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FMP Beograd vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 112-87
28-29 28-20 27-24 29-14
Position#5
Record12-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game85.3
FMP Beograd 🏆
vs
Zadar
Position#9
Record10-11
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game86.6
EuropeABA LeagueRound 22
Domestic2022
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Zadar
31 Mar 2026
FBE85
ZAD55
17 Nov 2024
FBE67
ZAD83
15 Dec 2023
FBE77
ZAD92
17 Mar 2023
FBE112
ZAD87
31 Oct 2021
FBE83
ZAD76
15 Dec 2020
FBE89
ZAD99
01 Oct 2018
FBE99
ZAD86
23 Oct 2017
FBE91
ZAD76
16 Dec 2016
FBE94
ZAD77
27 Feb 2010
FBE83
ZAD81
27 Feb 2009
FBE82
ZAD78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#6
L
72-77
72
77
-5
66avg 79
A08/01
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
107-81
107
81
+26
108avg 79
H13/01
ABA League
Split
#10
W
95-91
95
91
+4
no box
A20/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
84-99
84
99
-15
82avg 79
H29/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
58-84
58
84
-26
no box
A04/02
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
79-86
79
86
-7
66avg 79
H11/02
ABA League
KK Metalac
#6
W
91-76
91
76
+15
no box
H16/02
Korac cup
Mega Basket
#2
L
67-86
67
86
-19
no box
H17/02
Korac cup
MZT Skopje
#15
L
82-87
82
87
-5
71avg 79
A03/03
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
70-77
70
77
-7
66avg 79
A11/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
18-19
22-19
13-21
31-23
24-11
25-23
27-24
19-26
19-12
29-23
28-30
19-24
23-30
24-24
18-21
22-21
14-22
6-22
16-19
24-27
13-20
16-20
26-19
26-12
23-22
18-24
24-18
24-20
16-10
14-22
13-34
17-13
21-22
18-30
26-22
18-22
15-23
18-14
19-18
164.9Avg total
80.5Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)88.785.3174.0+3.457%
Season at home (10)93.782.8176.5+10.980%
Season away (11)84.187.5171.6-3.536%
Last 10 (10)80.584.4164.9-3.930%
Last 5 (5)77.882.4160.2-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.586.8160.2-13.20%
vs Similar ◀ (5)84.089.8173.8-5.840%
vs Weaker (14)91.282.7173.9+8.571%
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Split
#10
L
85-89
85
89
-4
81avg 77
A03/02
ABA League
Gorica
#13
W
82-71
82
71
+11
no box
A06/02
Premijer liga
Zabok
#10
W
93-70
93
70
+23
no box
H10/02
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
76-95
76
95
-19
65avg 77
H12/02
ABA League
Cibona
#1
L
70-71
70
71
-1
no box
A15/02
Croatian Cup
Cibona
#3
W
83-68
83
68
+15
no box
H28/02
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
L
68-76
68
76
-8
66avg 77
A04/03
ABA League
Alkar
#12
W
100-83
100
83
+17
no box
A06/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#7
W
82-62
82
62
+20
no box
H09/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
81-59
81
59
+22
77avg 77
H12/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
24-19
18-28
16-25
19-19
24-14
22-13
17-25
26-22
23-23
18-11
26-14
18-22
13-25
25-26
20-22
20-20
15-18
21-19
14-14
23-21
22-14
18-18
20-15
23-13
17-26
16-22
12-15
21-20
28-17
21-22
30-24
31-15
19-12
12-16
20-19
22-13
21-13
21-15
17-18
156.4Avg total
82.0Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)87.186.6173.7+0.548%
Season at home (11)88.881.3170.1+7.564%
Season away (10)85.292.5177.7-7.330%
Last 10 (10)82.074.4156.4+7.660%
Last 5 (5)82.869.6152.4+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.288.2164.4-12.020%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.382.9168.2+2.444%
vs Weaker (15)85.973.3159.1+12.680%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
FMP BeogradZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#6
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A08/01
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H13/01
ABA League
Split
#10
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A20/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H29/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A04/02
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H11/02
ABA League
KK Metalac
#6
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H16/02
Korac cup
Mega Basket
#2
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H17/02
Korac cup
MZT Skopje
#15
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A03/03
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A11/03
ABA League
80.2Avg total
40.5Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.483.3+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.139.984.9+5.267%-
Last 30 away (15)38.742.981.7-4.233%-
Last 10 (10)40.539.780.2+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.438.277.6+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.543.079.5-6.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)44.444.689.0-0.260%-
