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Fenerbahce vs Karsiyaka Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 12 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record5-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.7/10
Below normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#10
Record4-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game82.6
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 20· Ulker Spor ve Etkinlik Salonu
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Karsiyaka
12 Feb 2027
FEN v KAR
upcoming
12 Oct 2025
FEN87
KAR73
06 May 2025
FEN78
KAR67
21 Jan 2024
FEN93
KAR63
31 Oct 2022
FEN100
KAR88
30 Nov 2021
FEN91
KAR69
04 Apr 2021
FEN117
KAR59
29 Mar 2020
FEN v KAR
upcoming
04 Dec 2018
FEN80
KAR72
05 Nov 2017
FEN97
KAR71
30 Oct 2016
FEN84
KAR75
08 Oct 2014
FEN75
KAR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Karsiyaka win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
W
74-65
74
65
+9
73avg 79
H15/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#5
L
77-82
77
82
-5
67avg 79
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
W
64-61
64
61
+3
51avg 79
A23/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#10
W
97-72
97
72
+25
98avg 79
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
70avg 79
A27/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#5
L
76-95
76
95
-19
64avg 79
A29/10
Euroleague
Tofas
#8
W
88-77
88
77
+11
85avg 79
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#20
W
84-65
84
65
+19
no box
H05/11
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#16
W
78-59
78
59
+19
no box
A07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#14
L
109-111 OT
109
111
-2
no box
A11/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
13-9
34-16
15-21
12-24
21-15
18-19
26-24
8-20
16-14
21-15
19-12
25-16
24-20
25-14
23-22
9-19
16-17
21-24
32-26
24-22
18-25
13-23
21-25
25-21
22-22
23-16
18-18
33-18
19-14
11-9
21-24
23-15
20-21
16-11
19-12
14-23
29-27
29-22
20-20
159.8Avg total
82.5Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.979.6166.4+7.371%
Season at home (3)83.381.0164.3+2.367%
Season away (4)89.578.5168.0+11.075%
Last 10 (10)82.577.3159.8+5.260%
Last 5 (5)87.081.4168.4+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.587.0155.5-18.50%
vs Similar (16)81.578.9160.4+2.669%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)90.577.0167.5+13.583%
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarsiyaka
Date
Competition
Tofas
#9
L
78-87
78
87
-9
69avg 75
A03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
W
84-82
84
82
+2
71avg 75
H10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
L
72-73
72
73
-1
71avg 75
A26/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#6
W
78-71 OT
78
71
+7
64avg 75
H02/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
82-92
82
92
-10
80avg 75
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cayirova
#14
W
95-79
95
79
+16
96avg 75
H16/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
72-97
72
97
-25
60avg 75
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#16
W
86-83
86
83
+3
78avg 75
A01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#7
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
H09/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bordo Bandirma
#12
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
A14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
26-24
11-14
21-26
16-14
15-34
31-18
22-16
15-17
29-20
15-16
13-20
18-13
17-21
15-14
15-17
13-20
21-22
24-28
24-22
24-22
24-19
23-21
24-17
16-25
20-24
14-25
22-23
21-19
21-20
24-18
20-26
17-22
23-16
12-21
32-24
27-26
14-18
17-22
17-17
163.6Avg total
80.6Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.582.6163.1-2.150%
Season at home (4)82.282.5164.8-0.275%
Season away (4)78.882.8161.5-4.025%
Last 10 (10)80.683.0163.6-2.450%
Last 5 (5)82.485.0167.4-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)78.385.6163.9-7.424%
vs Similar (12)87.285.7172.8+1.558%
vs Weaker (1)86.083.0169.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.2+0.2
FenerbahceKarsiyaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H15/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#5
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A23/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#10
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#3
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A27/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#5
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A29/10
Euroleague
Tofas
#8
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#20
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H05/11
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#16
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#14
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A11/11
Euroleague
76.4Avg total
38.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.739.981.6+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.937.978.8+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)42.441.884.1+0.644%-
Last 10 (10)38.338.176.4+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.441.687.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.040.073.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (16)38.841.380.1-2.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)47.138.185.2+9.083%-
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#9
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A26/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#6
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H02/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cayirova
#14
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H16/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#16
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#7
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H09/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bordo Bandirma
#12
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.6Avg total
39.7Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.943.683.5-3.727%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.542.781.2-4.127%-
Last 30 away (15)41.344.585.7-3.227%-
Last 10 (10)39.741.981.6-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.283.6-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.142.981.0-4.918%-
vs Similar (12)42.344.887.2-2.533%-
vs Weaker (1)42.039.081.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.518.9
58.2%
54.8%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.5
33.1%
35.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.415.9
77.9%
75.9%15.9
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karsiyakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karsiyaka: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.6
52.0%
54.8%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.9
36.9%
35.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.916.5
72.1%
75.9%16.5
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
LWWWLLWWLW
Karsiyaka
LWWLWLWLWL
#3
League position
#10
+3.1
Net rating
+0.5
97.9
Offensive rating
96.8
94.8
Defensive rating
96.3
54.2%
Effective FG%
53.2%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
15.6%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.39
33.1%
3-point %
36.9%
62.7%
Assist %
63.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.9 · 96.8Defence94.8 · 96.3Shooting54.2% · 53.2%3-point %33.1% · 36.9%Ball care15.6% · 14.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Karsiyaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Fenerbahce wins
3
Karsiyaka wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AParis109-111 OT
07/11/26ABursaspor78-59
05/11/26HBaskonia84-65
01/11/26HTofas88-77
29/10/26AReal Madrid76-95
27/10/26AValencia78-86
25/10/26AKarsiyaka97-72
23/10/26AOlympiacos64-61
18/10/26HPetkim Spor77-82
15/10/26HPartizan74-65
Karsiyakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABordo Bandirma75-83
09/11/26HBesiktas84-83
01/11/26ABursaspor86-83
25/10/26HFenerbahce72-97
16/10/26HCayirova95-79
10/10/26ABahcesehir Kol.82-92
02/10/26HGalatasaray78-71 OT
26/09/26ATurk Telekom72-73
10/05/26HBursaspor84-82
03/05/26ATofas78-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game86.983.389.5
Allowed / game79.681.078.5
Point differential+7.3+2.3+11.0
Avg total166.4164.3168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%33%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Karsiyaka
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game80.582.278.8
Allowed / game82.682.582.8
Point differential-2.1-0.2-4.0
Avg total163.1164.8161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.87188%92.882.9+9.9
2 Turk Telekom86275%83.675.0+8.6
3 Fenerbahce75271%86.979.6+7.3
4 Anadolu Efes75271%86.079.4+6.6
5 Petkim Spor85362%84.283.6+0.6
6 Galatasaray84450%87.679.8+7.9
7 Besiktas84450%83.184.4-1.2
8 Tofas84450%80.582.0-1.5
9 Trabzonspor84450%80.282.2-2.0
10 Karsiyaka84450%80.582.6-2.1
11 Esenler Erokspor84450%79.685.8-6.1
12 Bordo Bandirma83538%82.485.5-3.1
13 Korfez Basket83538%82.085.2-3.2
14 Cayirova82625%83.989.6-5.8
15 Denizli Basket82625%83.188.9-5.8
16 Bursaspor81712%74.482.6-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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