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Ferro vs Regatas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 May 2026
Tip-off: 23:05
Final 71-79
21-20 21-21 15-20 14-18
Position#6
Record26-17
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Regatas 🏆
Argentina
Position#4
Record24-15
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game76.6
ArgentinaLiga ALiga A - Quarter-finals· Estadio Héctor Etchart
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ferro v Regatas
12 Jan 2027
FERR v REGA
upcoming
15 May 2026
FERR71
REGA79
13 May 2026
FERR90
REGA75
18 Dec 2025
FERR77
REGA79
30 Jan 2025
FERR88
REGA93
17 Oct 2023
FERR71
REGA81
07 Feb 2023
FERR80
REGA81
04 Dec 2021
FERR78
REGA70
11 Dec 2020
FERR59
REGA77
18 Dec 2019
FERR78
REGA69
14 Mar 2019
FERR91
REGA80
04 Dec 2017
FERR75
REGA67
17 Jan 2017
FERR83
REGA73
06 Feb 2016
FERR78
REGA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Regatas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FerroArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFerro
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#2
W
90-81
90
81
+9
82avg 74
A11/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 74
A16/04
Liga A
Penarol
#11
L
80-87
80
87
-7
71avg 74
A20/04
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
97-91
97
91
+6
87avg 74
H24/04
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
80-78
80
78
+2
66avg 74
H26/04
Liga A
Penarol
#11
L
75-87
75
87
-12
64avg 74
A01/05
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
84-68
84
68
+16
80avg 74
A03/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
95-89
95
89
+6
86avg 74
A08/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
60-81
60
81
-21
44avg 74
A11/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
90-75
90
75
+15
58avg 74
H13/05
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
25-21
20-29
22-10
21-14
16-27
20-16
24-17
25-25
22-22
18-23
15-17
29-30
24-13
17-21
27-27
21-25
29-18
12-20
18-15
20-22
23-18
21-25
11-22
22-19
26-23
22-10
14-16
18-20
19-24
28-24
30-21
21-23
16-20
10-14
13-24
24-16
16-17
30-25
20-17
164.3Avg total
83.2Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)83.681.8165.4+1.760%
Season at home (21)87.479.6167.0+7.876%
Season away (22)80.084.0163.9-4.045%
Last 10 (10)83.281.1164.3+2.170%
Last 5 (5)80.880.0160.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.0115.0188.0-42.00%
vs Similar ◀ (25)81.481.3162.7+0.048%
vs Weaker (4)88.081.5169.5+6.575%
This opponent (Regatas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RegatasArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRegatas
Date
Competition
Ferro
#6
W
77-70
77
70
+7
65avg 72
H24/03
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
89-83
89
83
+6
92avg 72
A27/03
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
79-77
79
77
+2
65avg 72
H05/04
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
99-75
99
75
+24
91avg 72
H11/04
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
95-87
95
87
+8
94avg 72
A15/04
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
93-76
93
76
+17
94avg 72
A18/04
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
93-69
93
69
+24
88avg 72
A20/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
89-95
89
95
-6
77avg 72
H08/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
81-60
81
60
+21
80avg 72
H11/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
75-90
75
90
-15
62avg 72
A13/05
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
20-17
17-12
20-14
22-13
23-30
18-16
26-24
21-26
18-22
18-13
22-16
27-15
30-27
21-16
21-17
35-22
21-19
13-22
26-24
16-19
27-16
22-24
28-17
23-23
21-11
27-14
22-21
20-18
24-19
24-28
21-30
23-21
20-16
14-10
24-13
16-24
17-16
25-30
17-20
165.2Avg total
87.0Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)79.876.6156.4+3.262%
Season at home (20)76.572.5149.1+4.055%
Season away (19)83.380.9164.2+2.468%
Last 10 (10)87.078.2165.2+8.880%
Last 5 (5)86.278.0164.2+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)75.476.2151.5-0.853%
vs Weaker (13)86.876.9163.8+9.977%
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +3.1+3.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +3.1+3.1
FerroRegatas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#2
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A11/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/04
Liga A
Penarol
#11
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A20/04
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H24/04
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H26/04
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A01/05
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A03/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A08/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A11/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H13/05
Liga A
85.8Avg total
44.0Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.541.184.6+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.738.283.9+7.571%-
Last 30 away (16)41.643.685.2-1.944%-
