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Finland vs Belgium Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 78-75
17-22 17-15 22-15 22-23
Position#32
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game77.0
Finland 🏆
vs
Position#83
Record0-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game79.0
EuropeWorld CupRound 4· Espoo Metro Areena
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Finland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belgium winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFinland
Date
Competition
Montenegro
#19
W
85-65
85
65
+20
84avg 87
A30/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
78-81
78
81
-3
71avg 87
H01/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
61-91
61
91
-30
47avg 87
H03/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
W
92-86
92
86
+6
85avg 87
A06/09
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
W
93-79
93
79
+14
95avg 87
H10/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
82avg 87
A12/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
89-92
89
92
-3
79avg 87
A14/09
EuroBasket
Hungary
#38
L
82-89
82
89
-7
no box
A28/11
World Cup
France
#6
W
83-76
83
76
+7
no box
H01/12
World Cup
Belgium
#83
W
71-66
71
66
+5
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
24-14
20-15
18-13
21-20
15-25
12-12
30-24
19-21
17-29
13-19
12-22
28-24
16-24
24-18
24-20
28-15
29-25
14-22
22-17
26-30
21-31
26-20
13-17
15-24
19-24
22-21
33-23
17-31
22-29
22-15
21-14
20-19
17-26
19-16
27-15
12-24
20-13
16-19
23-10
164.3Avg total
82.0Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.777.0155.7+1.767%
Season at home (1)83.076.0159.0+7.0100%
Season away (2)76.577.5154.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)82.082.3164.3-0.350%
Last 5 (5)82.284.2166.4-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)80.289.9170.1-9.625%
vs Similar (7)89.985.9175.7+4.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)90.073.9163.9+16.1100%
This opponent (Belgium) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBelgium
Date
Competition
Slovakia
#23
W
93-63
93
63
+30
no box
H20/02
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
L
52-59
52
59
-7
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
64-92
64
92
-28
56avg 66
H28/08
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
71-64
71
64
+7
62avg 66
A30/08
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
69-86
69
86
-17
63avg 66
A31/08
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
L
89-92
89
92
-3
84avg 66
H02/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
W
70-69
70
69
+1
66avg 66
A04/09
EuroBasket
France
#6
L
63-79
63
79
-16
no box
A28/11
World Cup
Hungary
#38
L
85-87
85
87
-2
no box
H01/12
World Cup
Finland
#32
L
66-71
66
71
-5
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
25-13
23-10
24-16
11-11
14-11
15-20
12-17
10-18
17-25
22-27
15-22
17-21
15-15
14-16
25-12
10-16
21-27
17-21
21-22
15-23
21-28
18-20
35-21
16-17
23-16
19-25
12-11
17-16
14-13
14-20
18-30
15-18
21-27
19-21
30-21
24-12
13-20
19-16
10-23
148.4Avg total
72.2Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)71.379.0150.3-7.70%
Season at home (2)75.579.0154.5-3.50%
Season away (1)63.079.0142.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)72.276.2148.4-4.030%
Last 5 (5)74.679.6154.2-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)70.878.3149.1-7.520%
vs Similar (8)69.280.8150.0-11.512%
vs Weaker (12)76.065.3141.3+10.775%
This opponent (Finland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: +0.7+0.7
FinlandBelgium
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FinlandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montenegro
#19
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A30/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H01/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H03/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A06/09
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H10/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A12/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A14/09
EuroBasket
Hungary
#38
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A28/11
World Cup
France
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H01/12
World Cup
Belgium
#83
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A27/02
World Cup
88.0Avg total
40.9Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.444.387.8-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.343.989.2+1.450%-
Last 30 away (16)41.844.786.5-2.938%-
Last 10 (10)40.947.188.0-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)37.850.288.0-12.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)41.946.988.8-5.025%-
vs Similar (7)43.343.486.7-0.157%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)47.139.486.6+7.771%-
This opponent (Belgium) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelgiumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovakia
#23
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H20/02
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A23/02
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H28/08
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A30/08
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A31/08
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H02/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A04/09
EuroBasket
France
#6
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A28/11
World Cup
Hungary
#38
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H01/12
World Cup
Finland
#32
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H27/02
World Cup
71.1Avg total
34.0Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.036.571.5-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.936.771.6-1.850%-
Last 30 away (16)35.136.271.3-1.244%-
