Quilmes vs Ferro Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Oct 2016

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 96-83

22-23 25-23 20-19 29-18

Position#14

Record2-7

FormLLLLL

Points / game74.8

Allowed / game81.1

Quilmes 🏆

Ferro

Position#5

Record5-3

FormWWLWL

Points / game78.4

Allowed / game73.6

Liga A

Other2016-17

Meetings · Quilmes v Ferro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Quilmes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ferro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Quilmes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

81-78

H01/05

Liga A

Penarol

#15

65-95

-30

A23/09

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#17

83-68

+15

H28/09

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#19

81-69

+12

H02/10

Liga A

Weber Bahia

101-107 OT

101

107

-6

A04/10

Liga A

Argentino

#10

63-73

-10

A07/10

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

67-77

-10

H11/10

Liga A

Gimnasia

#11

68-92

-24

A14/10

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#19

67-70

-3

A15/10

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

78-79

-1

A17/10

Liga A

17-21

14-16

30-23

20-18

14-23

10-25

12-19

29-28

18-11

22-23

16-17

27-17

20-18

27-14

15-21

19-16

22-17

16-26

26-17

26-30

16-19

17-17

12-18

18-19

18-11

21-26

16-19

12-21

14-22

16-21

21-20

17-29

20-18

15-23

11-11

21-18

16-17

23-24

17-17

22-21

156.2Avg total

75.4Scored

80.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	74.8	81.1	155.9	-6.3	22%
Season at home (3)	77.0	71.3	148.3	+5.7	67%
Season away (6)	73.7	86.0	159.7	-12.3	0%
Last 10 (10)	75.4	80.8	156.2	-5.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	68.6	78.2	146.8	-9.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	85.0	73.5	158.5	+11.5	75%
vs Similar ◀ (24)	82.9	85.3	168.2	-2.4	42%
vs Weaker (2)	82.0	76.0	158.0	+6.0	100%

This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ferro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

#18

61-84

-23

A27/04

Liga A

Lanus

#13

83-58

+25

H01/05

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#19

83-63

+20

H27/09

Liga A

Gimnasia

#11

93-83

+10

H30/09

Liga A

Weber Bahia

62-87

-25

A02/10

Liga A

Penarol

#15

78-52

+26

H06/10

Liga A

Gimnasia

#11

94-82

+12

A08/10

Liga A

Weber Bahia

59-69

-10

H12/10

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#19

83-77 OT

A13/10

Liga A

Penarol

#15

75-76

-1

A19/10

Liga A

13-14

7-29

18-22

23-19

27-16

14-15

20-16

22-11

28-14

23-17

18-18

14-14

32-13

25-17

21-27

15-26

6-21

13-24

21-22

22-20

9-12

19-7

23-22

27-11

22-17

19-18

19-21

34-26

20-12

20-24

13-17

6-16

16-18

13-8

17-23

22-19

12-16

20-15

24-28

19-17

150.2Avg total

77.1Scored

73.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	78.4	73.6	152.0	+4.8	62%
Season at home (4)	78.2	66.8	145.0	+11.5	75%
Season away (4)	78.5	80.5	159.0	-2.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	77.1	73.1	150.2	+4.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	77.8	71.2	149.0	+6.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	76.8	66.8	143.5	+10.0	75%
vs Similar ◀ (24)	77.8	79.0	156.7	-1.2	42%
vs Weaker (2)	83.0	70.0	153.0	+13.0	100%

This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

QuilmesFerro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	18.2	38.6	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.6	21.6	38.1	-5.0	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	17.7	35.2	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	17.4	34.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	17.8	20.2	38.1	-2.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	18.7	36.8	-0.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	18.0	37.1	+1.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	19.5	36.4	-2.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	15.3	33.8	+3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	15.0	30.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.8	18.2	35.0	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	16.0	38.0	+6.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.1	40.5	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.6	19.6	43.2	+3.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.7	20.5	38.2	-2.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	21.5	39.6	-3.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	22.2	40.6	-3.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	23.2	17.8	41.0	+5.5	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	20.1	20.7	40.8	-0.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	16.7	34.9	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	14.9	33.8	+3.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	18.8	36.2	-1.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	17.4	34.7	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	14.4	32.6	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	15.0	35.8	+5.8	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	17.8	17.4	35.2	+0.4	54%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	12.5	30.5	+5.5	100%	-

QuilmesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

31-37

-6

H01/05

Liga A

Penarol

#15

24-48

-24

A23/09

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#17

40-34

H28/09

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#19

47-32

+15

H02/10

Liga A

Weber Bahia

38-43

-5

A04/10

Liga A

Argentino

#10

33-36

-3

A07/10

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

39-37

H11/10

Liga A

Gimnasia

#11

30-43

-13

A14/10

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#19

35-41

-6

A15/10

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

39-41

-2

A17/10

Liga A

74.8Avg total

35.6Scored

39.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	40.1	78.9	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.9	37.9	81.8	+6.1	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.2	42.1	76.3	-7.8	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	39.2	74.8	-3.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	39.6	74.8	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	44.2	37.0	81.2	+7.2	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	37.9	40.9	78.8	-3.0	42%	-
vs Weaker (2)	38.0	36.5	74.5	+1.5	50%	-