Last 10 (10)44.041.885.8+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.481.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.066.0106.0-26.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (25)42.640.282.8+2.456%-
vs Weaker (4)50.240.290.5+10.075%-
This opponent (Regatas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RegatasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferro
#6
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H24/03
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A27/03
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H05/04
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H11/04
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A15/04
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A18/04
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A20/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H08/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H11/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A13/05
Liga A
84.5Avg total
44.4Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.438.779.1+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.238.877.1-0.638%-
Last 30 away (14)42.938.681.5+4.471%-
Last 10 (10)44.440.184.5+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)41.436.678.0+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)36.539.876.2-3.329%-
vs Weaker (13)45.637.382.9+8.385%-
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ferrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferro: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.919.1
58.1%
53.7%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.29.8
31.4%
32.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.912.7
70.9%
71.5%12.7
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Regatastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Regatas: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.8
56.0%
53.7%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.011.8
39.3%
32.9%35.4
🏀 Free throws18.514.0
75.7%
71.5%14.0
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ferro
WLWWLWWLWW
Regatas
LWLWWWWWWW
#6
League position
#4
-1.1
Net rating
+16.7
113.2
Offensive rating
124.4
114.3
Defensive rating
107.7
52.7%
Effective FG%
57.4%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.4%
3-point %
39.3%
57.8%
Assist %
50.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 124.4Defence114.3 · 107.7Shooting52.7% · 57.4%3-point %31.4% · 39.3%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Ferro   ■ Regatas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ferro wins
8
Regatas wins
DateGameScore
13/05/26Ferro v Regatas90-75
11/05/26Regatas v Ferro81-60
08/05/26Regatas v Ferro89-95
24/03/26Regatas v Ferro77-70
19/12/25Ferro v Regatas77-79
28/03/25Regatas v Ferro84-80
31/01/25Ferro v Regatas88-93 OT
10/02/24Regatas v Ferro93-47
17/10/23Ferro v Regatas71-81
08/02/23Ferro v Regatas80-81
Ferrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/26HRegatas90-75
11/05/26ARegatas60-81
08/05/26ARegatas95-89
03/05/26APenarol84-68
01/05/26APenarol75-87
26/04/26HPenarol80-78
24/04/26HPenarol97-91
20/04/26APenarol80-87
16/04/26AUnion De Santa Fe81-74
11/04/26ABoca Juniors90-81
Regataslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/26AFerro75-90
11/05/26HFerro81-60
08/05/26HFerro89-95
20/04/26AArgentino93-69
18/04/26ARacing de Chivilcoy93-76
15/04/26APlatense95-87
11/04/26HOlimpico99-75
05/04/26HObras Sanitarias79-77
27/03/26AUnion De Santa Fe89-83
24/03/26HFerro77-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferro
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWLWWW76%
AwayLLWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432122
Win %60%76%45%
Points / game83.687.480.0
Allowed / game81.879.684.0
Point differential+1.7+7.8-4.0
Avg total165.4167.0163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%48%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)44% (9)75% (4)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Regatas
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL62%
HomeWWWLW55%
AwayWWWWL68%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %62%55%68%
Points / game79.876.583.3
Allowed / game76.672.580.9
Point differential+3.2+4.0+2.4
Avg total156.4149.1164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %3%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa39261367%83.075.8+7.2
2 Gimnasia39261367%81.476.2+5.2
3 Boca Juniors42281467%82.778.5+4.2
4 Regatas39241562%79.876.6+3.2
5 Ferro43261760%83.681.8+1.7
6 Obera TC39231659%80.777.7+2.9
7 Obras Sanitarias41231856%80.779.0+1.7
8 Independiente de Oliva43241956%86.484.3+2.0
9 Instituto de Cordoba44242055%76.976.1+0.8
10 La Union40211952%81.880.8+1.0
11 Penarol40202050%81.481.7-0.2
12 San Martin39172244%76.577.8-1.3
13 Olimpico36152142%79.280.0-0.9
14 Racing de Chivilcoy36142239%79.481.8-2.4
15 Union De Santa Fe36132336%81.583.8-2.3
16 Platense36132336%82.385.2-2.9
17 San Lorenzo36132336%78.782.3-3.7
18 Atenas40142635%76.881.5-4.7
19 Argentino40103025%74.787.6-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ferro2121151471
Regatas2021201879
← all games of the day
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