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Florida State vs NC State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 69-113
31-56 38-57
Position#167
Record7-8
FormLWWLL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#128
Record11-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game71.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Florida State v NC State
10 Jan 2026
FLOR69
NC S113
27 Feb 2024
FLOR90
NC S83
05 Mar 2022
FLOR89
NC S76
13 Jan 2021
FLOR105
NC S73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NC State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
89-59
89
59
+30
H26/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
59-95
59
95
-36
H28/11
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
73-107
73
107
-34
H03/12
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A07/12
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
95-103
95
103
-8
H13/12
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
69-97
69
97
-28
A17/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
96-49
96
49
+47
H20/12
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
87-63
87
63
+24
H23/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A31/12
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
87-91
87
91
-4
H03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-24
54-35
24-52
35-43
30-49
43-58
33-41
34-41
47-43
48-60
31-42
38-55
54-17
42-32
43-21
44-42
34-40
32-39
42-42
45-49
161.3Avg total
78.8Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.979.2163.1+4.747%
Season at home (11)89.177.5166.5+11.664%
Season away (4)69.584.0153.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)78.882.5161.3-3.730%
Last 5 (5)81.075.8156.8+5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)72.385.9158.2-13.617%
vs Similar (10)77.575.8153.3+1.750%
vs Weaker (8)84.066.6150.6+17.462%
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#135
L
97-102
97
102
-5
A27/11
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A04/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H06/12
NCAA
Liberty
#26
W
85-45
85
45
+40
H11/12
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
76-77 OT
76
77
-1
H13/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
108-72
108
72
+36
H18/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H21/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H31/12
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H03/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-47
60-55
35-41
38-42
35-33
40-30
45-19
40-26
30-30
36-36
51-28
57-44
45-26
31-36
36-32
34-25
20-40
41-36
40-32
39-39
150.8Avg total
80.0Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.971.4156.2+13.569%
Season at home (12)85.768.0153.7+17.775%
Season away (4)82.581.5164.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)80.070.8150.8+9.260%
Last 5 (5)78.867.6146.4+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)64.876.0140.8-11.217%
vs Similar (15)75.375.6150.9-0.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)85.865.4151.2+20.389%
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: -3.9-3.92nd half: +4.7+4.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: -3.9-3.92nd half: +4.7+4.7
Florida StateNC State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H26/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
24-52
24
52
-28
H28/11
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H03/12
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A07/12
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H13/12
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A17/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
54-17
54
17
+37
H20/12
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H23/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A31/12
NCAA
Duke
#8
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H03/01
NCAA
74.4Avg total
37.3Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.735.970.6-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.634.571.1+2.158%-
Last 30 away (11)31.538.269.7-6.627%-
Last 10 (10)37.337.174.4+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.832.473.2+8.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)33.542.576.0-9.025%-
vs Similar (10)33.431.965.3+1.560%-
vs Weaker (8)38.230.969.1+7.462%-
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#135
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A27/11
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A04/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H06/12
NCAA
Liberty
#26
W
45-19
45
19
+26
H11/12
NCAA
Kansas
#58
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H13/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H18/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H21/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H31/12
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
20-40
20
40
-20
H03/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A07/01
NCAA
70.2Avg total
37.4Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.833.869.7+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.231.969.2+5.363%-
Last 30 away (11)33.537.170.5-3.645%-
Last 10 (10)37.432.870.2+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.431.670.0+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.237.767.8-7.533%-
vs Similar (15)33.434.367.7-0.940%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)43.730.474.1+13.2100%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Florida State wins
2
NC State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HDuke87-91
31/12/25ANorth Carolina66-79
23/12/25HJacksonville Dolphins87-63
20/12/25HMiss. Valley St.96-49
17/12/25ADayton69-97
13/12/25HUMass95-103
07/12/25AHouston67-82
03/12/25HGeorgia73-107
28/11/25HTexas A&M59-95
26/11/25HCSU Bakersfield89-59
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/26ABoston College79-71
03/01/26HVirginia61-76
31/12/25HWake Forest70-57
21/12/25HOle Miss76-62
18/12/25HTexas Southern108-72
13/12/25HKansas76-77 OT
11/12/25HLiberty85-45
06/12/25HUNC Asheville75-63
04/12/25AAuburn73-83
27/11/25ATexas97-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL47%
HomeLLWWL64%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15114
Win %47%64%0%
Points / game83.989.169.5
Allowed / game79.277.584.0
Point differential+4.7+11.6-14.5
Avg total163.1166.5153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%64%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
NC State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW69%
HomeLWWWL75%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16124
Win %69%75%50%
Points / game84.985.782.5
Allowed / game71.468.081.5
Point differential+13.5+17.7+1.0
Avg total156.2153.7164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %6%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1514193%87.166.0+21.1
2 Miami (FL)1513287%88.068.4+19.6
3 North Carolina1513287%81.365.9+15.4
4 Virginia1613381%84.170.0+14.1
5 Clemson1613381%77.965.9+12.0
6 California1613381%80.169.5+10.6
7 Stanford1613381%78.370.7+7.6
8 SMU Mustangs1512380%90.176.7+13.3
9 Virginia Tech1612475%82.673.7+8.9
10 Louisville1511473%89.270.1+19.1
11 NC State1611569%84.971.4+13.5
12 Syracuse1510567%74.265.3+8.9
13 Notre Dame1510567%74.366.7+7.6
14 Wake Forest1610662%81.674.7+6.9
15 Georgia Tech1610662%75.770.9+4.8
16 Florida State157847%83.979.2+4.7
17 Pittsburgh157847%73.368.7+4.6
18 Boston College157847%69.567.4+2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida State313869
NC State5657113
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