This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

#18

20-43

-23

A27/04

Liga A

Lanus

#13

41-31

+10

H01/05

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#19

51-31

+20

H27/09

Liga A

Gimnasia

#11

57-30

+27

H30/09

Liga A

Weber Bahia

19-45

-26

A02/10

Liga A

Penarol

#15

28-19

H06/10

Liga A

Gimnasia

#11

41-35

A08/10

Liga A

Weber Bahia

40-36

H12/10

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#19

29-26

A13/10

Liga A

Penarol

#15

32-31

A19/10

Liga A

68.5Avg total

35.8Scored

32.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	35.4	71.7	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.9	32.9	70.9	+5.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.4	38.3	72.6	-3.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	32.7	68.5	+3.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	29.4	63.4	+4.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.5	33.2	70.8	+4.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	35.8	36.4	72.1	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	40.0	28.5	68.5	+11.5	100%	-

This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.0	18.9	38.9	+1.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	18.2	35.8	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	17.0	32.4	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.5	17.8	37.2	+1.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	20.2	19.5	39.7	+0.8	54%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	16.5	37.0	+4.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	18.6	37.6	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	22.9	43.5	-2.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	21.6	41.0	-2.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.2	41.4	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.5	14.8	35.2	+5.8	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	19.8	21.6	41.4	-1.8	42%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.5	20.5	38.0	-3.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	22.5	45.7	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.8	21.7	45.5	+2.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.7	23.2	45.9	-0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.7	42.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	21.6	39.6	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.5	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	23.5	23.1	46.6	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.5	23.0	46.5	+0.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	19.2	38.2	-0.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.4	20.9	44.3	+2.4	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	17.9	38.3	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	17.8	39.4	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.8	18.8	37.5	+0.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	21.6	20.5	42.2	+1.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	16.5	34.5	+1.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	41.6	84.9	+1.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.1	40.9	85.1	+3.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.7	42.1	84.8	+0.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	39.9	78.6	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	38.6	72.0	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	40.8	36.5	77.2	+4.2	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	43.8	42.6	86.3	+1.2	58%	-
vs Weaker (2)	44.0	39.5	83.5	+4.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	40.6	81.4	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.0	37.8	75.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.9	43.9	87.8	+0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	39.5	79.3	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	40.0	80.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	39.2	33.5	72.8	+5.8	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	41.5	42.1	83.6	-0.7	46%	-
vs Weaker (2)	35.5	37.0	72.5	-1.5	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Quilmes wins

Ferro wins

Date	Game	Score
25/03/16	Ferro v Quilmes	80-78 OT
20/03/16	Quilmes v Ferro	84-96
28/11/15	Quilmes v Ferro	89-83
29/10/15	Ferro v Quilmes	79-67

Quilmeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/10/16	A	Obras Sanitarias	78-79
15/10/16	A	Boca Juniors	67-70
14/10/16	A	Gimnasia	68-92
11/10/16	H	Obras Sanitarias	67-77
07/10/16	A	Argentino	63-73
04/10/16	A	Weber Bahia	101-107 OT
02/10/16	H	Boca Juniors	81-69
28/09/16	H	Hispano Americano	83-68
23/09/16	A	Penarol	65-95
01/05/16	H	Penarol	81-78

Ferrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/10/16	A	Penarol	75-76
13/10/16	A	Boca Juniors	83-77 OT
12/10/16	H	Weber Bahia	59-69
08/10/16	A	Gimnasia	94-82
06/10/16	H	Penarol	78-52
02/10/16	A	Weber Bahia	62-87
30/09/16	H	Gimnasia	93-83
27/09/16	H	Boca Juniors	83-63
01/05/16	H	Lanus	83-58
27/04/16	A	Boca Juniors	61-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Quilmes

Liga A 2016-17

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	22%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	3	6
Win %	22%	67%	0%
Points / game	74.8	77.0	73.7
Allowed / game	81.1	71.3	86.0
Point differential	-6.3	+5.7	-12.3
Avg total	155.9	148.3	159.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	67%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	-	0% (2)
Overtime %	11%	0%	17%

Ferro

Liga A 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	62%
Home	WWWL	75%
Away	LWWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	62%	75%	50%
Points / game	78.4	78.2	78.5
Allowed / game	73.6	66.8	80.5
Point differential	+4.8	+11.5	-2.0
Avg total	152.0	145.0	159.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	75%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	12%	0%	25%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Weber Bahia	7	7	0	100%	81.0	72.6	+8.4
2	Penarol	8	6	2	75%	80.0	75.2	+4.8
3	San Martin	7	5	2	71%	84.1	72.3	+11.9
4	Olimpico	7	5	2	71%	78.4	69.0	+9.4
5	Instituto de Cordoba	6	4	2	67%	77.0	73.7	+3.3
6	Quimsa	9	6	3	67%	75.9	75.0	+0.9
7	Ferro	8	5	3	62%	78.4	73.6	+4.8
8	Gimnasia	8	5	3	62%	84.9	81.4	+3.5
9	San Lorenzo	5	3	2	60%	85.2	72.0	+13.2
10	Obras Sanitarias	9	5	4	56%	80.6	77.9	+2.7
11	Estudiantes	8	4	4	50%	76.1	76.9	-0.8
12	Regatas	7	3	4	43%	88.6	85.3	+3.3
13	La Union	7	3	4	43%	72.4	77.6	-5.1
14	Atletico Echague Parana	8	3	5	38%	78.4	90.5	-12.1
15	Atenas	7	2	5	29%	76.3	80.0	-3.7
16	Argentino	7	2	5	29%	70.3	79.3	-9.0
17	Boca Juniors	7	2	5	29%	71.3	81.3	-10.0
18	Quilmes	9	2	7	22%	74.8	81.1	-6.3
19	Hispano Americano	8	1	7	12%	71.6	79.5	-7.9
20	Libertad	4	0	4	0%	71.2	80.0	-8.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Quilmes	22	25	20	29	96
Ferro	23	23	19	18	83

← all games of the day

Quilmes vs Ferro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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