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Forli vs Cantu Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 67-77
17-19 15-19 18-16 17-23
Position#2
Record25-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game72.8
Forli
Italy
vs
Cantu 🏆
Italy
Position#4
Record21-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game79.7
ItalySerie A2Round 31· PalaGalassi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Forli v Cantu
17 Nov 2024
FORL71
KAN76
12 Apr 2024
FORL67
KAN77
16 Apr 2023
FORL67
KAN60
14 May 2022
FORL61
KAN64
12 May 2022
FORL76
KAN72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cantu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Udine
#6
W
73-61
73
61
+12
62avg 70
A28/01
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
92-64
92
64
+28
83avg 70
H04/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
83-73
83
73
+10
79avg 70
H11/02
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
80-69
80
69
+11
75avg 70
A18/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
73-59
73
59
+14
69avg 70
H24/02
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
81-79
81
79
+2
71avg 70
A03/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
69-78
69
78
-9
52avg 70
H10/03
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
77-75
77
75
+2
70avg 70
A23/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
78-61
78
61
+17
74avg 70
H30/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
85-80
85
80
+5
80avg 70
A07/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-20
22-14
19-14
23-13
25-18
21-16
18-16
28-14
24-16
17-22
22-18
20-17
17-20
25-22
19-13
19-14
20-19
17-14
21-15
15-11
22-20
23-15
22-27
14-17
20-17
24-18
14-23
11-20
20-13
20-21
21-21
16-20
18-18
25-14
11-14
24-15
21-21
22-23
24-21
18-15
149.0Avg total
79.1Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)79.472.8152.2+6.683%
Season at home (15)80.569.3149.8+11.193%
Season away (15)78.376.3154.6+2.173%
Last 10 (10)79.169.9149.0+9.290%
Last 5 (5)78.074.6152.6+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)75.972.9148.9+3.071%
vs Weaker (16)82.472.7155.1+9.894%
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Monferrato
#24
W
92-71
92
71
+21
80avg 78
A26/01
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
90-73
90
73
+17
81avg 78
H04/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
L
86-88
86
88
-2
75avg 78
A11/02
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
96-92
96
92
+4
92avg 78
H17/02
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
80-75
80
75
+5
73avg 78
A25/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
83-84
83
84
-1
69avg 78
H03/03
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
L
65-75
65
75
-10
45avg 78
A10/03
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
74-69
74
69
+5
62avg 78
H25/03
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
59-82
59
82
-23
53avg 78
A30/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
79-75
79
75
+4
77avg 78
H07/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
26-16
21-20
24-18
16-19
22-15
19-24
33-15
23-23
21-24
20-18
22-23
27-22
24-26
23-23
22-21
21-12
20-20
26-23
13-20
20-21
23-24
16-20
24-19
15-15
27-22
7-22
16-16
23-14
11-14
18-17
22-24
17-21
22-22
9-18
11-21
22-20
15-22
22-15
20-18
158.8Avg total
80.4Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)85.779.7165.4+6.070%
Season at home (15)87.278.3165.5+8.973%
Season away (15)84.381.1165.4+3.167%
Last 10 (10)80.478.4158.8+2.060%
Last 5 (5)72.077.0149.0-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.074.5155.5+6.550%
vs Similar ◀ (8)86.577.4163.9+9.188%
vs Weaker (20)85.981.2167.1+4.865%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +1.2+1.2
ForliCantu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Udine
#6
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A28/01
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H04/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H11/02
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A18/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H24/02
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A03/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H10/03
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A23/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H30/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A07/04
Serie A2
77.3Avg total
41.2Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.136.076.1+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.833.573.3+6.387%-
Last 30 away (15)40.438.578.9+1.947%-
Last 10 (10)41.236.177.3+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)43.036.079.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.236.874.0+0.450%-
vs Weaker (16)42.635.478.0+7.281%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monferrato
#24
