRI66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Cremona
#10
W
89-79
89
79
+10
126avg 111
H06/05
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
83-92
83
92
-9
118avg 111
A09/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
61-68
61
68
-7
86avg 111
A12/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
75-77
75
77
-2
104avg 111
A14/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
64-69 OT
64
69
-5
no box
H16/05
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
81-80
81
80
+1
110avg 111
H07/10
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
60-71
60
71
-11
79avg 111
A14/10
Lega A
Rilski Sportist
#34
W
95-76
95
76
+19
no box
A17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
W
93-85
93
85
+8
123avg 111
H21/10
Lega A
FC Porto
#36
W
84-75
84
75
+9
no box
H24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
23-23
22-20
20-19
25-14
16-26
20-29
22-23
20-13
20-18
12-24
9-13
22-14
18-23
20-16
15-24
8-14
18-9
24-20
10-17
21-22
22-19
23-23
15-16
8-16
10-15
27-21
15-19
29-16
25-17
25-24
16-19
23-20
22-13
28-25
20-27
27-19
22-25
17-16
18-15
155.7Avg total
78.5Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.078.7156.7-0.767%
Season at home (2)87.082.5169.5+4.5100%
Season away (1)60.071.0131.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)78.577.2155.7+1.350%
Last 5 (5)82.677.4160.0+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.072.0148.0+4.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (16)77.176.0153.1+1.150%
vs Weaker (13)81.977.5159.4+4.562%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Poderosa Montegranaro
#7
W
71-65
71
65
+6
no box
A20/05
A2 - Play Offs
Treviso
#4
W
84-78
84
78
+6
no box
H27/05
A2 - Play Offs
Treviso
#4
W
69-65
69
65
+4
no box
H29/05
A2 - Play Offs
Treviso
#4
W
86-54
86
54
+32
no box
A01/06
A2 - Play Offs
Casale Monferrato
#2
W
83-79
83
79
+4
no box
H10/06
A2 - Play Offs
Casale Monferrato
#2
W
80-69
80
69
+11
no box
H12/06
A2 - Play Offs
Casale Monferrato
#2
W
72-63
72
63
+9
no box
A16/06
A2 - Play Offs
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
88-92
88
92
-4
116avg 113
H07/10
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
74-86
74
86
-12
103avg 113
A13/10
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
90-86
90
86
+4
118avg 113
H21/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-8
21-22
16-22
15-13
19-20
17-20
24-18
24-20
19-18
19-12
20-20
11-15
17-14
25-12
20-9
24-19
19-22
18-21
19-14
27-22
19-12
16-16
28-18
17-23
16-15
21-16
16-12
19-20
19-27
20-24
26-14
23-27
22-24
15-22
24-15
13-25
24-19
18-25
27-20
21-22
153.4Avg total
79.7Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.088.0172.0-4.033%
Season at home (2)89.089.0178.0+0.050%
Season away (1)74.086.0160.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)79.773.7153.4+6.080%
Last 5 (5)80.879.2160.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)65.779.7145.3-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)79.774.7154.3+5.050%
vs Weaker (21)80.471.4151.9+9.081%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -1.2-1.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -1.2-1.2
VareseTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#10
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H06/05
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A09/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A12/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A14/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H16/05
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H07/10
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
18-31
18
31
-13
A14/10
Lega A
Rilski Sportist
#34
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H21/10
Lega A
FC Porto
#36
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
75.6Avg total
40.3Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.036.476.4+3.770%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.234.677.9+8.693%-
Last 30 away (16)37.237.975.1-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)40.335.375.6+5.090%-
Last 5 (5)41.836.478.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.036.078.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.236.475.6+2.869%-
vs Weaker (13)40.936.377.2+4.669%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poderosa Montegranaro
#7
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A20/05
A2 - Play Offs
Treviso
#4
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H27/05
A2 - Play Offs
Treviso
#4
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H29/05
A2 - Play Offs
Treviso
#4
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A01/06
A2 - Play Offs
Casale Monferrato
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H10/06
A2 - Play Offs
Casale Monferrato
#2
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H12/06
A2 - Play Offs
Casale Monferrato
#2
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A16/06
A2 - Play Offs
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H07/10
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A13/10
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H21/10
Lega A
75.2Avg total
38.3Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.337.277.5+3.153%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.237.078.2+4.259%-
Last 30 away (13)39.037.576.5+1.546%-
Last 10 (10)38.336.975.2+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.040.078.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.044.380.3-8.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.336.777.0+3.750%-
vs Weaker (21)40.936.377.2+4.562%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.717.1
52.3%
51.0%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.7
32.9%
35.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.612.1
68.8%
72.3%12.1
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.3 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.3 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.7
55.1%
51.0%39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.312.3
43.5%
35.1%37.0
🏀 Free throws12.08.3
69.4%
72.3%8.3
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/3 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WWWLWLLLLW
Trieste
WLLWWWWWWW
#7
League position
#10
+0.4
Net rating
-4.5
104.1
Offensive rating
113.2
103.7
Defensive rating
117.7
50.9%
Effective FG%
59.6%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
60.6%
17.2%
Turnover %
21.9%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.19
32.9%
3-point %
43.5%
62.3%
Assist %
54.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 113.2Defence103.7 · 117.7Shooting50.9% · 59.6%3-point %32.9% · 43.5%Ball care17.2% · 21.9%Off. rebounds27.7% · 30.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Varese   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Varese wins
0
Trieste wins
No previous meetings.
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/18HFC Porto84-75
21/10/18HTrento93-85
17/10/18ARilski Sportist95-76
14/10/18ASassari60-71
07/10/18HBrescia81-80
16/05/18HBrescia64-69 OT
14/05/18ABrescia75-77
12/05/18ABrescia61-68
09/05/18ATorino83-92
06/05/18HCremona89-79
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/18HBrescia90-86
13/10/18ATorino74-86
07/10/18HVirtus Bologna88-92
16/06/18ACasale Monferrato72-63
12/06/18HCasale Monferrato80-69
10/06/18HCasale Monferrato83-79
01/06/18ATreviso86-54
29/05/18HTreviso69-65
27/05/18HTreviso84-78
20/05/18APoderosa Montegranaro71-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game78.087.060.0
Allowed / game78.782.571.0
Point differential-0.7+4.5-11.0
Avg total156.7169.5131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trieste
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game84.089.074.0
Allowed / game88.089.086.0
Point differential-4.0+0.0-12.0
Avg total172.0178.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia440100%89.267.5+21.8
2 Olimpia Milano330100%99.384.7+14.7
3 Cantu43175%90.586.0+4.5
4 Cremona43175%90.287.2+3.0
5 Torino32167%86.378.3+8.0
6 Sassari32167%79.376.3+3.0
7 Varese32167%78.078.7-0.7
8 Avellino42250%88.286.2+2.0
9 Virtus Bologna42250%83.287.5-4.2
10 Brindisi31233%88.088.7-0.7
11 Trieste31233%84.088.0-4.0
12 Pesaro31233%72.787.3-14.7
13 Brescia41325%80.881.8-1.0
14 Reggiana41325%86.089.8-3.8
15 Trento4040%80.092.0-12.0
16 Pistoia3030%76.395.7-19.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2125211178
Trieste1723151166
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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