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Bayern vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 10 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 77-89
13-28 18-18 21-22 25-21
Position#7
Record19-14
FormWWLWL
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game87.7
Bayern
vs
Fenerbahce 🏆
Position#1
Record22-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game81.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 34· SAP Garden
European cup2024
Meetings · Bayern v Fenerbahce
08 Apr 2027
BAY v FEN
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
BAY85
FEN76
10 Apr 2025
BAY77
FEN89
27 Oct 2023
BAY67
FEN76
06 Oct 2022
BAY62
FEN74
16 Nov 2021
BAY71
FEN63
30 Mar 2021
BAY68
FEN77
31 Jan 2019
BAY90
FEN86
19 Nov 2015
BAY67
FEN84
13 Nov 2014
BAY86
FEN93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
92-97
92
97
-5
88avg 80
H14/03
Euroleague
Ulm
#2
W
70-62
70
62
+8
60avg 80
H17/03
BBL
Baskonia
#14
L
89-112
89
112
-23
82avg 80
A20/03
Euroleague
Rostock
#12
W
91-66
91
66
+25
89avg 80
H22/03
BBL
Barcelona
#6
W
102-101
102
101
+1
90avg 80
A25/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
89-74
89
74
+15
85avg 80
H27/03
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
W
81-75
81
75
+6
80avg 80
A29/03
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
90-93
90
93
-3
82avg 80
A03/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
94-72
94
72
+22
91avg 80
H06/04
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
94-109
94
109
-15
92avg 80
A08/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
20-25
30-14
25-32
10-11
18-19
19-17
23-15
21-25
27-25
23-33
18-29
29-13
27-14
18-13
17-26
30-28
26-27
20-22
26-24
21-23
21-21
23-19
24-11
28-19
23-10
14-19
16-27
22-17
22-31
30-13
16-32
18-19
31-18
22-16
23-19
16-28
35-29
24-28
19-24
175.3Avg total
89.2Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)87.587.7175.2-0.258%
Season at home (16)90.983.4174.3+7.481%
Season away (17)84.491.8176.1-7.435%
Last 10 (10)89.286.1175.3+3.160%
Last 5 (5)89.684.6174.2+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)85.3101.0186.3-15.733%
vs Similar (16)87.786.5174.2+1.250%
vs Weaker (11)83.672.0155.6+11.682%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#11
W
88-75
88
75
+13
79avg 83
A09/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
92-82
92
82
+10
94avg 83
H13/03
Euroleague
Manisa
#12
W
77-73
77
73
+4
70avg 83
H15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Monaco
#4
L
82-91
82
91
-9
72avg 83
A20/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
82-81
82
81
+1
81avg 83
A23/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#9
W
101-100
101
100
+1
88avg 83
H25/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
W
82-77
82
77
+5
77avg 83
H28/03
Euroleague
Mersin SK
#6
W
101-93
101
93
+8
100avg 83
H30/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#6
L
75-83
75
83
-8
71avg 83
H02/04
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#7
W
94-85
94
85
+9
90avg 83
H05/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
25-18
11-20
28-22
30-23
19-21
21-16
22-22
17-19
16-18
12-14
32-22
28-26
15-21
15-16
24-28
14-20
25-23
25-22
18-16
17-24
27-27
27-33
30-16
19-13
27-19
26-27
10-18
27-29
22-20
25-21
27-23
23-21
27-18
16-23
9-21
19-20
17-26
32-16
26-23
171.4Avg total
87.4Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)83.081.3164.3+1.767%
Season at home (17)83.880.8164.5+3.071%
Season away (16)82.281.9164.1+0.462%
Last 10 (10)87.484.0171.4+3.480%
Last 5 (5)90.687.6178.2+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)86.884.3171.1+2.570%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)92.182.1174.2+9.995%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
BayernFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H14/03
Euroleague
Ulm
#2
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H17/03
BBL
Baskonia
#14
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A20/03
Euroleague
Rostock
#12
W
56-27
56
27
+29
H22/03
BBL
Barcelona
#6
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A25/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H27/03
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A29/03
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A03/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H06/04
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A08/04
BBL
89.0Avg total
46.2Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.483.4+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.038.080.0+4.053%-
Last 30 away (15)44.042.986.9+1.147%-
Last 10 (10)46.242.889.0+3.440%-
Last 5 (5)47.443.090.4+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)42.347.389.7-5.033%-
vs Similar (16)41.842.183.9-0.238%-
vs Weaker (11)44.936.281.1+8.773%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#11
