PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Forli vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 71-50
18-9 20-15 11-14 22-12
Position#6
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game76.0
Forli 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#9
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game80.2
ItalySerie A2Round 5· PalaGalassi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Forli v Pesaro
13 Dec 2026
FORL v PES
upcoming
26 Nov 2025
FORL88
PES91
16 Oct 2024
FORL71
PES50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#20
W
84-69
84
69
+15
80avg 68
H07/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
67-76
67
76
-9
54avg 68
A10/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
95-69
95
69
+26
102avg 68
A12/05
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
49-72
49
72
-23
31avg 68
H19/05
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
76-91
76
91
-15
68avg 68
H21/05
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
68-85
68
85
-17
58avg 68
A24/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
69-77
69
77
-8
58avg 68
A29/09
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
75-59
75
59
+16
73avg 68
H02/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
92-86 OT
92
86
+6
84avg 68
H06/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
63-82
63
82
-19
59avg 68
A13/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
20-17
21-16
21-18
9-24
16-20
21-18
21-14
26-23
30-11
23-16
16-19
10-20
13-19
15-9
11-24
18-24
23-24
16-24
19-19
11-19
23-23
19-22
15-21
17-20
17-16
10-14
25-27
21-13
18-13
20-18
16-15
21-17
19-23
16-21
16-11
9-20
19-25
19-18
16-19
150.4Avg total
73.8Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.876.0150.8-1.250%
Season at home (2)83.572.5156.0+11.0100%
Season away (2)66.079.5145.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)73.876.6150.4-2.840%
Last 5 (5)73.477.8151.2-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)73.174.3147.4-1.153%
vs Weaker (15)80.172.3152.5+7.887%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
L
89-93
89
93
-4
81avg 72
A30/03
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
96-91
96
91
+5
85avg 72
A07/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
89-82
89
82
+7
80avg 72
H13/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
76-94
76
94
-18
62avg 72
A20/04
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
91-86
91
86
+5
90avg 72
H28/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
79-91
79
91
-12
63avg 72
A05/05
Lega A
Nardo
#19
W
86-78
86
78
+8
83avg 72
A29/09
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
67-80
67
80
-13
56avg 72
H02/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
82-77
82
77
+5
80avg 72
H06/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
80-86
80
86
-6
71avg 72
A12/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
18-18
20-22
25-26
28-26
22-20
16-26
30-19
29-16
21-24
22-24
17-18
22-21
11-23
21-24
22-26
22-26
21-23
23-19
25-18
20-27
24-15
11-35
24-14
12-16
33-11
30-28
11-23
16-26
24-22
13-17
14-15
21-22
17-12
22-22
22-21
20-24
17-17
20-21
23-24
169.3Avg total
83.5Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.880.2159.0-1.550%
Season at home (2)74.578.5153.0-4.050%
Season away (2)83.082.0165.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)83.585.8169.3-2.350%
Last 5 (5)78.882.4161.2-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)79.389.2168.4-9.933%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.585.2167.7-2.740%
vs Weaker (2)76.579.0155.5-2.550%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
ForliPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#20
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H07/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A10/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
56-34
56
34
+22
A12/05
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
23-39
23
39
-16
H19/05
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H21/05
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A24/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A29/09
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H02/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H06/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A13/10
Serie A2
75.1Avg total
36.2Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.537.475.9+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.634.473.0+4.175%-
Last 30 away (14)38.440.779.1-2.329%-
Last 10 (10)36.238.975.1-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)35.037.872.8-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)35.437.673.0-2.240%-
vs Weaker (15)41.637.178.7+4.567%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A30/03
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A07/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H13/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A20/04
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H28/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A05/05
Lega A
Nardo
#19
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A29/09
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H02/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H06/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A12/10
Serie A2
84.0Avg total
42.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.242.782.9-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.142.182.2-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)40.343.383.5-3.033%-
Last 10 (10)42.441.684.0+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.838.479.2+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)38.944.383.2-5.428%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.140.882.9+1.350%-
vs Weaker (2)42.537.580.0+5.050%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.9
51.4%
50.1%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.96.9
28.9%
34.6%20.7
🏀 Free throws20.716.3
78.7%
74.4%16.3
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.222.2
56.6%
50.1%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.8
35.1%
34.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws16.012.5
78.1%
74.4%12.5
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
LWWLLLLWLW
Pesaro
LWLWLWLWWL
#6
League position
#9
-4.7
Net rating
-5.1
106.4
Offensive rating
112.4
111.0
Defensive rating
117.4
48.1%
Effective FG%
55.0%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
58.0%
16.8%
Turnover %
14.7%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.24
28.9%
3-point %
35.1%
47.2%
Assist %
48.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 112.4Defence111.0 · 117.4Shooting48.1% · 55.0%3-point %28.9% · 35.1%Ball care16.8% · 14.7%Off. rebounds30.2% · 25.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Forli   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Forli wins
0
Pesaro wins
No previous meetings.
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24ABrindisi63-82
06/10/24HVerona92-86 OT
02/10/24HCento75-59
29/09/24ACividale69-77
24/05/24ATrieste68-85
21/05/24HTrieste76-91
19/05/24HTrieste49-72
12/05/24AVigevano95-69
10/05/24AVigevano67-76
07/05/24HVigevano84-69
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24ASebastiani Rieti80-86
06/10/24HAvellino Basket82-77
02/10/24HVigevano67-80
29/09/24ANardo86-78
05/05/24AVenezia79-91
28/04/24HCremona91-86
20/04/24ATortona76-94
13/04/24HPistoia89-82
07/04/24ASassari96-91
30/03/24ATreviso89-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game74.883.566.0
Allowed / game76.072.579.5
Point differential-1.2+11.0-13.5
Avg total150.8156.0145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %25%50%0%
Pesaro
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game78.874.583.0
Allowed / game80.278.582.0
Point differential-1.5-4.0+1.0
Avg total159.0153.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini550100%86.076.2+9.8
2 Cantu54180%75.469.4+6.0
3 Urania Milano43175%83.276.5+6.8
4 Sebastiani Rieti43175%75.271.8+3.5
5 Udine53260%82.070.8+11.2
6 JuVi Cremona53260%81.478.6+2.8
7 Fortitudo Bologna53260%78.076.0+2.0
8 Avellino Basket53260%78.476.8+1.6
9 Cividale53260%78.678.6+0.0
10 Orzinuovi53260%81.283.8-2.6
11 Forli42250%74.876.0-1.2
12 Pesaro42250%78.880.2-1.5
13 Basket Torino52340%74.873.8+1.0
14 Verona52340%82.481.8+0.6
15 Libertas Livorno52340%70.874.2-3.4
16 Vigevano41325%74.876.8-2.0
17 Nardo41325%74.887.2-12.5
18 Brindisi51420%68.475.2-6.8
19 Cento51420%72.481.4-9.0
20 Assigeco Piacenza5050%79.286.8-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forli1820112271
Pesaro915141250
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.