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FMP Beograd vs Cedevita Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 71-80
13-18 19-15 12-16 27-31
Position#8
Record5-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#3
Record8-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game75.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 12
Domestic2017
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Cedevita
17 Nov 2018
FBE81
CED95
17 Dec 2017
FBE71
CED80
11 Dec 2016
FBE89
CED96
28 Nov 2009
FBE85
CED87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cedevita winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#12
W
100-72
100
72
+28
H03/10
ABA League
Partizan
#5
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A07/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#4
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A14/10
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H23/10
ABA League
Igokea
#10
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A29/10
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
99-79
99
79
+20
H04/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A12/11
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#9
W
96-88
96
88
+8
H17/11
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#7
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A03/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
76-93
76
93
-17
H09/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
26-18
19-17
30-11
20-28
23-17
17-22
24-20
16-17
16-17
25-20
24-19
18-12
23-31
17-20
33-13
16-23
17-17
14-18
18-17
26-19
29-21
18-25
26-14
18-19
17-17
20-26
22-22
19-22
33-27
23-18
21-21
18-19
15-17
16-15
15-22
18-30
25-21
19-20
14-22
163.3Avg total
83.3Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.879.5161.3+2.445%
Season at home (5)92.481.6174.0+10.880%
Season away (6)73.077.7150.7-4.717%
Last 10 (10)83.380.0163.3+3.350%
Last 5 (5)82.483.4165.8-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)69.086.4155.4-17.40%
vs Similar (11)78.480.1158.5-1.745%
vs Weaker (10)88.165.8153.9+22.3100%
This opponent (Cedevita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CedevitaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#2
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A12/11
ABA League
Torino
#13
W
87-65
87
65
+22
A15/11
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#4
W
99-74
99
74
+25
H18/11
ABA League
Jazine
#11
W
96-70
96
70
+26
A19/11
Premijer liga
MZT Skopje
#12
W
77-65
77
65
+12
H02/12
ABA League
Split
#4
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H03/12
Premijer liga
Darussafaka
#2
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
H06/12
Eurocup
Partizan
#5
W
92-82
92
82
+10
A09/12
ABA League
MoraBanc Andorra
#19
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A13/12
Eurocup
Cibona
#3
W
84-81
84
81
+3
H15/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
19-11
12-13
13-19
30-12
23-19
20-14
14-20
23-19
23-17
32-22
21-16
18-20
19-15
32-14
27-21
24-8
20-25
18-22
15-10
32-17
10-14
12-19
20-17
13-17
14-24
19-14
30-21
24-23
20-21
23-18
25-20
19-26
19-15
15-17
18-20
15-27
19-18
23-22
27-14
156.0Avg total
82.9Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.875.0157.8+7.873%
Season at home (6)82.070.7152.7+11.383%
Season away (5)83.880.2164.0+3.660%
Last 10 (10)82.973.1156.0+9.880%
Last 5 (5)82.078.2160.2+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)86.279.0165.2+7.275%
vs Similar (5)78.072.8150.8+5.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.374.9164.2+14.481%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +3.2+3.2
FMP BeogradCedevita
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#12
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H03/10
ABA League
Partizan
#5
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A07/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#4
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A14/10
ABA League
Zadar
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H23/10
ABA League
Igokea
#10
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A29/10
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H04/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A12/11
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#9
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H17/11
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#7
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A03/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H09/12
ABA League
83.6Avg total
41.8Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.579.1+0.040%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.940.984.8+3.062%-
Last 30 away (17)36.238.574.6-2.324%-
Last 10 (10)41.841.883.6+0.030%-
Last 5 (5)43.642.486.0+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.043.877.8-9.80%-
vs Similar (11)38.841.380.1-2.527%-
vs Weaker (10)45.434.179.5+11.390%-
This opponent (Cedevita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CedevitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#2
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A12/11
ABA League
Torino
#13
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A15/11
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#4
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H18/11
ABA League
Jazine
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A19/11
Premijer liga
MZT Skopje
#12
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H02/12
ABA League
Split
#4
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H03/12
Premijer liga
Darussafaka
#2
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H06/12
Eurocup
Partizan
#5
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A09/12
ABA League
MoraBanc Andorra
#19
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A13/12
Eurocup
Cibona
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H15/12
Premijer liga
77.1Avg total
40.0Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.436.378.7+6.170%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.336.879.2+5.572%-
Last 30 away (12)42.635.578.1+7.167%-
Last 10 (10)40.037.177.1+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)37.040.477.4-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.539.078.5+0.550%-
vs Similar (5)41.038.279.2+2.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.335.378.7+8.076%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.520.6
50.9%
52.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.9
34.1%
34.8%23.7
🏀 Free throws24.517.6
71.8%
74.4%17.6
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cedevitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.0
50.9%
52.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.5
38.2%
34.8%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.714.4
77.0%
74.4%14.4
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
LLWLWLWWLW
Cedevita
WLWWWWWWWL
#8
League position
#3
+4.5
Net rating
+12.8
107.2
Offensive rating
110.5
102.6
Defensive rating
97.7
50.9%
Effective FG%
53.5%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
18.6%
Turnover %
15.3%
35.5%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.1%
3-point %
38.2%
60.4%
Assist %
56.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 110.5Defence102.6 · 97.7Shooting50.9% · 53.5%3-point %34.1% · 38.2%Ball care18.6% · 15.3%Off. rebounds35.5% · 26.2%Free throws0.38 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Cedevita
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
FMP Beograd wins
6
Cedevita wins
DateGameScore
29/09/17Cedevita v FMP Beograd74-67
20/09/17Cedevita v FMP Beograd86-68
11/03/17Cedevita v FMP Beograd104-92
11/12/16FMP Beograd v Cedevita89-96
06/03/10Cedevita v FMP Beograd79-67
28/11/09FMP Beograd v Cedevita85-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/17HBuducnost76-93
03/12/17APetrol Olimpija64-73
17/11/17HMega Bemax96-88
12/11/17ACrvena zvezda77-84
04/11/17HCibona99-79
29/10/17AIgokea65-75
23/10/17HZadar91-76
14/10/17AMornar Bar81-73
07/10/17APartizan84-87
03/10/17HMZT Skopje100-72
Cedevitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/17HCibona84-81
13/12/17AMoraBanc Andorra71-78
09/12/17APartizan92-82
06/12/17HDarussafaka89-83 OT
03/12/17HSplit74-67
02/12/17HMZT Skopje77-65
19/11/17AJazine96-70
18/11/17HMornar Bar99-74
15/11/17ATorino87-65
12/11/17ABuducnost60-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL45%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%80%17%
Points / game81.892.473.0
Allowed / game79.581.677.7
Point differential+2.4+10.8-4.7
Avg total161.3174.0150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cedevita
ABA League 2017
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW73%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%83%60%
Points / game82.882.083.8
Allowed / game75.070.780.2
Point differential+7.8+11.3+3.6
Avg total157.8152.7164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Buducnost1210283%82.474.8+7.7
2 Crvena zvezda119282%88.378.6+9.6
3 Cedevita118373%82.875.0+7.8
4 Partizan126650%92.089.4+2.6
5 Zadar126650%81.282.8-1.5
6 FMP Beograd115645%81.879.5+2.4
7 Mornar Bar115645%75.580.6-5.1
8 Igokea125742%85.286.3-1.1
9 Petrol Olimpija125742%78.583.0-4.5
10 Mega Bemax114736%83.084.4-1.4
11 Cibona114736%80.584.0-3.5
12 MZT Skopje1221017%80.192.3-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd1319122771
Cedevita1815163180
← all games of the day
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