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Fenerbahce vs Dubai Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 69-93
20-25 11-21 17-25 21-22
Position#4
Record1-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Dubai 🏆
Position#11
Record1-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game88.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 4· Ülker Sports Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Dubai
02 Oct 2026
FEN76
DUB66
14 Oct 2025
FEN69
DUB93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dubai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#3
L
77-98
77
98
-21
66avg 81
A21/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
91-87
91
87
+4
81avg 81
A23/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
84-68
84
68
+16
79avg 81
H25/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
85-83
85
83
+2
80avg 81
H24/09
Super Cup
Tofas
#9
L
78-80
78
80
-2
63avg 81
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#16
W
96-77
96
77
+19
96avg 81
H01/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
81-84
81
84
-3
68avg 81
A03/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#14
W
105-83
105
83
+22
106avg 81
H06/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
81-86
81
86
-5
75avg 81
H10/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#15
W
87-73
87
73
+14
84avg 81
H12/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-22
22-28
25-22
21-26
26-22
23-23
19-20
23-22
21-18
27-22
21-14
15-14
25-13
18-21
24-16
18-33
18-18
21-25
22-15
17-22
25-19
18-21
27-19
26-18
20-29
17-14
16-22
28-19
31-27
29-14
22-25
23-17
17-25
13-18
18-13
33-30
27-15
16-23
22-12
22-23
168.4Avg total
86.5Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.082.3168.3+3.733%
Season at home (2)88.581.5170.0+7.050%
Season away (1)81.084.0165.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)86.581.9168.4+4.660%
Last 5 (5)90.080.6170.6+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.579.1163.6+5.471%
vs Weaker (15)88.179.5167.7+8.680%
This opponent (Dubai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubaiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubai
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
L
72-102
72
102
-30
65avg 83
A26/05
ABA League
Partizan
#2
W
100-95 OT
100
95
+5
90avg 83
H29/05
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
97-114
97
114
-17
89avg 83
A01/06
ABA League
Zenit Petersburg
#2
L
103-107
103
107
-4
no box
A24/09
VTB Super Cup
Crvena zvezda
#3
L
80-82
80
82
-2
no box
H25/09
VTB Super Cup
Partizan
#15
W
89-76
89
76
+13
85avg 83
H30/09
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
81-103
81
103
-22
74avg 83
A03/10
Euroleague
Split
#18
W
92-58
92
58
+34
86avg 83
H06/10
ABA League
Olympiacos
#1
L
67-86
67
86
-19
54avg 83
A10/10
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
77-53
77
53
+24
79avg 83
A12/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
13-25
22-32
17-17
29-23
21-24
22-26
13-12
32-23
21-29
20-34
24-28
24-19
30-25
29-28
20-35
19-22
22-22
20-15
19-23
28-18
19-22
21-16
21-20
23-26
23-24
13-29
22-24
21-18
23-16
13-9
35-15
16-23
15-20
21-28
15-15
19-15
17-13
22-10
19-15
173.4Avg total
85.8Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.088.3167.3-9.333%
Season at home (1)89.076.0165.0+13.0100%
Season away (2)74.094.5168.5-20.50%
Last 10 (10)85.887.6173.4-1.840%
Last 5 (5)81.275.2156.4+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)83.293.8177.0-10.640%
vs Similar ◀ (9)88.089.6177.6-1.644%
vs Weaker (16)89.873.1162.9+16.894%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
FenerbahceDubai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#3
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A21/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A23/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H25/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H24/09
Super Cup
Tofas
#9
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#16
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H01/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A03/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#14
W
60-41
60
41
+19
H06/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H10/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#15
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H12/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.0Avg total
42.3Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.239.183.2+5.173%-
Last 30 at home (18)47.138.185.2+9.183%-
Last 30 away (12)39.840.680.3-0.858%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.784.0+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.641.083.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.739.181.8+3.679%-
vs Weaker (15)45.639.485.0+6.267%-
This opponent (Dubai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A26/05
ABA League
Partizan
#2
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H29/05
ABA League
Partizan
#2
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A01/06
ABA League
Zenit Petersburg
#2
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A24/09
VTB Super Cup
Crvena zvezda
#3
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H25/09
VTB Super Cup
Partizan
#15
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H30/09
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A03/10
Euroleague
Split
#18
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H06/10
ABA League
Olympiacos
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A10/10
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A12/10
ABA League
87.0Avg total
43.5Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.239.985.1+5.370%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.137.682.8+7.575%-
Last 30 away (14)45.342.587.8+2.864%-
Last 10 (10)43.543.587.0+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.079.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.644.886.4-3.260%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)46.143.789.8+2.456%-
vs Weaker (16)45.836.282.1+9.681%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.8
52.7%
60.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.8
39.1%
35.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws22.016.8
76.4%
78.2%16.8
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubai: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.6
55.4%
60.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.5
32.7%
35.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws26.321.2
80.6%
78.2%21.2
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WLWLWLWWWL
Dubai
WLWLWLLLWL
#4
League position
#11
+10.4
Net rating
-1.9
118.3
Offensive rating
111.8
107.9
Defensive rating
113.7
55.3%
Effective FG%
52.6%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
16.4%
Turnover %
15.9%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.44
39.1%
3-point %
32.7%
60.8%
Assist %
63.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence118.3 · 111.8Defence107.9 · 113.7Shooting55.3% · 52.6%3-point %39.1% · 32.7%Ball care16.4% · 15.9%Off. rebounds34.1% · 29.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Dubai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fenerbahce wins
0
Dubai wins
No previous meetings.
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/25HKarsiyaka87-73
10/10/25HCrvena zvezda81-86
06/10/25HPetkim Spor105-83
03/10/25AZalgiris Kaunas81-84
01/10/25HParis96-77
27/09/25ATofas78-80
24/09/25HBesiktas85-83
25/06/25HBesiktas84-68
23/06/25ABesiktas91-87
21/06/25ABesiktas77-98
Dubailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/25ABorac Mozzart77-53
10/10/25AOlympiacos67-86
06/10/25HSplit92-58
03/10/25AMonaco81-103
30/09/25HPartizan89-76
25/09/25HCrvena zvezda80-82
24/09/25AZenit Petersburg103-107
01/06/25APartizan97-114
29/05/25HPartizan100-95 OT
26/05/25APartizan72-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game86.088.581.0
Allowed / game82.381.584.0
Point differential+3.7+7.0-3.0
Avg total168.3170.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dubai
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game79.089.074.0
Allowed / game88.376.094.5
Point differential-9.3+13.0-20.5
Avg total167.3165.0168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas330100%90.378.3+12.0
2 Barcelona43175%97.593.0+4.5
3 Monaco32167%89.783.0+6.7
4 Real Madrid32167%80.774.3+6.3
5 Olympiacos32167%88.384.0+4.3
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv32167%93.390.3+3.0
7 Valencia32167%95.093.0+2.0
8 Panathinaikos32167%89.788.7+1.0
9 Paris32167%89.389.7-0.3
10 Partizan32167%83.084.7-1.7
11 Fenerbahce31233%86.082.3+3.7
12 Olimpia Milano31233%83.081.3+1.7
13 Anadolu Efes31233%84.386.0-1.7
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne31233%83.786.7-3.0
15 Crvena zvezda31233%85.390.0-4.7
16 Virtus Bologna31233%82.387.0-4.7
17 Bayern31233%82.091.0-9.0
18 Dubai31233%79.088.3-9.3
19 Maccabi Tel Aviv41325%86.592.0-5.5
20 Baskonia3030%91.796.7-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce2011172169
Dubai2521252293
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