vs Weaker (14)44.240.484.6+3.857%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#10
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A03/02
ABA League
Gorica
#13
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A06/02
Premijer liga
Zabok
#10
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H10/02
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H12/02
ABA League
Cibona
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A15/02
Croatian Cup
Cibona
#3
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H28/02
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A04/03
ABA League
Alkar
#12
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A06/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#7
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H09/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H12/03
ABA League
79.9Avg total
43.6Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.339.183.4+5.260%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.338.484.7+7.969%-
Last 30 away (17)42.839.682.4+3.253%-
Last 10 (10)43.636.379.9+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)45.432.878.2+12.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.444.684.0-5.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)45.341.486.8+3.944%-
vs Weaker (15)45.236.381.5+8.973%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.0
51.5%
55.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.69.1
42.1%
35.2%27.3
🏀 Free throws24.718.3
74.1%
75.8%18.3
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.717.3
52.9%
55.6%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.4
32.9%
35.2%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.917.6
80.4%
75.8%17.6
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
LLLWLLLWWL
Zadar
WWWLWLLWWL
#5
League position
#9
-1.9
Net rating
-0.4
110.8
Offensive rating
108.0
112.6
Defensive rating
108.4
55.8%
Effective FG%
51.2%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
19.9%
Turnover %
16.2%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.36
42.1%
3-point %
32.9%
56.6%
Assist %
71.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 108.0Defence112.6 · 108.4Shooting55.8% · 51.2%3-point %42.1% · 32.9%Ball care19.9% · 16.2%Off. rebounds30.4% · 26.6%Free throws0.42 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
FMP Beograd wins
4
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
02/12/22Zadar v FMP Beograd103-97
06/02/22Zadar v FMP Beograd83-80
31/10/21FMP Beograd v Zadar83-76
12/03/21Zadar v FMP Beograd63-76
15/12/20FMP Beograd v Zadar89-99 OT
21/12/18Zadar v FMP Beograd79-85
01/10/18FMP Beograd v Zadar99-86
15/01/18Zadar v FMP Beograd83-77
23/10/17FMP Beograd v Zadar91-76
16/12/16FMP Beograd v Zadar94-77
FMP Beogradlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/23AIgokea70-77
03/03/23AMZT Skopje82-87
17/02/23HMega Basket67-86
16/02/23HKK Metalac91-76
11/02/23HCedevita Olimpija79-86
04/02/23ABuducnost58-84
29/01/23HCrvena zvezda84-99
20/01/23ASplit95-91
13/01/23HBorac Mozzart107-81
08/01/23AMega Basket72-77
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23HCedevita Olimpija81-59
09/03/23HGKK Sibenka82-62
06/03/23AAlkar100-83
04/03/23ABuducnost68-76
28/02/23HCibona83-68
15/02/23ACibona70-71
12/02/23HCrvena zvezda76-95
10/02/23HZabok93-70
06/02/23AGorica82-71
03/02/23ASplit85-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL57%
HomeWWWLL80%
AwayLWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %57%80%36%
Points / game88.793.784.1
Allowed / game85.382.887.5
Point differential+3.4+10.9-3.5
Avg total174.0176.5171.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zadar
ABA League 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW48%
HomeLWWLW64%
AwayLLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %48%64%30%
Points / game87.188.885.2
Allowed / game86.681.392.5
Point differential+0.5+7.5-7.3
Avg total173.7170.1177.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)0% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan2119290%94.877.5+17.3
2 Crvena zvezda2017385%87.272.5+14.7
3 Buducnost2115671%87.077.8+9.1
4 Cedevita Olimpija2014670%86.379.6+6.8
5 FMP Beograd2112957%88.785.3+3.4
6 Zadar21101148%87.186.6+0.5
7 Mega Basket21101148%85.986.3-0.4
8 Studentski Centar21101148%86.190.0-3.9
9 Split2291341%81.786.3-4.5
10 Cibona2181338%79.690.0-10.4
11 Mornar Bar2171433%85.491.8-6.3
12 Igokea2061430%81.287.0-5.8
13 Borac Mozzart2151624%80.789.6-8.9
14 MZT Skopje2141719%79.990.4-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd28282729112
Zadar2920241487
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