Last 10 (10)34.037.171.1-3.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.838.073.8-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)33.339.672.9-6.330%-
vs Similar (8)35.440.475.8-5.038%-
vs Weaker (12)36.231.267.4+4.967%-
This opponent (Finland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Finlandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Finland: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.3
49.2%
-36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.611.9
36.5%
-35.7
🏀 Free throws17.713.4
75.7%
-13.4
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Belgiumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belgium: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.915.3
46.5%
-30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.4
33.7%
-28.2
🏀 Free throws18.612.5
67.2%
-12.5
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Finland
WWLLLWWLLW
Belgium
LLLWLLWLLW
#32
League position
#83
+3.5
Net rating
-2.1
112.5
Offensive rating
99.2
108.9
Defensive rating
101.3
51.8%
Effective FG%
48.4%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
15.4%
Turnover %
19.9%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.5%
3-point %
33.7%
74.8%
Assist %
68.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Finland   ■ Belgium
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Finland wins
0
Belgium wins
DateGameScore
27/02/26Belgium v Finland66-71
Finlandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26ABelgium71-66
01/12/25HFrance83-76
28/11/25AHungary82-89
14/09/25AGreece89-92
12/09/25AGermany86-98
10/09/25HGeorgia93-79
06/09/25ASerbia92-86
03/09/25HGermany61-91
01/09/25HLithuania78-81
30/08/25AMontenegro85-65
Belgiumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26HFinland66-71
01/12/25HHungary85-87
28/11/25AFrance63-79
04/09/25APoland70-69
02/09/25HIsrael89-92
31/08/25ASlovenia69-86
30/08/25AIceland71-64
28/08/25HFrance64-92
23/02/25ASpain52-59
20/02/25HSlovakia93-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Finland
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game78.783.076.5
Allowed / game77.076.077.5
Point differential+1.7+7.0-1.0
Avg total155.7159.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Belgium
World Cup 2027
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game71.375.563.0
Allowed / game79.079.079.0
Point differential-7.7-3.5-16.0
Avg total150.3154.5142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jordan330100%82.355.7+26.7
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Croatia770100%94.369.6+24.7
4 Ivory Coast220100%93.069.5+23.5
5 Spain330100%83.363.7+19.7
6 Canada330100%100.382.7+17.7
7 Uruguay330100%79.362.0+17.3
8 Turkey330100%86.769.7+17.0
9 Angola220100%86.570.0+16.5
10 Brazil330100%84.770.7+14.0
11 Australia440100%87.275.5+11.8
12 Guinea330100%72.360.7+11.7
13 Mali220100%85.075.0+10.0
14 Poland330100%86.381.0+5.3
15 Colombia220100%83.078.0+5.0
16 Japan43175%82.074.0+8.0
17 Ukraine75271%80.174.7+5.4
18 Argentina32167%76.359.3+17.0
19 Slovenia32167%95.378.7+16.7
20 South Sudan32167%81.364.7+16.7
21 Germany32167%86.775.3+11.3
22 Greece32167%77.366.3+11.0
23 Italy32167%83.773.0+10.7
24 Portugal32167%83.373.3+10.0
25 Iran32167%80.070.7+9.3
26 Lebanon32167%84.074.7+9.3
27 Qatar32167%86.377.0+9.3
28 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
29 Saudi Arabia32167%73.367.3+6.0
30 Tunisia32167%74.770.0+4.7
31 France32167%76.372.3+4.0
32 Estonia32167%91.389.0+2.3
33 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
34 Finland32167%78.777.0+1.7
35 Jamaica32167%95.093.7+1.3
36 Serbia32167%80.780.0+0.7
37 Iceland32167%83.783.7+0.0
38 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
39 Montenegro32167%69.774.3-4.7
40 Czech Republic32167%84.390.3-6.0
41 Netherlands85362%81.276.1+5.1
42 Switzerland138562%74.267.8+6.4
43 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
44 Hungary74357%81.174.7+6.4
45 Romania116555%76.276.8-0.6
46 Senegal21150%89.578.0+11.5
47 Philippines42250%78.569.8+8.8
48 New Zealand42250%81.074.0+7.0
49 Austria126650%84.979.5+5.4
50 Dominican Republic21150%90.087.0+3.0
51 South Korea42250%76.876.8+0.0
52 China42250%84.885.8-1.0
53 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
54 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
55 D.R. Congo21150%73.087.5-14.5
56 Latvia31233%82.079.3+2.7
57 Israel31233%78.076.0+2.0
58 Bosnia & Herzegovina31233%75.775.7+0.0
59 Lithuania31233%85.085.3-0.3
60 Nigeria31233%69.375.3-6.0
61 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
62 Georgia31233%76.384.3-8.0
63 Great Britain31233%78.388.7-10.3
64 Panama31233%75.386.0-10.7
65 Bahamas31233%87.3100.3-13.0
66 Syria31233%61.781.3-19.7
67 Denmark72529%74.481.6-7.1
68 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
69 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
70 Chinese Taipei41325%76.883.8-7.0
71 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
72 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
73 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
74 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
75 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
76 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
77 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
78 Puerto Rico3030%89.095.0-6.0
79 Venezuela2020%81.087.0-6.0
80 Belgium3030%71.379.0-7.7
81 Egypt2020%74.584.5-10.0
82 Rwanda3030%68.378.7-10.3
83 Sweden3030%80.093.0-13.0
84 Chile3030%68.782.0-13.3
85 Libya3030%66.780.3-13.7
86 Iraq3030%69.786.0-16.3
87 Uganda2020%70.587.0-16.5
88 Madagascar2020%72.593.0-20.5
89 Cuba3030%66.089.7-23.7
90 India3030%60.385.0-24.7
91 Nicaragua1010%72.099.0-27.0
92 Guam4040%66.093.5-27.5
93 Cyprus3030%59.392.3-33.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Finland1717222278
Belgium2215152375
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