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FMP Beograd vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 101-76
25-18 22-17 29-12 25-29
Position#5
Record13-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game86.8
vs
Position#14
Record8-15
FormLWLLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game91.3
EuropeABA LeagueRound 26
Domestic2022
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Mornar Bar
04 Apr 2025
FBE87
MBA72
06 Apr 2024
FBE111
MBA94
15 Apr 2023
FBE101
MBA76
17 Oct 2021
FBE83
MBA81
05 Apr 2021
FBE94
MBA92
08 Dec 2018
FBE82
MBA84
05 Jan 2018
FBE79
MBA84
15 Jan 2017
FBE92
MBA85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
58-84
58
84
-26
no box
A04/02
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
79-86
79
86
-7
66avg 79
H11/02
ABA League
KK Metalac
#6
W
91-76
91
76
+15
no box
H16/02
Korac cup
Mega Basket
#2
L
67-86
67
86
-19
no box
H17/02
Korac cup
MZT Skopje
#15
L
82-87
82
87
-5
71avg 79
A03/03
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
70-77
70
77
-7
66avg 79
A11/03
ABA League
Zadar
#9
W
112-87
112
87
+25
101avg 79
H17/03
ABA League
Cibona
#11
L
99-110 OT
99
110
-11
no box
A27/03
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
91-97
91
97
-6
84avg 79
H03/04
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
L
74-84
74
84
-10
61avg 79
A10/04
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
14-22
6-22
16-19
24-27
13-20
16-20
26-19
26-12
23-22
18-24
24-18
24-20
16-10
14-22
13-34
17-13
21-22
18-30
26-22
18-22
15-23
18-14
19-18
28-29
28-20
27-24
29-14
23-29
27-21
20-21
22-21
18-24
25-25
23-25
25-23
18-28
15-12
17-22
24-22
169.7Avg total
82.3Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)89.586.8176.3+2.852%
Season at home (12)95.084.3179.3+10.775%
Season away (13)84.589.0173.5-4.531%
Last 10 (10)82.387.4169.7-5.120%
Last 5 (5)89.291.0180.2-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.091.0172.0-10.00%
vs Similar (6)88.789.3178.0-0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)90.684.5175.1+6.162%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Partizan
#1
L
74-92
74
92
-18
69avg 73
A29/01
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
L
74-94
74
94
-20
47avg 73
A05/02
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
93-84
93
84
+9
91avg 73
H10/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#6
W
103-98
103
98
+5
no box
H14/02
Montenegrin Cup
Buducnost
#1
L
80-100
80
100
-20
no box
A15/02
Montenegrin Cup
Mega Basket
#6
L
78-89
78
89
-11
72avg 73
A06/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
104-99
104
99
+5
102avg 73
H12/03
ABA League
Split
#10
L
80-91
80
91
-11
77avg 73
A17/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
78-99
78
99
-21
65avg 73
A03/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
78-75
78
75
+3
61avg 73
H11/04
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-28
15-13
21-30
12-21
21-29
16-20
21-19
16-26
27-26
19-20
22-22
25-16
25-29
20-20
19-25
39-24
25-17
20-27
17-29
18-27
24-20
15-21
17-19
22-29
31-27
22-28
29-26
22-18
28-28
14-25
18-20
20-18
20-31
14-25
25-23
19-20
23-21
21-24
17-25
17-5
176.3Avg total
84.2Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.891.3176.1-6.635%
Season at home (11)88.591.4179.8-2.955%
Season away (12)81.491.3172.8-9.917%
Last 10 (10)84.292.1176.3-7.940%
Last 5 (5)83.690.6174.2-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)83.293.7176.9-10.425%
vs Similar (13)83.584.7168.2-1.246%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
FMP BeogradMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A04/02
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H11/02
ABA League
KK Metalac
#6
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H16/02
Korac cup
Mega Basket
#2
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H17/02
Korac cup
MZT Skopje
#15
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A03/03
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A11/03
ABA League
Zadar
#9
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H17/03
ABA League
Cibona
#11
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A27/03
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H03/04
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A10/04
ABA League
83.7Avg total
41.5Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.542.285.7+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.541.588.0+5.167%-
