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Pato vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 103-110 (OT)
28-29 23-26 25-24 22-19 5-12
Position#14
Record5-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#3
Record10-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game67.5
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pato v Flamengo
07 Nov 2026
PATO v FLAM
upcoming
04 Feb 2026
PATO84
FLAM53
03 Dec 2024
PATO103
FLAM110
13 Jan 2024
PATO97
FLAM91
22 Oct 2022
PATO64
FLAM91
03 Feb 2022
PATO87
FLAM93
12 Feb 2021
PATO61
FLAM85
05 Feb 2020
PATO71
FLAM86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
89-86
89
86
+3
89avg 72
A14/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
81-88
81
88
-7
70avg 72
H17/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
89-60
89
60
+29
86avg 72
H22/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
85-77
85
77
+8
77avg 72
H25/10
NBB
Franca
#2
L
70-93
70
93
-23
54avg 72
A28/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
80-81
80
81
-1
74avg 72
A31/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
70-81
70
81
-11
64avg 72
A02/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
76-84
76
84
-8
64avg 72
H12/11
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
66-65
66
65
+1
62avg 72
H17/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
98-78
98
78
+20
100avg 72
H28/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
25-16
19-22
23-23
30-23
16-22
25-19
10-24
23-11
25-15
21-19
20-15
17-22
21-9
14-27
33-19
21-19
14-27
14-26
21-21
16-15
26-19
19-28
19-19
22-22
19-21
19-19
10-19
13-22
12-20
29-25
22-17
15-15
21-20
12-9
18-21
27-20
20-11
25-14
26-33
159.7Avg total
80.4Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.278.3157.5+0.945%
Season at home (6)82.575.3157.8+7.267%
Season away (5)75.281.8157.0-6.620%
Last 10 (10)80.479.3159.7+1.150%
Last 5 (5)78.077.8155.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.484.8162.1-7.438%
vs Similar (16)77.379.7157.0-2.438%
vs Weaker (6)89.576.8166.3+12.783%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
70-83
70
83
-13
79avg 79
H24/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
66-61
66
61
+5
55avg 79
H26/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
78-56
78
56
+22
72avg 79
A29/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
87-77
87
77
+10
84avg 79
A01/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
84-55
84
55
+29
86avg 79
H04/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
75-77
75
77
-2
66avg 79
A07/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
95-77
95
77
+18
101avg 79
H11/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
91-67
91
67
+24
88avg 79
H13/11
NBB
Franca
#2
W
88-65
88
65
+23
85avg 79
H16/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
70-81
70
81
-11
58avg 79
H30/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
18-19
13-18
14-20
16-22
16-15
12-15
22-9
21-23
25-11
14-9
18-13
18-20
20-16
25-25
24-16
22-14
27-16
21-15
14-10
18-25
18-13
17-20
22-19
30-18
29-21
13-14
23-24
22-16
24-14
18-14
27-23
22-22
24-22
25-12
17-9
21-19
14-17
23-21
12-24
150.3Avg total
80.4Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.667.5148.2+13.177%
Season at home (7)80.669.9150.4+10.771%
Season away (6)80.764.8145.5+15.883%
Last 10 (10)80.469.9150.3+10.570%
Last 5 (5)83.873.4157.2+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)74.076.5150.5-2.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)84.266.7150.9+17.591%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.6+2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.6+2.6
PatoFlamengo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A14/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H17/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H22/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H25/10
NBB
Franca
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A28/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A31/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A02/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H12/11
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H17/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H28/11
NBB
77.9Avg total
40.5Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.479.7+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.538.279.6+3.371%-
Last 30 away (13)38.741.079.7-2.338%-
Last 10 (10)40.537.477.9+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.075.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.542.481.9-2.950%-
vs Similar (16)38.239.477.6-1.244%-
vs Weaker (6)46.835.582.3+11.3100%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H24/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H26/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A29/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A01/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H04/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A07/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
59-39
59
39
+20
H11/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H13/11
NBB
Franca
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H16/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H30/11
NBB
79.9Avg total
43.0Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.233.776.9+9.573%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.334.674.9+5.760%-
Last 30 away (15)46.232.879.0+13.487%-
Last 10 (10)43.036.979.9+6.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.437.481.8+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)36.436.873.1-0.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)45.732.678.3+13.186%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.0
51.6%
50.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.5
37.2%
33.0%31.5
🏀 Free throws17.212.3
71.5%
72.7%12.3
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.9
54.9%
50.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.1
31.7%
33.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.514.9
76.4%
72.7%14.9
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
WWLLLLWWLW
Flamengo
LWWWLWWWWL
#14
League position
#3
+2.0
Net rating
+15.7
107.4
Offensive rating
109.0
105.4
Defensive rating
93.3
53.5%
Effective FG%
51.6%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
45.4%
19.0%
Turnover %
15.7%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.2%
3-point %
31.7%
55.4%
Assist %
67.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 109.0Defence105.4 · 93.3Shooting53.5% · 51.6%3-point %37.2% · 31.7%Ball care19.0% · 15.7%Off. rebounds29.0% · 26.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Pato   ■ Flamengo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pato wins
9
Flamengo wins
DateGameScore
13/01/24Pato v Flamengo97-91 OT
15/10/23Flamengo v Pato84-71
08/01/23Flamengo v Pato89-75
22/10/22Pato v Flamengo64-91
03/02/22Pato v Flamengo87-93
03/11/21Flamengo v Pato94-62
12/02/21Pato v Flamengo61-85
22/11/20Flamengo v Pato105-70
05/02/20Pato v Flamengo71-86
12/11/19Flamengo v Pato76-59
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/24HBotafogo98-78
17/11/24HPaulistano66-65
12/11/24HVasco76-84
02/11/24AUniao Corinthians70-81
31/10/24ACaxias do Sul80-81
28/10/24AFranca70-93
25/10/24HUnifacisa85-77
22/10/24HCearense89-60
17/10/24HSao Paulo81-88
14/10/24ACorinthians Paulista89-86
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24HMinas70-81
16/11/24HFranca88-65
13/11/24HBotafogo91-67
11/11/24HUniao Corinthians95-77
07/11/24ASao Paulo75-77
04/11/24HCaxias do Sul84-55
01/11/24AUnifacisa87-77
29/10/24ACearense78-56
26/10/24HPinheiros66-61
24/10/24HCorinthians Paulista70-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW45%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%67%20%
Points / game79.282.575.2
Allowed / game78.375.381.8
Point differential+0.9+7.2-6.6
Avg total157.5157.8157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Flamengo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL77%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %77%71%83%
Points / game80.680.680.7
Allowed / game67.569.964.8
Point differential+13.1+10.7+15.8
Avg total148.2150.4145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%57%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1312192%83.468.3+15.1
2 Flamengo1310377%80.667.5+13.1
3 Brasilia118373%81.578.8+2.6
4 Bauru118373%78.777.1+1.6
5 Sao Paulo117464%78.977.6+1.3
6 Pinheiros127558%73.671.8+1.8
7 Vasco116555%72.369.9+2.4
8 Uniao Corinthians116555%79.381.1-1.8
9 Franca137654%79.578.0+1.5
10 Sao Jose136746%75.776.2-0.5
11 Pato115645%79.278.3+0.9
12 Paulistano114736%75.673.7+1.9
13 Corinthians Paulista124833%80.482.6-2.2
14 Unifacisa124833%74.978.5-3.6
15 Botafogo134931%70.378.6-8.3
16 Mogi134931%70.479.4-9.0
17 Caxias do Sul113827%69.877.4-7.5
18 Cearense1221017%67.177.2-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Pato282325225103
Flamengo2926241912110
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