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FMP Beograd vs Zlatibor Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 May 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 112-81
25-21 24-26 37-20 26-14
Position#2
Record1-0
FormLLWWL
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game80.0
FMP Beograd 🏆
Serbia
vs
Zlatibor
Serbia
Position#9
Record0-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game91.0
SerbiaSuper LeagueRound 2· Belgrade
Other2023
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Zlatibor
11 May 2025
FBE108
ZLA69
03 May 2023
FBE112
ZLA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zlatibor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#2
L
67-86
67
86
-19
no box
H17/02
Korac cup
MZT Skopje
#15
L
82-87
82
87
-5
71avg 81
A03/03
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
70-77
70
77
-7
66avg 81
A11/03
ABA League
Zadar
#9
W
112-87
112
87
+25
101avg 81
H17/03
ABA League
Cibona
#11
L
99-110 OT
99
110
-11
no box
A27/03
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
91-97
91
97
-6
84avg 81
H03/04
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
L
74-84
74
84
-10
61avg 81
A10/04
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#14
W
101-76
101
76
+25
90avg 81
H15/04
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#6
W
98-80
98
80
+18
94avg 81
H25/04
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
77-87
77
87
-10
67avg 81
A29/04
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
16-10
14-22
13-34
17-13
21-22
18-30
26-22
18-22
15-23
18-14
19-18
28-29
28-20
27-24
29-14
23-29
27-21
20-21
22-21
18-24
25-25
23-25
25-23
18-28
15-12
17-22
24-22
25-18
22-17
29-12
25-29
26-24
30-17
14-14
28-25
24-23
16-26
16-15
21-23
174.2Avg total
87.1Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)98.080.0178.0+18.0100%
Season at home (1)98.080.0178.0+18.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.187.1174.2+0.030%
Last 5 (5)88.284.8173.0+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.091.0172.0-10.00%
vs Similar (7)87.089.0176.0-2.043%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)92.283.5175.7+8.671%
This opponent (Zlatibor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZlatiborSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZlatibor
Date
Competition
Spars Ilidza
#13
W
96-72
96
72
+24
no box
A10/03
ABA League 2
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
97-106
97
106
-9
no box
H12/03
ABA League 2
OKK Novi Pazar
#13
L
88-92
88
92
-4
no box
H15/03
First League
Spartak Subotica
#2
L
91-92
91
92
-1
no box
A20/03
First League
Sloga
#9
W
95-82
95
82
+13
no box
A25/03
First League
KK Metalac
#4
W
91-74
91
74
+17
no box
H02/04
First League
Leskovac Zdravlje
#14
L
78-87
78
87
-9
no box
A08/04
First League
Podgorica
#3
L
64-89
64
89
-25
no box
A12/04
ABA League 2
Cacak 94
#12
W
88-71
88
71
+17
no box
H19/04
First League
OKK Beograd
#3
L
76-91
76
91
-15
70avg 64
A27/04
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
25-18
28-15
28-19
22-31
24-27
22-25
29-23
15-16
24-21
21-25
28-30
35-28
10-28
25-16
21-20
22-16
25-17
22-28
26-21
22-21
19-11
20-16
30-26
20-26
16-20
19-16
23-25
14-26
15-12
17-26
18-25
25-14
25-21
20-16
18-20
25-26
13-24
17-23
21-18
172.0Avg total
86.4Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)76.091.0167.0-15.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)76.091.0167.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)86.485.6172.0+0.840%
Last 5 (5)79.482.4161.8-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)73.592.0165.5-18.50%
vs Similar (11)82.684.6167.3-2.045%
vs Weaker (17)86.477.2163.5+9.276%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.5+1.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.5+1.5
FMP BeogradZlatibor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#2
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H17/02
Korac cup
MZT Skopje
#15
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A03/03
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A11/03
ABA League
Zadar
#9
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H17/03
ABA League
Cibona
#11
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A27/03
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H03/04
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A10/04
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#14
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H15/04
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#6
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H25/04
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A29/04
ABA League
85.9Avg total
43.6Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.542.587.0+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.141.589.6+6.675%-
Last 30 away (14)40.543.684.1-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)43.642.385.9+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.886.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.045.885.8-5.820%-
vs Similar (7)45.445.991.3-0.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.240.685.8+4.659%-
This opponent (Zlatibor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZlatiborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spars Ilidza
#13
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A10/03
ABA League 2
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H12/03
ABA League 2
OKK Novi Pazar
#13
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H15/03
First League
Spartak Subotica
#2
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A20/03
First League
Sloga
#9
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A25/03
First League
KK Metalac
#4
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H02/04
First League
Leskovac Zdravlje
#14
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A08/04
First League
Podgorica
#3
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A12/04
ABA League 2
Cacak 94
#12
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H19/04
First League
OKK Beograd
#3
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A27/04
Super League
83.4Avg total
41.1Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.939.482.3+3.573%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.437.180.5+6.286%-
Last 30 away (16)42.441.483.8+1.162%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.383.4-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.279.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)38.048.086.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (11)42.542.084.5+0.564%-
vs Weaker (17)43.736.780.4+7.088%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.122.2
52.7%
54.2%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.2
32.3%
34.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws23.317.0
73.0%
72.9%17.0
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zlatibortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zlatibor: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀31%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers22.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.011.3
39.1%
54.2%22.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.7
36.1%
34.3%35.0
🏀 Free throws16.715.0
90.0%
72.9%15.0
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/3 games with a box score before 03 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
LWWLLLWLLL
Zlatibor
LWLLWWLLLW
#2
League position
#9
-0.6
Net rating
-18.9
107.9
Offensive rating
95.7
108.5
Defensive rating
114.5
51.2%
Effective FG%
47.0%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
17.4%
Turnover %
18.1%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
20.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.3%
3-point %
36.1%
57.1%
Assist %
72.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 95.7Defence108.5 · 114.5Shooting51.2% · 47.0%3-point %32.3% · 36.1%Ball care17.4% · 18.1%Off. rebounds30.2% · 20.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Zlatibor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
FMP Beograd wins
0
Zlatibor wins
No previous meetings.
FMP Beogradlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/23ACedevita Olimpija77-87
25/04/23HSpartak Subotica98-80
15/04/23HMornar Bar101-76
10/04/23AStudentski Centar74-84
03/04/23HPartizan91-97
27/03/23ACibona99-110 OT
17/03/23HZadar112-87
11/03/23AIgokea70-77
03/03/23AMZT Skopje82-87
17/02/23HMega Basket67-86
Zlatiborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/23AOKK Beograd76-91
19/04/23HCacak 9488-71
12/04/23APodgorica64-89
08/04/23ALeskovac Zdravlje78-87
02/04/23HKK Metalac91-74
25/03/23ASloga95-82
20/03/23ASpartak Subotica91-92
15/03/23HOKK Novi Pazar88-92
12/03/23HKK Krka Novo mesto97-106
10/03/23ASpars Ilidza96-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
Super League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game98.098.0-
Allowed / game80.080.0-
Point differential+18.0+18.0-
Avg total178.0178.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Zlatibor
Super League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game76.0-76.0
Allowed / game91.0-91.0
Point differential-15.0--15.0
Avg total167.0-167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FMP Beograd110100%98.080.0+18.0
2 OKK Beograd110100%91.076.0+15.0
3 Mega Basket110100%83.074.0+9.0
4 Vojvodina Novi Sad21150%77.079.5-2.5
5 KK Metalac1010%76.080.0-4.0
6 Zlatibor1010%76.091.0-15.0
7 Spartak Subotica1010%80.098.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd25243726112
Zlatibor2126201481
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