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Virginia vs Notre Dame Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 59-74
27-39 32-35
Position#230
Record9-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game62.0
Allowed / game63.9
vs
Position#241
Record8-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game71.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Virginia v Notre Dame
25 Jan 2025
VIRG59
NOTR74
31 Jan 2024
VIRG65
NOTR53
18 Feb 2023
VIRG57
NOTR55
13 Jan 2021
VIRG80
NOTR68
12 Mar 2020
VIRG v NOTR
upcoming
11 Feb 2020
VIRG50
NOTR49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Notre Dame winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bethune-Cookman
#202
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H13/12
NCAA
Memphis
#15
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H19/12
NCAA
American University
#102
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H22/12
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H31/12
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
50-70
50
70
-20
H04/01
NCAA
California
#268
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A09/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
65-88
65
88
-23
A11/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H16/01
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A18/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
18-21
41-20
30-21
32-43
32-28
31-30
29-39
41-28
27-32
23-38
32-35
29-40
30-40
35-48
25-27
27-27
28-39
39-42
41-23
33-33
127.7Avg total
62.3Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)62.063.9125.9-1.947%
Season at home (12)62.858.1120.8+4.767%
Season away (7)60.774.0134.7-13.314%
Last 10 (10)62.365.4127.7-3.140%
Last 5 (5)63.870.8134.6-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)55.967.6123.5-11.819%
vs Similar ◀ (12)66.062.9128.9+3.175%
vs Weaker (2)67.051.0118.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#120
L
48-69
48
69
-21
A04/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H07/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#203
W
77-65
77
65
+12
H12/12
NCAA
Le Moyne
#335
W
91-62
91
62
+29
H22/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A31/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H04/01
NCAA
NC State
#293
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A09/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A11/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H14/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
22-34
26-35
30-26
39-38
39-28
38-37
49-30
42-32
24-43
51-43
32-39
41-35
33-26
32-40
36-44
42-42
36-33
42-27
42-33
27-44
143.2Avg total
72.3Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)74.971.2146.1+3.744%
Season at home (11)79.569.9149.5+9.664%
Season away (7)67.673.1140.7-5.614%
Last 10 (10)72.370.9143.2+1.440%
Last 5 (5)72.672.6145.2+0.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)65.672.2137.8-6.629%
vs Similar ◀ (13)75.870.5146.3+5.454%
vs Weaker (3)85.066.3151.3+18.7100%
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: +0.7+0.7
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: +0.7+0.7
VirginiaNotre Dame
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bethune-Cookman
#202
L
18-21
18
21
-3
H13/12
NCAA
Memphis
#15
W
30-21
30
21
+9
H19/12
NCAA
American University
#102
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H22/12
NCAA
NC State
#293
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H31/12
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H04/01
NCAA
California
#268
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A09/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A11/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H16/01
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A18/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H22/01
NCAA
59.7Avg total
29.2Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.229.457.6-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (19)28.727.556.2+1.242%-
Last 30 away (11)27.332.760.0-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)29.230.559.7-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)31.232.864.0-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)26.030.756.7-4.719%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)29.929.259.2+0.750%-
vs Weaker (2)35.020.055.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#120
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A04/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H07/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#203
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H12/12
NCAA
Le Moyne
#335
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H22/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A31/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H04/01
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A09/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A11/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A18/01
NCAA
67.9Avg total
34.3Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.535.269.7-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.434.471.8+3.162%-
Last 30 away (14)31.136.267.4-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)34.333.667.9+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)35.835.070.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)31.337.568.8-6.27%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.533.069.5+3.585%-
vs Weaker (3)41.034.375.3+6.767%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Virginia wins
2
Notre Dame wins
DateGameScore
01/02/24Virginia v Notre Dame65-53
30/12/23Notre Dame v Virginia76-54
18/02/23Virginia v Notre Dame57-55
29/01/22Notre Dame v Virginia69-65
13/01/21Virginia v Notre Dame80-68
30/12/20Notre Dame v Virginia57-66
12/02/20Virginia v Notre Dame50-49 OT
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/25HBoston College74-56
18/01/25ALouisville67-81
16/01/25HSMU Mustangs52-54
11/01/25AStanford65-88
09/01/25ACalifornia61-75
04/01/25HLouisville50-70
31/12/24HNC State70-67
22/12/24HAmerican University63-58
19/12/24HMemphis62-64
13/12/24HBethune-Cookman59-41
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25ASyracuse69-77
14/01/25HBoston College78-60
11/01/25ADuke78-86
09/01/25ANC State65-66
04/01/25HNorth Carolina73-74
31/12/24AGeorgia Tech75-86
22/12/24HLe Moyne91-62
12/12/24HDartmouth77-65
07/12/24HSyracuse69-64
04/12/24AGeorgia48-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW47%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19127
Win %47%67%14%
Points / game62.062.860.7
Allowed / game63.958.174.0
Point differential-1.9+4.7-13.3
Avg total125.9120.8134.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Notre Dame
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL44%
HomeWWWLW64%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %44%64%14%
Points / game74.979.567.6
Allowed / game71.269.973.1
Point differential+3.7+9.6-5.6
Avg total146.1149.5140.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%45%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %6%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1917289%80.359.3+21.0
2 Clemson2117481%77.466.5+10.9
3 SMU Mustangs2015575%83.172.2+10.9
4 Louisville2015575%79.369.8+9.6
5 Wake Forest2015575%70.065.5+4.4
6 Pittsburgh1913668%80.270.9+9.3
7 Florida State1913668%78.270.5+7.6
8 Stanford1913668%76.970.2+6.7
9 North Carolina2113862%82.576.4+6.1
10 California1910953%75.174.6+0.5
11 NC State1991047%70.666.9+3.7
12 Virginia1991047%62.063.9-1.9
13 Georgia Tech2091145%74.773.5+1.2
14 Syracuse2091145%74.878.0-3.1
15 Boston College2091145%70.875.3-4.5
16 Notre Dame1881044%74.971.2+3.7
17 Virginia Tech2081240%69.572.9-3.5
18 Miami (FL)1941521%74.779.7-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia273259
Notre Dame393574
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