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FMP Beograd vs Cedevita Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 81-95
16-25 19-22 19-26 27-22
Position#6
Record4-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Position#2
Record3-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game82.4
EuropeABA LeagueRound 8
Domestic2018
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Cedevita
17 Nov 2018
FBE81
CED95
17 Dec 2017
FBE71
CED80
11 Dec 2016
FBE89
CED96
28 Nov 2009
FBE85
CED87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cedevita winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
83-84
83
84
-1
A07/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H09/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
88-97
88
97
-9
A11/06
Super League
Zadar
#11
W
99-86
99
86
+13
H01/10
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#7
L
61-89
61
89
-28
A06/10
ABA League
Cibona
#8
W
93-88 OT
93
88
+5
H13/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
59-79
59
79
-20
A22/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H27/10
ABA League
Igokea
#9
W
85-74
85
74
+11
A02/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
93-65
93
65
+28
H12/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
11-14
25-18
22-28
20-10
14-29
16-18
12-11
26-21
21-35
19-21
22-20
17-22
26-24
30-22
26-18
15-17
20-23
16-26
10-23
24-22
20-19
18-10
17-28
12-22
16-26
15-9
16-22
12-25
20-20
17-15
23-21
18-21
26-14
14-27
27-12
33-20
26-18
18-24
16-3
160.6Avg total
79.5Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.380.3160.6+0.057%
Season at home (4)89.280.0169.2+9.275%
Season away (3)68.380.7149.0-12.333%
Last 10 (10)79.581.1160.6-1.640%
Last 5 (5)80.477.4157.8+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)71.382.7154.0-11.30%
vs Similar (12)79.880.0159.8-0.250%
vs Weaker (11)92.571.5164.0+21.1100%
This opponent (Cedevita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CedevitaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
81-85
81
85
-4
H24/10
Eurocup
Hermes
#10
W
103-93
103
93
+10
A27/10
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H28/10
ABA League
Tofas
#12
L
89-94
89
94
-5
A31/10
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
79-94
79
94
-15
A03/11
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H04/11
Premijer liga
Limoges
#17
W
91-71
91
71
+20
H07/11
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
W
100-80
100
80
+20
H10/11
ABA League
Skrljevo
#8
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H11/11
Premijer liga
Alba Berlin
#4
W
109-102
109
102
+7
A14/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
17-22
26-9
18-25
22-30
36-15
18-20
27-28
9-25
11-11
16-12
27-10
25-20
28-30
14-24
22-20
14-22
20-28
18-22
27-22
18-19
16-10
25-23
21-25
29-17
22-23
16-15
24-16
24-19
19-17
20-25
37-19
29-12
13-23
17-22
27-22
32-11
29-27
18-25
30-39
171.4Avg total
88.1Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.182.4165.6+0.743%
Season at home (4)83.280.0163.2+3.250%
Season away (3)83.085.7168.7-2.733%
Last 10 (10)88.183.3171.4+4.870%
Last 5 (5)93.281.8175.0+11.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.486.6169.0-4.240%
vs Similar (6)78.775.5154.2+3.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)86.175.2161.3+10.878%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +3.4+3.4
FMP BeogradCedevita
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A07/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H09/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A11/06
Super League
Zadar
#11
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H01/10
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#7
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A06/10
ABA League
Cibona
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H13/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A22/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H27/10
ABA League
Igokea
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A02/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
59-38
59
38
+21
H12/11
ABA League
82.8Avg total
40.2Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.138.581.7+4.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.536.781.2+7.973%-
Last 30 away (15)41.740.482.1+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)40.242.682.8-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.441.482.8+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.844.380.2-8.50%-
vs Similar (12)41.338.880.2+2.558%-
vs Weaker (11)49.035.584.5+13.591%-
This opponent (Cedevita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CedevitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H24/10
Eurocup
Hermes
#10
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A27/10
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
L
20-36
20
36
-16
H28/10
ABA League
Tofas
#12
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A31/10
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A03/11
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H04/11
Premijer liga
Limoges
#17
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H07/11
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H10/11
ABA League
Skrljevo
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H11/11
Premijer liga
Alba Berlin
#4
W
61-38
61
38
+23
A14/11
Eurocup
84.3Avg total
43.3Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.481.1+2.270%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.639.178.8+0.565%-
Last 30 away (13)44.239.884.1+4.477%-
Last 10 (10)43.341.084.3+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)46.235.681.8+10.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.444.083.4-4.640%-
vs Similar (6)38.542.581.0-4.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.237.380.5+5.983%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.716.6
49.3%
51.6%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.6
29.3%
33.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws25.919.3
74.5%
72.5%19.3
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cedevitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.0
50.0%
51.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.7
39.9%
33.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws24.115.0
62.2%
72.5%15.0
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
WWLLWLWLLL
Cedevita
WWWWWLLWWL
#6
League position
#2
-8.1
Net rating
+4.4
98.8
Offensive rating
111.9
106.9
Defensive rating
107.5
47.0%
Effective FG%
53.7%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
19.4%
Turnover %
16.6%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
34.7%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.37
29.3%
3-point %
39.9%
63.6%
Assist %
60.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.8 · 111.9Defence106.9 · 107.5Shooting47.0% · 53.7%3-point %29.3% · 39.9%Ball care19.4% · 16.6%Off. rebounds28.5% · 34.7%Free throws0.43 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Cedevita
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
FMP Beograd wins
7
Cedevita wins
DateGameScore
17/12/17FMP Beograd v Cedevita71-80
29/09/17Cedevita v FMP Beograd74-67
20/09/17Cedevita v FMP Beograd86-68
11/03/17Cedevita v FMP Beograd104-92
11/12/16FMP Beograd v Cedevita89-96
06/03/10Cedevita v FMP Beograd79-67
28/11/09FMP Beograd v Cedevita85-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/18HKK Krka Novo mesto93-65
02/11/18AIgokea85-74
27/10/18HCrvena zvezda72-81
22/10/18ABuducnost59-79
13/10/18HCibona93-88 OT
06/10/18AMega Bemax61-89
01/10/18HZadar99-86
11/06/18ACrvena zvezda88-97
09/06/18HCrvena zvezda62-68
07/06/18ACrvena zvezda83-84
Cedevitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/18AAlba Berlin109-102
11/11/18HSkrljevo86-79
10/11/18HIgokea100-80
07/11/18HLimoges91-71
04/11/18HZabok80-77
03/11/18ACrvena zvezda79-94
31/10/18ATofas89-94
28/10/18HBuducnost63-58
27/10/18AHermes103-93
24/10/18HLokomotiv Kuban81-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game80.389.268.3
Allowed / game80.380.080.7
Point differential+0.0+9.2-12.3
Avg total160.6169.2149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %14%25%0%
Cedevita
ABA League 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW43%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game83.183.283.0
Allowed / game82.480.085.7
Point differential+0.7+3.2-2.7
Avg total165.6163.2168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda770100%85.670.1+15.4
2 Mega Bemax76186%83.977.7+6.1
3 Buducnost75271%80.473.6+6.9
4 Partizan74357%84.482.3+2.1
5 FMP Beograd74357%80.380.3+0.0
6 Cedevita73443%83.182.4+0.7
7 Cibona73443%78.481.3-2.9
8 Igokea83538%84.888.5-3.8
9 Mornar Bar72529%82.987.3-4.4
10 Zadar72529%84.089.1-5.1
11 KK Krka Novo mesto72529%72.182.9-10.7
12 Petrol Olimpija82625%80.884.1-3.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd1619192781
Cedevita2522262295
← all games of the day
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