Last 30 away (15)40.442.983.3-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)41.542.283.7-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.046.689.6-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.045.885.8-5.820%-
vs Similar (6)46.345.391.7+1.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.941.084.9+2.950%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A29/01
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A05/02
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H10/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#6
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H14/02
Montenegrin Cup
Buducnost
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A15/02
Montenegrin Cup
Mega Basket
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A06/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H12/03
ABA League
Split
#10
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A17/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A03/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H11/04
ABA League
90.5Avg total
42.6Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.646.588.1-4.930%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.146.389.4-3.143%-
Last 30 away (16)40.246.887.0-6.519%-
Last 10 (10)42.647.990.5-5.310%-
Last 5 (5)42.450.092.4-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)40.648.489.1-7.825%-
vs Similar (13)42.544.086.5-1.538%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.821.9
53.7%
55.6%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.87.0
35.4%
35.2%21.0
🏀 Free throws25.519.2
75.3%
75.8%19.2
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.1
52.5%
55.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.9
30.0%
35.2%23.7
🏀 Free throws23.416.8
71.8%
75.8%16.8
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
LLLWLLLWLL
Mornar Bar
WLLWLLWWLL
#5
League position
#14
-3.1
Net rating
-11.3
110.2
Offensive rating
105.6
113.3
Defensive rating
116.9
53.5%
Effective FG%
49.5%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
58.2%
19.1%
Turnover %
17.3%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.4%
3-point %
30.0%
55.4%
Assist %
57.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 105.6Defence113.3 · 116.9Shooting53.5% · 49.5%3-point %35.4% · 30.0%Ball care19.1% · 17.3%Off. rebounds31.5% · 33.3%Free throws0.42 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
FMP Beograd wins
5
Mornar Bar wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/23AStudentski Centar74-84
03/04/23HPartizan91-97
27/03/23ACibona99-110 OT
17/03/23HZadar112-87
11/03/23AIgokea70-77
03/03/23AMZT Skopje82-87
17/02/23HMega Basket67-86
16/02/23HKK Metalac91-76
11/02/23HCedevita Olimpija79-86
04/02/23ABuducnost58-84
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/23HCedevita Olimpija78-75
03/04/23ABuducnost78-99
17/03/23ASplit80-91
12/03/23HBorac Mozzart104-99
06/03/23AMega Basket78-89
15/02/23ABuducnost80-100
14/02/23HStudentski Centar103-98
10/02/23HMZT Skopje93-84
05/02/23AStudentski Centar74-94
29/01/23APartizan74-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2022
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL52%
HomeWLLWL75%
AwayLLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %52%75%31%
Points / game89.595.084.5
Allowed / game86.884.389.0
Point differential+2.8+10.7-4.5
Avg total176.3179.3173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%58%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW35%
HomeLWWWW55%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %35%55%17%
Points / game84.888.581.4
Allowed / game91.391.491.3
Point differential-6.6-2.9-9.9
Avg total176.1179.8172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%9%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan2422292%93.977.7+16.2
2 Crvena zvezda2320387%87.373.1+14.2
3 Buducnost2518772%87.277.8+9.5
4 Cedevita Olimpija2517868%85.479.4+6.0
5 FMP Beograd25131252%89.586.8+2.8
6 Mega Basket26121446%84.785.9-1.2
7 Zadar25111444%86.185.8+0.2
8 Studentski Centar25111444%84.689.0-4.4
9 Split25101540%82.886.6-3.8
10 Igokea2491538%80.585.0-4.5
11 Mornar Bar2381535%84.891.3-6.6
12 Cibona2691735%79.789.9-10.2
13 Borac Mozzart2671927%82.689.8-7.3
14 MZT Skopje2671927%80.389.1-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd25222925101
Mornar Bar1817122976
← all games of the day
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