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FMP Beograd vs Cedevita Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 89-96
19-24 17-26 26-19 27-27
Position#9
Record3-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#3
Record8-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game78.4
EuropeABA LeagueRound 13
Domestic2016
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Cedevita
17 Nov 2018
FBE81
CED95
17 Dec 2017
FBE71
CED80
11 Dec 2016
FBE89
CED96
28 Nov 2009
FBE85
CED87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cedevita winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
70-61
70
61
+9
A06/10
ABA League
Igokea
#5
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H10/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#8
L
66-82
66
82
-16
A14/10
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
56-65
56
65
-9
H23/10
ABA League
Cibona
#7
L
68-87
68
87
-19
A29/10
ABA League
Karpos
#11
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H07/11
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
A13/11
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#13
L
68-89
68
89
-21
A18/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#4
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H27/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
62-93
62
93
-31
A05/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
19-12
10-6
24-21
16-16
21-24
25-24
14-17
22-16
15-28
16-21
13-17
15-15
17-16
6-22
18-12
12-29
16-25
14-21
26-12
18-16
18-15
17-15
14-16
27-22
22-15
16-22
14-20
14-26
18-23
18-22
18-18
15-29
20-12
11-26
23-10
16-25
14-24
16-25
16-19
147.3Avg total
68.7Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)71.879.0150.8-7.225%
Season at home (5)73.273.8147.0-0.640%
Season away (7)70.782.7153.4-12.014%
Last 10 (10)68.778.6147.3-9.920%
Last 5 (5)70.282.0152.2-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)73.882.4156.2-8.623%
vs Similar (7)75.482.0157.4-6.629%
vs Weaker (10)87.265.1152.3+22.190%
This opponent (Cedevita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CedevitaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#3
W
97-90
97
90
+7
H16/11
Eurocup
Zagreb
#8
W
95-73
95
73
+22
H19/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#7
W
100-80
100
80
+20
H20/11
ABA League
Lietkabelis
#14
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A23/11
Eurocup
Karpos
#11
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A26/11
ABA League
Jolly Sibenik
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A28/11
Premijer liga
MZT Skopje
#20
W
95-61
95
61
+34
H30/11
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
102-87
102
87
+15
H03/12
ABA League
Zabok
#10
W
112-81
112
81
+31
H06/12
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H09/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
22-29
21-26
30-16
25-15
20-29
18-15
32-14
32-18
23-22
26-18
19-22
17-16
22-16
14-16
16-20
12-25
22-20
20-21
27-23
9-29
19-17
29-21
21-17
26-17
18-21
27-9
24-14
31-23
28-16
12-27
31-21
30-20
28-21
26-21
28-19
19-23
27-15
20-12
24-21
170.3Avg total
91.9Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)88.878.4167.2+10.467%
Season at home (7)93.675.1168.7+18.471%
Season away (5)82.283.0165.2-0.860%
Last 10 (10)91.978.4170.3+13.580%
Last 5 (5)95.476.8172.2+18.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.093.0172.0-14.033%
vs Similar (2)83.583.5167.0+0.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)89.275.0164.2+14.280%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +6.5+6.5
FMP BeogradCedevita
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A06/10
ABA League
Igokea
#5
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H10/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A14/10
ABA League
Partizan
#2
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H23/10
ABA League
Cibona
#7
L
28-54
28
54
-26
A29/10
ABA League
Karpos
#11
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H07/11
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A13/11
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#13
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A18/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#4
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H27/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A05/12
ABA League
76.2Avg total
35.2Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.839.879.6-0.050%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.939.081.9+3.967%-
Last 30 away (18)37.740.378.0-2.739%-
Last 10 (10)35.241.076.2-5.840%-
Last 5 (5)36.441.477.8-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.642.680.2-5.031%-
