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Fenerbahce vs Karsiyaka Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 87-73
27-15 16-23 22-12 22-23
Position#1
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Position#15
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game77.0
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 3· Ülker Sports Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Karsiyaka
12 Feb 2027
FEN v KAR
upcoming
12 Oct 2025
FEN87
KAR73
06 May 2025
FEN78
KAR67
21 Jan 2024
FEN93
KAR63
31 Oct 2022
FEN100
KAR88
30 Nov 2021
FEN91
KAR69
04 Apr 2021
FEN117
KAR59
29 Mar 2020
FEN v KAR
upcoming
04 Dec 2018
FEN80
KAR72
05 Nov 2017
FEN97
KAR71
30 Oct 2016
FEN84
KAR75
08 Oct 2014
FEN75
KAR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karsiyaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#3
W
84-76
84
76
+8
82avg 81
H19/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
77-98
77
98
-21
66avg 81
A21/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
91-87
91
87
+4
81avg 81
A23/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
84-68
84
68
+16
79avg 81
H25/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
85-83
85
83
+2
80avg 81
H24/09
Super Cup
Tofas
#9
L
78-80
78
80
-2
63avg 81
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#16
W
96-77
96
77
+19
96avg 81
H01/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
81-84
81
84
-3
68avg 81
A03/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#14
W
105-83
105
83
+22
106avg 81
H06/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
81-86
81
86
-5
75avg 81
H10/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
20-16
20-21
16-21
9-22
22-28
25-22
21-26
26-22
23-23
19-20
23-22
21-18
27-22
21-14
15-14
25-13
18-21
24-16
18-33
18-18
21-25
22-15
17-22
25-19
18-21
27-19
26-18
20-29
17-14
16-22
28-19
31-27
29-14
22-25
23-17
17-25
13-18
18-13
33-30
168.4Avg total
86.2Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)91.581.5173.0+10.050%
Season at home (1)105.083.0188.0+22.0100%
Season away (1)78.080.0158.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)86.282.2168.4+4.060%
Last 5 (5)88.282.0170.2+6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)84.579.1163.6+5.471%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)88.680.3168.9+8.380%
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarsiyaka
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#9
W
82-78
82
78
+4
69avg 77
H29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#15
L
75-84
75
84
-9
73avg 77
A04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#11
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
83avg 77
H13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
L
79-100
79
100
-21
73avg 77
A19/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
56avg 77
A06/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
W
76-73
76
73
+3
69avg 77
H11/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
77-95
77
95
-18
68avg 77
H14/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
L
76-90
76
90
-14
72avg 77
A17/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
L
73-85
73
85
-12
63avg 77
A28/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
W
76-69
76
69
+7
74avg 77
H05/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
10-18
23-17
23-24
22-20
22-26
16-21
15-17
21-22
24-19
17-24
19-16
18-35
15-26
14-16
32-23
13-27
20-19
20-16
14-16
19-13
24-22
13-16
20-22
16-29
16-26
25-27
20-13
23-20
22-26
11-11
20-33
15-24
16-33
16-14
26-14
24-13
16-15
18-21
18-20
161.6Avg total
77.4Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.577.0151.5-2.550%
Season at home (1)76.069.0145.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)73.085.0158.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)77.484.2161.6-6.840%
Last 5 (5)75.682.4158.0-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.290.4169.7-11.20%
vs Similar (16)81.986.8168.6-4.944%
vs Weaker (4)78.277.5155.8+0.825%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.9+0.9
FenerbahceKarsiyaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#3
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H19/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A21/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A23/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H25/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H24/09
Super Cup
Tofas
#9
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#16
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H01/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A03/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#14
W
60-41
60
41
+19
H06/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H10/10