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A26/01
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H04/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A11/02
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H17/02
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A25/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H03/03
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A10/03
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H25/03
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A30/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H07/04
Serie A2
80.5Avg total
41.6Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.839.484.2+5.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.338.482.7+5.967%-
Last 30 away (15)45.340.485.7+4.960%-
Last 10 (10)41.638.980.5+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.078.0+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.537.071.5-2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)45.537.482.9+8.175%-
vs Weaker (20)45.540.586.0+5.060%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.0
49.9%
50.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.9
34.9%
34.1%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.513.6
77.7%
74.2%13.6
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.2
54.4%
50.3%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.9
34.3%
34.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws15.410.9
70.8%
74.2%10.9
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
WWWLWWWWWW
Cantu
WLWLLWWLWW
#2
League position
#4
+12.8
Net rating
+4.7
108.5
Offensive rating
109.4
95.8
Defensive rating
104.7
50.9%
Effective FG%
53.1%
46.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
15.8%
Turnover %
12.7%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
21.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.9%
3-point %
34.3%
49.5%
Assist %
54.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 109.4Defence95.8 · 104.7Shooting50.9% · 53.1%3-point %34.9% · 34.3%Ball care15.8% · 12.7%Off. rebounds28.0% · 21.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Forli   ■ Cantu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Forli wins
3
Cantu wins
DateGameScore
07/05/23Cantu v Forli64-73
16/04/23Forli v Cantu67-60
14/05/22Forli v Cantu61-64
12/05/22Forli v Cantu76-72
09/05/22Cantu v Forli71-62
07/05/22Cantu v Forli77-55
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24AVigevano85-80
30/03/24HJuVi Cremona78-61
23/03/24AMonferrato77-75
10/03/24HBasket Torino69-78
03/03/24ALuiss Roma81-79
24/02/24HUrania Milano73-59
18/02/24AAgrigento80-69
11/02/24HSebastiani Rieti83-73
04/02/24HTrieste92-64
28/01/24AUdine73-61
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24HAssigeco Piacenza79-75
30/03/24ACividale59-82
25/03/24HVerona74-69
10/03/24AChiusi65-75
03/03/24HRimini83-84
25/02/24ANardo80-75
17/02/24HTrieste96-92
11/02/24AOrzinuovi86-88
04/02/24HVigevano90-73
26/01/24AMonferrato92-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWWWLW93%
AwayWWWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %83%93%73%
Points / game79.480.578.3
Allowed / game72.869.376.3
Point differential+6.6+11.1+2.1
Avg total152.2149.8154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%47%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (8)100% (3)100% (5)
Overtime %17%27%7%
Cantu
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW70%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayWLWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %70%73%67%
Points / game85.787.284.3
Allowed / game79.778.381.1
Point differential+6.0+8.9+3.1
Avg total165.4165.5165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%47%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)50% (8)67% (3)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani3028293%88.676.6+11.9
2 Forli3025583%79.472.8+6.6
3 Udine3021970%78.670.4+8.2
4 Cantu3021970%85.779.7+6.0
5 Fortitudo Bologna3021970%76.972.0+4.9
6 Basket Torino30201067%84.581.0+3.5
7 Sebastiani Rieti30191163%80.977.6+3.3
8 Verona30181260%76.473.8+2.6
9 Trieste30171357%80.778.1+2.6
10 Rimini30161453%78.576.1+2.4
11 Cividale31161552%76.575.3+1.2
12 Assigeco Piacenza30141647%77.976.2+1.7
13 Treviglio30141647%79.179.4-0.3
14 JuVi Cremona30141647%82.583.9-1.3
15 Urania Milano30141647%82.184.2-2.2
16 Cento30131743%75.078.2-3.2
17 Vigevano30111937%77.581.8-4.2
18 Nardo30111937%74.680.2-5.6
19 Orzinuovi3092130%74.778.1-3.4
20 Chiusi3092130%67.173.2-6.0
21 Luiss Roma3092130%77.385.1-7.8
22 Agrigento3072323%74.381.2-6.9
23 Latina3072323%76.084.3-8.3
24 Monferrato3172423%79.184.5-5.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forli1715181767
Cantu1919162377
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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