vs Similar (7)38.142.680.7-4.443%-
vs Weaker (10)43.734.277.9+9.580%-
This opponent (Cedevita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CedevitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#3
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H16/11
Eurocup
Zagreb
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H19/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#7
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H20/11
ABA League
Lietkabelis
#14
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A23/11
Eurocup
Karpos
#11
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A26/11
ABA League
Jolly Sibenik
#5
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A28/11
Premijer liga
MZT Skopje
#20
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H30/11
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
59-39
59
39
+20
H03/12
ABA League
Zabok
#10
W
58-41
58
41
+17
H06/12
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H09/12
Premijer liga
86.5Avg total
45.4Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.040.084.0+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.739.685.2+6.167%-
Last 30 away (12)41.440.882.2+0.742%-
Last 10 (10)45.441.186.5+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)47.040.487.4+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.346.784.0-9.30%-
vs Similar (2)40.542.583.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)45.039.084.1+6.068%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.916.9
44.6%
51.9%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.76.1
25.7%
34.3%18.3
🏀 Free throws23.616.9
71.6%
73.3%16.9
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cedevitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita: 92.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.123.4
56.9%
51.9%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.39.2
41.3%
34.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.318.2
78.1%
73.3%18.2
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
LLLLWLLLLW
Cedevita
WWWWLLWWWW
#9
League position
#3
-11.0
Net rating
+20.4
91.4
Offensive rating
117.4
102.4
Defensive rating
97.0
42.3%
Effective FG%
58.7%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
19.0%
Turnover %
19.2%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.37
25.7%
3-point %
41.3%
77.0%
Assist %
68.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence91.4 · 117.4Defence102.4 · 97.0Shooting42.3% · 58.7%3-point %25.7% · 41.3%Ball care19.0% · 19.2%Off. rebounds30.2% · 33.6%Free throws0.38 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Cedevita
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
FMP Beograd wins
2
Cedevita wins
DateGameScore
06/03/10Cedevita v FMP Beograd79-67
28/11/09FMP Beograd v Cedevita85-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/16ACrvena zvezda62-93
27/11/16HBuducnost69-77
18/11/16AMZT Skopje68-89
13/11/16APetrol Olimpija85-89 OT
07/11/16HKarpos67-62
29/10/16ACibona68-87
23/10/16HPartizan56-65
14/10/16AMornar Bar66-82
10/10/16HIgokea76-81
06/10/16AKK Krka Novo mesto70-61
Cedevitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/16HCibona90-71
06/12/16HZabok112-81
03/12/16HPetrol Olimpija102-87
30/11/16HMZT Skopje95-61
28/11/16AJolly Sibenik78-84
26/11/16AKarpos81-89
23/11/16ALietkabelis69-68
20/11/16HCibona100-80
19/11/16HZagreb95-73
16/11/16HGran Canaria97-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2016
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL25%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %25%40%14%
Points / game71.873.270.7
Allowed / game79.073.882.7
Point differential-7.2-0.6-12.0
Avg total150.8147.0153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Cedevita
ABA League 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %67%71%60%
Points / game88.893.682.2
Allowed / game78.475.183.0
Point differential+10.4+18.4-0.8
Avg total167.2168.7165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%71%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda12120100%85.666.4+19.2
2 Buducnost1210283%85.076.5+8.5
3 Partizan1310377%78.872.6+6.2
4 Cibona139469%83.979.7+4.2
5 Cedevita128467%88.878.4+10.4
6 Igokea137654%75.876.4-0.6
7 Zadar125742%80.288.4-8.2
8 KK Krka Novo mesto135838%73.881.4-7.5
9 Petrol Olimpija124833%81.283.8-2.7
10 Mornar Bar134931%76.578.8-2.3
11 Mega Bemax134931%81.584.7-3.2
12 MZT Skopje134931%76.483.0-6.6
13 FMP Beograd123925%71.879.0-7.2
14 Karpos1331023%73.882.3-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd1917262789
Cedevita2426192796
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