Euroleague
84.1Avg total
42.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.939.383.3+4.670%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.738.585.2+8.278%-
Last 30 away (12)39.840.680.3-0.858%-
Last 10 (10)42.841.384.1+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.083.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)42.739.181.8+3.679%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.139.985.1+5.260%-
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#15
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#11
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
L
33-61
33
61
-28
A19/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A06/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H11/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
32-55
32
55
-23
H14/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A17/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A28/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H05/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
83.4Avg total
38.2Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.544.384.8-3.833%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.142.784.8-0.657%-
Last 30 away (16)39.145.884.9-6.612%-
Last 10 (10)38.245.283.4-7.030%-
Last 5 (5)38.244.282.4-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.945.884.7-6.922%-
vs Similar (16)41.444.085.4-2.644%-
vs Weaker (4)38.542.581.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.9
53.8%
54.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.2
38.6%
35.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.616.6
76.9%
76.0%16.6
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karsiyakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karsiyaka: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.7
56.9%
54.0%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.2
31.4%
35.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.412.7
73.0%
76.0%12.7
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
LWLWLWWWLW
Karsiyaka
WLLLWLLWLW
#1
League position
#15
+10.8
Net rating
+3.7
119.0
Offensive rating
108.6
108.2
Defensive rating
104.9
55.5%
Effective FG%
52.8%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
15.8%
Turnover %
16.5%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.6%
3-point %
31.4%
58.5%
Assist %
57.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence119.0 · 108.6Defence108.2 · 104.9Shooting55.5% · 52.8%3-point %38.6% · 31.4%Ball care15.8% · 16.5%Off. rebounds33.5% · 27.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Karsiyaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Fenerbahce wins
4
Karsiyaka wins
DateGameScore
06/05/25Fenerbahce v Karsiyaka78-67
05/01/25Karsiyaka v Fenerbahce90-101
21/01/24Fenerbahce v Karsiyaka93-63
09/10/23Karsiyaka v Fenerbahce84-79
13/03/23Karsiyaka v Fenerbahce102-98
31/10/22Fenerbahce v Karsiyaka100-88
27/03/22Karsiyaka v Fenerbahce74-72
30/11/21Fenerbahce v Karsiyaka91-69
04/04/21Fenerbahce v Karsiyaka117-59
12/12/20Karsiyaka v Fenerbahce83-79
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/25HCrvena zvezda81-86
06/10/25HPetkim Spor105-83
03/10/25AZalgiris Kaunas81-84
01/10/25HParis96-77
27/09/25ATofas78-80
24/09/25HBesiktas85-83
25/06/25HBesiktas84-68
23/06/25ABesiktas91-87
21/06/25ABesiktas77-98
19/06/25HBesiktas84-76
Karsiyakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/25HMerkezefendi76-69
28/09/25APetkim Spor73-85
17/05/25ATofas76-90
14/05/25HAnadolu Efes77-95
11/05/25HTurk Telekom76-73
06/05/25AFenerbahce67-78
19/04/25AManisa79-100
13/04/25HPetkim Spor93-90 OT
04/04/25ADarussafaka75-84
29/03/25HBursaspor82-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game91.5105.078.0
Allowed / game81.583.080.0
Point differential+10.0+22.0-2.0
Avg total173.0188.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Karsiyaka
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game74.576.073.0
Allowed / game77.069.085.0
Point differential-2.5+7.0-12.0
Avg total151.5145.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anadolu Efes330100%91.073.7+17.3
2 Besiktas330100%92.078.0+14.0
3 Bahcesehir Kol.330100%89.084.3+4.7
4 Trabzonspor32167%81.776.0+5.7
5 Tofas32167%85.381.3+4.0
6 Fenerbahce21150%91.581.5+10.0
7 Manisa21150%78.578.0+0.5
8 Galatasaray21150%89.592.0-2.5
9 Karsiyaka21150%74.577.0-2.5
10 Petkim Spor21150%84.089.0-5.0
11 Mersin SK31233%80.779.7+1.0
12 Merkezefendi31233%72.077.0-5.0
13 Bursaspor31233%74.382.3-8.0
14 Turk Telekom3030%81.088.0-7.0
15 Esenler Erokspor2020%71.581.0-9.5
16 Buyukcekmece3030%73.794.3-20.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce2716222287
Karsiyaka1523122373
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