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Ferrol W vs Estepona W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 84-72
19-23 19-17 20-18 26-14
Position#6
Record1-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game75.5
Ferrol W 🏆
Spain
vs
Estepona W
Spain
Position#7
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game61.5
Allowed / game61.5
SpainLiga Femenina WRound 3· Pavillón da Malata
Women2026-27
Meetings · Ferrol W v Estepona W
11 Oct 2026
FERR84
ESTE72
01 Nov 2025
FERR75
ESTE95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferrol W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estepona W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ferrol WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#11
L
51-67
51
67
-16
34avg 68
A22/03
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
W
75-67
75
67
+8
70avg 68
H04/04
Liga Femenina W
Valencia W
#3
L
74-85
74
85
-11
66avg 68
A08/04
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
67-69
67
69
-2
57avg 68
H11/04
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#15
L
66-86
66
86
-20
51avg 68
A18/04
Liga Femenina W
Leganes W
#7
W
80-69
80
69
+11
74avg 68
H25/04
Liga Femenina W
Beroe W
#46
W
76-61
76
61
+15
75avg 68
A24/09
EuroCup Women
Beroe W
#46
W
85-58
85
58
+27
81avg 68
H01/10
EuroCup Women
Araski W
#16
W
82-77
82
77
+5
83avg 68
H04/10
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#4
L
61-74
61
74
-13
53avg 68
A08/10
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
2-19
17-16
19-8
20-20
23-12
19-16
13-19
16-29
17-16
14-13
27-27
15-16
18-18
17-16
17-19
18-24
19-18
11-26
18-18
28-6
26-15
12-21
14-27
23-9
14-26
22-11
17-15
23-17
19-13
21-17
22-11
21-22
22-20
14-16
25-19
19-23
10-14
11-20
21-17
143.0Avg total
71.7Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.575.5147.0-4.050%
Season at home (1)82.077.0159.0+5.0100%
Season away (1)61.074.0135.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)71.771.3143.0+0.450%
Last 5 (5)76.867.8144.6+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)65.574.0139.5-8.512%
vs Similar (14)69.371.0140.3-1.757%
vs Weaker (8)79.869.4149.1+10.488%
This opponent (Estepona W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Estepona WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria W
#16
W
106-78
106
78
+28
102avg 63
A08/04
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#14
W
90-66
90
66
+24
87avg 63
H11/04
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#13
W
74-69
74
69
+5
66avg 63
A19/04
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#15
L
74-77
74
77
-3
61avg 63
H25/04
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
68-84
68
84
-16
56avg 63
H30/04
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
49-90
49
90
-41
28avg 63
A03/05
Liga Femenina W
San Giovanni W
#22
L
65-76
65
76
-11
47avg 63
H24/09
EuroCup Women
San Giovanni W
#22
L
71-76
71
76
-5
61avg 63
A30/09
EuroCup Women
Zaragoza W
#1
L
41-68
41
68
-27
24avg 63
A04/10
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#15
W
82-55
82
55
+27
84avg 63
H08/10
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
31-16
29-23
19-20
17-14
15-24
34-8
24-20
21-17
14-15
21-13
18-24
17-19
21-20
26-21
10-17
17-21
14-22
20-18
17-23
12-30
4-19
24-19
9-22
25-25
13-16
16-13
11-22
16-25
14-17
24-14
17-20
8-22
11-16
9-11
13-19
14-17
20-11
25-10
23-17
145.9Avg total
72.0Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)61.561.5123.0+0.050%
Season at home (1)82.055.0137.0+27.0100%
Season away (1)41.068.0109.0-27.00%
Last 10 (10)72.073.9145.9-1.940%
Last 5 (5)61.673.0134.6-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)64.877.8142.5-13.015%
vs Similar (10)70.971.5142.4-0.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)84.771.4156.1+13.371%
This opponent (Ferrol W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +7.8+7.8Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -4.3-4.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +7.8+7.8Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -4.3-4.3
Ferrol WEstepona W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ferrol WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#11
L
15-43
15
43
-28
A22/03
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H04/04
Liga Femenina W
Valencia W
#3
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A08/04
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H11/04
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#15
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A18/04
Liga Femenina W
Leganes W
#7
W
54-21
54
21
+33
H25/04
Liga Femenina W
Beroe W
#46
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A24/09
EuroCup Women
Beroe W
#46
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H01/10
EuroCup Women
Araski W
#16
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H04/10
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#4
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A08/10
Liga Femenina W
72.7Avg total
36.6Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.636.672.2-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.534.572.0+2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)33.838.672.4-4.840%-
