PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Zalgiris Kaunas vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 84-81
29-20 14-17 22-16 19-28
Position#5
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Position#4
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game77.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 2· Zalgirio Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Fenerbahce
08 May 2026
ZAL90
FEN94
06 May 2026
ZAL81
FEN78
03 Oct 2025
ZAL84
FEN81
15 Nov 2024
ZAL65
FEN72
19 Jan 2024
ZAL98
FEN75
05 Jan 2023
ZAL86
FEN66
19 Nov 2021
ZAL86
FEN75
17 Dec 2020
ZAL99
FEN62
25 Apr 2019
ZAL82
FEN99
23 Apr 2019
ZAL57
FEN66
19 Oct 2018
ZAL75
FEN82
09 Mar 2018
ZAL78
FEN85
02 Mar 2017
ZAL67
FEN76
16 Feb 2011
ZAL85
FEN84
25 Nov 2009
ZAL78
FEN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Jonava
#5
W
86-78
86
78
+8
88avg 80
H03/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
89-97 OT
89
97
-8
72avg 80
H12/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
83-79
83
79
+4
74avg 80
A14/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
80-86
80
86
-6
69avg 80
H17/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 80
A19/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
76-69
76
69
+7
71avg 80
H21/06
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
87-78
87
78
+9
88avg 80
A20/09
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
93-72
93
72
+21
93avg 80
H24/09
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
84-71
84
71
+13
85avg 80
A27/09
LKL
Monaco
#10
W
89-84
89
84
+5
82avg 80
A01/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
18-15
22-18
18-20
15-19
17-22
20-17
21-15
15-20
21-13
21-22
26-24
15-21
16-28
33-18
16-19
15-24
26-22
13-22
30-15
15-15
14-15
21-25
26-14
22-14
19-11
21-25
25-28
23-20
27-9
20-25
23-18
23-16
20-17
20-17
21-21
27-20
18-15
22-25
22-24
164.8Avg total
85.1Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)89.084.0173.0+5.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)89.084.0173.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.179.7164.8+5.480%
Last 5 (5)85.874.8160.6+11.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.087.0164.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (2)79.575.0154.5+4.5100%
vs Weaker (27)88.773.9162.7+14.893%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
W
91-89
91
89
+2
no box
H07/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
W
93-84
93
84
+9
95avg 81
A09/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
94-76
94
76
+18
95avg 81
H17/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
84-76
84
76
+8
82avg 81
H19/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
77-98
77
98
-21
66avg 81
A21/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
91-87
91
87
+4
81avg 81
A23/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
84-68
84
68
+16
79avg 81
H25/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
85-83
85
83
+2
80avg 81
H24/09
Super Cup
Tofas
#9
L
78-80
78
80
-2
63avg 81
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#16
W
96-77
96
77
+19
96avg 81
H01/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
21-24
22-21
23-22
25-14
22-22
22-23
24-25
22-16
28-18
23-18
21-24
28-18
20-16
20-21
16-21
9-22
22-28
25-22
21-26
26-22
23-23
19-20
23-22
21-18
27-22
21-14
15-14
25-13
18-21
24-16
18-33
18-18
21-25
22-15
17-22
25-19
18-21
27-19
26-18
169.1Avg total
87.3Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)96.077.0173.0+19.0100%
Season at home (1)96.077.0173.0+19.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.381.8169.1+5.580%
Last 5 (5)86.879.0165.8+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)84.378.5162.8+5.877%
vs Weaker (16)87.980.8168.7+7.281%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -2.3-2.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -2.3-2.3
Zalgiris KaunasFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#5
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H03/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H12/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A14/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H17/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A19/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H21/06
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A20/09
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H24/09
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A27/09
LKL
Monaco
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A01/10
Euroleague
75.5Avg total
39.4Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.336.278.6+6.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.534.376.8+8.167%-
Last 30 away (15)42.238.180.3+4.160%-
Last 10 (10)39.436.175.5+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.630.472.0+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.049.086.0-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)40.037.577.5+2.550%-
vs Weaker (27)42.735.778.4+7.067%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H07/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A09/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H17/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H19/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A21/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A23/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H25/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H24/09
Super Cup
Tofas
#9
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#16
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H01/10
Euroleague
84.6Avg total
44.4Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.539.183.6+5.473%-
Last 30 at home (19)47.238.485.5+8.879%-
Last 30 away (11)40.040.480.4-0.464%-
Last 10 (10)44.440.284.6+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)44.440.484.8+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.738.583.2+6.292%-
vs Weaker (16)44.539.984.4+4.656%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.122.2
58.3%
60.4%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.5
31.6%
35.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws24.617.9
72.8%
78.2%17.9
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.6
53.1%
60.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.411.1
39.1%
35.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws18.214.3
78.6%
78.2%14.3
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWLWLW
Fenerbahce
WLWWWLWWWW
#5
League position
#4
+8.5
Net rating
+10.0
118.0
Offensive rating
118.2
109.5
Defensive rating
108.2
54.1%
Effective FG%
55.6%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
15.2%
Turnover %
16.7%
34.9%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.6%
3-point %
39.1%
63.0%
Assist %
59.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence118.0 · 118.2Defence109.5 · 108.2Shooting54.1% · 55.6%3-point %31.6% · 39.1%Ball care15.2% · 16.7%Off. rebounds34.9% · 34.4%Free throws0.40 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
6
Fenerbahce wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/25AMonaco89-84
27/09/25ANeptunas84-71
24/09/25HSiauliai93-72
20/09/25AJonava87-78
21/06/25HRytas76-69
19/06/25ARytas84-83
17/06/25HRytas80-86
14/06/25ARytas83-79
12/06/25HRytas89-97 OT
03/06/25HJonava86-78
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/25HParis96-77
27/09/25ATofas78-80
24/09/25HBesiktas85-83
25/06/25HBesiktas84-68
23/06/25ABesiktas91-87
21/06/25ABesiktas77-98
19/06/25HBesiktas84-76
17/06/25HBesiktas94-76
09/06/25ABahcesehir Kol.93-84
07/06/25HBahcesehir Kol.91-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game89.0-89.0
Allowed / game84.0-84.0
Point differential+5.0-+5.0
Avg total173.0-173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game96.096.0-
Allowed / game77.077.0-
Point differential+19.0+19.0-
Avg total173.0173.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce110100%96.077.0+19.0
2 Hapoel Tel-Aviv110100%103.087.0+16.0
3 Dubai110100%89.076.0+13.0
4 Panathinaikos110100%87.079.0+8.0
5 Anadolu Efes110100%85.078.0+7.0
6 Virtus Bologna110100%74.068.0+6.0
7 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%89.084.0+5.0
8 Valencia110100%80.077.0+3.0
9 Olimpia Milano21150%85.081.0+4.0
10 Real Madrid21150%78.575.5+3.0
11 Bayern21150%88.087.5+0.5
12 Olympiacos21150%89.592.5-3.0
13 Partizan21150%78.083.5-5.5
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne1010%77.080.0-3.0
15 Monaco1010%84.089.0-5.0
16 Baskonia1010%96.0102.0-6.0
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv1010%78.085.0-7.0
18 Crvena zvezda2020%85.094.5-9.5
19 Barcelona1010%87.0103.0-16.0
20 Paris1010%77.096.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2914221984
Fenerbahce2017162881
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.