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Fortitudo Bologna vs Cantu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 May 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 74-68
25-17 14-11 16-16 19-24
Position#7
Record23-19
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#2
Record26-15
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game73.6
ItalySerie A2Serie A2 - Quarter-finals· PalaDozza
Other2024-25
Meetings · Fortitudo Bologna v Cantu
17 May 2025
FBO74
KAN68
15 May 2025
FBO77
KAN68
29 Jan 2025
FBO74
KAN57
25 Apr 2021
FBO75
KAN68
22 Mar 2020
FBO v KAN
upcoming
03 Jan 2009
FBO87
KAN88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fortitudo Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cantu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Nardo
#19
W
87-77
87
77
+10
90avg 70
H23/03
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
72-81
72
81
-9
60avg 70
A30/03
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
79-86
79
86
-7
75avg 70
H06/04
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
58-67
58
67
-9
47avg 70
A13/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
75-84
75
84
-9
79avg 70
H23/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
71-66
71
66
+5
66avg 70
A27/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
94-85
94
85
+9
95avg 70
H06/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
64-72
64
72
-8
58avg 70
A10/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
67-81
67
81
-14
59avg 70
A12/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
77-68
77
68
+9
82avg 70
H15/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
20-19
24-27
19-8
24-19
20-22
11-28
17-12
20-21
17-23
31-17
11-25
11-11
19-16
17-24
11-16
27-26
15-19
23-11
10-28
21-9
17-18
15-28
18-11
32-18
24-24
19-22
19-21
24-18
14-23
14-15
12-16
18-14
14-24
24-27
11-16
17-23
15-17
23-9
22-19
151.1Avg total
74.4Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)75.474.0149.4+1.455%
Season at home (21)80.371.8152.0+8.581%
Season away (21)70.576.2146.7-5.729%
Last 10 (10)74.476.7151.1-2.340%
Last 5 (5)74.674.4149.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)73.573.3146.8+0.250%
vs Similar (18)75.873.9149.7+1.856%
vs Weaker (6)78.071.3149.3+6.783%
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#13
L
79-84
79
84
-5
67avg 70
A23/03
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 70
H30/03
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
87-73
87
73
+14
80avg 70
A02/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
70-85
70
85
-15
56avg 70
A06/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
85-78
85
78
+7
83avg 70
H13/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
82-76
82
76
+6
78avg 70
A19/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
75-79
75
79
-4
74avg 70
H27/04
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
72-64
72
64
+8
68avg 70
H10/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
81-67
81
67
+14
82avg 70
H12/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
68-77
68
77
-9
59avg 70
A15/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
15-11
30-26
18-24
18-22
20-11
18-16
25-27
21-22
26-15
23-19
17-17
15-14
22-24
22-25
11-22
22-16
21-25
31-22
11-15
26-33
16-19
21-14
19-10
20-24
18-13
23-21
14-21
18-24
23-14
15-14
16-12
14-18
24-14
27-24
16-11
23-17
17-15
9-23
19-22
153.9Avg total
78.0Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)77.873.6151.4+4.263%
Season at home (21)79.969.7149.5+10.281%
Season away (20)75.777.8153.4-2.145%
Last 10 (10)78.075.9153.9+2.160%
Last 5 (5)75.672.6148.2+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)78.779.5158.2-0.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)76.571.5148.0+4.960%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -1.5-1.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -1.5-1.5
Fortitudo BolognaCantu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nardo
#19
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H23/03
Serie A2
Udine
#1
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A30/03
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H06/04
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A13/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H23/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A27/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H06/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A10/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A12/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H15/05
Serie A2
78.0Avg total
39.3Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.537.375.8+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.637.478.0+3.150%-
Last 30 away (14)36.137.173.2-1.143%-
Last 10 (10)39.338.778.0+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.676.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.839.075.8-2.233%-
vs Similar (18)38.436.675.0+1.944%-
vs Weaker (6)40.237.878.0+2.367%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#13
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A23/03
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H30/03
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A02/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A06/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H13/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A19/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H27/04
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H12/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A15/05
Serie A2
76.9Avg total
39.5Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.636.576.1+3.270%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.235.276.4+6.094%-
Last 30 away (14)37.937.975.8-0.143%-
Last 10 (10)39.537.476.9+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)39.838.278.0+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)37.338.475.7-1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)40.835.576.3+5.380%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.415.8
44.6%
50.1%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.0
35.7%
34.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws15.711.8
75.2%
74.4%11.8
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.617.4
51.8%
50.1%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.5
37.5%
34.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws15.110.9
72.2%
74.4%10.9
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fortitudo Bologna
WLLWWLLLLW
Cantu
LWWLWWLWWL
#7
League position
#2
-3.2
Net rating
+2.4
102.4
Offensive rating
108.8
105.6
Defensive rating
106.4
48.6%
Effective FG%
53.8%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
15.9%
Turnover %
18.0%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.7%
3-point %
37.5%
79.1%
Assist %
57.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 108.8Defence105.6 · 106.4Shooting48.6% · 53.8%3-point %35.7% · 37.5%Ball care15.9% · 18.0%Off. rebounds25.8% · 28.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Fortitudo Bologna   ■ Cantu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Fortitudo Bologna wins
5
Cantu wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/25HCantu77-68
12/05/25ACantu67-81
10/05/25ACantu64-72
06/05/25HPesaro94-85
27/04/25ALibertas Livorno71-66
23/04/25HRimini75-84
13/04/25AForli58-67
06/04/25HCividale79-86
30/03/25AUdine72-81
23/03/25HNardo87-77
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/25AFortitudo Bologna68-77
12/05/25HFortitudo Bologna81-67
10/05/25HFortitudo Bologna72-64
27/04/25HVigevano75-79
19/04/25AAvellino Basket82-76
13/04/25HPesaro85-78
06/04/25ABasket Torino70-85
02/04/25ANardo87-73
30/03/25HVerona81-76
23/03/25ABrindisi79-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fortitudo Bologna
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW55%
HomeWLLWW81%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %55%81%29%
Points / game75.480.370.5
Allowed / game74.071.876.2
Point differential+1.4+8.5-5.7
Avg total149.4152.0146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%43%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)60% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Cantu
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL63%
HomeWWLWW81%
AwayLWLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412120
Win %63%81%45%
Points / game77.879.975.7
Allowed / game73.669.777.8
Point differential+4.2+10.2-2.1
Avg total151.4149.5153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%48%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)60% (5)50% (10)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine3830879%84.075.9+8.2
2 Rimini41281368%81.677.6+4.0
3 Cantu41261563%77.873.6+4.2
4 Sebastiani Rieti41261563%75.773.4+2.3
5 Cividale41251661%80.678.8+1.8
6 Forli41241759%77.876.3+1.5
7 Fortitudo Bologna42231955%75.474.0+1.4
8 Verona39211854%77.975.2+2.8
9 Pesaro40211952%82.280.6+1.6
10 Basket Torino39201951%77.577.0+0.5
11 Avellino Basket39201951%79.680.3-0.7
12 Urania Milano41212051%75.976.7-0.8
13 Brindisi43222151%76.576.2+0.3
14 Orzinuovi38162242%77.880.3-2.5
15 Cento38152339%73.977.3-3.4
16 Libertas Livorno41152637%77.178.8-1.7
17 JuVi Cremona41152637%81.883.6-1.8
18 Vigevano41142734%77.082.0-5.0
19 Nardo41132832%76.582.5-6.0
20 Assigeco Piacenza3873118%76.483.3-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fortitudo Bologna2514161974
Cantu1711162468
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