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A09/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H13/03
Euroleague
Manisa
#12
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Monaco
#4
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A20/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A23/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#9
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H25/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H28/03
Euroleague
Mersin SK
#6
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H30/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H02/04
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H05/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
85.9Avg total
43.8Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.139.984.0+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.438.983.4+5.571%-
Last 30 away (13)43.841.184.8+2.754%-
Last 10 (10)43.842.185.9+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.488.4+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)43.841.885.6+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.139.683.7+4.468%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.517.8
60.3%
54.5%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.712.7
38.8%
36.2%38.1
🏀 Free throws17.714.5
81.9%
78.0%14.5
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.9
53.5%
54.5%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.9
34.7%
36.2%32.7
🏀 Free throws16.614.8
89.2%
78.0%14.8
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWLWWWWLWL
Fenerbahce
WLWWWWLWWW
#7
League position
#1
+3.9
Net rating
+2.2
117.9
Offensive rating
117.4
114.0
Defensive rating
115.2
59.2%
Effective FG%
52.8%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
18.2%
Turnover %
16.9%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
37.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.8%
3-point %
34.7%
61.3%
Assist %
61.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence117.9 · 117.4Defence114.0 · 115.2Shooting59.2% · 52.8%3-point %38.8% · 34.7%Ball care18.2% · 16.9%Off. rebounds28.2% · 37.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Bayern   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bayern wins
7
Fenerbahce wins
DateGameScore
12/11/24Fenerbahce v Bayern87-76
11/01/24Fenerbahce v Bayern98-91 OT
27/10/23Bayern v Fenerbahce67-76
12/01/23Fenerbahce v Bayern79-71
06/10/22Bayern v Fenerbahce62-74
04/04/22Fenerbahce v Bayern81-76
16/11/21Bayern v Fenerbahce71-63
30/03/21Bayern v Fenerbahce68-77
16/10/20Fenerbahce v Bayern71-75
31/01/19Bayern v Fenerbahce90-86 OT
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/25AUlm94-109
06/04/25HBasketball Braunschweig94-72
03/04/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv90-93
29/03/25AWurzburg81-75
27/03/25HPartizan89-74
25/03/25ABarcelona102-101
22/03/25HRostock91-66
20/03/25ABaskonia89-112
17/03/25HUlm70-62
14/03/25HAnadolu Efes92-97
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25HTurk Telekom94-85
02/04/25HBarcelona75-83
30/03/25HMersin SK101-93
28/03/25HBaskonia82-77
25/03/25HParis101-100
23/03/25AAnadolu Efes82-81
20/03/25AMonaco82-91
15/03/25HManisa77-73
13/03/25HLyon-Villeurbanne92-82
09/03/25APetkim Spor88-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL58%
HomeWWWLW81%
AwayWLLWL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %58%81%35%
Points / game87.590.984.4
Allowed / game87.783.491.8
Point differential-0.2+7.4-7.4
Avg total175.2174.3176.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)83% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayLLWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %67%71%62%
Points / game83.083.882.2
Allowed / game81.380.881.9
Point differential+1.7+3.0+0.4
Avg total164.3164.5164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%47%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)75% (4)83% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos33231070%86.581.5+5.0
2 Fenerbahce33221167%83.081.3+1.7
3 Panathinaikos33211264%87.783.2+4.5
4 Monaco33201361%86.483.1+3.4
5 Anadolu Efes33191458%86.882.4+4.4
6 Barcelona33191458%88.084.3+3.7
7 Real Madrid33191458%84.982.5+2.4
8 Bayern33191458%87.587.7-0.2
9 Crvena zvezda33181555%82.180.2+1.9
10 Paris33181555%86.986.3+0.6
11 Partizan33161748%81.579.8+1.8
12 Olimpia Milano33161748%84.786.6-1.9
13 Zalgiris Kaunas33151845%77.478.7-1.3
14 Baskonia33141942%82.482.8-0.4
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne33132039%81.085.4-4.4
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv33112233%85.789.5-3.8
17 Virtus Bologna3392427%79.083.5-4.5
18 Alba Berlin3352815%79.291.9-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1318212577
Fenerbahce2818222189
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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