Last 10 (10)36.636.172.7+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.033.074.0+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)31.437.869.1-6.425%-
vs Similar (14)35.537.172.6-1.636%-
vs Weaker (8)40.134.574.6+5.688%-
This opponent (Estepona W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Estepona WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria W
#16
W
58-35
58
35
+23
A08/04
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#14
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H11/04
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#13
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A19/04
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#15
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H25/04
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H30/04
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
16-49
16
49
-33
A03/05
Liga Femenina W
San Giovanni W
#22
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H24/09
EuroCup Women
San Giovanni W
#22
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A30/09
EuroCup Women
Zaragoza W
#1
L
19-38
19
38
-19
A04/10
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#15
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H08/10
Liga Femenina W
71.6Avg total
33.1Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.038.873.8-3.833%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.638.072.6-3.431%-
Last 30 away (14)35.439.875.2-4.436%-
Last 10 (10)33.138.571.6-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)27.439.667.0-12.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)30.841.872.5-11.023%-
vs Similar (10)36.436.372.7+0.140%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)40.937.077.9+3.943%-
This opponent (Ferrol W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ferrol Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferrol W: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.0 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.2
49.3%
46.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.18.7
31.0%
30.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws11.29.2
82.1%
74.7%9.2
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estepona Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estepona W: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.0 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.115.3
43.6%
46.9%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.1
35.3%
30.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws13.710.6
77.4%
74.7%10.6
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ferrol W
LWWWWLLLWL
Estepona W
WLLLLLLWWW
#6
League position
#7
+0.5
Net rating
-3.3
95.7
Offensive rating
99.3
95.2
Defensive rating
102.7
48.1%
Effective FG%
47.8%
44.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
4.5%
Turnover %
3.6%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.22
31.0%
3-point %
35.3%
58.4%
Assist %
62.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence95.7 · 99.3Defence95.2 · 102.7Shooting48.1% · 47.8%3-point %31.0% · 35.3%Ball care4.5% · 3.6%Free throws0.17 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Ferrol W   ■ Estepona W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ferrol W wins
2
Estepona W wins
DateGameScore
24/01/26Estepona W v Ferrol W65-49
01/11/25Ferrol W v Estepona W75-95
Ferrol Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/26AJairis W61-74
04/10/26HAraski W82-77
01/10/26HBeroe W85-58
24/09/26ABeroe W76-61
25/04/26HLeganes W80-69
18/04/26AAraski W66-86
11/04/26HZaragoza W67-69
08/04/26AValencia W74-85
04/04/26HUni Girona W75-67
22/03/26AIDK Gipuzkoa W51-67
Estepona Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/26HEnsino W82-55
04/10/26AZaragoza W41-68
30/09/26ASan Giovanni W71-76
24/09/26HSan Giovanni W65-76
03/05/26AZaragoza W49-90
30/04/26HZaragoza W68-84
25/04/26HAraski W74-77
19/04/26AJoventut Badalona W74-69
11/04/26HCadi La Seu W90-66
08/04/26AGran Canaria W106-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferrol W
Liga Femenina W 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game71.582.061.0
Allowed / game75.577.074.0
Point differential-4.0+5.0-13.0
Avg total147.0159.0135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estepona W
Liga Femenina W 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game61.582.041.0
Allowed / game61.555.068.0
Point differential+0.0+27.0-27.0
Avg total123.0137.0109.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zaragoza W330100%86.355.0+31.3
2 IDK Gipuzkoa W330100%72.355.7+16.7
3 Mallorca Palma W220100%88.577.0+11.5
4 Valencia W32167%84.071.7+12.3
5 Perfumerias Avenida W32167%72.065.7+6.3
6 Estudiantes W32167%76.074.3+1.7
7 Jairis W21150%68.563.5+5.0
8 Estepona W21150%61.561.5+0.0
9 Cadi La Seu W21150%63.566.5-3.0
10 Ferrol W21150%71.575.5-4.0
11 Leganes W31233%58.367.7-9.3
12 Ensino W31233%61.372.3-11.0
13 Gernika Bizkaia W31233%71.391.3-20.0
14 Uni Girona W2020%81.085.5-4.5
15 Celta W3030%65.780.7-15.0
16 Araski W3030%61.778.0-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ferrol W1919202684
Estepona W2317181472
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